Options Betting Range - Extended# Options Betting Range - Extended
**Options Betting Range - Extended** is a versatile TradingView indicator designed to assist traders in identifying and visualizing optimal options trading ranges for multiple symbols. By leveraging predefined prediction and execution dates along with specific high and low price points, this indicator dynamically draws trendlines to highlight potential options betting zones, enhancing your trading strategy and decision-making process.
## **Key Features**
- **Multi-Symbol Support:** Automatically adapts to popular symbols such as SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, TLT, and GOOG, providing tailored options betting ranges for each.
- **Dynamic Trendlines:** Draws both dashed and solid trendlines based on user-defined prediction and execution dates, clearly marking high and low price boundaries.
- **Customizable Parameters:** Easily configure prediction and execution dates, high and low prices, and timezones to suit your specific trading requirements.
- **Single Execution:** Ensures that each trendline is drawn only once per specified prediction date, preventing clutter and maintaining chart clarity.
- **Clear Visual Indicators:** Utilizes color-coded labels to denote high (green) and low (red) price points, making it easy to identify critical trading levels at a glance.
## **How It Works**
1. **Initialization:**
- Upon adding the indicator to your chart, it initializes with predefined symbols and their corresponding high and low price points for two trendlines each.
2. **Configuration:**
- **Trendline 1:**
- **Prediction Date:** Set the year, month, and day when the trendline should be predicted.
- **Execution Date:** Define the year, month, and day when the trendline will be executed.
- **Timezone:** Choose the appropriate timezone to ensure accurate date matching.
- **Trendline 2:**
- Similarly, configure the prediction and execution dates along with the timezone.
3. **Trendline Drawing:**
- On reaching the specified prediction date, the indicator draws dashed trendlines representing the high and low price ranges.
- Solid trendlines are then drawn to solidify the high and low price boundaries.
- Labels are added to clearly mark the high and low price points on the chart.
4. **Visualization:**
- The trendlines and labels provide a visual framework for potential options trading ranges, allowing traders to make informed decisions based on these predefined levels.
## **How to Use**
1. **Add the Indicator:**
- Open your TradingView chart and apply the **Options Betting Range - Extended** indicator.
2. **Select a Symbol:**
- Ensure that the chart is set to one of the supported symbols (e.g., SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, TLT, GOOG) to activate the corresponding trendline configurations.
3. **Configure Trendline Parameters:**
- Access the indicator settings to input your desired prediction and execution dates, high and low prices, and select the appropriate timezone for each trendline.
4. **Monitor Trendlines:**
- As the chart progresses to the specified prediction dates, observe the dynamically drawn trendlines and labels indicating the options betting ranges.
5. **Make Informed Trades:**
- Utilize the visual cues provided by the trendlines to identify optimal entry and exit points for your options trading strategies.
## **Benefits**
- **Enhanced Strategy Visualization:** Clearly outlines potential trading ranges, aiding in the formulation and execution of precise options strategies.
- **Time-Saving Automation:** Automatically draws trendlines based on your configurations, reducing the need for manual chart analysis.
- **Improved Decision-Making:** Provides objective price levels for trading, minimizing emotional bias and enhancing analytical precision.
## **Important Considerations**
- **Timezone Accuracy:** Ensure that the timezones selected in the indicator settings align with your chart's timezone to maintain accurate date matching.
- **Chart Timeframe:** The prediction dates should correspond to the timeframe of your chart (e.g., daily, hourly) to ensure that trendlines are triggered correctly.
- **Visible Price Range:** Verify that the high and low prices set for trendlines are within the visible range of your chart to ensure that all trendlines and labels are clearly visible.
## **Conclusion**
**Options Betting Range - Extended** is a powerful tool for traders seeking to automate and visualize their options trading ranges across multiple symbols. By providing clear, customizable trendlines based on specific prediction and execution dates, this indicator enhances your ability to identify and act upon strategic trading opportunities with confidence.
---
AMD
Grover Llorens Activator Strategy AnalysisThe Grover Llorens Activator is a trailing stop indicator deeply inspired by the parabolic SAR indicator, and aim to provide early exit points and reversal detection. The indicator was posted not so long ago, you can find it here :
Today a strategy using the indicator is proposed, and its profitability is analyzed on 3 different markets with the main time frame being 1 hour, remember that lower time frames involve lower absolute price changes, therefore we are way more affected by the spread, and we can require a larger position sizing depending on our investment target, trading higher time-frames is always a good practice and this is why 1 hour is selected. Based on the result we might make various conclusions regarding the indicator accuracy and might have ideas on future improvements of the indicator.
I'am not great when it comes to strategy design, i still hope to share correct and useful information in this post, let me know your thoughts on the post format and if i should make more of these.
Setup And Rules
The analysis is solely based on the indicator signals, money management isn't taken into account, this allow us to have an idea on the indicator robustness and resilience, particularly on extremely volatile markets and ones exhibiting a chaotic structure, altho it is normally good practice to close any position before a market closure in order to avoid any potential major gaps.
The settings used are 480 for length and 14 for mult, this create relatively mid term signals that are suited for a trend indicator such as the Grover Llorens Activator, unfortunately we can't infer the indicator optimal settings, thats how it is with any technical indicator anyway.
Here are the rules of our strategy :
long : closing price cross over the indicator
short : closing price cross under the indicator
We use constant position sizing, once a signal is triggered all the previous positions are closed.
Description Of The Statistics Used
Various statistics are presented in this post, here is a brief description of the main ones :
Percent Profitability (higher = better): Percentage of winning trades, that is : winning trades/total number of trades × 100
Maximum Drawdown (lower = better) : The highest difference between a peak and a valley in the balance, that is : peak - valley , in percentage : (peak - valley)/peak × 100
Profit Factor (higher = better) : Gross profit divided by gross loss, values under 1 represent gross losses superior to the gross profits
Remember that more volatility = more risk, since higher absolute price changes can logically cause larger losses.
EURUSD
The first market analyzed is the Forex market with the EURUSD major pair with a position sizing of 1000 units (1 micro lot). Since October EURUSD is not showing any particular strong trend but posses a discrete rising motion, fortunately cycles can be observed.
The equity was rising until two trades appeared causing a decline in the equity. Before October a bearish market could be observed.
We can see that the equity is rising, the trend still posses various retracements that affect our indicator, however we can see that the indicator totally nail the end of the trend, thats the power of converging toward the price.
In short :
$ 86.63 net profit
340 closed trades
37.65 % profitable (thats a lot of loosing trades)
1.19 profit factor
$ 76.67 max drawdown
Applying a spread would create negative results (in general the average spread is used), not a great start...
BTCUSD
The cryptocurrency market is relatively more volatile than others, which also mean potentially higher returns, we test the indicator using certainly the most traded cryptocurrency, BTCUSD. We will use a position sizing of 1 unit.
In the case of BTCUSD the strategy balance is relatively stationary around the initial capital, with of course high dispersion.
from september to december the market is bearish with various ranging periods, no apparent cycles can be observed, except maybe in the ranging period of october, this ranging period is followed by a non linear trend (relatively parabolic) that the indicator failed to capture in its integrity (this is a recurrent problem and it is starting to piss me off xD).
In short :
$ 2010.64 net profit (aka how i bet the crypto market)
395 closed trades
38.23 % profitable
1.036 profit factor
$ 5738.01 max drawdown (aka how i lost to the crypto market)
AMD
AMD stand for Advanced Micro Devices and is a company focused on the development of computer technology, i love the microprocessor market and i really like AMD who start this year in a pretty great way with a net bullish trend.
The performance of the indicator on AMD is decent (at last !) with the equity producing many new higher highs. The indicator performance still drop in the middle end of 2019 with a large equity drawdown of 17$ caused by the gap of august 8. Unfortunately AMD, like lot of well behaving stocks can only tells us that the indicator has good performances on heavily trending markets with no excess of noise or chaotic structures.
In short :
$ 17.86 net profit (Enough for a consistent lunch)
295 closed trades
36.27 % profitable
1.414 profit factor
$ 10.37 max drawdown.
Conclusion
A strategy using the recently proposed Grover Llorens activator has been presented. We can easily conclude that the indicator can't possibly generate long term returns under chaotic and volatile markets, and could even produce unnecessary trades in trending markets without much parasitic fluctuations such as noise and retracements (think about a simple linear trend) since the indicator converge toward the price and would therefore automatically cross over/under the trend, thus guaranteeing a false signal.
However we have seen its ability to provide accurate early reversal detection shine from time to time, thus over performing lagging indicators in this aspect, however the duration of price fluctuations isn't fixed at a certain period, the rate of convergence should be way faster during volatile fluctuations, of moderate speed during more cyclic fluctuations, and really slow with apparent long term trends, this could be achieved by making the indicator adaptive, but it won't really make it necessarily perform better.
That said i still believe that converging trend indicators are really interesting and aim to capture the non lasting behavior of price fluctuations, they shouldn't receive so much hate (think about the poor p-sar).
Thanks for reading !
