Daily BreadWhat it does:
This script uses specific multiple true ranges from a 30 EMA baseline to plot lines that represent 10% buying increments. Although the common period for ATR is 14, this script employs a period of 20 for smoothing that I have determined is more effective when used with a daily candle chart. It includes onscreen trend signals to identify an uptrend or downtrend when the 50 EMA crosses the 90 EMA and will also display a coloured directional signal at each candle beyond an EMA cross to identify the current trend.
The script plots a scale of percentage labels at the end of each line to identify the percent of an account intended to be in short or longer term trades.
How it does it:
The script uses a 30 EMA baseline and then multiplies ATR increments of +1, +2, +4 and -1 through -7. These ATR multiples and the EMA are plotted as 11 lines, 10 of which make up the range of 10% increments from 10% to 100% with the 11th line being the High Band representing the extreme high or expected sale of any holdings. The percentage label scale uses variable declarations to position and colour match a percentage label to each line.
Intended use:
It is intended to be used for short term trading or long term investing with a daily market index chart such as SPY and multiple exchange traded funds that track said market index. A different ETF is purchased when a daily SPY candle reaches a lower buy band using 10% of a total account value. The sale of any ETFs is at the discretion of the trader and dependent on investment strategy (short term trading or long term inventing) and the trend. When short term trading in a downtrend or when daily candles are below the 50 EMA, selling would be done every 2 to 3 bands above a buy to mitigate the risk of a significant portion of an account getting caught in a downtrend. In an uptrend the High Band would be used to sell any holdings.
Bands and Channels
Polygonal Pivot Bands [FXSMARTLAB]The Polygonal Pivot Bands highlights key price pivots, dynamic support and resistance levels, and recent price action on a trading chart. This indicator connects pivot highs and lows with a zigzag line, extends a real-time dashed line to the latest price point, and plots diagonal support/resistance levels that adapt to price movement. These elements together provide traders with a view of significant price zones and potential trend shifts.
Key Components of the Indicator
Pivots are calculated based on user-defined lengths, specifying how many bars on either side of a high or low are required to validate it as a pivot.
Adjustable left and right pivot lengths allow traders to control the sensitivity of pivot detection, with higher values resulting in fewer, more prominent pivots, and lower values increasing sensitivity to price changes.
Zigzag Line
The zigzag line connects consecutive pivot points, filtering out smaller fluctuations and emphasizing the broader direction of price movement.
Users can customize the line's color and thickness to match their preferences, helping them focus on larger trends and potential reversal points.
By linking pivot highs and lows, the zigzag pattern highlights the overall trend and potential points of reversal.
Real-Time Connector Line
A dashed line extends from the last confirmed pivot to the latest price point, providing a real-time, bar-by-bar update of the current price relative to the previous pivot.
This line does not project future price direction but maintains an up-to-date connection with the current price, showing the distance from the last pivot.
Its color and thickness are customizable for improved visibility on the chart.
Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels
The indicator plots dynamic support and resistanc e levels by connecting recent pivot highs and lows, resulting in lines that may appear diagonal rather than strictly horizontal.
These levels move in line with price action, adapting to the natural direction of trends, and offer visual cues where price may encounter support or resistance.
Colors and thickness of these lines can be set individually, allowing traders to adjust visibility according to their preferences.
Enabling these lines gives traders an ongoing reference for critical price boundaries that align more closely with the overall trend.
Previous Day High/Low ±0.5%The simple script was written for the educational purposes, to check if the simple system can help to hedge your strategic portfolio. Mainly works with Indexes (tested on IRUS). You can optimize strategy by changing the % in the pine code. Working mainly on D timeframe.
Current script gives you the lines on the graph, you should check if the current day close price is above the high line - buy, if below - close your buy, or reverce your position to sell, if you go in short.
Ultimate Multi Indicator - by SachaThe Ultimate Multi Indicator: The Ultimate Guide To Profit
This custom indicator, the Ultimate Multi Indicator , integrates multiple trading indicators to have powerful buy and sell signals. I combined MACD, EMA, RSI, Bollinger Bands, Volume Profile, and Ichimoku Cloud indicators to help traders analyze both short-term and long-term price movements.
Key Components and How to Use Them
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
- Use for trend direction and potentiality of reversals.
- The blue line (MACD Line) crossing above the orange line (Signal Line) indicates a bullish reversal; the opposite signals a bearish reversal.
- Watch for crossovers to confirm the direction of smaller price movements.
- 200 EMA (Long) (Exponential Moving Average):
- Use to indicate a long-term trend direction.
- If the price is above the 200 EMA, the market is in an uptrend; below it suggests a downtrend.
- The chart’s background color shifts subtly green (uptrend) or red (downtrend) depending on the EMA's relative position.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- Tracks momentum and overbought/oversold levels.
- RSI over 70 signifies overbought conditions; under 30 indicates oversold.
- Look for RSI turning points around these levels to identify potential reversals.
- Bollinger Bands :
- The price touching or crossing the upper Bollinger Band may mean overbought conditions are filled, while a touch at the lower band indicates oversold.
- Bollinger Band interactions often align with key reversal points, especially when combined with other signals.
- Volume Profile :
- A yellow VP line on the chart represents significant trading volume occurred.
- This line can be used as both a support and resistance level, and especially during consolidations or trend changes.
- Ichimoku Cloud :
- Identifies support/resistance levels and trend direction.
- Green and red cloud regions visually show if the price is above (bullish) or below (bearish) key levels.
- Price above the cloud (green) confirms a bullish market, while below (red) signals bearish.
Signal Conditions and Visualization
- Buy Signals :
- This is triggered right away when MACD crosses up, RSI is oversold, or price touches the lower Bollinger Band, provided price is above both the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200 EMA.
- A green “BUY” label appears below the bar, suggesting a potential entry.
- Sell Signals :
- This signal is generated when MACD crosses down, RSI is overbought, or price touches the upper Bollinger Band, and price is below the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200 EMA.
- A red “SELL” label is shown above the bar, indicating a potential exit.
Tips & Tricks
- Confirm Signals : Use multiple signals to confirm entries and exits. For example, if both the MACD and RSI align with the Ichimoku Cloud direction, the trade setup is stronger.
- Trend Directions : Only take buy signals if the price is above the 200 EMA, and sell signals if it is below, aligning trades with the overall trend.
- Adjust for Volatility : In high-volatility markets, especially in the crypto markets, pay close attention to the Bollinger Bands for breakout potential.
- Ichimoku as a Trend Guide : Use the Ichimoku Cloud as a guide for long-term support and resistance levels, especially for swing trades.
This multi-layered indicator gives a balanced blend of short-term signals and long-term trend insights, making it a versatile tool for day trading, swing trading, or even longer-term analysis.
Remember that indicators that will make you rich instantly don't exist. To expect minimum profit from them, you shouldn't trade all you have at the same time but only trade with the money you can afford to lose.
After that being said, I wish you traders luck with the Ultimate Multi Indicator!
Smart Ribbon V2 [FXSMARTLAB]The Smart Ribbon V2 indicator is designed to analyze market trends and momentum by plotting a series of moving averages with varying periods, all within a single overlay on the price chart. This approach creates a "ribbon" effect, enabling traders to visualize trend strength, reversals, and potential entry or exit points. The indicator provides flexibility through different moving average types, including some advanced ones like QUEMA (Quadruple Exponential Moving Average) and QuintEMA (Quintuple Exponential Moving Average). Each moving average is color-coded to indicate trend direction and momentum, making it visually intuitive and effective for quick decision-making in trend-following strategies.
The Smart Ribbon V2 helps traders:
Identify Trend Direction
Gauge Momentum
Spot Trend Reversals
Determine Entry and Exit Points
Detailed Explanation of QUEMA and QuintEMA
The QUEMA (Quadruple Exponential Moving Average) and QuintEMA (Quintuple Exponential Moving Average) are advanced smoothing techniques that build on traditional exponential moving averages (EMAs). Both offer higher sensitivity to recent price changes than standard EMAs by adding layers of exponential smoothing. These moving averages are particularly useful for traders looking for a more responsive indicator without the noise often present in shorter-period EMAs.
QUEMA (Quadruple Exponential Moving Average)
The QUEMA is calculated by applying the EMA calculation four times in succession. This method smooths out fluctuations in the price data, creating a balance between sensitivity to recent data and resistance to short-term noise.
The mathematical formula for QUEMA is:
QUEMA=4×EMA1−6×EMA2+4×EMA3−EMA4
This formula results in a moving average that is smoother than a triple EMA (TEMA) and provides a better response to price trends without excessive lag.
QuintEMA (Quintuple Exponential Moving Average)
The QuintEMA goes one step further by applying the EMA calculation five times in a row. This level of exponential smoothing is useful for identifying strong, persistent trends while remaining adaptive to recent price shifts.
The QuintEMA is calculated as :
QuintEMA=5×EMA1−10×EMA2+10×EMA3−5×EMA4+EMA5
The additional layer in QuintEMA further reduces the impact of short-term price fluctuations, making it especially useful in strongly trending markets.
The Smart Ribbon V2 combines the benefits of several moving average types to deliver a versatile tool for analyzing market trends, momentum, and potential reversals. With QUEMA and QuintEMA as advanced options, it allows traders to tailor the indicator to match their preferred trading style, whether it involves higher responsiveness or smoother trend visualization. This adaptability makes Smart Ribbon V2 a powerful choice for both novice and experienced traders seeking to improve their trend-following and market analysis strategies.
This is my first published indicator! If you like it, leave a comment, like, subscribe, or show your support. Based on your feedback and appreciation, I'll be happy to release more of my personal indicators in the future.
Linear Regression Channel UltimateKey Features and Benefits
Logarithmic scale option for improved analysis of long-term trends and volatile markets
Activity-based profiling using either touch count or volume data
Customizable channel width and number of profile fills
Adjustable number of most active levels displayed
Highly configurable visual settings for optimal chart readability
Why Logarithmic Scale Matters
The logarithmic scale option is a game-changer for analyzing assets with exponential growth or high volatility. Unlike linear scales, log scales represent percentage changes consistently across the price range. This allows for:
Better visualization of long-term trends
More accurate comparison of price movements across different price levels
Improved analysis of volatile assets or markets experiencing rapid growth
How It Works
The indicator calculates a linear regression line based on the specified period
Upper and lower channel lines are drawn at a customizable distance from the regression line
The space between the channel lines is divided into a user-defined number of levels
For each level, the indicator tracks either:
- The number of times price touches the level (touch count method)
- The total volume traded when price is at the level (volume method)
The most active levels are highlighted based on this activity data
Understanding Touch Count vs Volume
Touch count method: Useful for identifying key support/resistance levels based on price action alone
Volume method: Provides insight into levels where the most trading activity occurs, potentially indicating stronger support/resistance
Practical Applications
Trend identification and strength assessment
Support and resistance level discovery
Entry and exit point optimization
Volume profile analysis for improved market structure understanding
This Linear Regression Channel indicator combines powerful statistical analysis with flexible visualization options, making it an invaluable tool for traders and analysts across various timeframes and markets. Its unique features, especially the logarithmic scale and activity profiling, provide deeper insights into market behavior and potential turning points.
Advanced Klinger OscillatorAdvanced Klinger Oscillator
The Advanced Klinger Oscillator is an enhanced version of the traditional Klinger Oscillator, which measures the difference between two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of volume flow. This tool helps traders identify momentum shifts and potential trading opportunities.
Key Features:
Dual EMA Calculation: The oscillator calculates the difference between a short-term and a long-term EMA of volume flow, smoothing out price fluctuations for clearer trend analysis.
Signal Line: A signal line, which is an EMA of the Klinger Oscillator, generates buy and sell signals. A crossover above the signal line indicates a potential buy, while a crossover below suggests a sell.
Volume Confirmation: Signals are only generated when trading volume exceeds a specified threshold, ensuring that price movements are supported by sufficient market activity.
Trend Lines: Upper and lower trend lines are plotted above the oscillator, helping traders visualize momentum strength and identify bullish or bearish trends.
Background Color Coding: The indicator uses color changes in the background to indicate positive (green) and negative (red) momentum, allowing for quick assessment of market conditions.
Usage:
Traders can utilize the Advanced Klinger Oscillator to:
Identify entry and exit points based on oscillator and signal line crossovers.
Confirm trends by observing the relationship between the oscillator and its trend lines.
Make informed trading decisions by considering volume alongside price movements.
The Advanced Klinger Oscillator is a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit, combining price momentum, volume analysis, and visual cues for effective trading strategies.
Price ActionThis Pine Script code creates an indicator that plots price channels for volatility analysis:
The main parameter is the period length (default is 30), used to calculate volatility with ATR (Average True Range). Data retrieval: The indicator takes the closing price and uses it for calculations. Channel calculation: Based on volatility, three levels of channels are created: the first is the base channel, while the second and third are expanded by 8% and 16%.
First-level channels: The upper and lower boundaries of the channel are calculated based on volatility. This uses the previous bar's closing price, adjusted by a volatility coefficient.
Second and third-level channels: These channels expand by 8% and 16%, respectively, from the base channel. This creates zones that can indicate increasing or decreasing market volatility.
Each channel uses different colors and transparency levels:
The upper and lower boundaries of the first channel have solid colors.
The second channel boundaries are more transparent to denote extended levels.
The third channel boundaries are also transparent, indicating the widest range of deviation.
Visualization: Channels are displayed with different colors and transparency levels to illustrate price ranges and volatility changes.
Purpose: The indicator helps traders visualize price ranges and assess market volatility, which is useful for making trading decisions.
Practical application: This indicator assists traders in evaluating market volatility and building trading strategies based on price ranges. The extended channels can be used to identify potential reversal or trend continuation zones.
Daily Volatility Limit Channel
Hello, this is the simplest yet most powerful tool I have discovered regarding volatility. Using the ATR17 value based on a 4-hour timeframe, this tool displays the most significant volatility thresholds for the day, clearly showing when strong trends occur as these boundaries are breached. Once a boundary is crossed, the price of Bitcoin (as well as other actively traded asset classes like stocks and futures) tends to continue moving in the direction of the breakout. If the price reaches a boundary but fails to break through, this point often becomes the lowest point of pullback or correction, effectively serving as a pivot point and the optimal entry for buying.
The indicator features color and arrow options, enhancing your trading experience. The arrows appear below the candles when the trend changes to an upward impulse and above the candles when it shifts to a downward impulse. This visual aid allows traders to quickly identify trend reversals and make informed decisions.
In summary, this tool effectively highlights volatility limits and trend reversals, making it a valuable asset for any trader looking to navigate the market efficiently.
This indicator is recommended for use on 2-hour or 4-hour candlestick charts. These timeframes allow for clearer visualization of volatility and help effectively identify strong trends and volatility boundaries.
안녕하세요. 이것은 변동성에 관해 제가 발견한 것 중 가장 심플하고도 강력한 툴입니다. 4시간 기준의 ATR17값을 사용한 이 툴은 당일의 가장 강력한 변동성 한계점을 보여주며, 이 변동성 경계가 돌파될 때 강한 추세가 일어나는 것을 명확히 보여줍니다. 한 번 경계가 돌파되면 비트코인 가격(그리고 주식, 선물 등 다른 대부분의 모든 가격을 가지고 활발하게 거래되는 자산군)은 해당 돌파 쪽의 트렌드로 계속 움직이는 경향이 있습니다. 만약 가격이 경계에 도달한 채로 이 경계를 돌파하지 못할 때는 이 자리가 눌림과 조정의 최저점, 즉 피봇 포인트가 되어 매수의 최적 지점이 되는 것을 보실 수 있습니다.
지표에는 컬러 옵션과 화살표 옵션이 있어 거래 경험을 향상시킵니다. 트렌드가 상승 임펄스로 변경될 때 화살표가 캔들 아래에 나타나고, 하락 임펄스로 변경될 때는 캔들 위에 나타납니다. 이 시각적 도구는 트렌드 반전을 빠르게 식별할 수 있도록 도와주어, 거래자들이 정보에 기반한 결정을 내리는 데 유용합니다.
요약하자면, 이 툴은 변동성 한계와 트렌드 반전을 효과적으로 강조하여, 시장을 효율적으로 탐색하려는 모든 거래자에게 가치 있는 자산이 될 것입니다.
이 지표는 2시간 또는 4시간 캔들 차트에서 사용하는 것이 권장됩니다. 이러한 시간대는 지표의 변동성을 보다 명확하게 시각화하며, 강한 추세와 변동성 한계점을 효과적으로 식별하는 데 도움을 줍니다.
Alpine Predictive BandsAlpine Predictive Bands - ADX & Trend Projection is an advanced indicator crafted to estimate potential price zones and trend strength by integrating dynamic support/resistance bands, ADX-based confidence scoring, and linear regression-based price projections. Designed for adaptive trend analysis, this tool combines multi-timeframe ADX insights, volume metrics, and trend alignment for improved confidence in trend direction and reliability.
Key Calculations and Components:
Linear Regression for Price Projection:
Purpose: Provides a trend-based projection line to illustrate potential price direction.
Calculation: The Linear Regression Centerline (LRC) is calculated over a user-defined lookbackPeriod. The slope, representing the rate of price movement, is extended forward using predictionLength. This projected path only appears when the confidence score is 70% or higher, revealing a white dotted line to highlight high-confidence trends.
Adaptive Prediction Bands:
Purpose: ATR-based bands offer dynamic support/resistance zones by adjusting to volatility.
Calculation: Bands are calculated using the Average True Range (ATR) over the lookbackPeriod, multiplied by a volatilityMultiplier to adjust the width. These shaded bands expand during higher volatility, guiding traders in identifying flexible support/resistance zones.
Confidence Score (ADX, Volume, and Trend Alignment):
Purpose: Reflects the reliability of trend projections by combining ADX, volume status, and EMA alignment across multiple timeframes.
ADX Component: ADX values from the current timeframe and two higher timeframes assess trend strength on a broader scale. Strong ADX readings across timeframes boost the confidence score.
Volume Component: Volume strength is marked as “High” or “Low” based on a moving average, signaling trend participation.
Trend Alignment: EMA alignment across timeframes indicates “Bullish” or “Bearish” trends, confirming overall trend direction.
Calculation: ADX, volume, and trend alignment integrate to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%. When the score exceeds 70%, the white projection line is activated, underscoring high-confidence trend continuations.
User Guide
Projection Line: The white dotted line, which appears only when the confidence score is 70% or higher, highlights a high-confidence trend.
Prediction Bands: Adaptive bands provide potential support/resistance zones, expanding with market volatility to help traders visualize price ranges.
Confidence Score: A high score indicates a stronger, more reliable trend and can support trend-following strategies.
Settings
Prediction Length: Determines the forward length of the projection.
Lookback Period: Sets the data range for calculating regression and ATR.
Volatility Multiplier: Adjusts the width of bands to match volatility levels.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes and does not guarantee future price outcomes. Additional analysis is recommended, as trading carries inherent risks.
Up/Down Volume with Normal DistributionThis indicator analyzes the relationship between price movements and trading volume by distinguishing between "up" and "down" volume. Up volume refers to trading volume occurring during price increases, while down volume refers to trading volume during price decreases. The indicator calculates the mean and standard deviation for both up and down volume over a specified length. This statistical approach enables traders to visualize volume deviations from the average, highlighting potential market anomalies that could signal trading opportunities.
Relationship Between Price and Volume
Volume is a critical metric in technical analysis, often considered a leading indicator of price movements. According to studies in financial economics, significant price changes accompanied by high volume tend to indicate strong market conviction (Wyart et al., 2008). Conversely, price changes on low volume may suggest a lack of interest or conviction, making those moves less reliable.
The relationship between price and volume can be summarized as follows:
Confirmation of Trends: High volume accompanying a price increase often confirms an upward trend. Similarly, high volume during price declines indicates bearish sentiment.
Reversals and Exhaustion: Decreases in volume during price increases may suggest a potential reversal or exhaustion of buying pressure, while increased volume during declines can indicate capitulation.
Breakouts: Price movements that break through significant resistance or support levels accompanied by high volume are typically more significant and suggest stronger follow-through in the new direction.
Developing a Trading Strategy
Traders can leverage the insights gained from this relationship to formulate a trading strategy based on volume analysis:
Entry Signals: Traders can enter long positions when the up volume significantly exceeds the mean by a predefined number of standard deviations. This situation indicates strong buying interest. Conversely, short positions can be initiated when down volume exceeds the mean by a specified standard deviation.
Exit Signals: Exiting positions can be based on changes in volume patterns. If the volume starts to decrease significantly after a price increase, this may signal a potential reversal or the need to lock in profits.
Risk Management: Integrating volume analysis with other technical indicators, such as moving averages or RSI, can provide a more comprehensive risk management framework, enhancing the overall effectiveness of the strategy.
In conclusion, understanding the relationship between price and volume, alongside employing statistical measures like the mean and standard deviation, enables traders to create more robust trading strategies that capitalize on market movements.
References
Wyart, M., Bouchaud, J.-P., & Dacorogna, M. (2008). "Self-organized volatility in a complicated market." European Physical Journal B, 61(2), 195-203. doi:10.1140
Rolling ATR Bands | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing the Rolling ATR Bands indicator! This indicator overlays adaptive bands around the price, using the Average True Range (ATR) to define dynamic support and resistance levels. The Rolling ATR Bands are color-coded to visually indicate potential trend strength, shifting between bearish, neutral, and bullish colors. This tool can help traders interpret price volatility, as well as identify probable trend changes, continuations, or reversals. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK ?" section.
Features of the new Rolling ATR Bands:
ATR Bands With Customizable ATR Length & Multiplier
Smooth Trend Strength With Adjustable Smoothing Options
Color-coded bands Representing Bearish, Neutral, or Bullish Trends
Alerts for Retests & Breaks
Customizable Visuals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK?
The Rolling ATR Bands indicator calculates the ATR based on the specified length and multiplier to form upper and lower bands around the price. These bands adapt with market volatility, widening during high volatility and contracting during lower volatility periods.
In addition, the indicator calculates a "trend strength" score by combining an interpolated RSI, Supertrend, and EMA crossover. This score is smoothed with a customizable length, and a color gradient is applied to visually denote the strength of bearish, neutral, or bullish conditions.
Here's how to interpret the bands:
Upper Band: Acts as dynamic resistance; when price approaches or touches it, this often suggests potential overbought conditions.
Lower Band: Acts as dynamic support; touching or nearing this band might indicate potential oversold conditions.
Color Shifts: Color changes indicate shifts in trend direction. For example, a green color suggests a bullish trend, while red hints at bearish tendencies.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
What sets the Rolling ATR Bands apart is the combined use of interpolated RSI, Supertrend, and EMA cross values, creating a weighted trend strength score. This integration allows for nuanced, color-coded visual cues that respond quickly to trend changes without excessive noise, offering traders an intuitive view of both trend direction and potential momentum. You can also set up alerts for retest & alerts for upper and lower bands to get informed of potential movements.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
ATR Length : Controls the ATR calculation length for the bands.
Smoothing: Adjusts the trend strength smoothing to control sensitivity to trend changes.
ATR Multiplier : Sets the width of the bands by multiplying the ATR value.
Trend Smoothing : Higher settings will result in longer periods of time required for trend to change direction from bullish to bearish and vice versa.
RSI - EMA - WMA ( Phat-Truong )Indicator: RSI ( EMA - WMA )
This indicator, named "RSI ( EMA - WMA )", is a versatile tool designed to provide insights into market momentum and trend strength by combining multiple technical indicators.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used to measure the speed and change of price movements. In this indicator, RSI is plotted alongside its Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Weighted Moving Average (WMA). EMA and WMA are smoothing techniques applied to RSI to help identify trends more clearly.
Key features of this indicator include:
RSI: The main RSI line is plotted on the chart, offering insights into overbought and oversold conditions.
EMA of RSI: The Exponential Moving Average of RSI smooths out short-term fluctuations, aiding in trend identification.
WMA of RSI: The Weighted Moving Average of RSI gives more weight to recent data points, providing a faster response to price changes.
Additionally, this indicator marks specific RSI levels considered as bullish and bearish trends, helping traders identify potential entry or exit points based on market sentiment.
By combining these technical indicators, traders can gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics, helping them make more informed trading decisions.
Percent Trend Change [BigBeluga]The Percent Trend Change indicator is a trend-following tool that provides real-time percentage changes during trends based on entry prices. Using John Ehlers’ Ultimate Smoother filter, it detects trend direction, identifies uptrends and downtrends, and tracks percentage changes during the trend. Additionally, it has a channel that can be toggled on or off, and the width can be customized, adding an extra visual layer to assess trend strength and direction.
NIFTY50:
META:
🔵 IDEA
The Percent Trend Change indicator helps traders visualize the progression of a trend with percentage changes from entry points. It identifies trends and marks percentage changes during the trend, making it easier to assess the strength and sustainability of the ongoing trend.
The use of John Ehlers' Ultimate Smoother filter helps detect trend changes based on consecutive price movements over five bars, making it highly responsive to short- and medium-term trends.
🔵 KEY FEATURES & USAGE
◉ Ultimate Smoother Filter for Trend Detection:
The trend is detected using the Ultimate Smoother filter. If the smoothed line rises five times in a row, the indicator identifies an uptrend. If it falls five times in a row, it identifies a downtrend.
◉ Trend Entry with Price Labels:
The indicator marks trend entry points with up (green) and down (red) triangles. These triangles are labeled with the entry price, allowing traders to track the starting price of the trend.
◉ Percentage Change Labels During Trends:
During a trend, the indicator periodically plots percentage change labels based on the bar period set in the settings.
In an uptrend, positive changes are marked in green, while negative changes are marked in orange. In a downtrend, negative changes are marked in red, while positive changes are marked in orange.
Each plotted percentage label also includes a count of the trend points, allowing traders to track how many times the percentage labels have been plotted during the current trend.
These percentage labels help traders understand how much the price has changed since the trend began and can be used to define potential take-profit targets.
◉ Channel Toggle and Width Customization:
The indicator includes a channel that visually highlights the trend. Traders can toggle this channel on or off, and the width of the channel can be adjusted to match individual preferences. The channel helps visualize the overall trend direction and the range within which price fluctuations occur.
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
Smoother Length: Adjusts the length of the Ultimate Smoother filter, affecting how responsive the indicator is to price fluctuations.
Bars Percent: Defines how many bars must pass before a new percentage label is plotted. A smaller value plots labels more frequently, while a higher value shows fewer labels.
Channel Width & Show Channel: The width of the channel can be customized, and traders can toggle the channel on or off depending on their preferences.
Color Customization: Traders can customize the colors for the uptrend, downtrend, and percentage labels, providing flexibility in how the indicator is displayed on the chart.
By combining trend-following capabilities with percentage change tracking, the Percent Trend Change indicator offers a powerful tool for identifying trend direction and setting potential take-profit targets. The ability to customize the channel and percentage labels makes it adaptable to various trading strategies.
Advanced VWAP [CryptoSea]The Advanced VWAP is a comprehensive volume-weighted average price (VWAP) tool designed to provide traders with a deeper understanding of market trends through multi-layered VWAP analysis. This indicator is ideal for those who want to track price movements in relation to VWAP bands and detect key market levels with greater precision.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe VWAP Bands: Includes multiple VWAP bands with different lookback periods (5, 10, 25, and 50), allowing traders to observe short-term and long-term price behavior.
Smoothed Band Options: Offers optional smoothing of VWAP bands to reduce noise and highlight significant trends more clearly.
Dynamic Median Line Display: Plots the median line of the VWAP bands, providing a reference for price movements and potential reversal zones.
VWAP Trend Strength Calculation: Measures the strength of the trend based on the price's position relative to the VWAP bands, normalized between -1 and 1 for easier interpretation.
In the example below we can see the VWAP Forecastd Cloud, which consists of multiple layers of VWAP bands with varying lookback periods, creating a dynamic forecast visualization. The cloud structure represents potential future price ranges by projecting VWAP-based bands outward, with darker areas indicating higher density and overlap of the bands, suggesting stronger support or resistance zones. This approach helps traders anticipate price movement and identify areas of potential consolidation or breakout as the price interacts with different layers of the forecast cloud.
How it Works
VWAP Calculation: Utilizes multiple VWAP calculations based on various lookback periods to capture a broad range of price behaviors. The indicator adapts to different market conditions by switching between short-term and long-term VWAP references.
Smoothing Algorithms: Provides the ability to smooth the VWAP bands using different moving average types (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA) to suit various trading strategies and reduce market noise.
Trend Strength Analysis: Computes the trend strength based on the price's distance from the VWAP bands, with a value range of -1 to 1. This feature helps traders identify the intensity of uptrends and downtrends.
Alert Conditions: Includes alert options for crossing above or below the smoothed median line, as well as touching the smoothed upper or lower bands, providing timely notifications for potential trading opportunities.
This image below illustrates the use of smoothed VWAP bands, which provide a cleaner representation of the price's relationship to the VWAP by reducing market noise. The smoothed bands create a flowing cloud-like structure, making it easier to observe significant trends and potential reversal points. The circles highlight areas where the price interacts with the smoothed bands, indicating potential key levels for trend continuation or reversal. This setup helps traders focus on meaningful movements and filter out minor fluctuations, improving the identification of strategic entry and exit points based on smoother trend signals.
Application
Strategic Entry and Exit Points: Helps traders identify optimal entry and exit points based on the interaction with VWAP bands and trend strength readings.
Trend Confirmation: Assists in confirming trend strength by analyzing price movements relative to the VWAP bands and detecting significant breaks or touches.
Customized Analysis: Supports a wide range of trading styles by offering adjustable smoothing, band settings, and alert conditions to meet specific trading needs.
The Advanced VWAP by is a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit, offering versatile features to navigate different market scenarios with confidence. Whether used for day trading or longer-term analysis, this tool enhances decision-making by providing a robust view of price behavior relative to VWAP levels.
Heikin Line - TB365Heikin Line - An Enhanced Smoothed Heiken Ashi Overlay
Built on the foundation of TheBacktestGuy’s Smoothed Heiken Ashi indicator, Heikin Line takes trend analysis to the next level with versatile enhancements and adaptable settings.
This indicator offers selectable moving averages both before and after Heiken Ashi (HA) calculation, adding an additional layer of smoothness to traditional HA candles.
Key Features:
Trend Identification: Detects short and long-term trend directions with greater clarity.
Dynamic Support and Resistance: Not limited to a single line, Heikin Line creates a dynamic support/resistance zone, offering a visual “height” that adjusts with market shifts.
Trailing Stop: Effective as a trailing stop for enhanced risk management.
Trend Reversal Detection: Quickly identifies potential reversals when price crosses above or below the Heiken Ashi candle.
Improvements:
Trend Strength Visualization: Uses a cord-like appearance to reflect trend strength, making it easier to spot strong or weak trends.
Quick Reversal Detection: Enhanced responsiveness to detect rapid market reversals.
Easy Integration: Seamlessly combines with other indicators for a comprehensive trading setup.
With numerous moving average options, Heikin Line is adjustable to suit various market conditions and trading styles. Additionally, it leverages my TAExt library, so you can use it within your own strategies for added versatility.
Flashtrader´s Statistical BandwidthsThe vast majority of traders exclusively concern
themselves with trend-following in all its facets. Scoring
points with trends on a regular basis is a difficult task
since prices do not constantly move in one direction
or another. In the case of the DAX future, for example,
only about 30 per cent of all trading days in a year are
trend days. And of these, there are x percent long ones
and x per cent short ones. Catching the very days when
prices rise or fall from the opening to the close is a major
challenge for a trader who also needs to have previously
recognised the corresponding direction.
However, there are also other ways of profit-taking
every day – for example, by using the mean reversion
strategy. The idea behind this is the fact that prices reach
a high and a low every day – but very rarely close at the
high or the low. This means that prices always move
away from these extreme points and the closing price is
somewhere in between. A profitable trading strategy can
be developed out of this.
But how can you know where the high and the low
will be tomorrow? Is it possible for you to know this in
advance? No – because no one can predict the future. Or
can they? At least it can be statistically determined how
high or low prices could go tomorrow. There is a high
degree of probability that one of the two possibilities
will materialise. It will then be necessary to act.
Calculation
Classic pivot points for the following day are calculated
from the high, low and closing price. But does it really
make sense to use such a mix? I don’t think so and
use a different calculation for this strategy. In a first step,
only the differences between the start and the high or low
are calculated on a daily basis. To avoid being dependent
on individual days and outliers, it is advisable to calculate,
in a second step, the average of these differences over
the past five days. Finally, this average will then be added
at the opening price of the current trading day for the
upper statistical bandwidth and subtracted for the lower
bandwidth.
upper bandwidth = oSTB (violet dashed line in the chart)
lower bandwidth = uSTB (violet dashedline in the chart)
The second interesting question is, if the previous day's high has been exceeded, how much further can the price rise from a mathematical/statistical point of view?
These calculated previous day highs expansions are shown as red dashed lines
Previous day's high expansion = VTHA
Previous day's low expansion = VTTA
For further orientation, the previous day's high (VTH) and the previous day's low (VTT) are shown in light blue dashed lines
And as a supplement, the previous day's close in the DAX Future at 10:00 p.m. VTSA in violet solid lines and the previous day's close in the cash register at 5:30 p.m. VTSN in yellow solid lines
Reaching the calculated extreme values does not mean that the trend has to change immediately, but there is at least temporary exhaustion potential with which you can earn a few points every day in the area of scalping.
Example for cheap entry long:
Example for cheap entry short:
Deutsch:
Die Masse der Trader beschäftigt sich ausschließlich mit Trendfolge in all ihren Facetten. Mit Trends regelmäßig zu punkten ist ein schwieriges Unterfangen, da die Kurse nicht ständig in die eine oder andere Richtung laufen. Beim DAX-Future zum Beispiel sind von allen Börsentagen im Jahr lediglich zirka 30 Prozent Trendtage. Davon sind dann auch noch x Prozent Long und x Prozent Short. Hier genau die Tage abzupassen, an denen die Kurse von Börsenbeginn bis zum Schluss steigen beziehungsweise fallen, ist eine große Herausforderung – wobei der Trader zuvor noch die entsprechende Richtung erkannt haben muss. Es gibt jedoch auch noch andere Methoden täglich Gewinne mitzunehmen, zum Beispiel mit der Mean-Reversion-Strategie (Mittelwertumkehr).
Hintergrund ist die Tatsache, dass die Kurse jeden Tag ein Hoch und ein Tief erreichen – aber sehr selten am Hoch oder am Tief schließen. Das bedeutet, dass die Preise sich immer wie der von diesen Extrempunkten wegbewegen und der Schlusskurs irgendwo dazwischen liegt. Hieraus lässt sich eine profitable Handelsstrategie entwickeln. Aber woher kannst Du wissen, wo morgen das Hoch und das Tief sein wird? Kannst Du das vorher schon wissen? Nein – denn niemand kann die Zukunft vorhersagen. Oder doch? Statistisch lässt sich zumindest bestimmen, wie hoch und wie tief die Kurse morgen steigen oder fallen könnten. Eine Seite wird mit sehr hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit ein treffen. Dann gilt es zu handeln.
Berechnung Klassischer Pivot-Punkte für den folgenden Tag werden aus Hoch, Tief und Schlusskurs berechnet. Aber ist es wirklich sinnvoll, einen solchen Mix zu verwenden? Ich finde das nicht und verwenden für diese Strategie eine andere Berechnung. Im ersten Schritt werden täglich die Differenzen nur vom Start bis zum Hoch beziehungsweise Tief errechnet. Um nicht von einzelnen Tagen und Ausreißern abhängig zu sein, empfiehlt es sich, in einem zweiten Schritt den Durchschnitt dieser Differenzen über die letzten fünf Tage zu errechnen. Zuletzt wird dann dieser Durchschnitt zum Eröffnungskurs des aktuellen Handelstages für die obere statistische Bandbreite addiert und für die untere Bandbreite subtrahiert.
Obere statistische Bandbreite = oSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Untere statistische Bandbreite = uSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Die zweite interessante Frage ist, wenn das Vortageshoch überschritten wurde, wie weit kann der Kurs dann noch steigen aus mathematisch/statistischer Sicht?
Diese berechneten Vortagesextremausdehnungen sind als rote gestrichelte Linien dargestellt
Vortageshochausdehnung = VTHA
Vortagestiefausdehnung = VTTA
Für die weitere Orientierung sind die Vortageshochs (VTH) und die Vortagestiefs (VTT) als hellblaue gestrichelte Linien abgebildet.
Als Ergänzung wird noch der Vortages Schluss im Dax Future um 22:00 Uhr VTSA mit einer violetten durchgezogenen Linie und der Kassamarktschluss um 17:30 Uhr mit einer gelben durchgezogenen Linie gezeigt.
Das Erreichen der berechneten Extremwerte bedeutet nicht, das der Trend sofort drehen muss, aber es sind zumindest temporäre Erschöpfungspotentiale mit denen sich im Bereich scalping täglich einige Punkte verdienen lassen.
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Long:
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Short:
Harmony Signal Flow By ArunThis Pine Script strategy, titled "Harmony Signal Flow By Arun," uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator to generate buy and sell signals based on custom thresholds. The script incorporates stop-loss and target management and restricts new trades until the previous position closes. Here's a detailed description:
Custom RSI Metric:
The strategy calculates a 5-period RSI based on the closing price, aiming for a more responsive measure of price momentum.
RSI thresholds are defined:
Lower threshold (30): Indicates oversold conditions, triggering a potential buy.
Upper threshold (70): Indicates overbought conditions, prompting a possible sell.
Entry Conditions:
Buy Signal: The strategy initiates a buy order when the RSI crosses above the lower threshold (30), indicating a shift from oversold conditions.
Sell Signal: A sell order is triggered when the RSI crosses below the upper threshold (70), suggesting an overbought reversal.
Only one order (buy or sell) can be active at a time, ensuring that a new trade begins only when there’s no existing position.
Stop-Loss and Target Management:
For each trade, stop-loss and target conditions are applied to manage risk and secure profits.
For Buy Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points below the entry price.
Target is set 150 points above the entry price.
For Sell Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points above the entry price.
Target is 150 points below the entry price.
The strategy closes the trade when either the stop-loss or target is met, marking the trade as "closed" and allowing a new trade entry.
Trade Sequencing:
A new trade (buy or sell) is only permitted after the previous position hits either its stop-loss or target, preventing overlapping trades and ensuring clear trade sequences.
This sequential approach enhances risk management by ensuring only one active position at any time.
End-of-Day Closure:
All open positions are closed automatically at 3:25 PM (Indian market time) to avoid overnight exposure, ensuring the strategy remains strictly intraday.
The flag for trade entry is reset at the end of each day, enabling fresh trades the next day.
Chart Indicators:
The script plots buy and sell signals directly on the chart with visible labels.
It also displays the custom RSI metric with horizontal lines for the lower and upper thresholds, providing visual cues for entry and exit points.
Summary
This strategy is a momentum-based intraday trading approach that uses the RSI for identifying potential reversals and manages trades through predefined stop-loss and target levels. By enforcing trade sequencing and closing positions at the end of the trading day, it prioritizes risk management and seeks to capitalize on short-term trends while avoiding overnight market risks.
Smart Money Concepts IndicatorBEST ICT AND SMC INDICATOR
The **Smart Money Concepts Indicator** is designed to enhance trading decisions by incorporating key principles from Smart Money Concepts (SMC), focusing on the detection of market structure changes, liquidity zones, order flow, and order blocks. This indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to understand market dynamics and make informed trading decisions based on advanced market analysis.
#### Key Features:
1. **Break of Structure (BOS)**:
- Identifies upward and downward breaks in market structure, indicating potential trend reversals.
- Visual markers on the chart help traders spot these critical levels.
2. **Change of Character (CHOCH)**:
- Detects significant changes in market direction, highlighting potential shifts in momentum.
- Clearly labeled signals indicate when the market may be changing its character.
3. **Order Blocks**:
- Highlights order blocks, which are key areas where significant buying or selling has occurred.
- Provides visual cues for potential support and resistance zones.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- Marks liquidity zones, indicating areas where buy-side or sell-side liquidity may be targeted.
- Helps traders understand where the market might draw liquidity.
5. **Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss Levels**:
- Calculates and plots take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels based on the Average True Range (ATR) for adaptive risk management.
- Customizable multipliers allow traders to adjust levels based on their risk tolerance.
6. **Order Flow Analysis**:
- Displays bullish and bearish order flow signals based on candle close relative to open.
- Provides insights into market sentiment and potential future price action.
#### How to Use:
- **Identifying Entry and Exit Points**: Use BOS and CHOCH signals to find potential entry points, while leveraging TP and SL levels for risk management.
- **Market Analysis**: Analyze order blocks and liquidity zones to make informed decisions on market behavior.
- **Visual Confirmation**: The clear visual cues provided by the indicator make it easier to interpret market movements and align trades with institutional behavior.
#### Conclusion:
The Smart Money Concepts Indicator is an invaluable tool for traders looking to enhance their understanding of market structure and make more informed trading decisions. By integrating advanced concepts like BOS, CHOCH, and liquidity analysis, this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with greater confidence.
[ETH] Optimized Trend Strategy - Lorenzo SuperScalpStrategy Title: Optimized Trend Strategy - Lorenzo SuperScalp
Description:
The Optimized Trend Strategy is a comprehensive trading system tailored for Ethereum (ETH) and optimized for the 15-minute timeframe but adaptable to various timeframes. This strategy utilizes a combination of technical indicators—RSI, Bollinger Bands, and MACD—to identify and act on price trends efficiently, providing traders with actionable buy and sell signals based on market conditions.
Key Features:
Multi-Indicator Approach:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Identifies overbought and oversold conditions to time market entries and exits.
Bollinger Bands: Acts as a dynamic support and resistance level, helping to pinpoint precise entry and exit zones.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Detects momentum changes through bullish and bearish crossovers.
Signal Conditions:
Buy Signal:
RSI is below 45 (indicating an oversold condition).
Price is near or below the lower Bollinger Band.
MACD bullish crossover occurs.
Sell Signal:
RSI is above 55 (indicating an overbought condition).
Price is near or above the upper Bollinger Band.
MACD bearish crossunder occurs.
Trade Execution Logic:
Long Trades: Opened when a buy signal flashes. If there’s an open short position, it is closed before opening a long.
Short Trades: Opened when a sell signal flashes. If there’s an open long position, it is closed before opening a short.
The strategy also ensures a minimum number of bars between consecutive trades to avoid rapid trading in choppy conditions.
Pyramiding Support:
Up to 3 consecutive trades in the same direction are allowed, enabling traders to scale into positions based on strong signals.
Visual Indicators:
RSI Levels: Dotted lines at 45 and 55 for quick reference to oversold and overbought levels.
Buy and Sell Signals: Visual markers on the chart indicate where trades are executed, ensuring clarity on entry and exit points.
Best Used For:
Swing Trading & Scalping: While optimized for the 15-minute timeframe, this strategy works across various timeframes, making it suitable for both short-term scalping and swing trading.
Crypto Trading: Tailored for Ethereum but effective for other cryptocurrencies due to its dynamic indicator setup.
Night Low Liquidity Congestions with 4 Trading SessionsThis indicator is designed to help traders visualize and analyze key market periods of low liquidity during the night and identify high-activity zones in the morning. It also includes customizable time sessions for major global markets, including the European and American sessions, as well as the London Close session.
T he main functionalities include:
- Night Low Liquidity Phase: This highlights periods with typically low market activity during the night (default: 20:01–5:59). It also displays the total range (in pips) during this phase, allowing traders to identify potential price consolidations.
- Morning Hot Zone: This focuses on high-activity periods in the early morning (default: 6:00–7:59), providing visual cues without altering bar colors.
- European Trading Session: Displays the European market’s open hours (default: 8:00–12:00), shaded in blue, to mark increased volatility typically seen during this period.
- American Trading Session: Marks the active hours of the U.S. market (default: 12:01–16:59), where market activity tends to peak.
- London Close Area: Highlights the closing hours of the London market (default: 17:00–20:00), allowing traders to track potential liquidity shifts.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Time Sessions:
- The indicator allows for full customization of the start and end times for each market session, making it adaptable to different instruments and trading style.
- Traders can choose their preferred color and opacity for each time zone to suit their charting preferences.
2. Night Low Liquidity Pip Range Calculation:
- Automatically calculates and displays the pip range for the Night Low Liquidity phase.
- The range is colored red if it exceeds the specified threshold and green if it remains below it.
3. Alarm System:
- Customizable alerts for H1, M15, and M5 timeframes.
- Traders can set alerts to trigger just before a bar closes during specific sessions (European, American, or London Close) and on selected days of the week (Monday–Friday).
- The alarm system allows for full customization of active hours and days, giving traders full control over their notifications.
4. Clear Visual Cues:
- The indicator uses transparent shading to differentiate market sessions, making it easy to spot different phases of the trading day.
- Each session is visually distinct and can be toggled on or off based on trader preferences.
Ideal For:
- Traders who focus on intraday strategies and want to understand how market sessions affect liquidity and volatility.
- Those looking to trade during specific time windows like the Night Low Liquidity or Morning Hot Zones.
- Traders who need to automate their alerts based on specific market hours and close events for major timeframes.
SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves[FibonacciFlux]SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves
Overview
The SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves script is designed for traders who seek to blend simplicity with complexity in their trading strategies. By leveraging multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) weighted by Fibonacci numbers, this indicator provides a nuanced view of price action, allowing traders to capture essential market dynamics while filtering out unnecessary noise.
Key Features
1. Multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMA)
- The indicator employs a series of SMAs to represent both short-term and long-term trends, providing a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
- Each SMA helps identify critical price levels that serve as support and resistance, particularly the purple Fibonacci SMA, which can be pivotal for limit entries. Traders positioned at this level can initiate stop-loss hunts at the institutional level, potentially achieving risk-reward ratios exceeding 30.
2. Fibonacci Weighting
- By applying Fibonacci principles to the SMAs, the indicator enhances adaptability to market conditions.
- This unique approach allows traders to pinpoint significant support and resistance levels within Fibonacci layers, enabling them to anticipate market movements effectively.
3. Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels
- The SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves indicator identifies key price levels that act as support and resistance based on Fibonacci layers.
- For instance, on the hourly chart, these levels function as reliable zones for traders to watch for potential reversals, while on the 15-minute chart, a consolidation within the rainbow pocket followed by expansion can signal lucrative trading opportunities.
4. Visual Clarity with Color Coding
- Each SMA is assigned a distinct color, making it easy to differentiate between the various levels on the chart.
- Fills between SMAs visually represent zones of confluence, enhancing the analysis of potential trading opportunities.
Signal Generation and Alerts
- The indicator generates buy and sell signals based on the interactions of the SMAs, providing clear entry and exit points.
- Customizable alerts notify traders of significant market changes, allowing for timely reactions to evolving conditions.
Benefits
1. Simplified Trading Approach
- Traders can focus on significant market trends without distraction, enhancing decision-making efficiency and reducing emotional trading.
2. Flexibility Across Timeframes
- The indicator operates effectively across multiple timeframes, allowing traders to apply its principles in various scenarios, from scalping to longer-term strategies.
3. Enhanced Market Insights
- The combination of multiple SMAs and Fibonacci weighting offers a comprehensive view of market trends, helping traders identify lucrative opportunities that may be overlooked.
4. Bridging Simplicity and Complexity
- This indicator elegantly addresses the contradictions in trading psychology, allowing traders to maintain clarity while navigating complex market dynamics.
Conclusion
The SMA Fibonacci Rainbow Waves script is an essential tool for traders seeking to streamline their analysis while effectively capturing market movements. By integrating Fibonacci principles with multiple SMAs, this indicator empowers traders to follow trends confidently. Its design makes it invaluable for both novice and experienced traders, revealing entry points often missed by traditional indicators.
Open Source Collaboration
This script is available as an open-source project on TradingView, inviting contributions from the global trading community to enhance its functionality. Collaboration ensures it remains a valuable resource for market participants.
Important Note
As with any trading tool, thorough analysis and risk management are crucial when using this indicator. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and traders should always prepare for potential market fluctuations.
Keltner Channel Strategy by Kevin DaveyKeltner Channel Strategy Description
The Keltner Channel Strategy is a volatility-based trading approach that uses the Keltner Channel, a technical indicator derived from the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Average True Range (ATR). The strategy helps identify potential breakout or mean-reversion opportunities in the market by plotting upper and lower bands around a central EMA, with the channel width determined by a multiplier of the ATR.
Components:
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
The EMA smooths price data by placing greater weight on recent prices, allowing traders to track the market’s underlying trend more effectively than a simple moving average (SMA). In this strategy, a 20-period EMA is used as the midline of the Keltner Channel.
2. Average True Range (ATR):
The ATR measures market volatility over a 14-period lookback. By calculating the average of the true ranges (the greatest of the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, or the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close), the ATR captures how much an asset typically moves over a given period.
3. Keltner Channel:
The upper and lower boundaries are set by adding or subtracting 1.5 times the ATR from the EMA. These boundaries create a dynamic range that adjusts with market volatility.
Trading Logic:
• Long Entry Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the closing price falls below the lower Keltner Channel, indicating a potential buying opportunity at a support level.
• Short Entry Condition: The strategy enters a short position when the closing price exceeds the upper Keltner Channel, signaling a potential selling opportunity at a resistance level.
The strategy plots the upper and lower Keltner Channels and the EMA on the chart, providing a visual representation of support and resistance levels based on market volatility.
Scientific Support for Volatility-Based Strategies:
The use of volatility-based indicators like the Keltner Channel is supported by numerous studies on price momentum and volatility trading. Research has shown that breakout strategies, particularly those leveraging volatility bands such as the Keltner Channel or Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing trends and reversals in both trending and mean-reverting markets  .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is a highly respected algorithmic trader, author, and educator, known for his systematic approach to building and optimizing trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience in the markets, Davey has earned a reputation as an expert in quantitative and rule-based trading. He is particularly well-known for winning several World Cup Trading Championships, where he consistently demonstrated high returns with low risk.
