Leonid's Bitcoin Sharpe RatioThe Sharpe ratio is an old formula used to value the risk-adjusted return of an asset. It was developed by Nobel Laureate William F. Sharpe. In this case, I have applied it to Bitcoin with an adjustable look-back date.
The Sharpe Ratio shows you the average return earned after subtracting out the risk-free rate per unit of volatility (I've defaulted this to 0.02 ).
Volatility is a measure of the price fluctuations of an asset or portfolio. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows you to understand what the extra returns are for taking the risk.
If the indicator is flashing red, Bitcoin is temporarily overbought (expensive).
If the indicator is flashing green, Bitcoin is temporarily oversold (cheap).
The goal of this indicator is to signal out local tops & bottoms. It can be adjusted as far as the lookback time but I have found 25-26 days to be ideal.
Bitcoin-btcusd
Wall Street Cheat Sheet IndicatorThe Wall Street Cheat Sheet Indicator is a unique tool designed to help traders identify the psychological stages of the market cycle based on the well-known Wall Street Cheat Sheet. This indicator integrates moving averages and RSI to dynamically label market stages, providing clear visual cues on the chart.
Key Features:
Dynamic Stage Identification: The indicator automatically detects and labels market stages such as Disbelief, Hope, Optimism, Belief, Thrill, Euphoria, Complacency, Anxiety, Denial, Panic, Capitulation, Anger, and Depression. These stages are derived from the emotional phases of market participants, helping traders anticipate market movements.
Technical Indicators: The script uses two key technical indicators:
200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): Helps identify long-term market trends.
50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): Aids in recognizing medium-term trends.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Assesses the momentum and potential reversal points based on overbought and oversold conditions.
Clear Visual Labels: The current market stage is displayed directly on the chart, making it easy to spot trends and potential turning points.
Usefulness:
This indicator is not just a simple mashup of existing tools. It uniquely combines the concept of market psychology with practical technical analysis tools (moving averages and RSI). By labeling the psychological stages of the market cycle, it provides traders with a deeper understanding of market sentiment and potential future movements.
How It Works:
Disbelief: Detected when the price is below the 200-day SMA and RSI is in the oversold territory, indicating a potential bottom.
Hope: Triggered when the price crosses above the 50-day SMA, with RSI starting to rise but still below 50, suggesting an early uptrend.
Optimism: Occurs when the price is above the 50-day SMA and RSI is between 50 and 70, indicating a strengthening trend.
Belief: When the price is well above the 50-day SMA and RSI is between 70 and 80, showing strong bullish momentum.
Thrill and Euphoria: Identified when RSI exceeds 80, indicating overbought conditions and potential for a peak.
Complacency to Depression: These stages are identified based on price corrections and drops relative to moving averages and declining RSI values.
Best Practices:
High-Time Frame Focus: This indicator works best on high-time frame charts, specifically the 1-week Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) chart. The longer time frame provides a clearer picture of the overall market cycle and reduces noise.
Trend Confirmation: Use in conjunction with other technical analysis tools such as trendlines, Fibonacci retracement levels, and support/resistance zones for more robust trading strategies.
How to Use:
Add the Indicator: Apply the Wall Street Cheat Sheet Indicator to your TradingView chart.
Analyze Market Stages: Observe the dynamic labels indicating the current stage of the market cycle.
Make Informed Decisions: Use the insights from the indicator to time your entries and exits, aligning your trades with the market sentiment.
This indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to understand market psychology and make informed trading decisions based on the stages of the market cycle.
Extreme Reversal SignalThe Extreme Reversal Signal is designed to signal potential pivot points when the price of an asset becomes extremely overbought or oversold. Extreme conditions typically signal a brief or extensive price reversal, offering valuable entry or exit points. It's important to note that this indicator may produce multiple signals, making it essential to corroborate these signals with other forms of analysis to determine their validity. While the default settings provide valuable insights, it might be beneficial to experiment with different configurations to ensure the indicator's efficacy.
Two primary conditions define extremely overbought and oversold states. The first condition is that the price must deviate by two standard deviations from the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The second condition is that the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic Oscillator (STO) derived from the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above or below the upper or lower limit.
Oversold states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI falls below the lower limit, suggesting a buy signal. These are visually represented by green triangles below the price bars. Overbought states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI rises above the upper limit, suggesting a sell signal. These are visually represented by red triangles above the price bars. It's also possible to set up automated alerts to get notifications when either of these two conditions is met to avoid missing out.
While this indicator has traditionally identified overbought and oversold conditions in various different assets, past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is advisable to supplement this indicator with other technical tools. For instance, trend indicators can greatly improve the decision-making process when planning for entries and exit points.
BTC Twitter SentimentBTC Twitter Sentiment - shows the total numbers of all negative, neutral and positive Bitcoin related tweets.
On default settings, the tweets are plotted in red (negative) white (neutral) as well as green (positive). The three charts are stacked so the total number of tweets is easily discernible.
Furthermore, there's an optional smoothing setting in the options.
The Twitter Sentiment data is provided daily by IntoTheBlock; Since data is only updated once a day the graph might look chunky on lower timeframes, even with smoothing.
BTC Hashrate ribbonsBTC Hash Rate ribbons / Hash Rate cross
This strategy goes long when BTCs Hash Rate 30 day moving average crosses above the 60 day moving average, signifying that miner capitulation is over and recovery has started.
When the opposite signal is given, which signifies the beginning of miner capitulation, the strategy goes short (or flat, depending on configuration). This is generally considered the most popular Hash Rate related strategy.
The strategy is based on this medium article: medium.com
Thanks to the recent integration of IntoTheBlock data into Tradingview, we can now effortlessly show Hash Rate data on our chart,
keep in mind however, that IntoTheBlock doesn't provide Hash Rate data on timeframes below daily, so this strategy is based used on the daily, weekly or even monthly time frames.
Hash Rate definition:
The Bitcoin hash rate is the number of times per second that computers on the Bitcoin network are hashing data to verify transactions and perform the encryption that secures the network. The hash rate is an indicator of how healthy the Bitcoin network is at any given time, and is driven primarily by difficulty mining and the number of miners. Generally, a high hash rate is considered a good thing.
More precisely, the Bitcoin hash rate is the number of times per second that computers on the Bitcoin network are hashing data to verify transactions and perform the encryption that secures the network.
Rate Of Change Trend Strategy (ROC)This is very simple trend following or momentum strategy. If the price change over the past number of bars is positive, we buy. If the price change over the past number of bars is negative, we sell. This is surprisingly robust, simple, and effective especially on trendy markets such as cryptos.
Works for many markets such as:
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
SP:SPX
NASDAQ:NDX
NASDAQ:TSLA
Lev Umanov Sin EquationThis indicator is taken from the calculations made by Lev Umanov. It predicts the peaks of Bitcoin. The indicator works with most BTCUSD pairings.
60-Day Accumulated Increasing RateIs this Bitcoin bull run still driven by new investors and new funds? Definitely. That’s why the 60-day accumulative increasing rate is so important and it can even determine everything. The only thing that can be trusted is the math. In history, each capital inflow uptrend bull run has ended once the 60-day accumulative increasing rate reached a high level and when the short-term euphoric investors push BTC price to rise at a fast speed and use up all kinds of leverages. At that point, there’s no time for new investors and new funds to flow in, thus the cryptocurrency market will crash from the global top.
In that sense, the crashes on 4th September, 2017 and 19th May, 2021 didn’t end the bull run, instead,they lengthened the bull run span.The last bull run cycle (2017) might have ended prematurely when BTC reached $10,000, recording 150% accumulated increase over 60 days. Then BTC won’t be pumped up to $20,000 if the course wasn’t interrupted by September 4th, 2017 incident.
Technical analysts(they are far from trustworthy, full of bollocks) call the correction of BTC: “consolidation or wipeout”, just like that diabetes is called as Liver Qi Stagnation, weight lossing, being thirsty and other symptoms. It’s quite fun to watch so many people explaining it in a false concept. Everyone knows what the maths is. That’s enough.
PS: This indicator can only be applied to Bitcoin daily chart!
Optimized Keltner Channels SL/TP Strategy for BTCThis strategy is optimized for Bitcoin with the Keltner Channel Strategy, which is TradingView's built-in strategy. In the original Keltner Channel Strategy, it was difficult to predict the timing of entry because the Buy and Sell signals floated in the middle of the candle in real time. This strategy is convenient because if the bitcoin price hits the top or bottom of the Keltner Channel and closes the closing price, you can enter Buy or Sell at the next candle start price. In addition, this strategy provides Stop Loss and Take Profit functions to maximize profit.
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Recommended settings are below.
- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 19
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 20
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- length: 9
- multiplier: 1
- source: close
- (v) Use EMA
- Bands Style: Average True Range
- ATR Length: 18
- Stop Loss (%): 20
- Take Profit (%) : 5
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▶ Usefulness and Originality
- Stop Loss and Take Profit functions are available
- Convenient Buy and Sell entry compared to the original Keltner Channel Strategy
- Optimized for BTCUSD market (maximizing profits)
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이 전략은 TradingView의 Built-in 전략인 Keltner Channel Strategy를 비트코인에 맞게 최적화되었습니다. 기존의 Keltner Channel Strategy는 Buy, Sell 신호가 캔들 중간에 실시간으로 떠서 진입 시점을 예측하기 어려운 불편함이 있었지만 이 전략은 비트코인 가격이 Keltner Channel 상단 혹은 하단을 찍고 종가를 마감하면 그 다음 캔들 시작가에서 Buy 혹은 Sell 진입이 가능하여 편리합니다. 또한, 이 전략은 Keltner Channel을 만나서 캔들을 마감한 가격 (bprice, sprice)을 시각적으로 plot을 제공하여 타점 및 차트를 보기에 편리하며 손절가 및 목표가를 지정한 백테스팅이 가능합니다.
Bitcoin Funds OverlayOverlay the Net Asset Value per Unit (NAVPU) of 4 different Bitcoin Funds on your Bitcoin chart.
BTCC ETF
QBTC Fund
GBTC Trust
VBTC ETN
This indicator uses the metrics from the fund management websites to calculate the "Net Asset Value per Unit (NAVPU)" to display the true underlying value of the fund.
Note that the metrics can change and therefore the graph is not accurate for long past timeframes.
You can update the metrics for each fund in the settings dialogue.
The script will autodetect the currency pairs of your current graph and only display compatible funds:
BTC / USD will show BTCC.U, QBTC.U and GBTC
BTC / CAD will show BTCC and QBTC
BTC / EUR will show VBTC
The script should not show in other currency pairs so it will not mess up other charts you might switch to.
If you find bugs with this logic, please comment below so I can fix them.
Due to TradingViews "no-links in description" policy, you need to google each funds website yourself to find the current metrics. These search terms should help:
BTCC search "Purpose Bitcoin ETF"
QBTC search "3iq The Bitcoin Fund (QBTC)"
GBTC search "Grayscale® Bitcoin Trust"
VBTC search "VanEck Vectors Bitcoin ETN"
Fibonacci EMAs / Trend and Chopzone identifier Implementation from the highly recommended course "Pinescript Indicator Development" on Udemy
www.udemy.com
This indicator is mostly to show some techniques in Pinescript rather than be useful for trading, however it does nicely identify trend and chop zones (sideways) on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart.
What it does:
- Has three EMAs at varying length and plots these on the chart
- Computes when the EMAs are in bullish configuration (EMA short > Medium > long)
- Computes when EMAs are in bearish configuration (EMA short < Medium < long)
- When the EMAs are crossed there is a chop zone (sideways)
- Colours the background of the chart as Green (bullish), Red (bearish) or Orange (sideways chop zone)
- Also predicts the value of the three EMA's three points into the future using linear regression (showed as dots on the chart)
BITCOIN CME FUTURES GAPSDisplays information about Bitcoin CME Futures Gaps over BTCUSD (or XBTUSD) charts.
You can configure a threshold percentage to only display gaps whose size is greater than that percentage. The gap precentage is calculated based on the current close price.
Gaps up are displayed in Orange, gaps down in Green
200 Week Moving Average HeatmapСolors part of the SMA depending on the change in % (delta %) to the previous value. From blue(none to low increase) through green(moderate increase) to red(high increase).
Finex PremiumBitfinex:BTCUSD premium/discount compared to market average spot exchanges.
Smoothed option available.
Bitcoin Binance Sentiment IndexThe divergence of the price between the futures and spot markets for perpetual contracts could be a gauge of sentiment on a traded cryptoasset.
Sentiment analysis could be used to improve the the predictive value of technical and fundamental analysis.
The price of the perpetual contract is divided by the spot price for Bitcoin on Binance and two simple moving averages of this ratio are plotted together. For graphical purposes, the ratio between the two prices has been multiplied by 100. The moving averages were chosen arbitrarily and can be changed. Values above 100 mean that the average price of the futures over the last x periods was above the spot price over the same period. Conversely, values below 100 mean that the mean price of the futures over the last x periods was below the spot price over the same period. The indicator has been created for a daily timeframe.
This indicator is clearly intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
If you are interested in updates on this indicator or interested on sentiment analysis, put a like, subscribe or contact me in pm.
BIO
BITCOIN Miners Revenue VS Price Correlation OscillatorUse 3D(3-day candle) as timeframe for best reading.
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original template for Correlation indicator was created by obaranova. credit goes to her.
SupertrendIndicatorSupertrend (13,2.5) & Supertrend (18,3) are best for intraday.
Loving the signals.
EMA Slope Trend Follower StrategyThis strategy is based on the slope of the EMA130.
Over that slope, the script calculates two EMAs (9,21) which are used to generate the main entry and exit signal.
In particular, the strategy enters a LONG position when EMA9 > EMA21. On the contrary, it closes the LONG and opens a SHORT when EMA9 < EMA21.
When the slope of the EMA130 is rising, it means that the price is accelerating upwards, fueling an uptrend. Conversely, when the slope is falling, it means that the price is slowing down, falling into a possible downtrend.
Calculating and analyzing two EMAs (fast and slow) over the slope of a medium length EMA instead of the price anticipates a lot the signal. In this way, the strategy never miss a trend.
In order to minimize false positives (entering useless positions), I included two filters, which can be optionally turned on:
- Trend Filter: When the price is above EMA200, the strategy opens ONLY LONG positions. If price < EMA200, only shorts allowed. If the slope gives a long signal and price is below EMA200, for example, the eventual SHORT position is closed, but the LONG entry is postponed to the moment when both conditions (slope uptrending and price > ema200) are met.
I recommend always turning on this filter, as it dramatically decreases drawdown.
- Volatility Filter: When the standard deviation of the last 20 candles is below its 50 samples moving average, no positions are opened, as market is going sideways. The purpose of this filter is to prevent false positives (positions which open and close in a matter of candles due to false signals in sideways market).
I recommend turning on this filter only on low time frames.
This strategy works great on medium time frames (like 4h, 6h, daily), since it spends way less in fees, opening less positions.
It works good on low TFs too (up to 1h, didn't test lower ones), provided Volatility filter is turned on and parameters are set according to the asset.
Commission included in calculations: 0.06% (it's the taker commission on BitMEX with the 10% discount obtainable with any referral link)
Slippage included in calculations: 2 ticks (BitMEX has very liquid order books, and slippage doesn't happen very often unless a huge position size is used).
XBT % ContangoSimilar to my other indicators, but measures XBTUSD Contango in terms of percent.
Also, built it so you could change the values that give the red and green signals. Default values are 0% or less (backwardation) indicates green. However, i found that a 0.5% setting worked will finding local bottoms for current contract of XBTH20 (March 2020). The upper value default is at 5%, and signals red when the next contract reaches over 5%.
My assumption is as BTC increases in value over time, measuring contango in terms of percent will be a better measure of the XBT futures curve.
Extreme VolumeThis indicator colors volume bars that are significantly higher volume than the vol moving average ( SMA ). Utilizes two multiplier that can be adjusted by user. Defaults are that the indicator colors volume bars yellow if 20% higher than average, and orange if over 50% higher than average.
Reason why i created this indicator is i typically don't care about volume unless it is significantly higher than average. I find extreme volume useful for confirmation of a breakout, etc. This is why the rest of the volume bars are gray, they are still available for reference, but I dont pay much attention until volume is higher than average.
Also, when you load this indicator it will be in its own pane below the chart. To try and figure out how to add it to same pane as the chart was a huge pain in the ass. Once you figure it out it is pretty easy. I'll try to explain below...
Next to the indicator name you have the following options ... Hide, Settings, Show Source Code{}, Delete(X), and More (3 dots)
1) Click on "More" (3 dots)
2) Click on "Move To" then chose "Existing Pane Above"
3) Volume will likely be too large. Volume scale should be on left side, use your mouse to adjust volume smaller
4) Volume will likely be in the middle of your chart, click on it and drag it down.
BEST Mayer MultipleHello traders
I'm not a HODLer by any means. I know when to sell (or I think I know....) when an asset starts going against me too much.
Even if it's a "long-term" investment.
My mentor used to telling me this: "If a short-term trade becomes a long-term investment, then you're in for a hell of a ride".
I have no clue if Bitcoin/BTC will go back up or not - I don't even care because I'm an intraday trader.
What if BTC was actually a way to accumulate more fiat? Satoshi fooled us
I coded this Mayer Multiple according to the specifications below. By the way, I'm a big fan of Willy Woo. I've been monitoring all his work since I learned about crypto (10 minutes ago.... it's a joke come on)
charts.woobull.com
Scaling
To respect the Mayer's multiple model, I recommend to select the Logarithmic scaling as shown below
imgur.com
What Mayer's model says
Using the reference below, the model says we're in the oversold zone. But, we can be in that zone for months/years...
When a model says an asset could bounce in a 1000-7000 USD range... well... I don't know how I would be able to perform optimally with that insight. This is very subjective and not a recommendation.
Mayer's Multiple model reference
All the BEST
Dave
Bitcoin Difficulty Ribbon [aamonkey]This is another tool to find big cycle bottoms that is very unknown yet effective.
The Difficulty Ribbon speaks to the impact of miner selling pressure on Bitcoin`s price action.
When network difficulty reduces its rate of climb, miners are going out of business, leaving only the strong miners who proportionally need to sell less of their coins to remain operational, this leads to less sell pressure and more room for bullish price action.
The best times to buy Bitcoin are zones where the ribbon compresses.
The ribbon consists of simple moving averages of Bitcoin network difficulty so the rate of change of difficulty can be easily seen.
