BTC exchange trade vol / on-chain transaction volThis Bitcoin indicator shows the percentage that the exchange traded volume is from the sum of the exchange traded volume + on-chain transaction volume.
The thin red line is the non-smoothed value calculated from daily volumes.
The thick black line is the 7-day EMA-smoothed value.
The exchange traded volume and the on-chain transaction volume are reported by Quandl and have a 1D resolution - so it is best to use this indicator on the daily time frame.
When the value is high, it shows the the interest of traders is high and they are intensely trading BTC. When the indicator is low, it means that BTC is "dormant": it is used for transfers, but not so much for trading - traders forgot about it for a while - which may be a good time to accumulate if the economy is in a general bull market.
Blockchain
Mining Cash Flow LineTakes QUANDL Bitcoin blockchain difficulty data, three variables (hashrate in THs/sec, power consumption in kWh, and electricity costs in cents/kWh) and calculates the base line for cash flow in US dollars. The default is an AntMiner S15 at 10 cents/kWh.
When price is above this line, miners with the given conditions have positive cash flow (i.e. they make more money mining than their running costs), and when below the line, they would be better off turning their rigs off (if this simple model can be applied to their particular circumstance).
Assumptions:
1. All costs are consolidated into one "electricity cost" variable, including things like rent and wages for mining farms.
2. 12.5 BTC/block emission schedule (update source code upon next halving).
Warnings:
It is likely that actual costs to miners varies in complex ways. This indicator only shows a cash flow calculation for a very simple set of parameters that will generally apply to miners, but not necessarily all of them. (For example, a miner may be locked into a prepaid contract for cheap electricity, or sell exhaust heat in the winter for extra revenue.)
Positive cash flow is also different from ROI, as this model does not take into account the cost of acquiring an ASIC mining rig.
