Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap [CR]Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap
This is released as a thank you to all my followers who pushed me over the 600 follower mark on twitter. Thanks to all you Kingz and Queenz out there who made it happen. <3
Indicator Overview
In each of its major market cycles, Bitcoin's price historically bottoms out around the 200 week moving average.
This indicator uses a color heatmap based on the % increases of that 200 week moving average. Depending on the rolling cumulative 4 week percent delta of the 200 week moving average, a color is assigned to the price chart. This method clearly highlights the market cycles of bitcoin and can be extremely helpful to use in your forecasts.
How It Can Be Used
The long term Bitcoin investor can monitor the monthly color changes. Historically, when we see orange and red dots assigned to the price chart, this has been a good time to sell Bitcoin as the market overheats. Periods where the price dots are purple and close to the 200 week MA have historically been good times to buy.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool
If you are looking to predict the price of Bitcoin or forecast where it may go in the future, the 200WMA heatmap can be a useful tool as it shows on a historical basis whether the current price is overextending (red dots) and may need to cool down. It can also show when Bitcoin price may be good value on a historical basis. This can be when the dots on the chart are purple or blue.
Over more than ten years, $BTC has spent very little time below the 200 week moving average which is also worth noting when thinking about price predictions for Bitcoin or a Bitcoin price forecast.
Notes
1.) If you do not want to view the legend do the following: Indicator options > Style tab > Uncheck "Tables"
2.) I use my custom function to get around the limited historical data for bitcoin. You can check out the explanation of it here:
Cryptorhythms
FUNCTION: Limited Historical Data WorkaroundFUNCTION: Limited Historical Data Workaround
If you are working with bitcoin weekly charts, or any other ticker with a low amount of price history this function may help you out. For example you want to apply indicators to some shitcoin that just launched? This can help you.
It can be frustrating to use certain built-ins since they will only give an output once the full lookback length is available. This function allows you to avoid that situation and start plotting things with almost no history whatsoever!
In this example code we do it by utilizing a replacement for the built in pine SMA function. This function allows us to pass a series instead of just a simple int to the length variable of the SMA. This can be achieved with all the pine built ins and I believe @pinecoders has a publication already detailing many of them with full coded examples.
Then we replace the length of the SMA with the custom history function. It checks to see if the current bar index is less than the length of the function. Then if it is, it changes the length to the bar index allowing us to get plots and series earlier than otherwise possible.
Blockchain Fundamentals - Active Address Sentiment Osc. [CR]Blockchain Fundamentals: Active Address Sentiment Oscillator AASO
Back with another script today, this one is a useful tool in helping to determine bitcoins value. We are looking at 2 data sources: the daily active addresses on the BTC blockchain, and the daily returns of BTC.
THIS INDICATOR WILL ONLY GIVE YOU THE CORRECT RESULTS ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAME
There is an interesting relationship that you can see by comparing the two timeseries. But for us to create a good indicator we first need to normalize the data. So we look at the percent change over the past 28 days for each metric (DAA and price).
THIS INDICATOR WILL ONLY GIVE YOU THE CORRECT RESULTS ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAME
We then calculate standard deviation bands around the DAA metric. We finalize them by averaging the bands over a 28 day period.
When the Price series (yellow line) is higher than the SD bands BTC is considered overvalued or price is overheated. A pullback could be expected soon. When the Price series is below the SD bands BTC is considered undervalued or price is oversold.
THIS INDICATOR WILL ONLY GIVE YOU THE CORRECT RESULTS ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAME
This tool doesnt give signals on the one minute chart or tell you exactly when to buy or sell. BUT what it does do is act as a convenient macro sentiment indicator that is not based completely upon price.
In an attempt to narrow down the really juicy areas, if you seen the background color highlights with white, that means its likely a top or bottom. At the very least on a local sense and many times in a cyclical macro sense as well. It also narrows down the signal to a generally more profitable area.
This indicator is not meant to be used on timeframes other than daily (did I mention that already?). I am lazy and did not code the calculations to be MTF (which is why you have to use on the daily chart). If you want to code this, please forward it on to me and I will post an update with a heartfelt credit to you.
Blockchain Fundamentals: Electricity Cost of BTC [CR] Blockchain Fundamentals: Electricity Cost of BTC
After a hiatus, now a return to publishing tools and scripts for the community. This is my first script in over and year, and I have a number more coming soon as well! (so Stay Tuned!)
This is a simple calculator to estimate the cost of Bitcoin miners to mine one bitcoin. It works on all timeframes (doesnt have to be on daily).
By entering the inputs of total TH's, kWh used, cost of electricity per kWh (in USD cents) we can generate the electricity cost.
But miners also have other costs of operation including HVAC, maintenance, rent, etc. In light of that we include a multiplier that accounts for these extra costs. First, type in what percent of your total operating costs come from the electricity. Then check the enable total cost plot option and you will also see total costs in addition to electricity costs.
Its a simple model and gives anyone curious a starting point for their own testing and research.
Ehlers Correlation Trend Indicator CTI by Cryptorhythms [CR]Ehlers Correlation Trend Indicator CTI by Cryptorhythms
📜Intro
In his article “Correlation As A Trend Indicator” in issue May 2020 of TASC, author John Ehlers introduces a new trend indicator that is based on the correlation between a security’s price history and the ideal trend: a straight line. He describes methods for using the indicator to not only identify the onset of new trends but to identify trend failures as well. He presents what looks like a simple and elegant idea for a trend-detection and mode-switching indicator.
📋Comments
Careful market selection may be the key to a correct application of the indicator. Even such barebone rules could shine with stocks like AAPL that tend to develop prolonged trends. But for others like CAT, which can keep oscillating in ranges for years, results will be much less impressive. They require a different approach. For example, you would want to buy when Correlation Trend falls significantly below zero and sell when it reaches positive values.
Therefore, it would be an interesting problem to research Correlation Trend’s ability to identify the switch to a cycle mode. That might help develop countertrend systems and
trade pullbacks. Another possible application might be to act as a system filter of change from trending mode to mean-reversion mode.
Extras
As usual when porting indicators to the library here on tradingview, I like to add some extra flare!
💠Customizable Overbought and Oversold Zones for Alert Creation
💠Bar coloration based on trade state for easy visual at a glance chart checking
💠Some basic example Entry and Exit conditions and a simple Trade State Engine to get you going creating your own strategy
Enjoy!
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 81st script on Tradingview!
COVID Statistics Tracker & Model Projections by Cryptorhythms😷 COVID-19 Coronavirus Tracker & Statistics Tools by Cryptorhythms 😷
📜Intro
I wanted to put some more meaning behind the numbers for 2020's Covid pandemic. I hope this tool can help people analyze and deal with these hard times. With these metrics I hope to give greater depth and dimension to whats available. While also at the same time creating something that looks decently presentable and gives actionable information.
I had planned on including a few forecasting models and letting the user play with values to see how social distancing works. But alas I couldnt complete those in the scope of time I gave myself for the indicator. If you are interested in collaborating on it, I will share what I have with you and we can further work on it.
📋Description
The script contains 3 main parts you will interact with. I suggest you enable the chart labels for "indicator name" and "indicator last value" to make the charts more readable (right click on the scale of your chart and goto the "labels" pop out menu). Depending on what plots and data you choose to chart, logarithmic and regular scales can both be applied in different situations. To get similar visuals to the examples I will show below, you can goto the indicator options > style tab. I then play with the line styles, colors and transparencies to achieve the nice looking charts. Please also note there is a distinction between "Infected" and "Infectious". A model telling you the number of infected doesnt designate whether that person can still pass the virus on to others (infectious). So Infectious numbers are usually lower than total confirmed, but this isnt always the case if for example a country wasnt testing very much during the early phase or something else.
🚧Disclaimer
I am not a medical professional and none of this should be considered medical advice. All of the models, numbers and math I sourced from professional places but this is not a guarantee of the future only an approximation based on current information. Numbers change daily and so can these models!
🌐PART ONE
In this area you select a region to read the proper statistics data from tradingview. You can do global totals, country totals, or for a few places (AU, CA, CN, US) you can see state/province totals. Remember to SELECT ONLY ONE region.
🧮PART TWO
The Plots/Stats/Data section includes:
1. ) Plot the Days to Double Number of Confirmed
2. ) Plot the Infection Growth Ratio
3. ) Plot Fatality Risk Rate (Total Deaths / Total Outcomes)
4. ) Plot Overall Fatality Rate / Recovery Rate
5. ) Plot % of World Infected & % of USA Infected
6. ) Plot Daily New Deaths, Confirmed & Recovered
7. ) Plot Daily Change Percentages
🎱PART THREE
Forecasting Models and Settings:
1 .) Plot the % of Custom Population Infected (Vs. the Region Selected in Part 1 of Settings)
2 .) Plot the True Num. of Infectious (Death Model / DM)
3 .) Plot the Current and Next Weeks Cumulative Infection Projection (DM)
4 .) Plot Estimated Infection Rates? (DM)
5 .) Enable Basic Trajectory Projection?
6 .) Plot the Likelihood of > 0 **Infectious** in a Group (DM) for Today, Tomorrow and Next Week
7 .) Plot the True Num. of Infected (Confirmed/Tested Model)
8 .) Plot the Estimated Epidemiology for 7 and 14 Days Out (Hospital Beds, ICU Beds, Ventilator Units)
Planned But not completed
9.) SIR Epidemiology Model
10.) Exponential Growth Plot & Correlation
To use the Estimator for likelihood of Infected in N group of people you need to do 2 things. Select and use "Custom Population" as the population source for part 3. Then you need to enable "Custom Infected" as the source for the model. Then you enter your geographical area's population and confirmed cases. Its best to goto the smallest / most granular level of data available to accurately estimate the likelihood. So for instance in the order of least effective to most effective data source: global, country, state, county, city...etc.
If you do not understand what these terms or numbers represent, please read the source materials I have linked in the code, or use google. I dont have the time or expertise to explain all the various specific methods and terms included here. This entire project was a learning journey for me and I have zero experience in epidemiology so please excuse any errors I may have made. (and tell me, so I can change it!)
🔮Future Additions
If anyone has a model or stat they would like included I will be happy to add your code to this toolbox to make it more effective and give you credit here in the description. If you want to collaborate please message me.
📊Some Example Charts:
The Cryptorhythms Team wish you and your families all the absolute best of health!
P.S. Stay safe and act smart I dont think this will be the EOTW.
Nth-Occurrence Custom barssince() Function by Cryptorhythms [CR]Nth-Occurrence Custom barssince() Function by Cryptorhythms
Description
The vanilla barssince() function in pine only finds the number of bars since the most recent occurrence of the condition. This version allows you to specify an Nth occurrence back to check the bars since! Its also a nice little one liner.
I really hope you enjoy it and if you're looking for more, this is our 79th script on TV, so there is plenty to choose from!
Let me know in the comments if you create anything useful from this or think of anyway to improve it!
Modified OBV w/ Divergence Detection by CryptorhythmsApirine OBV-M Modified OBV w/ MA Selection by Cryptorhythms
Intro
Released in the April 2020 issue of TASC, and created by Vitali Apirine.
Description
OBV-M is of course based on the classic indicator on balance volume originally developed by Joe Granville. Apirine then smooths the calculation and adds a signal line to help denote entry and exit points.
As the author points out uts also great at showing divergences!
Extras
As usual when porting indicators to the library here on tradingview, I like to add some extra flare!
💠MA selection to allow you to experiment with alternate settings
💠Bar coloration based on trade state for easy visual at a glance chart checking
💠Divergence Detection and plotting thanks for Ricardo Santos' script
Enjoy!
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 78th script on Tradingview!
Time Series Lag Reduction Filter by CryptorhythmsTime Series Lag Reduction Filter by Cryptorhythms
Description
A little filter to reduce lag on any time series data. Here we use an EMA to demonstrate how it works, but you could use it in many different ways/appications.
This method can cause overshoot if you get too aggressive with the "lagReduce" setting. In this case lower the lagReduce variable.
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 76th script on Tradingview!
Blockchain Fundamentals - MCCD - Miner Capitulation Conv/Div🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - MCCD - Miner Capitulation & Convergence Divergence
(a.k.a. Hash Ribbons)
Intro
Miner Capitulation has been talked about alot recently in the news and on twitter. I wanted to join the in fun and add my own spin on things.
Description
This shows the 30 (yellow) and 60 (orange) day moving average of the hash rate of bitcoin. I added an option to show the convergence/divergence of the two moving averages in a visual manner similar to the MACD.
I also added the ability to select both the length and type of MA used in the calculation of the capitulation so you can experiment.
Other additions include bar coloration by trade state, and background highlighting of capitulation periods.
Editable Capitulation/Recovery plots will show clearly when the crosses happen.
The way to replicate my display is to add the indicator twice below the chart and combine in the same pane. First indicator displays the averages by default. The second one you enable convergence/divergence display option and uncheck the rest.
Last I add the indicator one more time and dragged it on chart. Do not combine the scales into one, of else it will ruin the scale (you want them separate scales). Its just showing you possibilities, use whatever works for you!
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 73rd script on Tradingview!
💬Check my Signature for other information
Blockchain Fundamentals - Satoshies Per Dollar by Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Satoshis Per Dollar by Cryptorhythms
Intro
SPD is a new metric I propose which can be used to determine general sentiment and help narrow down periods to DCA .
Description
In the most basic sense this indicator is simply showing you how many satoshies are equal to one US dollar . This can be a useful metric to keep stored in the back of your mind. It can also give you a new satoshi based perspective on bitcoin pricing.
I simply added an MA selection option to give a basic sentiment reading. You could also use the red areas as a modified DCA (i.e. only do dollar cost averaging when red zone is in effect.
The indicator is not really meant for buy/sell signaling but more as a reference
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 71st script on Tradingview!
💬Check my Signature for other information
Leavitt Convolution & Acceleration by CryptorhythmsLeavitt Projection, Convolution, & Acceleration by Cryptorhythms
Intro
Bringing you another open source Gem this time from the January 2020 Issue of TASC.
Description
In the article in the Oct 2019 TASC issue titled "An interplanetary marriage" author Jay Leavitt describes the evolution process required in strategy design by introducing his Mars strategy. This grew out of concepts presented in his earlier TASC articles such as the stratosphere, moon rocket, and tech emini strategies. This dual indicator uses a linear regression of price data to help derive slope and acceleration information, in turn helping him to identify trends and trend turning points.
Additions
As usual a few useful extras are included such as a rudimentary signaling system, bar coloration by trade state, overbought/oversold areas to assist in algorithmic setups, and more!
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 71st script on Tradingview!
💬Check my Signature for other information
Apirine Stochastic MACD w/ MA Selection by Cryptorhythms📊 Apirine Stochastic MACD w/ MA Selection by Cryptorhythms
Intro
Had to re-release due to moderation.
This happens to be my first open source indicator, hope you all enjoy it!
Description
This indicated is ported from November 2019 issue of TASC. “The Stochastic MACD Oscillator” in this issue, author Vitali Apirine introduces a new indicator created by combining the stochastic oscillator and the MACD . He describes the new indicator as a momentum oscillator and explains that it allows the trader to define overbought and oversold levels similar to the classic stochastic but based on the MACD .
Options
-You can enable bar coloration for trade state (signal conditions setup in the "long" and "short" variables).
-You can choose histogram or columns for the convergence/divergence display.
-You can turn on/off and adjust the overbought / oversold zones.
-You can choose what type of moving average to use in the calculation from a small selection of options. This gives you more flexibility to adapt the indicator to your needs.
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 70th script on Tradingview!
🤐Check my Signature for other information
