Cycle Oscillator V2 [OmegaTools]Introducing the "Cycle Oscillator" by OmegaTools, an innovative addition to your TradingView analysis toolkit. This script is designed to offer a unique approach to understanding market cycles without the need for volume data, making it versatile across various market conditions and asset classes.
Key Features:
- Cycle Length Customization: Tailor the cycle length from 10 to 200 bars to fit the specific rhythm of the market you're analyzing, ensuring relevance and precision.
- Smoothness Adjustment: Fine-tune the oscillator's smoothness to capture the essence of market movements with options ranging from 1 to 20.
- Aesthetic Flexibility: Choose your preferred colors for the oscillator's upward and downward movements, personalizing your chart to your liking.
- Historical Mode: Toggle the historical mode to either focus on real-time analysis or review past cycle data for backtesting and study.
- Candle Color Modes: Enhance your visual analysis with optional candle coloring based on trend, signals, or extensions, providing immediate insight into market conditions.
Usage Guide:
1. Setting Up: Easily adjust the cycle length and smoothness to match the market's current volatility and your trading style.
2. Understanding Market Cycles: The oscillator plots the average deviation from three distinct moving averages, offering a clear view of potential market turns or continuations.
3. Identifying Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Utilize the upper and lower bounds to recognize extreme market conditions, guiding your entry and exit decisions.
4. Visual Enhancements: Customize the visual aspects, including colors and candle coloring, to make your analysis both effective and aesthetically pleasing.
5. Anticipating Market Movements: The script provides forward-looking lines to suggest potential future highs or lows, aiding in predictive analysis.
Designed with both novice and experienced traders in mind, the "Cycle Oscillator" is a testament to OmegaTools' commitment to providing high-quality, innovative trading tools. Whether you're looking to refine your trading strategy or seeking new analytical perspectives, this script offers a comprehensive solution to navigating the ebbs and flows of the financial markets.
Join the community of traders enhancing their TradingView experience with the "Cycle Oscillator" by OmegaTools. Start exploring deeper market insights and unlock new trading opportunities today.
Cycles
Min-Max Normalization TrendPrinciple
script is using defined period of last candles
over the period it discovers minimum and maximum values
all the values within the period are normalized to that range
resulting values are in range 0-100
the shown value is average from all the candlestick data, i.e. AVG(OPEN, HIGH, LOW, CLOSE) resulting in more smoothed values which helps to filter out market volatility
How to interpret
if there is a uptrend, the new candle data will be normalized as one of the highest values, around 100
similarly if there is a downtrend, the new candle data will be normalized as one of the lowest values, around 0
to help visualize, there is a configurable threshold for bullish or bearish trends
works well on higher timeframes, e.g. BTC on 1d, but can be used on any timeframe to identify local trends
even though a lookback period of candles is used to define the normalization range, this does not mean that the indicator is lagging - this is because the lookback period only defines the range, but does not influece current value's weight
Configuration
you can configure bullish threshold as well as bearish threshold and respective colors
the range in between is considered sideways
lookback period can be also adjusted
NUPL - Net Unrealized Profit-Loss BTC Tops/Bottoms [Logue]Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL) - The NUPL measures the profit state of the bitcoin network to determine if past transfers of BTC are currently in an unrealized profit or loss state.
Values above zero indicate that the network is in overall profit, while values below zero indicate the network is in overall loss. Highly positive NUPL values indicate overvaluation of the BTC network and relatively negative NUPL values indicate an undervaluation of the BTC network.
For tops: The default setting for tops is based on decreasing "strength" of BTC tops. A decreasing linear function (trigger = slope * time + intercept) was fit to past cycle tops for this indicator and is used as the default to signal macro tops. The user can change the slope and intercept of the line by changing the slope and/or intercept factor. The user also has the option to indicate tops based on a horizontal line via a settings selection. This horizontal line default value is 73. This indicator is triggered for a top when the NUPL is above the trigger value.
For bottoms: Bottoms are displayed based on a horizontal line with a default setting of -13. The indicator is triggered for a bottom when the NUPL is below the bottom trigger value.
LMACD - Logarithmic MACD Weekly BTC Index [Logue]Logarithmic Moving Average Convergence Divergence (LMACD) Weekly Indicator - The LMACD is a momentum indicator that measures the strength of a trend using 12-period and 26-period moving averages. The weekly LMACD for this indicator is calculated by determining the difference between the log (base 10) of the 12-week and 26-week exponential moving averages. Larger positive numbers indicate a larger positive momentum.
For tops: The default setting for tops is based on decreasing "strength" of BTC tops. A decreasing linear function (trigger = slope * time + intercept) was fit to past cycle tops for this indicator and is used as the default to signal macro tops. The user can change the slope and intercept of the line by changing the slope and/or intercept factor. The user also has the option to indicate tops based on a horizontal line via a settings selection. This line default value is 0.125. This indicator is triggered for a top when the LMACD is above the trigger value.
For bottoms: Bottoms are displayed based on a horizontal line with a default setting of -0.07. The indicator is triggered for a bottom when the LMACD is below the bottom trigger value.
Chethan's Price Change AlertsThis Script will alert when the stock price crosses range from 1% to 20%.
Bitcoin Halving Dates + CountdownBitcoin Halving Dates + Countdown Indicator
This unique TradingView Indicator is designed to provide traders and cryptocurrency enthusiasts with critical information about the Bitcoin halving events directly on their charts. Bitcoin halving is a significant event that reduces the reward for mining Bitcoin transactions by half, an occurrence that happens approximately every four years and is known to impact Bitcoin's price significantly.
Features:
▪ Halving Date Lines: The indicator plots vertical lines on the chart at the dates of past and the upcoming Bitcoin halving events.
Customizable Appearance: Users can personalize the look of the indicator with options to change the color of the halving lines, label background, and text for better visibility against their chart theme.
▪ Halving Event Labels: Each halving event is marked with a label indicating its sequence (e.g., 1st Halving) and the exact date it occurred or is expected to occur.
Countdown to Next Halving: For the upcoming halving event, the indicator displays a countdown in days, hours, minutes, and seconds, helping users anticipate the event with precise timing.
▪ User-friendly Options: Toggle the visibility of labels for a cleaner chart appearance and customize color schemes to match personal preferences or chart themes.
Usage:
This indicator is invaluable for those looking to understand Bitcoin's historical halving events and their timing in relation to price movements. It's also perfect for preparing for the next halving event, as the countdown feature provides a clear and timely reminder.
Customization Options:
▪ Show Labels: Toggle on/off the visibility of halving event labels.
Line Color: Choose the color of the vertical lines marking each halving event.
Label Background Color & Text Color: Customize the background and text color of the labels for better readability.
▪ Countdown Label Colors: Separate customization options for the countdown label's background and text colors, allowing for clear visibility and distinction from other chart elements.
Enhance your chart with this indicator and trade with more context and anticipation towards the future of Bitcoin.
HSI - Halving Seasonality Index for Bitcoin (BTC) [Logue]Halving Seasonality Index (HSI) for Bitcoin (BTC) - The HSI takes advantage of the consistency of BTC cycles. Past cycles have formed macro tops around 538 days after each halving. Past cycles have formed macro bottoms every 948 days after each halving. Therefore, a linear "risk" curve can be created between the bottom and top dates to measure how close BTC might be to a bottom or a top. The default triggers are set at 98% risk for tops and 5% risk for bottoms. Extensions are also added as defaults to allow easy identification of the dates of the next top or bottom according to the HSI.
CSI - Calendar Seasonality Index for Bitcoin (BTC) [Logue]Calendar Seasonality Index (CSI) for Bitcoin (BTC) - The CSI takes advantage of the consistency of BTC cycles. Past cycles have formed macro tops every four years near November 21st, starting from in 2013. Past cycles have formed macro bottoms every four years near January 15th, starting from 2011. Therefore, a linear "risk" curve can be created between the bottom and top dates to measure how close BTC might be to a bottom or a top. The default triggers are at 98% risk for tops and 5% risk for bottoms. Extensions are also added as defaults to allow easy identification of the dates of the next top or bottom according to the CSI.
PDM - Plus Directional Movement Weekly BTC Index [Logue]Plus Directional Movement (PDM) weekly BTC index - The PDM is a momentum indicator that measures the strength of a trend in the positive direction. The weekly PDM is calculated by determining the difference between the week's high price and the previous week's high price smoothed by a 14-period moving average. Higher PDM values indicate higher momentum in the positive (higher price) direction. The default triggers for this indicator are PDM values above 55 for tops and below 14 for bottoms.
AWR_WaveTrend Multitimeframe [adapted from LazyBear]I've adapted a script from Lazy Bear (WT trend oscillator)
WaveTrend Oscillator is a port of a famous TS/MT indicator.
When the oscillator (WT1 designed as a line) is above the overbought band (50 to 60) and crosses down the WT2 (dotted line), it is usually a good SELL signal. Similarly, when the oscillator crosses above the signal when below the Oversold band ( (-50 to -60)), it is a good BUY signal.
In this indicator, you can display at the same time, different time frames.
Choice possible are 1 mn, 15 mn, 30 mn, 60 mn, 120 mn, 240 mn, 1D, Week, Month.
Small time frames (1 to 30 mn) are represented by a blue lines (light to dark)
1H is in grey
2H & 4H are in purple (light to dark)
1D is in green
1W is in orange
1M is in black
You can choose which timeframes you want to display for the current period or for the last period closed.
In a few seconds, you perfectly see the selected timeframes trends.
There is also at the bottom right a table summing up all the different values of WT1, WT2 and difference between them.
Positive difference means an upside trend
Negative difference means a downside trend.
Another way of using this indicator is displaying only the difference between WT1 & WT2. It's giving the speed & the direction of all trends. Trends are our friends ...
You can observe the significent times frames and look if they are all positives or negatives or if the speed of lower timeframe cross a longer timeframe of if the speed is decreasing or increasing...
Difference values goes generaly from -20 to 20 (it can exceed a bit but really rare). 12 is already high level of speed.
Many uses possible.
In the exemple posted, I've selected WT1 and WT2 for timeframes 4H, Daily & Weekly.
Marker 1:
Orange lines (WT1) are far below - 50 (-67 here) and cross WT2 pointed lines : weekly buy signal
But this buy signal is balanced by 4H & Daily sell signal = it's marking start of hesitations of main trend !!!!
Marker 2 :
Next buy signal in 4H or daily would normaly confirm the start
Marker 3 :
Sell signal in 4H and daily but weekly has an upside trend ! Start of a counter trend in the trend. To find the perfect timing of that you have to look to lower time frames, because 4H and daily are giving many hesitations signals crossing down & crossing up many times in an overbought zone.
Marker 4 :
End of the counter trend. Most of the time, the countertrend don't go in the "over" zone. That's why if you trading in an counter trend, you have to keep it in mind.
Then a few days later you can see the sell signal. And what a sell signal ! 4H & daily are smashed down really fastly ! Trends change warning !
Marker 5
Long hesitation/change of the trend. Daily WT and 4H are below the weekly trends. Weekly start to go down.
Start of a counter trend inside the trend giving us the best selling signal at her end !
Marker 6 :
Long hesitation/change of the trend.
You have to look in lower time frames to identify the short trend. Difficult to find the best timing to get in. ....
I've add many alerts. When a time frame become positive or negative. When many time frames are positive or negative or above or below 47 level...
Please feel free to explore.
Hope it will help you.
Thanks to Lazybear ! Thousands thanks to Lazybear !
Exemple with difference
TFS - Bitcoin (BTC) Transaction Fee Spike Top Indicator [Logue]Transaction Fee Spike (TFS) - For bitcoin (BTC), transaction fees on the bitcoin network can signal a mania phase when they increase well above historical values. This mania phase may indicate we are near a top in the BTC price. The transaction fee in USD is directly retrieved from Glassnode. The default trigger for this indicator fires when the transaction fees increase above $44/transaction.
Fetch EngulfingBuysThis script makes use of bullish engulfing candles, trend analysis, and time.
The trend is devided between an up- and downtrend. This is based on a simple cross over strategy, using the 9 and 50 moving averages.
The buys are calculated based on how many times a bullish engulfing candle was displayed on the chart during a downtrend. Bullish engulfing candles in an uptrend will never result in a buy signal.
The sells are simply based on time. This means that the script counts how many days you have been in a trade. The default is 100 candles. You can tweak this in the settings of the indicator.
Finally, this script does not provide you with any stop-losses. I am planning on releasing a v2 once I figured out what a good balance is. Also, you might notice that there are more buys than sells. This is because only the first trade in the series is tracked. V2 could improve on this flaw of the indicator.
Hope you enjoy this first iteration of the indicator.
Custom Hourly Highlight PeriodsThis Pine Script indicator for TradingView allows users to visually highlight up to five distinct periods within a trading day directly on their chart. It's designed to enhance chart analysis by emphasizing specific time frames that may coincide with increased market activity, trading sessions, or personal trading strategies.
Features:
Customizable Highlight Periods: Users can define up to five separate highlight periods, specifying both start and end hours for each. This flexibility supports a wide range of trading strategies and time zones.
Individual Period Activation: Each highlight period can be individually enabled or disabled, allowing users to focus on specific times of interest without cluttering the chart.
Color-Coded Visualization: Each period is highlighted with a different transparent color (blue, red, green, purple, and orange) for clear distinction between different segments of the trading day. Colors are customizable to fit personal preferences or chart themes.
User-Friendly Inputs: Simple input fields make it easy to adjust start/end times and toggle the visibility of each period, requiring no coding experience to customize.
Use Cases:
Identifying Repeating Patterns: Certain regional markets exhibit unique behaviors, with some creating sell pressure in the morning, while others generate buy pressure. This indicator allows for clear visualization of these patterns.
Market Session Highlights: Emphasize the opening and closing hours of major markets (e.g., NYSE, NASDAQ, Forex markets) to identify potential volatility or trading opportunities.
Personal Trading Hours: Mark the time frames when you typically trade or when your trading strategy performs best.
Economic Release Times: Highlight periods when important economic reports are released, which can significantly impact market movement.
Global Liquidity Index (Candles)The Global Liquidity Index (Candles) provides a comprehensive overview of major central bank balance sheets worldwide, presenting values converted to USD for consistency and comparability, following relevant forex rates. This indicator, based on the code developed by user ingeforberg , incorporates essential US accounts including the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet to offer a nuanced perspective on US liquidity. Users can tailor their analysis by selectively enabling or disabling specific central banks and special accounts according to their preferences. The index exclusively includes central banks abstaining from currency pegging and with reliable data accessible since late 2007, ensuring a robust aggregated liquidity model.
The calculation of the Global Liquidity Index involves subtracting the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) from the Federal Reserve System (FED) and adding the balance sheets of major central banks worldwide: the European Central Bank (ECB), the People's Bank of China (PBC), the Bank of Japan (BOJ), the Bank of England (BOE), the Bank of Canada (BOC), the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR), the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB), the Bank of Korea (BOK), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), Sweden's Central Bank (Riksbank), and the Central Bank of Malaysia (BNM).
This tool proves invaluable for individuals seeking a consolidated perspective on global liquidity to interpret macroeconomic trends. Analyzing these balance sheets enables users to discern policy trajectories and assess the global economic landscape, providing insights into asset pricing and assisting investors in making well-informed capital allocation decisions. Historically, assets perceived as riskier, such as small caps and cryptocurrencies, have tended to perform favorably during periods of escalating liquidity. Thus, investors may exercise caution regarding additional risk exposure unless a sustained upward trend in global liquidity is evident.
Main differences between the original and updated indicators:
The "Global Liquidity Index (Candles)" script, compared to the original "Global Liquidity Index" script, offers a more detailed and visually rich representation of liquidity data.
"Global Liquidity Index (Candles)" employs candlestick visualization to represent liquidity data. Each candlestick encapsulates open, high, low, and close prices over a given period. This format provides granular insights into liquidity fluctuations, facilitating a more nuanced analysis.
By using candlesticks, the script offers traders detailed information about liquidity dynamics. They can analyze the patterns formed by candlesticks to discern trends, reversals, and market sentiment shifts, aiding in making informed trading decisions.
Price and Volume Stochastic Divergence [MW]Introduction
This indicator creates signals of interest for entering and exiting long and short positions on equities. It primarily uses up and down trends defined by the change in cumulative volume with some filtering provided by a short period exponential moving average (9 EMA by default).
Settings
Moving Average Period : The moving average over which the cumulative volume delta is calculated. Default: 14
Short Period EMA : The EMA used to represent price action, and is used to generate the EMA Delta line. Default: 27 (3*3*3)
Long Period EMA : The second EMA used to calculate the EMA Delta line. Default: 108 (2*2*3*3*3)
Stochastic K Value : The value used for stochastic curve smoothing. Default: 3
Dot Size : The diameter of the larger indicator. Default: 10
Dot Transparency : The transparency level of the outer ring of the primary BUY/SELL signal. Default: 50 (0 is opaque, 100 is transparent)
Band Distance from 0 to 100 : The upper and lower band distance. Default: 20
Calculations
The cumulative volume delta (CVD) is calculated using candle bodies and wicks. For a red candle, buying volume is calculated by multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks, while Selling Volume is calculated multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks - in addition to the spread percentage of the candle body.
For a green candle, buying volume is calculated by multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks - plus the spread percentage of the candle body - while Selling Volume is calculated using only the spread percentage average of the top and bottom wicks.
Once we have the CVD, we can then perform a stochastic calculation of the CVD value.
stochastic calculation = (current value - lowest value in period) / (highest value in period - lowest value in period)
We’ll do the same stochastic calculation for the short term EMA (27 EMA default) as well as for the difference between the short term and long term EMA.
When the stochastic CVD value is rising from zero and the short term EMA stochastic value equals 100, then it’s a major bullish signal. When the stochastic CVD value is falling from 100 and the short term EMA stochastic value equals 0, then it’s a major bearish signal.
Sometimes, after a bullish or bearish signal, the stochastic CVD will reverse direction triggering a new opposing signal.
How to Interpret
The CVD indicates when there is either more buying than selling or vice versa. A value over 50 for the stochastic CVD curve represents more buying taking place. A value below 50 represents more selling. One might intuitively believe that when there is more buying volume than selling volume that the price would follow suit. This is not always the case.
Most of the time buying volume will precede consistent price movement upwards, and selling volume will precede consistent price movement downwards. When this divergence occurs, the indicator generates a signal. When this divergence begins to fail, and buying or selling volume reverses, then another signal is generated indicating that the buying/selling impulse is headed back into the direction of price action.
These interactions are visually represented on the chart with the coral line that represents CVD, and the yellow line that represents the EMA, or the average price. When the coral line goes up and the yellow line stays down, that’s the BUY signal. When the coral line goes down and the yellow line stays up, that’s the sell signal. When the coral line switches direction, the chart generates another signal showing that volume is moving in a direction that supports the price.
The orange line represents the stochastic representation of the difference between the short EMA (27 by default) and the long EMA (108 by default). EMA differences is a method that can be used to define a trend. When a short term EMA is above a longer term EMA, that may represent a bullish trend. When it is below, that may represent a bearish trend. When all 3 lines are rising or falling in the same direction at the same time, it tends to indicate a movement that has the potential to continue.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
This indicator can be paired with the MW Volume Impulse indicator if it is desired to see the actual buying and selling cumulative volume deltas. Also, in many cases, the BUY and SELL signals tend to correspond with Keltner Bands (ATR Bands) becoming extended. Lastly, volume weighted average price (VWAP) along with other macro events can impact price and negate signals. To view VWAP lines, you may choose to use the Multi VWAP or Multi VWAP for Gaps indicator to help ensure that the signals you see in this indicator are not being affected by VWAP lines.
PCTR - Pi Cycle Top Risk [Logue]Pi-cycle Top Risk (PCTR) - The PCTR indicator uses divergence of the Pi-cycle top indicator display the risk that a macro top in Bitcoin (BTC) is near. The Pi-cycle top indicator is simply the cross of the 111-day moving average above a 2x multiple of the 350-day moving average of the BTC price. While there is no fundamental reasoning behind why this works, it has worked to indicate previous bitcoin tops by taking advantage of the cyclicality of the BTC price and measurement overextension of BTC price. This indicator triggers a top signal when the fast moving average (111-day) crosses above the 2x multiple of the slow moving average (350-day).
What's interesting is the indicator can also signal a bottom when the divergence of the fast moving average is at an extreme versus the slow moving average. The indicator signals a bottom when the fast MA is 66% away from the slow MA value.
Both the top and bottom signals are clearly shown on the chart on a scale from 100 to 0.
TcTrendThis script using 4 moving averages to indicate if the current pair is in an up or downtrend. The middle 2 moving averages are used to indicate an upcoming trend flip.
Optionally also shows the trend of current main symbol against BTC, ETH and SOL, and a configurable pair.
Also shows if BTC.D and CURRENT.D are in an up or downtrend.
All above settings are configurable.
Expected Daily Range @shrilss This indicator provides traders with insights into potential price movements based on statistical analysis of historical data. It calculates expected high and low price levels for the current trading day, as well as maximum expected high and low levels, aiding traders in setting appropriate entry and exit points.
This indicator utilizes the previous day's open and close prices to establish a midpoint, around which the expected price range is calculated. By factoring in a user-defined standard deviation multiplier, traders can adjust the sensitivity of the expected price levels to market volatility.
The script plots the previous day's midpoint, along with the expected high and low price levels for the current day. Additionally, it offers insights into potential maximum price fluctuations by plotting the maximum expected high and low levels.
ICT Hydra MacrosThis indicator allows you to set a colored box at each time frame specified as Macro.
The purpose of this customizable color box is to be able to identify the start and end of the desired time frame, as well as the highest and lowest price during that time frame.
It also allows to place the schedule in numbers inside the box in order to quickly identify the painted time frame.
The indicator has up to 26 customizable boxes both in time frame and color. This allows to have different time frames that each Trader considers convenient for his strategy.
Settings:
General Settings:
Limit Days to Draw: Indicates the number of past days in which boxes will be drawn. Default value is 5 past days.
Timeframe Limit: Indicates the maximum time frame in which the boxes will be displayed. Default value is 5 minutes.
Timezone: Indicates the desired Timezone to calculate the schedules that will be configured later.
Macros Settings:
Show Macros Boxes: Enables or disables all boxes. It is enabled by default.
Display Text: Enables or disables all labels inside the boxes containing the time frame corresponding to the box. It is enabled by default.
Macros Transparency: Indicates the transparency percentage of the selected color for all boxes. By default it contains a value of 80% transparency.
Macro 1-26: Indicates the start time and end time, as well as the color of the individual box. Each Macro can be enabled or disabled individually. Note that the boxes of each Macro will be visible only if the "Show Macros Boxes" property is enabled. By default, there are specified certain Macros or time frames with a duration of 20 minutes, which are Manipulation or Expansion Macros that mentor Hydra has taught us based on the knowledge that ICT has provided for everyone.
The objective of this indicator is to provide a visual tool on the Macros or Time Frames in which the Trader can easily observe the desired schedule and which will automatically adjust according to the time and price on all 4 sides of the box.
Crypto Stablecoin Supply - Indicator [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Stablecoin Supply - Indicator" differentiates itself by focusing on the aggregate supply of major stablecoins—USDT, USDC, and DAI—rather than traditional price-based metrics. Its premise is that fluctuations in the total supply of these stablecoins can serve as leading indicators for broader market movements, offering traders a unique vantage point to anticipate shifts in market sentiment.
BTCUSD 6h for recent bull market
BTCUSD 8h
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Data Collection
The strategy begins with the collection of the closing supply for USDT, USDC, and DAI stablecoins. This data is fetched using a specified timeframe (**`tfInput`**), allowing for flexibility in analysis periods.
🔶 Supply Calculation
The individual supplies of USDT, USDC, and DAI are then aggregated to determine the total stablecoin supply within the market at any given time. This combined figure serves as the foundation for the subsequent statistical analysis.
🔶 Z-Score Computation
The heart of the indicator's strategy lies in the computation of the Z-Score, which is a statistical measure used to identify how far a data point is from the mean, relative to the standard deviation. The formula for the Z-Score is:
Z = (X - μ) / σ
Where:
- Z is the Z-Score
- X is the current total stablecoin supply (TotalStablecoinClose)
- μ (mu) is the mean of the total stablecoin supply over a specified length (len)
- σ (sigma) is the standard deviation of the total stablecoin supply over the same length
A moving average of the Z-Score (**`zScore_ma`**) is calculated over a short period (defaulted to 3) to smooth out the volatility and provide a clearer signal.
🔶 Signal Interpretation
The Z-Score itself is plotted, with its color indicating its relation to a defined threshold (0.382), serving as a direct visual cue for market sentiment. Zones are also highlighted to show when the Z-Score is within certain extreme ranges, suggesting overbought or oversold conditions.
Bull -> Bear
█ Trade Direction
- **Entry Threshold**: A Z-Score crossing above 0.382 suggests an increase in stablecoin supply relative to its historical average, potentially indicating bullish market sentiment or incoming capital flow into cryptocurrencies.
- **Exit Threshold**: Conversely, a Z-Score dropping below -0.382 may signal a reduction in stablecoin supply, hinting at bearish sentiment or capital withdrawal.
█ Usage
Traders can leverage the "Stablecoin Supply - Indicator" to gain insights into the underlying market dynamics that are not immediately apparent through price analysis alone. It is particularly useful for identifying potential shifts in market sentiment before they are reflected in price movements. By integrating this indicator with other technical analysis tools, traders can develop a more rounded and informed trading strategy.
█ Default Settings
- Timeframe Input (`tfInput`): Allows users to specify the timeframe for data collection, adding flexibility to the analysis.
- Z-Score Length (`len`): Set to 252 by default, representing the period over which the mean and standard deviation of the stablecoin supply are calculated.
- Color Coding: Uses distinct colors (green for bullish, red for bearish) to indicate the Z-Score's position relative to its thresholds, enhancing visual clarity.
- Extreme Range Fill: Highlights areas between defined high and low Z-Score thresholds with distinct colors to indicate potential overbought or oversold conditions.
By integrating considerations of stablecoin supply into the analytical framework, the "Stablecoin Supply - Indicator" offers a novel perspective on cryptocurrency market dynamics, enabling traders to make more nuanced and informed decisions.
Pivot Extremes BreakoutI created the "Pivot Extremes Breakout" (PEB) indicator to easily spot breakout zones using pivot points. This tool comes from my need to anticipate market direction and capitalize on breakouts. PEB uses the last two pivot points to predict price paths and highlights potential breakout areas, adjusting for any timeframe. It simplifies seeing where the market might move next with color-coded lines and zones, aiming to improve your trading decisions.
STABLECOINS DEPEG FINDERSTABLECOINS DEPEG FINDER
With this script, you will be able to understand how DePeg in stablecoins USDT, USDC, and FDUSD can influence the TOTAL Market Cap.
WHAT IS DEPEG?
DePeg occurs when a stablecoin loses its peg. It can't maintain the $1.00 price for a while (or anymore). Traders can use DePeg for high-quality trading both in Crypto and Stablecoins. Usually, a Negative DePeg (e.g., 0.98%) means you can buy Stablecoins at a 2% discount. This translates to a 2% gain when the Stablecoin returns to its peg. Additionally, a Positive DePeg could be a good moment for selling or withdrawal.
WHY DEPEG MATTERS IN THE CRYPTO SPACE
Depeg in Crypto markets is primarily a matter of "earning from small differences in peg." If well understood, it can help traders and analysts to spot whales' next moves. Usually, when a negative DePeg (below $1) occurs, it means whales are in a hurry to sell their Stablecoin tokens for Crypto Tokens. In this hurry, they sell Stablecoins at a discount. In the short term, a Crypto pump is likely planned, and they buy the next x100 token.
On the other hand, a positive DePeg (above $1) means whales are in a hurry to convert tokens into Stablecoins because they are heavily selling Crypto Tokens. This leads to them paying more for Stablecoins. Positive Depeg is more interesting than Negative DePeg. Usually, it signifies an important sell-off in the crypto environment, creating high tension to safeguard your hard-earned money. Whales hurry to convert altcoins and tokens into stablecoins, causing a Positive Depeg (they are willing to pay more to be safe). Positive DePeg is plotted as Intense Background Color.
Identifying 'areas' where this occurs could help traders and analysts understand this highly manipulative market better and take positions.
THE SCRIPT
This script will help traders and analysts understand when USDT, USDC, and FDUSD depegged and how the crypto market reacted. It comes with the possibility to check and plot backgrounds when there's Positive DePeg or Negative DePeg for USDT, USDC, or FDUSD.
It's pretty useful for data analysis. In the bottom-right part, you can check the actual stablecoin peg for the three Stablecoins:
- Highest Positive DePeg in a given BackTrace
- Average Positive DePeg in a given BackTrace
- Actual Peg for USDT, USDC, FDUSD
- Average Negative DePeg in a given BackTrace
- Lowest Negative DePeg in a given BackTrace
UNDERSTANDING THE BACKGROUND PLOT
NEGATIVE DEPEG
For each Stablecoin, negative DePeg is plotted as Translucent Background Color: USDT lime, USDC aqua, FDUSD grey. You can choose from settings whether it needs to be enabled or disabled for each token.
POSITIVE DEPEG
For each Stablecoin, positive DePeg is plotted as Intense Background Color: USDT lime, USDC aqua, FDUSD grey. You can choose from settings whether it needs to be enabled or disabled for each token.
USE CASE EXAMPLES
With this script you can plan to be alerted WHEN one of those stablecoin are depegging over a threesold. Than you can act accordingly.
BUY OPPORTUNITY
Let' suppose you want to see how USDC can influence Crypto Price when deppeged
I've setup signal to be plotted only for negative Depeg when USDC goes below 0.998. As you can see it was a very good and nice buy area for the entire crypto market
SELL OPPORTUNITY
Spot a selling point could be harder. In the example below let's see how USDC positive DePeg can show signal of Crypto dump earlier in daily TF
Astro: Celestial Body LongitudesThis is fork of the previous Astro: Planetary Longitudes indicator that now includes over a dozen different celestial bodies, made possible after the most recent update of the AstroLib library .
Celestial longitude is a measurement of the position of a celestial body in its orbit around the Sun, expressed in degrees of arc along the plane of the body's orbit. It is one of the fundamental coordinates used in astronomy to describe the position of a planet or other celestial object.
The concept of longitude is important in astrology, where it is used to determine the position of the planets in the zodiac. In this context, the longitude is measured along the ecliptic, which is the apparent path of the Sun on the celestial sphere. Astrologers use the position of the planets in the zodiac to make predictions and interpretations about personality traits, life events, earthquakes, market events, and other aspects of human experience.
This indicator includes geocentric/heliocentric longitude lines with retrograde identification, Vedic Nakshatras, and astrological zodiac & aspects for each of the celestial bodies. Hover over labels for additional information.
