Simple Volatility ConeThe Simple Volatility Cone indicator projects the potential future price range of a stock based on recent volatility. It calculates rolling standard deviation from log returns over a defined window, then uses a confidence interval to estimate the upper and lower bounds the price could reach over a future time horizon. These bounds are plotted directly on the chart, offset into the future, allowing traders to visualize expected price dispersion under a geometric Brownian motion assumption. This tool is useful for risk management, trade planning, and visualizing the potential impact of volatility.
Forecasting
Anchored Probability Cone by TenozenFirst of all, credit to @nasu_is_gaji for the open source code of Log-Normal Price Forecast! He teaches me alot on how to use polylines and inverse normal distribution from his indicator, so check it out!
What is this indicator all about?
This indicator draws a probability cone that visualizes possible future price ranges with varying levels of statistical confidence using Inverse Normal Distribution , anchored to the start of a selected timeframe (4h, W, M, etc.)
Feutures:
Anchored Cone: Forecasts begin at the first bar of each chosen higher timeframe, offering a consistent point for analysis.
Drift & Volatility-Based Forecast: Uses log returns to estimate market volatility (smoothed using VWMA) and incorporates a trend angle that users can set manually.
Probabilistic Price Bands: Displays price ranges with 5 customizable confidence levels (e.g., 30%, 68%, 87%, 99%, 99,9%).
Dynamic Updating: Recalculates and redraws the cone at the start of each new anchor period.
How to use:
Choose the Anchored Timeframe (PineScript only be able to forecast 500 bars in the future, so if it doesn't plot, try adjusting to a lower anchored period).
You can set the Model Length, 100 sample is the default. The higher the sample size, the higher the bias towards the overall volatility. So better set the sample size in a balanced manner.
If the market is inside the 30% conifidence zone (gray color), most likely the market is sideways. If it's outside the 30% confidence zone, that means it would tend to trend and reach the other probability levels.
Always follow the trend, don't ever try to trade mean reversions if you don't know what you're doing, as mean reversion trades are riskier.
That's all guys! I hope this indicator helps! If there's any suggestions, I'm open for it! Thanks and goodluck on your trading journey!
Bitcoin Power Law OscillatorThis is the oscillator version of the script. The main body of the script can be found here.
Understanding the Bitcoin Power Law Model
Also called the Long-Term Bitcoin Power Law Model. The Bitcoin Power Law model tries to capture and predict Bitcoin's price growth over time. It assumes that Bitcoin's price follows an exponential growth pattern, where the price increases over time according to a mathematical relationship.
By fitting a power law to historical data, the model creates a trend line that represents this growth. It then generates additional parallel lines (support and resistance lines) to show potential price boundaries, helping to visualize where Bitcoin’s price could move within certain ranges.
In simple terms, the model helps us understand Bitcoin's general growth trajectory and provides a framework to visualize how its price could behave over the long term.
The Bitcoin Power Law has the following function:
Power Law = 10^(a + b * log10(d))
Consisting of the following parameters:
a: Power Law Intercept (default: -17.668).
b: Power Law Slope (default: 5.926).
d: Number of days since a reference point(calculated by counting bars from the reference point with an offset).
Explanation of the a and b parameters:
Roughly explained, the optimal values for the a and b parameters are determined through a process of linear regression on a log-log scale (after applying a logarithmic transformation to both the x and y axes). On this log-log scale, the power law relationship becomes linear, making it possible to apply linear regression. The best fit for the regression is then evaluated using metrics like the R-squared value, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. This process can be quite complex and is beyond the scope of this post.
Applying vertical shifts to generate the other lines:
Once the initial power-law is created, additional lines are generated by applying a vertical shift. This shift is achieved by adding a specific number of days (or years in case of this script) to the d-parameter. This creates new lines perfectly parallel to the initial power law with an added vertical shift, maintaining the same slope and intercept.
In the case of this script, shifts are made by adding +365 days, +2 * 365 days, +3 * 365 days, +4 * 365 days, and +5 * 365 days, effectively introducing one to five years of shifts. This results in a total of six Power Law lines, as outlined below (From lowest to highest):
Base Power Law Line (no shift)
1-year shifted line
2-year shifted line
3-year shifted line
4-year shifted line
5-year shifted line
The six power law lines:
Bitcoin Power Law Oscillator
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the Bitcoin Power Law. This version applies a logarithmic transformation to the price, Base Power Law Line, and 5-year shifted line using the formula: log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed Base Power Law Line and 5-year shifted line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(Base Power Law Line) / log(5-year shifted line) - log(Base Power Law Line)
Finally, the normalized price was multiplied by 5 to map its value between 0 and 5, aligning with the shifted lines.
Interpretation of the Bitcoin Power Law Model:
The shifted Power Law lines provide a framework for predicting Bitcoin's future price movements based on historical trends. These lines are created by applying a vertical shift to the initial Power Law line, with each shifted line representing a future time frame (e.g., 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, etc.).
By analyzing these shifted lines, users can make predictions about minimum price levels at specific future dates. For example, the 5-year shifted line will act as the main support level for Bitcoin’s price in 5 years, meaning that Bitcoin’s price should not fall below this line, ensuring that Bitcoin will be valued at least at this level by that time. Similarly, the 2-year shifted line will serve as the support line for Bitcoin's price in 2 years, establishing that the price should not drop below this line within that time frame.
On the other hand, the 5-year shifted line also functions as an absolute resistance , meaning Bitcoin's price will not exceed this line prior to the 5-year mark. This provides a prediction that Bitcoin cannot reach certain price levels before a specific date. For example, the price of Bitcoin is unlikely to reach $100,000 before 2021, and it will not exceed this price before the 5-year shifted line becomes relevant. After 2028, however, the price is predicted to never fall below $100,000, thanks to the support established by the shifted lines.
In essence, the shifted Power Law lines offer a way to predict both the minimum price levels that Bitcoin will hit by certain dates and the earliest dates by which certain price points will be reached. These lines help frame Bitcoin's potential future price range, offering insight into long-term price behavior and providing a guide for investors and analysts. Lets examine some examples:
Example 1:
In Example 1 it can be seen that point A on the 5-year shifted line acts as major resistance . Also it can be seen that 5 years later this price level now corresponds to the Base Power Law Line and acts as a major support at point B(Note: Vertical yearly grid lines have been added for this purpose👍).
Example 2:
In Example 2, the price level at point C on the 3-year shifted line becomes a major support three years later at point D, now aligning with the Base Power Law Line.
Finally, let's explore some future price predictions, as this script provides projections on the weekly timeframe :
Example 3:
In Example 3, the Bitcoin Power Law indicates that Bitcoin's price cannot surpass approximately $808K before 2030 as can be seen at point E, while also ensuring it will be at least $224K by then (point F).
Bitcoin Power LawThis is the main body version of the script. The Oscillator version can be found here.
Understanding the Bitcoin Power Law Model
Also called the Long-Term Bitcoin Power Law Model. The Bitcoin Power Law model tries to capture and predict Bitcoin's price growth over time. It assumes that Bitcoin's price follows an exponential growth pattern, where the price increases over time according to a mathematical relationship.
By fitting a power law to historical data, the model creates a trend line that represents this growth. It then generates additional parallel lines (support and resistance lines) to show potential price boundaries, helping to visualize where Bitcoin’s price could move within certain ranges.
In simple terms, the model helps us understand Bitcoin's general growth trajectory and provides a framework to visualize how its price could behave over the long term.
The Bitcoin Power Law has the following function:
Power Law = 10^(a + b * log10(d))
Consisting of the following parameters:
a: Power Law Intercept (default: -17.668).
b: Power Law Slope (default: 5.926).
d: Number of days since a reference point(calculated by counting bars from the reference point with an offset).
Explanation of the a and b parameters:
Roughly explained, the optimal values for the a and b parameters are determined through a process of linear regression on a log-log scale (after applying a logarithmic transformation to both the x and y axes). On this log-log scale, the power law relationship becomes linear, making it possible to apply linear regression. The best fit for the regression is then evaluated using metrics like the R-squared value, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. This process can be quite complex and is beyond the scope of this post.
Applying vertical shifts to generate the other lines:
Once the initial power-law is created, additional lines are generated by applying a vertical shift. This shift is achieved by adding a specific number of days (or years in case of this script) to the d-parameter. This creates new lines perfectly parallel to the initial power law with an added vertical shift, maintaining the same slope and intercept.
In the case of this script, shifts are made by adding +365 days, +2 * 365 days, +3 * 365 days, +4 * 365 days, and +5 * 365 days, effectively introducing one to five years of shifts. This results in a total of six Power Law lines, as outlined below (From lowest to highest):
Base Power Law Line (no shift)
1-year shifted line
2-year shifted line
3-year shifted line
4-year shifted line
5-year shifted line
The six power law lines:
Bitcoin Power Law Oscillator
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the Bitcoin Power Law. This version applies a logarithmic transformation to the price, Base Power Law Line, and 5-year shifted line using the formula: log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed Base Power Law Line and 5-year shifted line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(Base Power Law Line) / log(5-year shifted line) - log(Base Power Law Line)
Finally, the normalized price was multiplied by 5 to map its value between 0 and 5, aligning with the shifted lines.
Interpretation of the Bitcoin Power Law Model:
The shifted Power Law lines provide a framework for predicting Bitcoin's future price movements based on historical trends. These lines are created by applying a vertical shift to the initial Power Law line, with each shifted line representing a future time frame (e.g., 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, etc.).
By analyzing these shifted lines, users can make predictions about minimum price levels at specific future dates. For example, the 5-year shifted line will act as the main support level for Bitcoin’s price in 5 years, meaning that Bitcoin’s price should not fall below this line, ensuring that Bitcoin will be valued at least at this level by that time. Similarly, the 2-year shifted line will serve as the support line for Bitcoin's price in 2 years, establishing that the price should not drop below this line within that time frame.
On the other hand, the 5-year shifted line also functions as an absolute resistance , meaning Bitcoin's price will not exceed this line prior to the 5-year mark. This provides a prediction that Bitcoin cannot reach certain price levels before a specific date. For example, the price of Bitcoin is unlikely to reach $100,000 before 2021, and it will not exceed this price before the 5-year shifted line becomes relevant. After 2028, however, the price is predicted to never fall below $100,000, thanks to the support established by the shifted lines.
In essence, the shifted Power Law lines offer a way to predict both the minimum price levels that Bitcoin will hit by certain dates and the earliest dates by which certain price points will be reached. These lines help frame Bitcoin's potential future price range, offering insight into long-term price behavior and providing a guide for investors and analysts. Lets examine some examples:
Example 1:
In Example 1 it can be seen that point A on the 5-year shifted line acts as major resistance . Also it can be seen that 5 years later this price level now corresponds to the Base Power Law Line and acts as a major support at point B (Note: Vertical yearly grid lines have been added for this purpose👍).
Example 2:
In Example 2, the price level at point C on the 3-year shifted line becomes a major support three years later at point D, now aligning with the Base Power Law Line.
Finally, let's explore some future price predictions, as this script provides projections on the weekly timeframe :
Example 3:
In Example 3, the Bitcoin Power Law indicates that Bitcoin's price cannot surpass approximately $808K before 2030 as can be seen at point E, while also ensuring it will be at least $224K by then (point F).
ADX Z-Score OscillatorTitle: ADX Z-Score Oscillator
Description:
The ADX Z-Score Oscillator is a normalized version of the traditional Average Directional Index (ADX), designed to oscillate between fixed bounds for easier interpretation of trend strength. Instead of plotting the raw ADX line, this indicator calculates the Z-Score of the ADX relative to its recent average and standard deviation, allowing for consistent comparison over time and across different assets.
The Z-Score oscillates between fixed horizontal levels of +2 and -2, highlighting extreme values.
The orange line represents the current Z-Score of the ADX.
Horizontal reference lines at +2 (red), 0 (gray), and -2 (green) help define overbought/oversold or strong/weak trend zones.
A dynamic table on the chart shows the current Z-Score with color coding to indicate trend strength:
🔴 Z > 1.5 → Very strong trend
🟠 Z > 0.5 → Moderate trend
🔵 Z < -0.5 → Weakening or reversing trend
🟢 Z < -1.5 → Very weak trend or potential reversal zone
This transformation of the ADX into a bounded oscillator helps traders easily assess trend strength and changes in momentum without the ambiguity of varying ADX scale levels.
OBV Z-Score + Table📘 OBV Z-Score — Indicator Description
Overview
This indicator converts the On-Balance Volume (OBV) into a Z-Score oscillator, providing a normalized statistical view of volume flow strength relative to its recent history.
How It Works
OBV Calculation
The On-Balance Volume accumulates volume based on price direction, showing whether volume is flowing into or out of an asset.
Z-Score Transformation
The OBV values are normalized via Z-Score:
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Z = (OBV - Mean) / Standard Deviation
This reveals how unusually strong or weak volume momentum is compared to recent norms.
Smoothing
An optional moving average smoothing (SMA, EMA, VWMA, etc.) can be applied for cleaner signals.
Z-Score Table
A live Z-Score value is displayed in a table on the top-right of the indicator pane, clamped between +2 and -2:
+2 indicates unusually high positive volume momentum
-2 indicates unusually high negative volume momentum
How to Use It
Bullish Signal: Z-Score crossing above +1.5 or +2 signals strong buying volume pressure
Bearish Signal: Z-Score crossing below -1.5 or -2 signals strong selling volume pressure
Combine with Price Action: Use alongside price trends or other Z-Score indicators to improve decision making in SDCA or volume-based trading systems
Cumulative Volume Delta with Divergence🧠 Core Functionality:
1. Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD):
Purpose: Visualizes the difference between buying and selling pressure over time.
Mechanism:
It uses lower-timeframe volume delta data, retrieved from ta.requestVolumeDelta(), to build a candle-style visualization of the net volume movement.
Plotted candles show whether buying (up volume) or selling (down volume) was dominant within each period.
Teal candles: More buying than selling (CVD up).
Red candles: More selling than buying (CVD down).
Volume Source: Based on intrabar up/down volume approximation from lower timeframes.
🧭 Divergence Detection (New Feature):
2. Regular Bullish Divergence:
Condition:
Price makes a lower low.
CVD (lastVolume) makes a higher low.
Interpretation: Selling pressure is weakening despite price making new lows — a potential reversal signal to the upside.
Displayed As:
Green line and label "Bull" under the CVD at the divergence point.
3. Regular Bearish Divergence:
Condition:
Price makes a higher high.
CVD makes a lower high.
Interpretation: Buying pressure is fading despite price rising — a potential reversal signal to the downside.
Displayed As:
Red line and label "Bear" above the CVD at the divergence point.
🧰 User Controls:
Use custom timeframe: Overrides default volume delta resolution for finer or broader analysis.
Calculate Divergence: Turns the divergence detection on or off.
Adjustable via script inputs.
🔔 Alerts:
Two alert conditions are included:
One for bullish divergence.
One for bearish divergence.
Alerts trigger at the bar where the divergence is confirmed, not where it starts.
📈 Use Case:
This tool is ideal for traders looking to:
Spot early reversals or momentum shifts.
Combine volume analysis with price action.
Time entries or exits more accurately using volume-confirmed divergence.
Smart S/R ZonesThis is not your average S/R script.
It combines proximity, bounce frequency, and volume clustering to automatically identify the most reliable support and resistance zones on your chart — no guesswork needed.
How It Works:
• Scans for recent highs/lows, SMA50 & SMA200, and pivot swing points
• Ranks each potential level using a weighted scoring system:
• Proximity to current price (50%)
• Bounce Count (30%) — how many times price respected that level
• Volume Score (20%) — how much volume traded around that level
• The top support and resistance levels are plotted with:
• Clear dashed lines
• Color-filled zones
• Simple percentage distance labels
Why This Script Stands Out:
• No settings to tweak — it just works
• Helps you react faster with high-confidence levels
• Adapts to any market: crypto, forex, stocks, indexes
• Ideal for both intraday and swing trading setups
Built-in Intelligence. Clean Visuals. Zero Noise.
UT Bot + Cooldown + Visual FVGSynopsis – UT Bot + Cooldown + Visual FVG
This TradingView script combines:
✅ UT Bot Reversal Signals
Based on ATR and volatility logic
BUY when trend flips from bearish to bullish
SELL when trend flips from bullish to bearish
✅ Cooldown Filter
Limits signals to 1 per X bars (default 30)
Prevents overtrading during choppy price action
✅ Optional FVG Markers (Fair Value Gaps)
Visually shows bullish or bearish imbalances (3-bar gaps)
Does not affect signal generation — only for confluence
🔍 Ideal for traders who want clean, time-filtered signals with visual price-action context. Suitable for futures, crypto, or forex on intraday charts.
Velez Price Action Signals (with 20 & 200 SMA)Velez Price Action Signals – With 20 & 200 SMA Overlay
This TradingView Pine Script is a clean and powerful reversal signal tool inspired by Oliver Velez’s price action philosophy, enhanced with trend context via two Simple Moving Averages.
🔍 Signal Logic
Buy Signal:
Current candle sweeps below the previous 5-bar low (liquidity grab).
Candle is bullish (close > open).
The lower wick is significantly larger than the body (e.g. ratio > 1.5).
Sell Signal:
Current candle sweeps above the previous 5-bar high.
Candle is bearish (close < open).
The upper wick is significantly larger than the body.
Signals appear as BUY/SELL labels on the chart (non-repainting).
Benner Cycles📜 Overview
The Benner Cycles indicator is a visually intuitive overlay that maps out one of the most historically referenced market timing models—Samuel T. Benner’s Cycles—directly onto your chart. This tool highlights three distinct types of market years: Panic, Peak, and Buy years, based on the rhythmic patterns first published by Benner in the late 19th century.
Benner's work is legendary among financial historians and cycle theorists. His original charts, dating back to the 1800s, remarkably anticipated economic booms, busts, and recoveries by following repeating year intervals. This modern adaptation brings that ancient rhythm into your TradingView workspace.
🔍 Background
Samuel T. Benner (1832–1913) was an Ohioan ironworks businessman and farmer who, after losing everything in the Panic of 1873, sought to uncover the secrets of economic cycles. His work led to the famous Benner's Cycle Chart, which forecasts business activity using repeatable intervals of panic, prosperity, and opportunity.
Benner’s method was based on a combination of numerological, agricultural, and empirical observations—not unlike early forms of technical and cyclical analysis. His legacy survives through a set of three rotating intervals for each market condition.
George Tritch was the individual responsible for preserving and publishing Samuel T. Benner’s economic cycle charts after Benner's death. While Benner was the original creator of the Benner Cycle, Tritch is known for reproducing and circulating the Benner chart in the early 20th century, helping it gain broader recognition among traders, economists, and financial historians.
🛠️ Features
Overlay Background Highlights shades the chart background to reflect the current year's cycle type
Configurable Year Range defines your own historical scope using Start Year and End Year
Fully Customizable Colors & Opacity
Live Statistics Table (optional) displays next projected Panic, Peak, and Buy years as well as current year’s market phase
Cycle Phase Logic (optional) prioritizes highlighting in order of Panic > Peak > Buy if overlaps occur
📈 Use Cases
Macro Timing Tool – Use the cycle phases to align with broader economic rhythms (especially useful for long-term investors or cycle traders).
Market Sentiment Guide – Panic years may coincide with recessions or major selloffs; Buy years may signal deep value or accumulation opportunities.
Overlay for Historical Studies – Perfect for comparing past major market movements (e.g., 1837, 1929, 2008) with their corresponding cycle phase. See known limitations below.
Forecasting Reference – Identify where we are in the repeating Benner rhythm and prepare for what's likely ahead.
⚠️ Limitations
❗ Not Predictive in Isolation: Use in conjunction with other tools.
❗ Calendar-Based Only: This indicator is strictly time-based and does not factor in price action, volume, or volatility.
❗ Historical Artifact, Not a Guarantee
❗ Data Availability: This indicator's historical output is constrained by the available price history of the underlying ticker. Therefore, it cannot display cycles prior to the earliest candle on the chart.
Trend Table ZeeZeeMonMulti-Timeframe Trend Indicator
Overview
This indicator identifies trends across multiple higher timeframes and displays them in a widget on the right side of the chart. It serves as an alternative trend-filtering tool, helping traders align with the dominant market direction. Unlike traditional moving average-based trend detection (e.g., price above/below a 200 MA), this indicator assesses whether higher timeframes are genuinely trending by analyzing swing highs and lows.
Trend Definition
Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows.
Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows.
A trend reversal occurs when a prior high/low is breached (e.g., in a downtrend, breaking the last high signals an uptrend).
Customization Options
Lookback Period: Adjusts the sensitivity for identifying swing highs/lows (pivot points). A shorter lookback detects more frequent pivots.
Historical Pivot Visibility: Toggle to display past swing highs/lows for verification.
Support/Resistance Lines: Show dynamic levels from recent pivots on higher timeframes. Breaching these lines indicates potential trend changes.
Purpose
Helps traders:
Confirm higher timeframe trends before entering trades.
Monitor proximity to trend reversals.
Fine-tune pivot sensitivity for optimal trend detection.
Note: Works best as a supplementary trend filter alongside other trading strategies.
FVG + OB + RSI Divergence + Volume Spikes🧠 FVG + OB + RSI Divergence + Volume Spikes – Market Structure Confluence Tool
This all-in-one indicator brings together four powerful market concepts into a single script designed to help traders identify high-probability trade setups with precision and clarity:
🔍 What It Does
✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Highlights inefficiencies in price action, showing where the market may return to “rebalance.”
✅ Order Blocks (OB)
Marks key institutional footprints — bullish and bearish order blocks based on engulfing candle structures.
✅ RSI Divergence
Detects both bullish and bearish divergences between price and RSI, signaling potential reversals.
✅ Volume Spikes
Flags bars where volume significantly exceeds the average — a common footprint of smart money.
🎯 How to Use
Use this tool to spot confluences between price inefficiencies (FVG), key reversal zones (OB), momentum shifts (RSI Divergence), and institutional interest (Volume Spikes). The best setups often occur when multiple signals align — especially at key support/resistance or trend zones.
⚙️ Inputs
RSI length (for divergence)
Volume spike sensitivity (multiplier)
Lookback for Order Blocks and FVGs
⚠️ Notes
This is a non-repainting tool.
Ideal for price action, SMC, ICT, and order flow traders.
Combine with your existing strategy and higher time frame bias for best results.
OB Sweeps ReversalOB Sweeps Reversal is a high-precision market structure tool that identifies and dynamically tracks bullish and bearish order blocks — key zones where institutional participants are likely to be active. These zones act as support and resistance levels, adapting to market behavior in real time.
The script monitors price interaction with each OB and classifies its status as:
Unmitigated (price has not yet returned)
Mitigating (price is testing the zone)
Invalidated (zone has been broken)
Traders can use these zones directly as actionable support/resistance — or wait for additional confirmation via the system’s liquidity sweep detection and optional filters.
🔍 Key Features:
Automatically detects and plots bullish and bearish OBs
Tracks mitigation status and updates visuals accordingly
Detects liquidity sweeps of recent highs/lows
Optional filters:
• 200 EMA trend direction
• Momentum of current or previous candle
Plots stop-loss and take-profit lines using ATR-based logic
Clean entry labels with full contextual data
Built-in alert system with constant-string messages (automation ready)
📈 How to Use:
Load the script on any timeframe (15m–4H recommended)
Observe the live OB zones as they develop
Trade based on price interaction:
• Bounce off a bullish OB = potential long setup
• Rejection from a bearish OB = potential short
• Sweep + snapback into an OB = optional trap reversal entry
SL/TP levels are drawn automatically for reference
Use alerts to automate or monitor high-conviction setups
The order blocks themselves are valuable on their own — even without waiting for a signal. They can be used as dynamic support and resistance zones, offering excellent structure-based trading opportunities.
🧠 Ideal For:
Traders who follow price action and market structure
Those using support/resistance, OBs, or supply/demand
Intraday and swing traders looking for cleaner structure alignment
Users who prefer low-frequency, high-quality setups
⚠️ Note:
This tool does not produce frequent signals. It is designed for precision and discipline, with a focus on clarity and confluence. It complements — not replaces — a trader’s decision-making process.
This script is open-source and designed with integrity, precision, and trader usability in mind. No links, no upsells, no promotions — just a reliable system for structural market analysis.
IU Mean Reversion SystemDESCRIPTION
The IU Mean Reversion System is a dynamic mean reversion-based trading framework designed to identify optimal reversal zones using a smoothed mean and a volatility-adjusted band. This system captures price extremes by combining exponential and running moving averages with the Average True Range (ATR), effectively identifying overextended price action that is likely to revert back to its mean. It provides precise long and short entries with corresponding exit conditions, making it ideal for range-bound markets or phases of low volatility.
USER INPUTS :
Mean Length – Controls the smoothness of the mean; default is 9.
ATR Length – Defines the lookback period for ATR-based band calculation; default is 100.
Multiplier – Determines how wide the upper and lower bands are from the mean; default is 3.
LONG CONDITION :
A long entry is triggered when the closing price crosses above the lower band, indicating a potential upward mean reversion.
A position is taken only if there is no active long position already.
SHORT CONDITION :
A short entry is triggered when the closing price crosses below the upper band, signaling a potential downward mean reversion.
A position is taken only if there is no active short position already.
LONG EXIT :
A long position exits when the high price crosses above the mean, implying that price has reverted back to its average and may no longer offer favorable long risk-reward.
SHORT EXIT :
A short position exits when the low price crosses below the mean, indicating the mean reversion has occurred and the downside opportunity has likely played out.
WHY IT IS UNIQUE:
Uses a double smoothing approach (EMA + RMA) to define a stable mean, reducing noise and false signals.
Adapts dynamically to volatility using ATR-based bands, allowing it to handle different market conditions effectively.
Implements a state-aware entry system using persistent variables, avoiding redundant entries and improving clarity.
The logic is clear, concise, and modular, making it easy to modify or integrate with other systems.
HOW USER CAN BENEFIT FROM IT :
Traders can easily identify reversion opportunities in sideways or mean-reverting environments.
Entry and exit points are visually labeled on the chart, aiding in clarity and trade review.
Helps maintain discipline and consistency by using a rule-based framework instead of subjective judgment.
Can be combined with other trend filters, momentum indicators, or higher time frame context for enhanced results.
Spreader – Real-Time Spread Detector for ScalpingSpreader is a professional tool built for scalpers and intraday traders, designed to visually display live bid-ask spread on your chart. By showing you the true market friction in real time, it helps you avoid poor entries and reduce immediate trade losses.
Smart FlexRange Breakout [The_lurker]The Smart FlexRange Breakout tool aims to identify trading opportunities based on price breakouts of dynamic levels (CALL, PUT) with a dotted centerline and the ability to select the applicable market. The tool relies on candlestick analysis over a specific time period (such as 3 hours). Candle data (searchHours) is collected to identify the most significant candle based on candlestick patterns and trading volume during the selected timeframe. Breakout levels and take-profit (TP) targets are then plotted, along with buy and sell signals, breakout notifications, and up/down trend lines based on Pivot Points.
The tool is run according to the selected timeframe.
Practical Use
1- Setup: Adjust the market, timeframe, number of hours, and time zone to suit the trader's needs.
2- Trading: Monitor signals (BUY/SELL) and TP levels to determine entry and exit points.
3- Trend Lines: Use them to understand the overall trend and confirm signals.
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1. Objective: Identify trading opportunities based on price breakouts
- Trading opportunities: The indicator is designed to help traders identify moments when significant price movements are likely, allowing them to enter buy or sell trades based on market changes.
- Price breakouts: The indicator focuses on moments when prices break through key levels (resistance or support). A breakout occurs when the price exceeds a resistance level (up) or breaks a support level (down), indicating a potential continuation of the movement in the same direction.
- Dynamic: Resistance and support levels are not static; rather, they are calculated based on candlestick analysis over a specific period of time, making them adaptive to current market conditions.
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2. Dynamic levels (resistance and support levels)
- Resistance levels: These represent prices that the price is difficult to break above, defined here as the high of the most significant candle during the specified period.
- Support levels: These represent prices below which the price is difficult to fall, defined as the low of the most significant candle.
- Dynamic: These levels are recalculated every new search period (searchHours), meaning they change based on the latest market data, unlike traditional static levels.
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3. Adding a Dotted Center Line
- Center Line: A horizontal dotted line is drawn at the midpoint between the high and low of the most significant candle.
- Purpose:
- Provides a visual reference point for determining the current price position relative to support and resistance levels.
- Helps assess whether the price is moving toward a breakout (near resistance) or a breakout (near support).
- Dotted: The dotted pattern distinguishes it from the solid upper and lower lines, making it easier to distinguish visually.
---
4. Relying on candlestick analysis over a specific time period (searchHours)
- Candlestick Analysis: The indicator examines candlesticks to determine which ones have the most influence on price movement.
- Timeframe (searchHours):
- The user specifies the number of hours (1-6) for candle analysis, which determines the range of data the indicator relies on.
- Example: If searchHours = 3 and timeframe = 30 minutes, 6 candles are analyzed (3 hours ÷ 30 minutes).
- Flexibility: This period can be adjusted to suit different markets (such as volatile cryptocurrencies or more stable Forex).
---
5. Determining the Most Important Candle Based on Candle Patterns and Volume
- The most important candle: is the candle believed to have the greatest impact on price movement based on specific criteria.
- Candle Patterns:
- Candles are analyzed using a candlestick pattern library (such as Engulfing, Hammer, Doji).
- Reversal patterns (such as Morning Star, Shooting Star) are given a high importance score (100 points) because they indicate potential trend changes.
- Trading Volume:
- The trading volume of each candle is measured and compared to the maximum and minimum during the period.
- Volume is calculated as a percentage (0-100) and added to the pattern score to determine the most significant candle.
- Result: The candle with the highest score (patterns + volume) is used to determine support and resistance levels.
---
6. Timeframe
- Time interval: The user selects a time frame for the candles (15, 30, or 60 minutes).
- Importance:
- Determines the number of candles analyzed during the searchHours period.
- Affects the accuracy and speed of the signals (shorter timeframe = faster but less reliable signals; longer timeframe = slower but more reliable signals).
- Example: If the timeframe is 60 minutes and searchHours is 3, only 3 candles are analyzed.
---
7. Drawing Breakout Levels and Take Profit Targets (TP)
- Breakout Levels:
- Upper line (resistance): Drawn at the highest price of the most significant candle and is labeled "CALL".
- Lower line (support): Drawn at the lowest price of the most important candle and is called "PUT."
- These lines represent levels where a breakout is expected to lead to a strong price movement.
- Take Profit Targets (TP):
- Up to 8 bullish (above the upper line) and bearish (below the lower line) TP levels are calculated.
- They are calculated based on a percentage (tpPercentage) added or subtracted from the base lines.
- Example: If tpPercentage = 0.6% and the high price = 100, then bullish TP1 = 100.6, TP2 = 101.2, etc.
- Labels: Labels are drawn for each TP level indicating the value and level (TP1, TP2, etc.).
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8. Buy and Sell Signals
- Buy (BUY) signal:
- Generated when the price breaks the upper line (ta.crossover).
- The "BUY" label is drawn with the redrawing of the TP levels.
- Sell signal (SELL):
- Generated when the price breaks the lower line (ta.crossunder).
- The "SELL" label is drawn with the redrawing of the TP levels.
- Purpose: To provide clear signals to the trader for making trade entry decisions.
=========================================================================
Thank you, n00btraders.
For using the import library: n00btraders/Timezone/1
For using the import library: The_lurker/AllCandlestickPatternsLibrary/1
========================================================================
Disclaimer:
The information and publications are not intended to be, nor do they constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations provided or endorsed by TradingView.
تهدف أداة Smart FlexRange Breakout إلى تحديد فرص التداول بناءً على اختراقات الأسعار للمستويات الديناميكية (CALL، PUT) مع خط مركزي منقط، مع إمكانية اختيار السوق المناسب. تعتمد الأداة على تحليل الشموع اليابانية على مدى فترة زمنية محددة (مثل 3 ساعات). تُجمع بيانات الشموع (searchHours) لتحديد أهم شمعة بناءً على أنماط الشموع وحجم التداول خلال الإطار الزمني المحدد. ثم تُرسم مستويات الاختراق وأهداف جني الأرباح (TP)، بالإضافة إلى إشارات البيع والشراء، وإشعارات الاختراق، وخطوط الاتجاه الصعودي/الهبوطي بناءً على نقاط المحور.
يتم تشغيل الاداه حسب الفاصل المختار timeframe
الاستخدام العملي
1- الإعداد: اضبط السوق، والإطار الزمني، وعدد الساعات، والمنطقة الزمنية لتناسب احتياجات المتداول.
2- التداول: راقب إشارات (الشراء/البيع) ومستويات جني الأرباح لتحديد نقاط الدخول والخروج.
3- خطوط الاتجاه: استخدمها لفهم الاتجاه العام وتأكيد الإشارات.
1. الهدف: تحديد فرص التداول بناءً على اختراقات الأسعار
- فرص التداول: صُمم هذا المؤشر لمساعدة المتداولين على تحديد اللحظات التي يُحتمل فيها حدوث تحركات سعرية كبيرة، مما يسمح لهم بالدخول في صفقات شراء أو بيع بناءً على تغيرات السوق.
- اختراقات الأسعار: يُركز المؤشر على اللحظات التي تخترق فيها الأسعار مستويات رئيسية (مقاومة أو دعم). يحدث الاختراق عندما يتجاوز السعر مستوى مقاومة (صعودًا) أو يخترق مستوى دعم (هبوطًا)، مما يُشير إلى احتمال استمرار الحركة في نفس الاتجاه.
- ديناميكي: مستويات المقاومة والدعم ليست ثابتة؛ بل تُحسب بناءً على تحليل الشموع اليابانية على مدى فترة زمنية محددة، مما يجعلها مُكيفة مع ظروف السوق الحالية.
2. المستويات الديناميكية (مستويات المقاومة والدعم)
- مستويات المقاومة: تُمثل هذه الأسعار التي يصعب على السعر تجاوزها، وتُعرف هنا بأنها ارتفاع الشمعة الأكثر أهمية خلال الفترة المحددة.
- مستويات الدعم: تُمثل هذه الأسعار التي يصعب على السعر الانخفاض دونها، وتُعرف بأنها أدنى مستوى للشمعة الأكثر أهمية.
- ديناميكي: تُعاد حساب هذه المستويات مع كل فترة بحث جديدة (ساعات البحث)، مما يعني أنها تتغير بناءً على أحدث بيانات السوق، على عكس المستويات الثابتة التقليدية.
3. إضافة خط مركزي منقط
- خط المركز: يُرسم خط أفقي منقط عند نقطة المنتصف بين أعلى وأدنى شمعة ذات أهمية.
- الغرض:
- يوفر نقطة مرجعية بصرية لتحديد وضع السعر الحالي بالنسبة لمستويات الدعم والمقاومة.
- يساعد في تقييم ما إذا كان السعر يتحرك نحو اختراق (بالقرب من المقاومة) أو اختراق (بالقرب من الدعم).
- منقط: يُميزه النمط المنقط عن الخطوط العلوية والسفلية المتصلة، مما يُسهّل تمييزه بصريًا.
4. الاعتماد على تحليل الشموع اليابانية على مدى فترة زمنية محددة (ساعات البحث)
- تحليل الشموع اليابانية: يفحص المؤشر الشموع اليابانية لتحديد أيها الأكثر تأثيرًا على حركة السعر.
- الإطار الزمني (ساعات البحث):
- يُحدد المستخدم عدد الساعات (من 1 إلى 6) لتحليل الشموع، والذي يُحدد نطاق البيانات التي يعتمد عليها المؤشر.
- مثال: إذا كانت ساعات البحث = 3 والإطار الزمني = 30 دقيقة، فسيتم تحليل 6 شموع (3 ساعات ÷ 30 دقيقة).
- المرونة: يُمكن تعديل هذه الفترة لتناسب الأسواق المختلفة (مثل العملات المشفرة المتقلبة أو سوق الفوركس الأكثر استقرارًا).
5. تحديد الشمعة الأكثر أهمية بناءً على أنماط الشموع وحجم التداول
- الشمعة الأكثر أهمية: هي الشمعة التي يُعتقد أن لها التأثير الأكبر على حركة السعر بناءً على معايير محددة.
- أنماط الشموع:
- يتم تحليل الشموع باستخدام مكتبة أنماط الشموع (مثل شمعة الابتلاع، وشمعة المطرقة، وشمعة الدوجي).
- تُمنح أنماط الانعكاس (مثل نجمة الصباح، ونجم الشهاب) درجة أهمية عالية (100 نقطة) لأنها تُشير إلى تغيرات محتملة في الاتجاه.
- حجم التداول:
- يُقاس حجم تداول كل شمعة ويُقارن بالحد الأقصى والأدنى خلال الفترة.
- يُحسب الحجم كنسبة مئوية (0-100) ويُضاف إلى درجة النمط لتحديد الشمعة الأكثر أهمية.
- النتيجة: تُستخدم الشمعة ذات أعلى درجة (الأنماط + الحجم) لتحديد مستويات الدعم والمقاومة.
٦. الإطار الزمني
- الفاصل الزمني: يختار المستخدم إطارًا زمنيًا للشموع (١٥، ٣٠، أو ٦٠ دقيقة).
- الأهمية:
- يحدد عدد الشموع المُحللة خلال فترة ساعات البحث.
- يؤثر على دقة وسرعة الإشارات (الإطار الزمني الأقصر = إشارات أسرع ولكن أقل موثوقية؛ الإطار الزمني الأطول = إشارات أبطأ ولكن أكثر موثوقية).
- مثال: إذا كان الإطار الزمني ٦٠ دقيقة وساعات البحث ٣، فسيتم تحليل ٣ شموع فقط.
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٧. رسم مستويات الاختراق وأهداف جني الأرباح (TP)
- مستويات الاختراق:
- الخط العلوي (المقاومة): يُرسم عند أعلى سعر للشمعة الأكثر أهمية ويُسمى "CALL".
- الخط السفلي (الدعم): يُرسم عند أدنى سعر للشمعة الأكثر أهمية ويُسمى "PUT".
- تمثل هذه الخطوط المستويات التي يُتوقع أن يؤدي فيها الاختراق إلى حركة سعرية قوية.
- أهداف جني الأرباح (TP):
- يتم حساب ما يصل إلى 8 مستويات جني أرباح صعودية (فوق الخط العلوي) وهبوطية (تحت الخط السفلي).
- يتم حسابها بناءً على نسبة مئوية (tpPercentage) تُضاف أو تُطرح من خطوط الأساس.
- مثال: إذا كانت نسبة جني الأرباح = 0.6% وكان أعلى سعر = 100، فإن هدف الربح الصعودي الأول = 100.6، وهدف الربح الثاني = 101.2، وهكذا.
- العلامات: تُرسم علامات لكل مستوى جني أرباح تشير إلى القيمة والمستوى (TP1، TP2، وهكذا).
---
8. إشارات الشراء والبيع
- إشارة الشراء (BUY):
- تُولّد عند اختراق السعر للخط العلوي (ta.crossover).
- تُرسم علامة "الشراء" مع إعادة رسم مستويات جني الأرباح.
- إشارة البيع (SELL):
- تُولّد عند اختراق السعر للخط السفلي (ta.crossunder). - يُرسم مؤشر "بيع" مع إعادة رسم مستويات جني الأرباح.
- الغرض: توفير إشارات واضحة للمتداول لاتخاذ قرارات دخول الصفقة.
==========================================================================
شكرًا لكم، أيها المتداولون الجدد.
لاستخدام مكتبة الاستيراد: n00btraders/Timezone/1
لاستخدام مكتبة الاستيراد: The_lurker/AllCandlestickPatternsLibrary/1
==============================================================================
إخلاء مسؤولية:
لا يُقصد بهذه المعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، ولا تُشكل، نصائح أو توصيات مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أي نوع آخر من النصائح أو التوصيات المُقدمة من TradingView أو المُعتمدة منها.
BB Vicinity Reversal SignalsThis indicator detects potential intraday reversal opportunities based on price action near the outer edges of Bollinger Bands (±2.7 std dev). Unlike traditional Bollinger Band signals that require strict band touches or crossings, this tool identifies reversals that occur in the vicinity of the outer bands, increasing signal frequency while maintaining logical precision.
✅ Key Features:
Buy Signal: Triggered when a bullish candle with a strong body forms near the lower Bollinger Band.
Sell Signal: Triggered when a bearish candle with a strong body forms near the upper Bollinger Band.
Vicinity logic: User-adjustable % range from the outer bands (default: 20%) to define how close price must be.
Body-to-candle ratio filter: Ensures that only meaningful directional candles trigger signals.
No repainting: All signals are generated in real-time based on confirmed candle closes.
Built-in alerts: Receive instant notifications for buy and sell setups.
This tool is ideal for traders looking to capture high-probability mean-reversion trades without being overly restrictive. It works well on intraday timeframes like 5m, 15m, and 1h.
Volumetric Pivot Echo🔮 Volumetric Pivot Echo (VPE)
Future Price Projection Zones with Confidence Scoring
📘 Overview
The Volumetric Pivot Echo (VPE) is a next-generation leading indicator that identifies high-volume reversal points and echoes their price + time behavior into the future — giving you a visual forecast box that includes a confidence score, price range, and duration estimate.
It’s designed for swing and options traders who want forward guidance based on real structure, not just reactive signals.
⚙️ How It Works
Pivot Detection – Finds pivot highs/lows based on configurable bar structure.
Volume Confirmation – Only confirms pivots backed by strong volume (e.g., 1.5× average).
Echo Logic – Measures the price move and time it took to reach the pivot.
ATR Scaling – Adjusts projections based on current market volatility.
Confidence Score – Rates each projection (0–100%) based on structure match, volatility, and direction alignment.
📦 What Appears on Chart
Projection Box:
A forward-drawn rectangle from the current bar to the estimated future zone. The box's size and duration mirror the last valid momentum leg.
Box Label Text:
🔹 Range (projected move size)
⏱️ Duration (bars expected)
✅ Confidence %
VPH/VPL Markers:
Pivot highs and lows confirmed by volume, marked with “VPH” or “VPL”.
🎯 How to Trade with It
Use the box as a target zone for directional trades.
If price enters a box with >85% confidence, consider it a high-quality path projection.
Use with support/resistance confluence or entry systems.
Works especially well for swing trading, breakout setups, or options targeting.
🛠️ Recommended Settings
Box Transparency: Set Projection Up/Down Color to 90 (10% visible).
Text Color: Set to white for readability.
Volume Multiplier: Default 1.5x, increase in choppy markets.
Projection Duration: Start with 1.0x echo multiplier and fine-tune.
⏳ Timeframes & Accuracy
Timeframe Confidence Zones Most Reliable
15m – 1h Use 70–85% confidence scores
1h – 4h Sweet spot for balanced signals
1D – 1W Strongest historical echo tracking (>85% ideal)
✅ Key Features
Forward-looking, non-repainting logic
Clear visual projections — no guesswork
Confidence scoring built-in
ATR-adjusted — adapts to volatility
Works on any asset (stocks, crypto, FX)
🧠 Why It’s Unique
This is not a lagging oscillator or classic trend-following tool.
It’s a leading structure projection model — combining pivot behavior, volume intensity, and market volatility to sketch forward “echo zones” based on the past.
Thai Gold BahtIndicator Name: Thai Gold Baht
Short Title: Thai Gold Baht
Purpose
This indicator calculates and visualizes the real-time price of 1 Thai Gold Baht (15.244 grams) based on the global gold price ( XAU/USD ) and the USD/THB exchange rate .
Users can customize gold weight and purity to simulate the local Thai gold market price.
What it does
Retrieves live gold price per troy ounce in USD
Retrieves current USD to Thai Baht exchange rate
Converts the value using user-defined weight and purity
Displays result as a real-time chart
Shows calculation details in the Data Window
Ideal for
Traders tracking Thai gold based on international prices
Analysts comparing local and global bullion markets
Anyone needing a configurable, transparent gold price conversion
Pine Script Functionality
// Uses XAU/USD and USD/THB as inputs
// Calculates 1 Baht Gold (96.5% default purity)
// Outputs the value in THB as a chart line
ชื่ออินดิเคเตอร์: Thai Gold Baht
ชื่อย่อ: Thai Gold Baht
วัตถุประสงค์
อินดิเคเตอร์นี้ใช้คำนวณและแสดงราคาทองคำไทย 1 บาท (15.244 กรัม) แบบเรียลไทม์
โดยอ้างอิงจากราคาทองคำในตลาดโลก ( XAU/USD ) และอัตราแลกเปลี่ยน USD/THB
ผู้ใช้สามารถกำหนดน้ำหนักทองและความบริสุทธิ์เองได้ เพื่อจำลองราคาทองคำในประเทศไทยอย่างแม่นยำ
สิ่งที่อินดิเคเตอร์นี้ทำ
ดึงราคาทองคำแบบเรียลไทม์ต่อทรอยออนซ์ในสกุลเงิน USD
ดึงอัตราแลกเปลี่ยน USD → THB แบบเรียลไทม์
คำนวณราคาจากน้ำหนักและเปอร์เซ็นต์ความบริสุทธิ์ที่ผู้ใช้กำหนด
แสดงผลลัพธ์เป็นกราฟแบบเรียลไทม์ในหน่วยบาทไทย
แสดงรายละเอียดการคำนวณในหน้าต่าง Data Window ของ TradingView
เหมาะสำหรับ
นักเทรดที่ต้องการติดตามราคาทองคำไทยจากราคาทองคำตลาดโลก
นักวิเคราะห์ที่เปรียบเทียบราคาทองคำในประเทศและต่างประเทศ
ผู้ใช้งานที่ต้องการการแปลงราคาทองคำระหว่างประเทศให้โปร่งใสและปรับแต่งได้
การทำงานของ Pine Script
// ใช้ข้อมูล XAU/USD และ USD/THB เป็นอินพุต
// คำนวณราคาทองคำไทย 1 บาท (ความบริสุทธิ์เริ่มต้นที่ 96.5%)
// แสดงผลเป็นเส้นกราฟของราคาทองคำในหน่วยบาทไทย
Modern Economic Eras DashboardOverview
This script provides a historical macroeconomic visualization of U.S. markets, highlighting long-term structural "eras" such as the Bretton Woods period, the inflationary 1970s, and the post-2020 "Age of Disorder." It overlays key economic indicators sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) and displays notable market crashes, all in a clean and rescaled format for easy comparison.
Data Sources & Indicators
All data is loaded monthly from official FRED series and rescaled to improve readability:
🔵 Real GDP (FRED:GDP): Total output of the U.S. economy.
🔴 Inflation Index (FRED:CPIAUCSL): Consumer price index as a proxy for inflation.
⚪ Debt to GDP (FRED:GFDGDPA188S): Federal debt as % of GDP.
🟣 Labor Force Participation (FRED:CIVPART): % of population in the labor force.
🟠 Oil Prices (FRED:DCOILWTICO): Monthly WTI crude oil prices.
🟡 10Y Real Yield (FRED:DFII10): Inflation-adjusted yield on 10-year Treasuries.
🔵 Symbol Price: Optionally overlays the charted asset’s price, rescaled.
Historical Crashes
The dashboard highlights 10 major U.S. market crashes, including 1929, 2000, and 2008, with labeled time spans for quick context.
Era Classification
Six macroeconomic eras based on Deutsche Bank’s Long-Term Asset Return Study (2020) are shaded with background color. Each era reflects dominant economic regimes—globalization, wars, monetary systems, inflationary cycles, and current geopolitical disorder.
Best Use Cases
✅ Long-term macro investors studying structural market behavior
✅ Educators and analysts explaining economic transitions
✅ Portfolio managers aligning strategy with macroeconomic phases
✅ Traders using history for cycle timing and risk assessment
Technical Notes
Designed for monthly timeframe, though it works on weekly.
Uses close price and standard request.security calls for consistency.
Max labels/lines configured for broader history (from 1860s to present).
All plotted series are rescaled manually for better visibility.
Originality
This indicator is original and not derived from built-in or boilerplate code. It combines multiple economic dimensions and market history into one interactive chart, helping users frame today's markets in a broader structural context.
Overnight Bias: Net Long/Short with PercentOvernight bias can assist with NY session gap fades or gap and go trading once the NY session is open.
Some general gap rules are:
1. Gap Direction Aligned with Overnight Bias
Rule: If the NY session gaps up and the overnight bias is Net Long (e.g., >60% of bars above the overnight open), favor longs.
Confirmation: Look for price to hold above overnight open or VWAP.
Invalidation: If price re-enters the overnight range, reassess.
2. Gap Opposing Overnight Bias (Contrarian Setup)
Rule: If the NY opens opposite the overnight bias, expect potential gap fill or reversal.
Trade Bias: Look for retracement back toward the overnight open or VWAP.
Example: Overnight was Net Long, but NY gaps down → wait for reclaim of VWAP to go long, else fade strength.
3. Gap Into Prior Day Value Area (VAH to VAL)
Rule: If the NY session gaps into the prior day value area:
It implies mean reversion behavior.
Expect price to rotate toward the POC (point of control).
Trade Bias: Fade toward POC if overnight bias is balanced or opposite the gap direction.
4. Gap Outside Prior Day Value Area
Rule: A gap above VAH or below VAL suggests potential breakout or new trend day.
Trade Bias: If overnight bias aligns (e.g., gap above VAH + Net Long overnight), consider trend continuation.
Invalidation: If price breaks back inside the prior day value area, watch for failed breakout → fade trade possible.
5. Gap Above Prior Day High / Below Prior Day Low
Rule: This is a true breakout gap.
Above Prior High + Net Long Bias: Look for continuation.
Below Prior Low + Net Short Bias: Look for sell pressure continuation.
Trade Bias: Use pullbacks to the prior high/low or overnight open for continuation setups.
6. Gap Within Prior Day Range
Rule: If the NY open is within the prior day’s high and low, expect chop or balanced conditions.
Trade Bias: Use overnight VWAP and prior POC as decision zones. Be cautious unless a breakout occurs.
7. Failed Gap and Re-entry into Prior Day Range
Rule: If price gaps above prior high but re-enters the prior range, it's a failed breakout.
Trade Bias: Look for a fade back to VAH or POC.
Confirmation: Watch for breakdown below overnight VWAP or failure to hold overnight open.
8. Gap + Overnight VWAP Divergence
Rule: If price gaps opposite the direction of VWAP (e.g., VWAP rising, gap down), wait for confirmation.
Trade Bias: Be cautious with early trades. Bias may flip if VWAP is reclaimed.
9. Gap + Overnight Open Test
Rule: If price opens with a gap and then retests the overnight open, that level becomes a decision zone.
Trade Bias:
Hold above = trend continuation.
Rejection = gap fill or reversal.
10. Unfilled Gap = Trend Bias
Rule: If the gap remains unfilled for the first 30–60 minutes, it increases the odds of a trend day.
Trade Bias: Trade pullbacks in the direction of the gap and overnight bias.
Should anyone have suggestion to add please do so.
Credit Spread Monitor: HY & IG vs US10Y📉 Credit Spread Monitor: HY & IG vs US10Y
This indicator provides a dynamic and visual way to monitor credit spreads relative to the US Treasury benchmark. By comparing High Yield (HY) and Investment Grade (IG) corporate bond yields to the 10-Year US Treasury Yield (US10Y), it helps assess market stress, investor risk appetite, and potential macro turning points.
🔍 What It Does
-Calculates credit spreads:
HY Spread = BAMLH0A0HYM2EY − US10Y
IG Spread = BAMLC0A0CMEY − US10Y
-Detects macro risk regimes using statistical thresholds and yield curve signals:
🔴 HY Spread > +2σ → Potential financial stress
🟠 Inverted Yield Curve + HY Spread > 2% → Recession risk
🟢 HY Spread < 1.5% → Risk-on environment
-Visually highlights conditions with intuitive background colors for fast decision-making.
📊 Data Sources Explained
🔴 High Yield (HY): BAMLH0A0HYM2EY → ICE BofA US High Yield Index Effective Yield
🔵 Investment Grade (IG): BAMLC0A0CMEY → ICE BofA US Corporate Index Effective Yield
⚪ Treasury 10Y: US10Y → 10-Year US Treasury Yield
⚪ Treasury 2Y: US02Y → 2-Year US Treasury Yield (used to detect curve inversion)
✅ This Indicator Is Ideal For:
Macro traders looking to anticipate economic inflection points
Portfolio managers monitoring systemic risk or credit cycles
Fixed-income analysts tracking the cost of corporate borrowing
ETF/Asset allocators identifying shifts between risk-on and risk-off environments
🧠 Why It's Useful
This script helps visualize how tight or loose credit conditions are relative to government benchmarks. Since HY spreads typically widen before major downturns, this tool can provide early warning signals. Similarly, compressed spreads may indicate overheating or complacency in risk markets.
🛠️ Practical Use Case:
You’re managing a multi-asset portfolio. The HY spread jumps above +2σ while the yield curve remains inverted. You decide to reduce exposure to equities and high-yield bonds and rotate into cash or Treasuries as recession risk rises.
📎 Additional Notes
Sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) and TradingView’s bond feeds.
Designed to work best on daily resolution, using open prices to ensure consistency across series with different update timings.
This script is original, not based on built-in or public templates, and intended to offer educational, statistical, and visual insights for serious market participants.
