Yield Curve InversionThe Yield Curve Inversion indicator is a tool designed to help traders and analysts visualize and interpret the dynamics between the US 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields. This indicator is particularly useful for identifying yield curve inversions, often seen as a precursor to economic recessions.
Features and Interpretations
Display Modes: Choose between "Spread Mode" to visualize the yield spread indicating normal (green) or inverted (red) curves, or "Both Yields Mode" to view both yields.
Yield Spread: A plotted difference between 10-year and 2-year yields, with a zero line marking inversion. A negative spread suggests potential economic downturns.
Color Coding: Green for a normal yield curve (10Y > 2Y) and red for an inverted curve (2Y > 10Y).
Legend: Provides quick reference to yield curve states for easier interpretation.
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Users should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any financial losses incurred through its use.
Inversion
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) [LuxAlgo]The Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) indicator is based on the inversion FVG concept by ICT and provides support and resistance zones based on mitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVGs).
🔶 USAGE
Once mitigation of an FVG occurs, we detect the zone as an "Inverted FVG". This would now be looked upon for potential support or resistance.
Mitigation occurs when the price closes above or below the FVG area in the opposite direction of its bias.
Inverted Bullish FVGs Turn into Potential Zones of Resistance.
Inverted Bearish FVGs Turn into Potential Zones of Support.
After the FVG has been mitigated, returning an inversion FVG, a signal is displayed each time the price retests an IFVG zone and breaks below or above (depending on the direction of the FVG).
Keep in mind how IFVGs are calculated and displayed. Once price mitigates an IFVG, all associated graphical elements such as areas, lines, and signals will be deleted.
This indicator is not meant to be just a 'signal indicator'. Backtesting historical signals is incorrect as it does not consider the mitigation of IFVGs, which is a standard method for trading IFVGs & various concepts by ICT.
The signals displayed are meant for real-time analysis of current bars for discretionary analysis. Current confirmed retests of unmitigated IFVGs are still displayed to show which IFVGS have had significant reactions.
🔶 SETTINGS
Show Last: Specifies the number of most recent FVG Inversions to display in Bullish/Bearish pairs, starting at the current and looking back. Max 100 Pairs.
Signal Preference: Allows the user to choose to send signals based on the (Wicks) or (Close) Prices. This can be changed based on user preference.
ATR Multiplier: Filters FVGs based on ATR Width, The script will only detect Inversions that are greater than the ATR * ATR Width.
🔶 ALERTS
This script includes alert options for all signals.
🔹 Bearish Signal
A bearish signal occurs when the price returns to a bearish inversion zone and rejects to the downside.
🔹 Bullish Signal
A bullish signal occurs when the price returns to a bullish inversion zone and bounces out of the top.
US Inversions & RecessionsUnderstand when the US yield curve inverted and when recessions took place. Select from Federal Funds Rate, 3 month yield, 2 year yield and 10 year yield.
Default ratio = Federal Funds Rate / 10 year yield
When line goes from white to red = inversion
When line goes from red to white = un-inversion
Yellow shading shows times when the rates are inverted.
Blue shading shows when recessions officially occurred.
Inversion GapsAn inverted fair value gap (FVG) occurs when candles start closing below a bullish FVG or above a bearish FVG and in this case, support FVGs become resistances and vice versa. This is a smart money concept introduced by ICT. While we a number of have indicators for FVGs, we don't have any for inversion FVGs. This indicator is just for that - it shows FVGs only after they're inverted.
The meat of it comes from being able to plot HTF inverted FVGs in LTF. In the above BTC chart, you can see M15 inverted FVGs plotted on M1 chart and you can see price respecting them. Mitigations can also be shown as lines (as you can see in the chart).
You can also setup alerts for formation and mitigation of such inversion FVGs.
Eurobond CurveABOUT
Dynamically plots 3 no. forward EUROBOND curves. When the curves converge (or worse crossover) there is higher risk of financial uncertainty and potential market correction.
The Eurobond Curves work in a similar way to treasury "yield curve inversion"; except the EUROBOND curves can signal much earlier than Treasuries therefore providing a leading indicator.
The indicator looks the the "near" (next year EUROBOND), "mid" (EUROBOND 2 years out) and "far" (EUROBOND 5 years out) to assess for crossovers.
When the "near" and "mid" curves crossover the "far" curve, concerning economic conditions are developing and it may be a good idea to reduce risk exposure to markets.
LIMITATIONS
The EUROBOND curve crossover events are rare, and this indicator uses data back to 2005 (using approximately 25 TradingView security functions). Given there are relatively few crossover events, the reliability of this indicator should be considered low. Nonetheless, there is decent alignment with treasury yield curve inversions in the 20 year period assessed. Given treasury yield curve inversions have predicted every recession for the last 70 years, we still think the EUROBOND Curves are a useful datapoint to monitor into the future and provide confluence to other risk management strategies.
US/CA Bond Yield CurveEasy Viewing of 4 different duration bond yields for US and Canada. Bond prices and bond yields are excellent indicators of the economy as a whole, and of inflation in particular. A bond's yield is the discount rate that can be used to make the present value of all of the bond's cash flows equal to its price. Good as part of a macro set.
fi - 5EMA + BB - 5 emas en un mismo indicador junto con las bandas de bollinguer.
- Opcion de timeframe
- Actualizado a version 5
//Indicador adaptado a medida sobre "4EMA lines EMA Cross @Philacone + Bollinger Bands by Alessiof"
//Todos los méritos para Alessiof, muchas gracias!!!
Treasury Yield Spread 10y-2y [TXMC]A simple indicator to show inversions of the US Treasury yield curve, specifically between the 2yr and 10yr yields.
A colored band prints when the 2yr treasury yield surpasses the 10yr, indicating an inversion of the yield curve.
This indicator is for educational purposes only.
Stability Max OverloadStability Max Overload was created in another script I have been working on found below.
I have broken the code down to only display the Stability features.
What this is:
I was trying to find a way that could in some form display the Stability or Instability of the US Treasuries Bond Market. To try and help me do that, I came up with 3 values.
*Stability
*Stability Overload
*Stability Max Overload.
I started with STABILITY. This value is generated based off the number of side by side inversions in the Bond Market. I wanted this value to range between 0 and 1 while 1 equaling all Bonds inverted and 0 equaling no Bonds inverted and any number of inversions in between would equal a percentage value based off the actual number.
STABILITY OVERLOAD was created based off the average of each inversion.
STABILITY MAX OVERLOAD was then created based off the total of each inversion.
The most stable Yield Curve would have no inversions and therefore would generate a 0 for Stability, Stability Overload and Stability Max Overload. The more inversions the Yield Curve has the higher in value Stability itself would have as Stability is weighted more per inversion. With each inversion, data is taken based off the amount with which the Yields are inverted.
This display shows where we currently stand since Dec 2018. It's a telling story so say the least. I do plan on continuing the mentioned above script but again wanted to release a standalone of the data generated.
Hope you enjoy,
OpptionsOnly
Inverted Yield Curve with VIX Fear IndexUS 2 year and US 10 year comparison, inverted yield curve with VIX. I use this on a weekly chart with 2 moving averages, the 40 week (ma200 daily) and the 520 week (10 year median).
The bottom histogram is the VIX and the plot is the yield curve. When the VIX is above a certain level (you can set it in settings) and the ýield curve is close to or at inversion the background goes red.
The last seven recessions were preceded by an inverted yield curve. Here I combined the two main fear indexes, the VIX and the run for safe US treasuries (Inverted Yield Curve).
This is preset to the 2 year and 10 year US bond, weekly, and the normal VIX ticker but you can set it to whatever you like.
Published with source code for anyone to modify. Please comment below if you do so! This is the second in a series of indicators I intend to publish as a package of economic recoverty/recession symptom indicators.
Follow me for updates, next one up is commodities with dr Copper and oil!
