Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD markets are navigating through a technical consolidation phase following the recent rally, maintaining underlying bullish momentum despite current volatility. The precious metal is trading between critical levels that will determine the next major directional move.
4H chart reveals a complex structure with a retest of the resistance zone around $3,440, gold has initiated a corrective move along the descending channel. The current setup suggests a healthy pullback toward the support zone near $3,330. Breaking above the downward trendline will constitute an important technical signal for bullish continuation.
The higher timeframe provides a broader perspective with an A-B pattern currently forming. Equal tests at resistance levels indicate significant institutional accumulation. The rising trendline (HL) continues to support prices, confirming the long-term bullish structure. The target zone above $3,600 remains viable if gold can successfully break through the current resistance cluster.
Key levels to monitor include the $3,330 support and $3,440 resistance. A decisive break above previous week high could trigger the next leg toward $3,400-$3,450, while failure to hold support might see a deeper correction toward $3,250. The overall technical picture suggests this consolidation represents a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
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1/ Altseason: Live - My Game Plan for the 2 Hottest Months
Many of you will remember my forecasts over the past year: first, I said we had a year left, then six months. Now, looking at the market, I can say with confidence, we have about two months left until the end of this bull cycle.
Bitcoin is hitting new all-time highs, while most altcoins are just starting to lift off the bottom. Today, I want to break down exactly why I believe this period isn't just the end of the cycle, but the most concentrated period of risk and opportunity in our entire careers.
In this post, I will share my vision of what's about to happen and how I'm personally preparing for this final act.
The FOMO Phase: The Psychology of the Final Push
Everyone understands that something is happening in crypto right now. But most have already "missed the train" on Bitcoin. They either failed to buy in or sold too early. What's next?
- The Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) is reaching its peak. Those who sold at $70k now see that the price could fly to $100k. Buying into Bitcoin now feels too late and too risky.
- A chaotic search for projects that haven't "popped" yet. The crowd's attention shifts to altcoins that haven't shown explosive growth.
- Liquidity starts to jump around feverishly. Every day, we see random projects pump 30-40%. A game of "guess who's next" begins, and the market turns into an orchestra without a conductor.
The Technical Picture: Cycles Don't Lie
This isn't my first, second, or even third altseason. And experience shows that what is happening now is logical.
BTC Dominance: We are seeing capital begin to flow from Bitcoin into altcoins. First into the large-caps (ETH, SOL), then into the mid-caps, and finally, into the small-cap projects. The BTC.D and ALT/BTC pair charts confirm this every cycle.
The Timeline: My cycle analysis points to September as the final destination. This gives us approximately two months for the main event.
New Factors: Of course, this cycle is different. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the arrival of giants like BlackRock, and the RWA narrative all add new dynamics. BlackRock is already heavily invested in Ethereum, and they will start to defend and pump their asset, and I believe they will do so regardless of the classic cycle theories.
The Double-Edged Sword: The Greatest Opportunity and a Deadly Trap
It is precisely in this short period of desperation and greed that the biggest gains are made.
The Opportunity: Assets can fly by hundreds of percent in a matter of weeks. This is the moment that all crypto traders dream of.
The Trap: It is also during this period that 95% of participants will lose money. Why? They have no plan. They will buy at the peak of euphoria and sell at the bottom in a panic, getting stuck in their positions for years. I still receive messages from people who bought Solana or ETH at the last cycle's peaks.
My personal principle is this: it's better to leave some profit on the table than to give in to emotion and lose everything. I will be strictly adhering to my timeline, regardless of market euphoria.
My Answer: Live Trading
To simply watch from the sidelines this time is a crime against your own capital. To act without a clear plan is financial suicide.
That's why I've decided to go a step further. I'm launching "Altseason: Live"- a public experiment where I will show, with real money, how to manage risk and seize this unique opportunity.
This will be more than just analysis. This will be real-time trading, and I plan to show key moments and trades live on stream.
I will reveal all the details, including the streaming platform and the terms for participation, in the coming week.
The next few weeks will determine who emerges from this cycle as a winner. Make sure you are following and have notifications turned on, so you don't miss the main announcement.
The question is, what balance should I start the experiment with? 100/1000/2000/10000$
Best regards EXCAVO
GBP/JPY -H1- Channel Breakout (14.07.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 196.70
2nd Support – 195.53
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GOLD Set for Big Move? | Key Zones + CPI Impact Explained !Gold Analysis – Key Levels + CPI Outlook!
In this video, I broke down the recent rejection from the $3366–$3369 resistance zone, the drop to $3346, and current price action around $3357.
We’ll also look ahead at what to expect with the upcoming CPI report — and how it could shape gold’s next big move.
📌 I’ve covered both bullish and bearish scenarios, shared key demand/supply zones, and outlined possible targets.
👉 For full context and trading strategy, make sure to watch the video till the end — and don’t forget to drop your opinion in the comments:
Do you think gold will break $3380 next, or are we headed for another pullback?
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
Gold has successfully broken above its descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure and growing bullish momentum.
A pullback toward the broken trendline is now likely, as price may retest the breakout zone.
Once the pullback is completed, we anticipate a bullish continuation and a move toward higher levels.
As long as price holds above the identified support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Will gold resume its rally after the pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin Skyrockets as Everyone Now Wants a Piece. What Happened?If you took a few days off last week and went to get coffee this morning, you likely missed Bitcoin torching its all-time high and soaring into the uncharted.
The world’s most popular digital asset took off in an unstoppable rocket ride, smashing records so fast that even the always-wired-in day traders couldn’t keep up.
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blasted through $122,000 Monday morning after gobbling up sell walls at $120,000 and $121,000 in less than one hour. That’s not a typo.
That’s an actual snapshot of what happens when you mix onchain whale movements, fresh institutional FOMO, and traders rediscovering their appetite for risk. Billions upon billions swirled up and Bitcoin passed $2.3 trillion in market cap (ref: our Crypto Heatmap ).
🙌 Bow Down Before the King
Bitcoin has officially reminded every altcoin who wears the crown when markets go haywire. While some tiny tokens get to pump 100% on hype alone, Bitcoin does it with the weight of its market cap behind it — which now surpasses the GDP of entire countries.
Its dominance share has climbed back above 64%, a level we haven’t seen since the last time crypto Twitter argued whether “flippening” would happen by next Thursday (spoiler: it didn’t, and we mean 2021). And right now, all eyes are pinned on that round, meme-ready milestone: $125,000 or even $150,000.
Why these levels? Because traders love round numbers. They’re clean, symbolic, and if that next ceiling shatters, the chain reaction of liquidated shorts and new leveraged longs can turn an orderly bull run into pure market mayhem.
📈 Institutional Hoarding: The Secret Fuel
If you think this is just retail traders YOLO’ing in from their parents’ basement, think again. Onchain data showed earlier this month that this moon mission was being quietly underwritten by the big boys — institutional funds, overflowing Bitcoin ETFs , and corporate treasuries that once scoffed at Bitcoin as “magic internet money.”
Does this mean Bitcoin is becoming boring? Not quite. It means the foundation for this rally is sturdier than the TikTok-fueled moonshots of yesteryear. Think steady inflows, regulated vehicles, and balance sheets that no longer flinch when they see “digital assets” on a line item.
👀 So, Why Now?
Bitcoin doesn’t need much of a reason to get volatile — you know that. But a few more stars than usual aligned to give this surge its lift-off moment.
First, the macro backdrop: US inflation is at 2.4% (next ECONOMICS:USCPI report coming Wednesday, pay attention to the Economic Calendar ), which makes a Fed rate cut more likely later this year.
Lower rates mean cheaper dollars, weaker bond yields, and renewed appetite for risk assets. Oh, and don’t forget about gold OANDA:XAUUSD — the OG “no yield, no problem” hedge.
Second, corporate treasuries are all-in on Bitcoin again. If Michael Saylor’s Strategy NASDAQ:MSTR (formerly MicroStrategy — we all know what business they’re really in) keeps adding coins and onboarding new public companies like GameStop NYSE:GME , you know the institutions smell long-term value. Add Trump’s full-throated crypto endorsement and you’ve got a narrative tailwind no trader wants to miss.
🥂 Record Highs Everywhere — COINcidence?
Now let’s go back to those aligning stars. Bitcoin’s fresh all-time high didn’t happen in a vacuum. The S&P 500 SP:SPX , the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the world’s most expensive company — all clocked record closing highs last week.
So, is this a “rising tide lifts all boats” moment? Or are we partying on borrowed time? Equities are riding a wave of hope that the Fed will start easing soon, and any whiff of a rate cut is pure oxygen for risk assets.
But seasoned traders know that record highs can sometimes be the most dangerous places to FOMO in. Ask anyone who went all-in on dot-com stocks in 1999.
🏹 Eyes on the Big 120K — Will It Hold the Line?
Short-term, the $120,000 milestone is the line in the sand everyone’s watching. Break it decisively, see if it holds above it for a week or so, and the floodgates of speculative capital might open for another leg higher. Stall out below it? You could see a healthy round of profit-taking and some bruised egos during quiet dinners.
Macro factors will loom large: the Fed’s policy meeting, surprise tariff talks from the White House, or an unexpected bout of inflation could swing sentiment overnight. But for now, the mood is simple: bullish, frothy, and more than a little bit greedy.
💭 Final Take: From Moonshots to Maturity?
The shift from whales to suits means fewer wild swings but steadier institutional demand. The days of “Lambo tomorrow” might be giving way to “slow grind higher for the next 5 years.” For the retirement portfolio, that’s not the worst outcome.
For the traders who crave the adrenaline, there’s still plenty of room to catch the waves — just don’t expect them to come as easily or as frequently as they did in the wild west days.
📢 Your Turn: Moon or Swoon?
Over to you: is Bitcoin ready to break out above $125,000 and send shorts scrambling for cover? Or is this just another overbought stall before a healthy pullback?
Either way, grab your popcorn — and your stop-loss — because if there’s one thing crypto never does, it’s sit still for long. Drop your hot take below — and may your diamond hands be stronger than your coffee.
Bitcoin - Will hit 135k in the short-term, Elliott and FIBOBitcoin is rising! That's what everyone sees at the moment, but we don't want to get drunk and establish our profit target. Where to take profit? Because we are in the price discovery mode, there is no previous price action above the current price. At this moment we really cannot use any horizontal lines, gaps, volume profiles, imbalances, previous ranges, or previous swing highs to establish our profit target. So we have to use special tools, such as Fibonacci extension or Elliott Wave.
The Fibonacci extension is a great tool - in bitcoin's case we have a 1:1 FIB extension sitting at 135,096. This level is also in confluence with a major trendline that we can see on the chart. This gives us a really good profit target in the short term for this particular trade. This is also an opportunity to short Bitcoin here, if you trade futures. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave (3), so I made a prediction on where this wave should terminate and also where wave (5) should terminate. I think my analysis definitely makes sense! Please share your analysis in the comment section, only copy your link here.
Trading tip at the end: Avoid the Obvious / Market Traps - Some obvious trading situations are kind of a trap where the chances are that everyone else has also spotted a wonderful trade situation which eventually sets you up for a disaster. Many people get trapped in some obvious good looking trades. Some obvious trades can sometimes be the market traps as they are hyped, professional traders stay away from these traps. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bitcoin may make correction movement to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Price recently printed a new ATH at 118800 points and then began to show signs of correction. Before this breakout, the price was stuck in a long downward channel, where it bounced inside the buyer zone (103000–103800) several times and reversed upward. After the final breakout, BTC entered a range phase between the support level (103800) and the support area (110300–111300), building energy before the massive move. Once the price escaped this range, a strong impulse up followed, pushing BTC above all major levels and reaching a new high. However, after hitting the ATH, the price started to stall and consolidate. Currently, we can see signs of weakness at the top — the structure is forming lower highs and looks unstable, which may indicate a potential retracement. Now the price is trading above the support area, but I expect a corrective move back toward the current support level at 110300. This level aligns with the top of the previous range and now acts as strong demand. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 110300 level — right at the beginning of potential buyer interest. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Building Momentum for Potential Upside MoveGold is holding strength above the ascending trendline while testing a critical resistance zone on the 3-hour chart, indicating a potential bullish continuation pattern. The recent 35% tariff on Canada and 15% to 20% on other countries announced by Trump is helping gold to rise as traders seek safety amid rising trade tensions and potential inflationary pressures. Price action shows buyers defending dips near the support zone while respecting the Ichimoku cloud structure, signalling readiness for a breakout if resistance is cleared. Market uncertainty is driving demand for gold, aligning with the bullish structure as the trendline remains intact. Volatility is expected to increase with the tariff developments, and a clean breakout above resistance can open the way for further upside, while maintaining disciplined risk management remains essential in this environment. Continue to monitor price action near the resistance zone for confirmation of continuation toward higher levels in the coming sessions.
Entry: Buy 3320/3326
Target: 3400
Stop Loss: 3304
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to drop a like and comment. Your support keeps quality ideas flowing—let’s grow and win together! 💪📈
Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views🚀 Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views
🔑 Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (2025+)
1. 🏆 AI Chip Dominance
Nvidia maintains >90% market share in data-center AI chips (Blackwell, Hopper, Rubin). Its CUDA ecosystem and relentless innovation keep it as the “default” supplier for advanced AI, giving NVDA massive pricing power.
2. 🏗️ Surging Data Center Demand
Cloud and enterprise AI spending remains white-hot. Tech giants (Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google) are collectively pouring $300B+ into 2025 AI CapEx. Data center revenues are at all-time highs; analysts expect this uptrend to extend through 2026 as “AI infrastructure arms race” persists.
3. 🌐 Mainstream AI Adoption
AI is now integrated in nearly every industry—healthcare, finance, logistics, manufacturing, retail. As companies embed AI at scale, NVDA’s hardware/software sales rise, with “AI everywhere” tailwinds supporting 15–25% annual growth.
4. 🤝 Strategic Partnerships
Big wins: Deals with Snowflake, ServiceNow, and massive sovereign/international AI collaborations (e.g., $B+ Saudi Arabia/“Humain” order for Blackwell superchips; UAE, India, and Southeast Asia ramping up AI infrastructure using Nvidia).
5. 🚗 Automotive/Autonomous Vehicles
NVDA’s automotive AI segment is now its fastest-growing “new” business line, powering next-gen vehicles (Jaguar Land Rover, Mercedes, BYD, NIO, Lucid) and expected to surpass $1B+ annual run rate by late 2025.
6. 🧑💻 Expanding Software Ecosystem
Nvidia’s “full stack” software (CUDA, AI Enterprise, DGX Cloud) is now a sticky, recurring-revenue engine. Over 4M devs are building on Nvidia’s AI SDKs. Enterprise AI subscriptions add high-margin growth on top of hardware.
7. 🌎 Omniverse & Digital Twins
Industrial metaverse and simulation/digital twin momentum is building (major partnerships with Ansys, Siemens, SAP, Schneider Electric). Omniverse becoming the industry standard for 3D AI/simulation, unlocking new GPU/software demand.
8. 🛠️ Relentless Innovation
Blackwell Ultra GPUs debuting in late 2025, “Rubin” architecture in 2026. Fast-paced, aggressive product roadmap sustains Nvidia’s tech lead and triggers constant upgrade cycles for data centers and cloud providers.
9. 📦 Full-Stack Platform Expansion
Grace CPUs, BlueField DPUs, and Spectrum-X networking mean Nvidia is now a “one-stop shop” for AI infrastructure—capturing more value per system and displacing legacy CPU/network vendors.
10. 🌏 Global AI Infrastructure Buildout
Recent US export rule rollbacks are a huge tailwind, opening up new high-volume markets (Middle East, India, LatAm). Nvidia remains the “go-to” AI chip supplier for sovereign and enterprise supercomputers outside the US, supporting continued global growth.
________________________________________
📈 Latest Analyst Recommendations (July 2025)
•Street Consensus: Overwhelmingly bullish—~85% of analysts rate NVDA as “Buy/Overweight” (rest “Hold”), with target prices often in the $140–$165 range (post-split, as applicable).
•Target Price Range: Median 12-month PT: $150–$160 (representing ~20% upside from July 2025 levels).
•Key Bullish Arguments: Unmatched AI chip lead, accelerating enterprise AI adoption, deep software moat, and a robust international/sovereign AI order pipeline.
•Cautious/Bearish Notes: Valuation premium (45–50x P/E), high expectations priced in, geopolitical and supply chain risks.
________________________________________
⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks
1. 🇨🇳 US–China Tech War / Chip Export Restrictions
• US restrictions: While the Biden administration eased some export bans in May 2025 (allowing more AI chip exports to Gulf/Asia partners), China remains subject to severe curbs on advanced NVDA AI chips.
• Workarounds: Nvidia is selling modified “China-compliant” chips (H20, L20, A800/H800), but at lower margins and lower performance.
• Risk: If US tightens controls again (post-election), China sales could fall further. Chinese firms (Huawei, SMIC, Biren) are also racing to build their own AI chips—posing long-term competitive risk.
2. 🏛️ Political/Regulatory Risk
• Election year: A US policy shift (e.g., harder tech stance after Nov 2025 election) could re-restrict exports, limit new markets, or disrupt supply chains (especially TSMC foundry reliance).
3. 🏷️ Valuation Risk
• NVDA trades at a substantial premium to tech/semiconductor peers (45–50x fwd earnings). Any AI “spending pause” or earnings miss could trigger sharp volatility.
4. 🏭 Supply Chain & Capacity Constraints
• As AI chip demand soars, there’s ongoing risk of supply/delivery bottlenecks (memory, HBM, advanced packaging), which could cap near-term revenue upside.
5. 🏁 Competitive Threats
• AMD, Intel, and custom in-house AI chips (by Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Tesla, etc.) are scaling up fast. Loss of a hyperscaler account or a successful open-source software alternative (vs CUDA) could erode Nvidia’s dominance.
6. 💵 Customer Concentration
• A small handful of cloud giants account for >35% of revenue. Delays or pullbacks in their AI spending would materially impact results.
________________________________________
📝 Summary Outlook (July 2025):
Nvidia’s AI chip monopoly, software moat, and global AI arms race create a powerful multi-year growth setup, but the stock’s high valuation and US-China chip tension are real risks. Analyst consensus remains strongly positive, with most seeing more upside as data-center and enterprise AI demand persists—but with increased focus on geopolitical headlines and potential supply chain hiccups.
________________________________________
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick · Bitcoin Hits New All-Time HighBitcoin is once again trading at a new all-time high and as this happens the altcoins go boom.
The first instance circled around the fact that Bitcoin was strong and range trading between $100,000 and $110,000. When Bitcoin goes sideways within a bull market, the altcoins tend to blow up, and blow up they need. Now, when Bitcoin moves to hit a new all-time high and keeps growing; the 2025 Cryptocurrency bull market is fully confirmed.
» Which one is your favorite altcoin trading pair?
» Which project you think will grow the most in 2025 & 2026?
» What is your TOP ALTCOIN CHOICE?
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick
Leave a comment with some of your favorite altcoins pairs, the ones you like most and I will do a full analysis for you. I will publish in my profile and also answer directly in the comments section. I will pick and choose.
If you see other commentators that have a pair that you like, make sure to boost their comment and reply. The more boosts a comments gets, higher priority will be given to the project and trading pair.
Boost this publication and leave a comment, let's get started with your TOP ALTCOINS CHOICE!
Namaste.
BTC Breakout is Real Flag Playing Out with Wave 3 MomentumBitcoin is looking really clean here. After weeks of sideways grind inside what looked like a consolidation trap, the structure has finally matured into something meaningful, a classic bullish flag breakout layered inside a broader Elliott Wave count.
What really stands out is how the flag structure (B → C) formed a smooth pullback after the strong A → B impulse. That was the pole. Now we’ve broken out of the flag, and momentum is picking up again, likely heading into wave (3) of the new leg pointing towards D.
This isn’t just about a flag the entire move is developing inside a wide ascending channel, and price is following it almost perfectly. The bullish momentum coming off the breakout zone is clean, no choppiness just strong candles and impulsive drive.
We might get a short-term breather (sub-wave 4 of current wave 3), but structure suggests more upside is likely as long as price holds above that $113K–$115K zone.
What I'm Watching Right now:
Support zone: $113K – $115K
Short-term target: $123-$127K
Final projection (if channel holds): $140K–$145K
Measured move from the flag and wave count both point up there, so I’ll be watching for minor pullbacks as entry opportunities.
Personal Take
I like when patterns align naturally not forced. This one’s got that nice blend of momentum, structure, and price behavior. I’m not rushing entries here, but will scale into dips if price holds support and volume confirms.
Have you spotted this setup on your end too? Drop your view in the comments always keen to see how others are reading this.
Follow for clean, no hype market breakdowns.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3397 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, my previous forecast remains valid, but I have decided to update it.
At the moment, I still think that wave “3” of the medium order continues its upward movement.
At the moment, I think that the small correction in wave “2” is ending and we will see a continuation of the trend. I see the resistance area of 3397.94 as the target. The main thing is to overcome the local level of the small wave “1” at 3366.37.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
AUDCAD Trade plan: Waiting for bullish confirmation at RetestPrice broke above resistance with a momentum candle, indicating buyer control. This is our first clue that a structure shift might have occurred.
This retest is essential. Many traders make the mistake of entering too early without confirmation. But it's right here, once price touches the former resistance, that you must observe how price reacts. Look for price exhaustion or reversal candlesticks such as bullish engulfing patterns, or even inside bars.
Once rejection is confirmed, I'm looking to go long to 0.90450.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Bitcoin - Liquidity sweep before the next move!Weekend Consolidation
During weekends, Bitcoin often moves sideways as institutional players step back and retail traders prepare for the next move. During this consolidation phase between $117.000 and $119.000, liquidity builds up on both sides—sell-side liquidity below the range and buy-side liquidity above it. After these weekend consolidations, Bitcoin typically sweeps one side of liquidity before continuing in the opposite direction.
Manipulation Above the Buy-Side Liquidity
A significant amount of liquidity has formed just above the all-time high, right below the $120,000 level. Retail traders are positioning for a potential downward move, making this area a prime target for a liquidity sweep. This aligns perfectly with the psychological barrier of $120,000, a level where many traders are likely to take profits.
Manipulation Below the Sell-Side Liquidity
Over the weekend, traders are entering both long and short positions while placing stop-loss orders just below recent lows. This behavior creates a buildup of liquidity underneath the range. Bitcoin could dip below these lows to stop out retail traders before reversing to higher levels.
4-Hour Unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG)
If Bitcoin sweeps the all-time high and enters a distribution phase, there’s a strong chance it will retrace to fill the unfilled Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart at $113.000 - $111.000. This imbalance was created during a sharp move up, leaving behind unfilled orders. Such levels often get revisited as price action seeks to rebalance.
How to Execute This Trade
Wait for Bitcoin to sweep either the low or the high of the weekend range. Avoid entering the market immediately after the sweep. Instead, wait for confirmation that price is returning back inside the range, signaling a clean sweep. On lower timeframes, such as the 5-minute chart, you can look for entry models like an inverse Fair Value Gap to refine your entry.
Final Thoughts
At this point, it’s unclear which direction Bitcoin will take next. The best approach is to wait for a clear liquidity sweep and signs of a reversal before entering any trades. That said, there’s a possibility we may first move up to test and claim the $120,000 psychological level before revisiting and filling the lower 4-hour imbalance zones.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Gold Aiming Higher: Bullish Momentum Toward Key S&D ZoneHello guys!
The main bullish trend remains intact on Gold. After forming a solid base near the QML level, price has been respecting the ascending channel structure and is now pushing toward the upper boundary of that channel.
The current price action shows strength and momentum, and with the recent breakout above the midline of the channel, it signals that buyers are likely to push price toward the next key area of interest.
The target is clearly defined: the supply zone around 3409–3423, which has previously acted as a major resistance area.
Core idea:
Main trend: Bullish
Structure: Ascending channel
Support confirmed: QML zone bounce
Current behavior: Price moving along the top of the channel
Target: 3409–3423 supply zone
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone.
On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs.
All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal!
We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move.
Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move
It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
BTC Bullish Setup: Two Long Positions Aligned for ContinuationHello guys!
Bitcoin is currently in a strong uptrend, consolidating after a sharp move up. The chart highlights a textbook bullish continuation pattern (pennant/triangle), suggesting momentum is building for another leg up.
Attention:
This is not an either-or setups. Both long entries are valid and could trigger one after the other, offering layered opportunities for bulls.
1- First Long: Breakout from Bullish Pennant
Price is tightening inside a triangle after a strong impulse move.
A breakout above the resistance around $118K would confirm continuation.
Entry on the breakout targets the upper liquidity zone near $122K.
2- Second Long: Pullback to S&D Zone (around $115K)
If the breakout happens and then retraces, watch for price to revisit the S&D zone at $115,200–$115,800.
This area will act as support and provide a second long opportunity.
target: around $122k
GOLD - Price can start to decline and break support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Gold initially traded inside a steady falling channel, carving lower highs at $3390 and lower lows around $3285 as bears held sway.
A brief fake breakout at $3365 briefly flipped sentiment, but sellers quickly reasserted control and pushed price back toward the channel floor.
Buyers then absorbed selling at the $3285 support area, sparking a rebound into a rising wedge pattern marked by converging trendlines.
Within this wedge, three minor breakouts failed to trigger sustained rallies, underscoring persistent resistance near the upper boundary.
I anticipate Gold to roll over from the wedge’s ceiling and break below $3365, targeting the wedge’s lower support line at $3310
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GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth?
Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345
There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450
Best regards, R. Linda!
Atomic Pump Exploded, You Missed It! Now What?Ever opened your charts after a few hours off and realized the market just exploded upwards without you?
That feeling of missing out, regret, and mental chaos is real.
But here’s the thing: if you missed the move, what should you do next?
This post is for you the ones who feel like the train left the station, but still want to win the next round.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin :
Volume remains the decisive factor driving BINANCE:BTCUSDT toward higher price levels 📈. Across various scenarios whether it’s market battles, FOMO spikes, institutional capital flows, or extended periods of consolidation volume confirms the strength behind the move. Discussions about Bitcoin as the new global currency continue to fuel interest and momentum. In the short term, I’m targeting $129,000 for Bitcoin, representing roughly a 6% upside from current prices 🚀.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
🧠 Understanding the Trader Psychology After Missing a Market Nuclear Explosion
When the market suddenly pumps, the first thought for many traders is: “I missed it.” That’s where the mental storm begins. Your mind starts blaming you, your analysis, or even bad luck. But all of that is just an emotional response.
The real question is can you use this moment to build your self-awareness and grow as a trader?
🧨 Turning Mistakes into Opportunities Without Self-Blame
Missing a pump isn’t necessarily a mistake it’s just an outcome. Maybe you didn’t check the charts, maybe fear held you back. What matters is: what did you learn?
A real trader documents every misstep, studies it, and adjusts next time. Turn that missed opportunity into a "pivot moment".
Keep a trading journal. Write why you missed it. What signs were there that you ignored? What can you do differently next time?
📊 TradingView Tools to Hunt the Next Big Move 🚀
When the market explodes, jumping in without a plan is a recipe for disaster. Step one? Turn off your emotions. Step two? Open up TradingView.
In moments like these, a few key tools can help you figure out whether the pump is over — or just getting started. One of the most powerful tools is Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR). It shows you where volume is stacking up.
Heavy pumps usually lead to corrections, but if VPVR shows strong volume still holding higher levels, the opportunity may not be gone yet.
Next is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). If RSI is already above 70, chances are you're showing up late. But here’s the twist if there’s a small dip, RSI cools down, and then starts rising again… that might be your real chance to enter.
💥 When the Market Blows Up Like a Nuclear Bomb, How Do You React?
When green candles start stacking and everyone’s flexing profits, you’re left behind staring at a chart that feels like it betrayed you.
This is exactly when people make emotional decisions. But urgent hype is the enemy of good analysis. Your first job here: stay calm and look at the trend like a surgeon.
🧩 Greed vs. Logic Entering at the Top or Waiting for a Pullback?
The question isn’t whether to enter now. The real question is: why are you entering?
Because you feel left out? Or because your system gives you a signal?
If your decision isn’t based on a clean setup, you’re not trading you’re gambling. Logic must win over emotion. Every. Single. Time.
🧱 Coping With the Psychological Wall of Missing Out
The pain of missing out is real. It’s like arriving at the station just to see the train’s dust.
But here’s the truth: this wasn’t the last train.
One of the best traits of a great trader is the belief in future opportunities. If you chase what’s already gone, you’ll keep losing.
Instead, focus on rebuilding your mindset.
🎯 Smart Goal Setting: Prepare for the Next Wave, Don’t Chase the Previous One
Don’t chase a pump that’s already peaked. Instead, watch for early signs of the next one.
Look at coins that haven’t moved yet but are building momentum.
Focus on price action, volume behavior, hidden news, and reliable chart patterns. Let logic lead the way not FOMO.
🔄 What’s the Best Move After Missing a Pump? Maybe… Do Nothing
Sometimes, doing nothing is the best strategy.
The market isn’t a one-time lottery ticket. It gives out chances regularly but your impatient mind makes you believe you’re running out of time.
If your next move feels rushed, pause. Train your discipline to only trade with a cool head.
💡 Pro Tips to Come Back Stronger in the Next Big Move
Instead of regret, build a killer watchlist.
Set smart price alerts.
Go back to your past data and find recurring setups.
Sharpen your skills, study tools that help, and prepare for different scenarios.
Being prepared = staying ahead.
✨ Need a little love!
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📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.