Captain Backtest Model [TFO]Created by @imjesstwoone and @mickey1984, this trade model attempts to capture the expansion from the 10:00-14:00 EST 4h candle using just 3 simple steps. All of the information presented in this description has been outlined by its creators, all I did was translate it to Pine Script. All core settings of the trade model may be edited so that users can test several variations, however this description will cover its default, intended behavior using NQ 5m as an example.
Step 1 is to identify our Price Range. In this case, we are concerned with the highest high and the lowest low created from 6:00-10:00 EST.
Step 2 is to wait for either the high or low of said range to be taken out. Whichever side gets taken first determines the long/short bias for the remainder of the Trade Window (i.e. if price takes the range high, bias is long, and vice versa). Bias must be determined by 11:15 EST, otherwise no trades will be taken. This filter is intended to weed out "choppy" trading days.
Step 3 is to wait for a retracement and enter with a close through the previous candle's high (if long biased) or low (if short biased). There are a couple toggleable criteria that we use to define a retracement; one is checking for opposite close candles that indicate a pullback; another is checking if price took the previous candle's low (if long biased) or high (if short biased).
This trade model was initially tested for index futures, particularly ES and NQ, using a 5m chart, however this indicator allows us to backtest any symbol on any timeframe. Creators @imjesstwoone and @mickey1984 specified a 5 point stop loss on ES and a 25 point stop loss on NQ with their testing.
I've personally found some success in backtesting NQ 5m using a 25 point stop loss and 75 point profit target (3:1 R). Enabling the Use Fixed R:R parameter will ensure that these stops and targets are utilized, otherwise it will enter and hold the position until the close of the Trade Window.
Mechanical
Mechanical Trading StrategyThe "Mechanical Trading Strategy" is a simple and systematic approach to trading that aims to capture short-term price movements in the financial markets. This strategy focuses on executing trades based on specific conditions and predetermined profit targets and stop loss levels.
Key Features:
Profit Target: The strategy allows you to set a profit target as a percentage of the entry price. This target represents the desired level of profit for each trade.
Stop Loss: The strategy incorporates a stop loss level as a percentage of the entry price. This level represents the maximum acceptable loss for each trade, helping to manage risk.
Entry Condition: The strategy triggers trades at a specific time. In this case, the condition for entering a trade is based on the hour of the candle being 16 (4:00 PM). This time-based entry condition provides a systematic approach to executing trades.
Position Sizing: The strategy determines the position size based on a fixed percentage of the available equity. This approach ensures consistent risk management and allows for potential portfolio diversification.
Execution:
When the entry condition is met, signified by the hour being 16, the strategy initiates a long position using the strategy.entry function. It sets the exit conditions using the strategy.exit function, with a limit order for the take profit level and a stop order for the stop loss level.
Take Profit and Stop Loss:
The take profit level is calculated by adding a percentage of the entry price to the entry price itself. This represents the profit target for the trade. Conversely, the stop loss level is calculated by subtracting a percentage of the entry price from the entry price. This level represents the maximum acceptable loss for the trade.
By using this mechanical trading strategy, traders can establish a disciplined and systematic approach to their trading decisions. The predefined profit target and stop loss levels provide clear exit rules, helping to manage risk and potentially maximize returns. However, it is important to note that no trading strategy is guaranteed to be profitable, and careful analysis and monitoring of market conditions are always recommended.