MJ ECT== One Line Introduction ==
ECT is a multi-level, trend focused technical indicator based on a three-step hierarchical approach - comprising the tide, wave, and ripple - to trend identification.
== Indicator Philosophy ==
The author believes that market trends can be understood in a three-step hierarchy, with tide at the top, wave in the middle, and ripple at the bottom, corresponding to long-, middle-, and short-term momentum in the stock price. This indicator therefore comprises three technical indicators which aims to reflect the abovementioned features of a trend. These three components are True Strength Index (TSI), Exponential Moving Averages ( EMA ), and Commodity Channel Index ( CCI ).
== Indicator Components and Breakdown ==
True Strength Index (TSI) -> Tide
A 20-period TSI is used to visualize the bullish or bearish sentiment surrounding the stock. Crossovers above the zero line are interpreted as bullish while crossovers below the zero line are interpreted as bearish . This is painted into the background where green represents bullish and red represents bearish . While the background is red ( bearish ), no bullish positions should be taken. Hence, the TSI painted background acts as a directional bias filter and going against the bias is not recommended. After understanding the directional bias, the user can delve further into the areas of value for the stock in the Wave.
Exponential Moving Averages ( EMA ) -> Wave
Four EMA are used (20, 50, 100, 200) to identify the dynamic support and resistance waves in a trending market. Stock price pullbacks into any of these EMA represent areas of value where the user can consider taking positions. The correct EMA to use depends on individual stock's behavior, with multiple bounces on a specified EMA being the priority. After understanding which wave best reflects the area of value of a stock, the user can move on to the Ripple to time their entries.
Commodity Channel Index ( CCI ) -> Ripple
A 5-period CCI is used to identify short-term oversold conditions where prices are on discount. Discount is defined by the 5-period CCI crossing below -100 as it reflects a weekly oversold condition. The indicator will display a small triangle below the candle when this condition is met.
== Ready To Deploy Field Manual ==
When background is painted red, do nothing.
When background is painted green, begin thinking of bullish opportunities.
Look for the specific EMA that has the most bounces of stock price in recent months, this is the area of value to look for buying opportunity.
For the candles that intersect the EMA you identified above, watch for the appearance of a small triangle below the candle that tells you the entry timing.
When the entry timing signal triangle appears, remember the High of that candle and buy your position when the subsequent candle breaks above this High.
If the High is not broken above in the next immediate candle, remember the newer High of the newer candle (basically follow / trail the latest High until a break above is hit).
If the background turns from green to red, stop following the High and do not enter because the market sentiment has changed to bearish .
If you are holding an existing position and the background turns red, consider exiting the position. You may consider remembering the Low of the candle and exit your position if this Low is broken below on a subsequent candle.
== Best Wishes ==
The author wishes the best success for all users of this technical indicator.
