(mab) Dynamic Bitcoin NVT SignalBitcoin`s NVT is calculated by dividing the Network Value (market cap) by the USD volume transmitted through the blockchain daily. Note this equivalent of the bitcoin token supply divided by the daily BTC value transmitted through the blockchain, NVT is technically inverse monetary velocity.
Credits go to Willy Woo for creating the Network Value Transaction Ratio (NVT). Credits go also to Dimitry Kalichkin improving NVT and creating the NVT Signal (NVTS).
According to its creator, the NVT Ratio is somewhat similar to the PE Ratio used in equity markets. When Bitcoin`s NVT is high, it indicates that its network valuation is outstripping the value being transmitted on its payment network, this can happen when the network is in high growth and investors are valuing it as a high return investment, or alternatively when the price is in an unsustainable bubble.
I created this indicator because the NVT indicator I was using suddenly stopped working. I tried a number of other NVT indicators, but all of them seem to have the same problem and stopped updating after a certain date. The cause is that the data feed from 'Quandl' that is used by most NVT indicators is no longer updated through the previous API.
Instead TradingView created a special API to access 'Quandl" data. This indicator not only uses the new API for 'Quandl', it can also access data from other providers like 'Glassnode', 'CoinMetrics' and 'IntoTheBlock'. However, the 'Quandl' data feed seems to produce the best results with this indicator.
The indicator provides dynamically adjusting overbought and oversold thresholds based on a two year moving average and standard devition with adjustable multipliers. It also implements alerts for NVT going into overbought, oversold or crossing the moving average.
Version 1.0
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Version history
0.1 Beta
- Initial version
1.0
- First release
Nvts
Daily Network Value to Transactions Signal (NVTS)
Quote of GlassNode ...
The NVT Signal (NVTS) is a modified version of the original NVT Ratio.
It uses a 90 day moving average of the daily transaction volume in the denominator instead of the raw daily transaction volume.
This moving average improves the ratio to better function as a leading indicator.
The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio is calculated by dividing the market cap by the transferred on-chain volume measured in USD.
GlassNode says the NVT Ratio was created by Willy Woo.
I have peaked into Glassnode and took their idea.
I also added a few more Moving Averages to select from, and the length can also be changed.
This script does not depend on Glassnode alone, instead I pulls data of several services...
CoinMarketCap
CoinMetrics
GlassNode
IntoTheBlock
Therefor we have more Tokens to select from.
I have also blocked some faulty data of each service.
If you get a study error of any kind then there is no data available,
or you on a wrong timeframe.
Best to use this script in a daily chart.
And keep in mind it pulls data of yesterday.
Therefor the plot is offset by 1 to the left.
The script will check each service if the data for the chart is available.
Market Cap is taken in the following order ...
CainMarketCap
GlassNode
CoinMetrics
Transaction volume as USD is taken in the following order ...
IntoTheBlock
CoinMetrics
GlassNode
Happy Trading!
QuantNomad - Bitcoin NVT/NVTSIn this script I included 2 quite interesting indicators for Bitcoin:
* NVT (Network Value to Transactions Ratio)
* NVTS (NVT Signal)
Both indicators are based on Bitcoin Network Value (Market Cap) and 24h transaction volume.
For both these values I'm using Quandl datasets from Blockchainc.com:
market_cap: QUANDL:BCHAIN/MKTCP
transac_vol: QUANDL:BCHAIN/ETRVU
Calculation for both indicators are pretty simple:
NVT = median(market_cap / transac_vol, 14 bars)
NVTS = market_cap / sma(transac_vol, 90 bars)
NVT and NVTS are cryptocurrency's answers to P/E ratio. They can help you to understand if bitcoin is under/overvalued.
When NVT or NVTS is relatively high it can be a pretty good point to short bitcoin, if it's low it good time to buy bitcoin.
NVT Ratio - was created by Willy Woo
NVT Signal - was created by Dimitry Kalichkin
Because of different sources of transaction volume data, these indicators can differ in values from originals, but magnitude should be the same.
This is a pretty simple example where you can select only static overbought/oversold levels and when indicator will be above/below it you will see in changing in color.
I have many more things in my head how these indicators can be developed further and what strategies can be derived from them, but as is they can be a pretty good base for you. Will share my advanced findings later.
