Orion:SagittaSagitta
Sagitta is an indicator the works to assist in the validation of potential long entries and to place stop-loss orders. Sagitta is not a "golden indicator" but more of a confirmation indicator of what prices might be suggesting.
The concept is that while stocks can turn in one bar, it usually takes two bars or more to signal a turn. So, using a measurement of two bars help determine the potential turning of prices.
Behind the scenes, Sagitta is nothing more than a 2 period stochastic which has had its values divided into five specific zones.
Dividing the range of the two bars in five sections, the High is equal to 100 and the Low is equal to 0.
The zones are:
20 = bearish (red) – This is when the close is the lower 20% of the two bars
40 = bearish (orange) – This is when the close is between the lower 20% and 40% of the two bars.
60 = neutral (yellow) – This is when the close is between the middle 40% - 60% of the two bars.
80 = bullish (blue) – This is when the close is between the upper 60% - 80% of the two bars.
100 = bullish (green) – This is when the close is above the upper 80% of the bar.
The general confirmation concept works as such:
When the following bar is of a higher value than the previous bar, there is potential for further upward price movement. Conversely when the following bar is lower than the previous bar, there is potential for further downward movement.
Going from a red bar to orange bar Might be an indication of a positive turn in direction of prices.
Going from a green bar to an orange bar would also be considered a negative directional turn of prices.
When the follow on bar decreases (ie, green to blue, blue to yellow, etc) placing a stop-loss would be prudent.
Maroon lines in the middle of a bar is an indication that prices are currently caught in consolidation.
Silver/Gray bars indicate that a high potential exists for a strong upward turn in prices exists.
Consolidation is calculated by determining if the close of one bar is between the high and low of another bar. This then establishes the range high and low. As long as closes continue with this range, the high and low of the range can expand. When the close is outside of the range, the consolidation is reset.
Signals in areas of consolidation (maroon center bar) should be looked upon as if the prices are going to challenge the high of the consolidation range and not necessarily break through.
The entry technique used is:
The greater of the following two calculations:
High of signal bar * 1.002 or High of signal bar + .03
The stop-loss technique used is:
The lesser of the following two calculations:
Low of signal bar * .998 or Low of signal bar - .03
IF an entry signal is generated and the price doesn’t reach the entry calculation. It is considered a failed entry and is not considered a negative or that you missed out on something. This has saved you from losing money since the prices are not ready to commit to the direction.
When placing a stop-loss, it is never suggested that you lower the value of a stop-loss. Always move your stop-losses higher in order to lock in profit in case of a negative turn.
Orion
Orion AlgoOrion Algo is a next-gen trading algorithm designed to help traders find the highs and lows of the market before, during, and after they happen. We wanted to give an indicator to people that was simple to use. In fact we created the algorithm in such a way that it currently only needs a single input from the user. Since no indicator can predict the market perfectly, Orion should be used as just another tool (although quite a sharp one) for you to trade with. Fundamental knowledge of price action and TA should be used with Orion Algo.
Being an oscillator, Orion currently has a bias towards market volatility. So you will want to be trading markets over 30% volatility. We have plans to develop future versions that take this into account and adjust automatically for dead conditions. Also, while there are some similarities across all oscillators, what sets ours apart is the prediction curve. The prediction curve looks at the current signal values and gives it a relative score to approximate tops and bottoms 1-2 bars ahead of the signal curve. We also designed a velocity curve that attempts to predict the signal curve 2+ bars ahead. You can find the relative change in velocity in the Info panel. The bottom momentum wave is based on the signal curve and helps find overall market direction of higher time-frames while in a lower one.
Future Roadmap:
Create secondary on-bar indicator to pair with Orion Algo
Automatically adjust internal variables based on market volatility
Indicator style selection
Simple Strategy:
1. Start at a high time-frame to get an overview of the market you are wanting to enter. Daily is usually a good starting time.
2. If you can, add Orion to a second chart with a lower time-frame such as 4H.
3. Check the lower time frame to find potential medium term entry points based on where the trend was heading from the higher time-frame.
4. Step even lower to the 1H to find your optimal entry based on the higher times and technical analysis of the charts (support/resistance, patterns, etc)
5. The momentum wave can be used to find overall trend of the market. When it starts curving up, the market is bullish. When it curves down, the market could be bearish.
Intermediate Strategy:
1. Use simple strategy first.
2. Use the Prediction and ∆v curves to see future reversals in the works.
3. You can use these curves as potential entries as well as exit points.
4. Take into account potential divergence of the signal lines and price action.
Settings and How to Use them:
User Agreement – Orion Algo is a tool for you to use while trading. We aren’t responsible for losses OR the gains you make with it. By clicking the checkbox on the left you are agreeing to the terms.
Super Smooth – Smooths the main signal line based on the value inside the box. Lower values shift the pivot points to the left but also make things more noisy. Higher values move things to the right making it lag a bit more while creating a smoother signal. 8 is a good value to start with.
Theme – Changes the color scheme of Orion.
Info – Turns on a dashboard with useful stats, such as Delta v, Volatility, Rsi, etc. Changing the value box will move the dashboard left and right.
Pivots – Toggles main bull/bear dots.
Prediction – A secondary prediction model that attempts to predict a reversal before it happens (0-2bars). This can be noisy some times so make your best judgement. Curve will toggle a curve view of the prediction. Pivots will toggle bull/bear dots.
∆v – Delta v (change in velocity). This shows momentum of the signal. Crossing 0 signals a reversal. If you see the delta v changing direction, it may signify a reversal in the several bars depending on the overall momentum of the market.
Divergence – Toggles divergence lines. Hidden will show hidden divergences. Cross will show divergences that cross the 0 line.
Momentum Wave – Uses the signal as a macro trend indicator. Changes in direction of the wave can signify macro changes in the market. Average will toggle an averaging algorithm of the momentum waves and makes it easy to understand.
OBOS – Overbought/Oversold lines. Dyn will convert them to dynamic OBOS lines. The value box will adjust the smoothing.
