Hurst-Based Trend Persistence w/Poisson Prediction
---
# **Hurst-Based Trend Persistence w/ Poisson Prediction**
## **Introduction**
The **Hurst-Based Trend Persistence with Poisson Prediction** is a **statistically-driven trend-following oscillator** that provides traders with **a structured approach to identifying trend strength, persistence, and potential reversals**.
This indicator combines:
- **Hurst Exponent Analysis** (to measure how persistent or mean-reverting price action is).
- **Color-Coded Trend Detection** (to highlight bullish and bearish conditions).
- **Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Probability Projection** (to anticipate when a trend is likely to end based on statistical models).
By integrating **fractal market theory (Hurst exponent)** with **Poisson probability distributions**, this indicator gives traders a **probability-weighted view of trend duration** while dynamically adapting to market volatility.
---
## **Simplified Explanation (How to Read the Indicator at a Glance)**
1. **If the oscillator line is going up → The trend is strong.**
2. **If the oscillator line is going down → The trend is weakening.**
3. **If the color shifts from red to green (or vice versa), a trend shift has occurred.**
- **Strong trends can change color without weakening** (meaning a bullish or bearish move can remain powerful even as the trend shifts).
4. **A weakening trend does NOT necessarily mean a reversal is coming.**
- The trend may slow down but continue in the same direction.
5. **A strong trend does NOT guarantee it will last.**
- Even a powerful move can **suddenly reverse**, which is why the **Poisson-based background shading** helps anticipate probabilities of change.
---
## **How to Use the Indicator**
### **1. Understanding the Rolling Hurst-Based Trend Oscillator (Main Line)**
The **oscillator line** is based on the **Hurst exponent (H)**, which quantifies whether price movements are:
- **Trending** (values above 0 → momentum-driven, persistent trends).
- **Mean-reverting** (values below 0 → price action is choppy, likely to revert to the mean).
- **Neutral (Random Walk)** (values around 0 → price behaves like a purely stochastic process).
#### **Interpreting the Oscillator:**
- **H > 0.5 → Persistent Trends:**
- Price moves tend to sustain in one direction for longer periods.
- Example: Strong uptrends in bull markets.
- **H < 0.5 → Mean-Reverting Behavior:**
- Price has a tendency to revert back to its mean.
- Example: Sideways markets or fading momentum.
- **H ≈ 0.5 → Random Walk:**
- No clear trend; price is unpredictable.
A **gray dashed horizontal line at 0** serves as a **baseline**, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is **favoring trends or mean reversion**.
---
### **2. Color-Coded Trend Signal (Visual Confirmation of Trend Shifts)**
The oscillator **changes color** based on **price slope** over the lookback period:
- **🟢 Green → Uptrend (Price Increasing)**
- Price is rising relative to the selected lookback period.
- Suggests sustained bullish pressure.
- **🔴 Red → Downtrend (Price Decreasing)**
- Price is falling relative to the selected lookback period.
- Suggests sustained bearish pressure.
#### **How to Use This in Trading**
✔ **Stay in trends until a color change occurs.**
✔ **Use color changes as confirmation for trend reversals.**
✔ **Avoid counter-trend trades when the oscillator remains strongly colored.**
---
### **3. Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Projection (Anticipating Future Shifts)**
The **shaded orange background** represents a **Poisson-based probability estimation** of when the trend is likely to reverse.
- **Darker Orange = Higher Probability of Trend Reversal**
- **Lighter Orange / No Shade = Low Probability of Immediate Reversal**
💡 **The idea behind this model:**
✔ Trends **don’t last forever**, and their duration follows **statistical patterns**.
✔ By calculating the **average historical trend duration**, the indicator predicts **how likely a trend shift is at any given time**.
✔ The **Poisson probability function** is applied to determine the **expected likelihood of a reversal as time progresses**.
---
## **Mathematical Foundations of the Indicator**
This indicator is based on **two primary statistical models**:
### **1. Hurst Exponent & Trend Persistence (Fractal Market Theory)**
- The **Hurst exponent (H)** measures **autocorrelation** in price movements.
- If past trends **persist**, H will be **above 0.5** (meaning trend-following strategies are favorable).
- If past trends tend to **mean-revert**, H will be **below 0.5** (meaning reversal strategies are more effective).
- The **Rolling Hurst Oscillator** calculates this exponent over a moving window to track real-time trend conditions.
#### **Formula Breakdown (Simplified for Traders)**
The Hurst exponent (H) is derived using the **Rescaled Range (R/S) Analysis**:
\
Where:
- **R** = **Range** (difference between max cumulative deviation and min cumulative deviation).
- **S** = **Standard deviation** of price fluctuations.
- **Lookback** = The number of periods analyzed.
---
### **2. Poisson-Based Trend Reversal Probability (Stochastic Process Modeling)**
The **Poisson process** is a **probabilistic model used for estimating time-based events**, applied here to **predict trend reversals based on past trend durations**.
#### **How It Works**
- The indicator **tracks trend durations** (the time between color changes).
- A **Poisson rate parameter (λ)** is computed as:
\
- The **probability of a reversal at any given time (t)** is estimated using:
\
- **As t increases (trend continues), the probability of reversal rises**.
- The indicator **shades the background based on this probability**, visually displaying the likelihood of a **trend shift**.
---
## **Dynamic Adaptation to Market Conditions**
✔ **Volatility-Adjusted Trend Shifts:**
- A **custom volatility calculation** dynamically adjusts the **minimum trend duration** required before a trend shift is recognized.
- **Higher volatility → Requires longer confirmation before switching trend color.**
- **Lower volatility → Allows faster trend shifts.**
✔ **Adaptive Poisson Weighting:**
- **Recent trends are weighted more heavily** using an exponential decay function:
- **Decay Factor (0.618 by default)** prioritizes **recent intervals** while still considering historical trends.
- This ensures the model adapts to changing market conditions.
---
## **Key Takeaways for Traders**
✅ **Identify Persistent Trends vs. Mean Reversion:**
- Use the oscillator line to determine whether the market favors **trend-following or counter-trend strategies**.
✅ **Visual Trend Confirmation via Color Coding:**
- **Green = Uptrend**, **Red = Downtrend**.
- Trend changes help confirm **entry and exit points**.
✅ **Anticipate Trend Reversals Using Probability Models:**
- The **Poisson projection** provides a **statistical edge** in **timing exits before trends reverse**.
✅ **Adapt to Market Volatility Automatically:**
- Dynamic **volatility scaling** ensures the indicator remains effective in **both high and low volatility environments**.
Happy trading and enjoy!
Indicators and strategies
Ben Adaji Time Zone CheckerIf you are trading from Nigeria, you need to set your TradingView timezone to West Africa Time (WAT, UTC+1). This ensures that your charts, market sessions, and time-based indicators align correctly with your local time.
To set this up on TradingView:
Click on the gear icon (Chart Settings).
Navigate to the Time Zone section.
Select UTC+1:00 West Africa Time (WAT) from the list.
This adjustment helps you track market movements accurately in sync with your local trading hours.
DateTimeLibrary with enums that can be used as script inputs to allow users to set their preferred date and/or time formats. The user-selected formats can be passed to the library functions (which use 𝚜𝚝𝚛.𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝_𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎() under the hood) to get formatted date and time strings from a UNIX time.
PREFACE
The target audience of this publication is users creating their own indicators/strategies.
Sometimes a date and/or time needs to be displayed to the user. As a Pine Coder, it is natural to focus our initial attention on the primary calculations or functions of a script, which can lead to the display format of dates and times being an afterthought. While it may not be crucial for the main use case of a script, increased customizability can help push indicators/strategies to the next level in the eyes of the user.
The purpose of this library is to provide an easy-to-use mechanism for allowing script users to choose the formats of dates and times that are displayed to them. Not only is this helpful for users from around the world who may be accustomed to different date/time formats, but it also makes it easier for the script author because it offloads the date/time formatting decision from the author to the user.
HOW TO USE
Step 1
Import the library. Replace with the latest available version number for this library.
//@version=6
indicator("Example")
import n00btraders/DateTime/ as dt
Step 2
Select a date format and/or time format enum to be used as an input.
dateFormatInput = input.enum(dt.DateFormat.FORMAT_3, "Date format")
timeFormatInput = input.enum(dt.TimeFormat.TWENTY_FOUR_HOURS, "Time hours format")
Step 3
Pass the user's selection as the `format` parameter in the formatting functions from this library. The `timestamp` & `timezone` parameters can be any value that would otherwise be used in 𝚜𝚝𝚛.𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝_𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎(𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎, 𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝, 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎𝚣𝚘𝚗𝚎).
string formattedDate = dt.formatDate(timestamp, dateFormatInput, timezone)
string formattedTime = dt.formatTime(timestamp, timeFormatInput, timezone)
LIMITATIONS
The library's ease-of-use comes at a few costs:
Fixed date/time formats.
Using the library's pre-defined date & time formats means that additional custom formats cannot be utilized. For example, this library does not include seconds or fractional seconds in formatted time strings. If a script's use case requires displaying the 'seconds' from a time of day, then 𝚜𝚝𝚛.𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝_𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎() must be used directly.
Fixed time zone offset format.
The `formatTime()` function of this library can optionally add the time zone offset at the end of the time string, but the format of the offset cannot be specified. Note: if the default format for time zone offset is not sufficient, the Timezone library can be imported directly to get the time zone offset string in a preferred format.
ADVANTAGES
There are benefits to utilizing this library instead of directly using 𝚜𝚝𝚛.𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝_𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎():
Easy to use from the user's perspective.
The date & time format enums provide a similar look and feel to the "Date format" and "Time hours format" options that already exist in the TradingView chart settings.
Easy to use from the author's perspective.
The exported functions from this library are modeled to behave similarly to the 𝚜𝚝𝚛.𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝_𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎(𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎, 𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝, 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎𝚣𝚘𝚗𝚎) built-in function from Pine Script.
Format quarter of the year.
The date formatting function from this library can display a fiscal quarter if it's included in the user-selected format. This is currently not possible with the built-in 𝚜𝚝𝚛.𝚏𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝_𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎().
EXPORTED ENUM TYPES
This section will list the available date/time formats that can be used as a script input. Each enum type has a detailed //@𝚏𝚞𝚗𝚌𝚝𝚒𝚘𝚗 description in the source code to help determine the best choice for your scripts.
Date Format Enums:
𝙳𝚊𝚝𝚎𝙵𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝
𝙳𝚊𝚝𝚎𝙵𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝𝙳𝚊𝚢𝙾𝚏𝚆𝚎𝚎𝚔𝙰𝚋𝚋𝚛
𝙳𝚊𝚝𝚎𝙵𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝𝙳𝚊𝚢𝙾𝚏𝚆𝚎𝚎𝚔𝙵𝚞𝚕𝚕
𝙲𝚞𝚜𝚝𝚘𝚖𝙳𝚊𝚝𝚎𝙵𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝
Supporting Date Enums:
𝙳𝚊𝚝𝚎𝙿𝚛𝚎𝚏𝚒𝚡
Time Format Enums:
𝚃𝚒𝚖𝚎𝙵𝚘𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚝
Supporting Time Enums:
𝚃𝚒𝚖𝚎𝙰𝚋𝚋𝚛𝚎𝚟𝚒𝚊𝚝𝚒𝚘𝚗
𝚃𝚒𝚖𝚎𝚂𝚎𝚙𝚊𝚛𝚊𝚝𝚘𝚛
𝚃𝚒𝚖𝚎𝙿𝚘𝚜𝚝𝚏𝚒𝚡
Note: all exported enums have custom titles for each field. This means that the supporting enums could also be exposed to the end-user as script inputs if necessary. The supporting enums are used as optional parameters in this library's formatting functions to allow further customizability.
EXPORTED FUNCTIONS
formatDate(timestamp, format, timezone, prefix, trim)
Converts a UNIX time into a date string formatted according to the selected `format`.
Parameters:
timestamp (series int) : A UNIX time.
format (series DateFormat) : A date format.
timezone (series string) : A UTC/GMT offset or IANA time zone identifier.
prefix (series DatePrefix) : Optional day of week prefix.
trim (series bool) : Optional truncation of numeric month / day.
Returns: Calendar date string using the selected format.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
Required parameters: `timestamp`, `format`.
Note: there is a version of this function for each Date Format enum type. The only difference is the type of the `format` parameter.
Tip: hover over the `formatDate()` function in the Pine Editor to display useful details:
Function description
Parameter descriptions + default values
Example function usage
formatTime(timestamp, format, timezone, trim, separator, postfix, space, offset)
Converts a UNIX time into a formatted time string using the 24-hour clock or 12-hour clock.
Parameters:
timestamp (series int) : A UNIX time.
format (series TimeFormat) : A time format.
timezone (series string) : A UTC/GMT offset or IANA time zone identifier.
trim (series TimeAbbreviation) : Optional truncation of the hour and minute portion.
separator (series TimeSeparator) : Optional time separator.
postfix (series TimePostfix) : Optional format for the AM/PM postfix.
space (series bool) : Optional space between the time and the postfix.
offset (series bool) : Optional UTC offset as a suffix.
Returns: Time of day string using the selected format.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
Required parameters: `timestamp`, `format`.
Note: the `trim`, `postfix`, and `space` optional parameters are not applicable and will be ignored when using the 24-hour clock (`format` = TimeFormat.TWENTY_FOUR_HOURS).
Tip: hover over the `formatTime()` function in the Pine Editor to display useful details:
Function description
Parameter descriptions + default values
Example function usage
Example outputs for combinations of TimeFormat.* enum values & optional parameters
NOTES
This library can be used in conjunction with the Timezone library to increase the usability of scripts that can benefit from allowing the user to input their preferred time zone.
Credits to HoanGhetti for publishing an informative Markdown resource which I referenced to create the formatted function descriptions that pop up when hovering over `formatDate()` and `formatTime()` function calls in the Pine Editor.
[NLR] - MACD OverlayOverview
This script is an enhanced version of the classic MACD indicator, designed to be plotted directly on the price chart as an overlay. It provides a visual representation of trend direction by coloring moving averages, a zero reference line, and an optional histogram. The script allows for a higher timeframe MACD calculation through a configurable multiplier.
Features
MACD Calculation: Uses Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to calculate the MACD line, Signal line, and Histogram.
Higher Timeframe Support: Multiplier option to adjust MACD parameters for a broader trend perspective.
Color-Coded Trend Visualization: Dynamic color changes based on MACD crossovers for easy trend identification.
Optional Histogram: Toggle histogram visibility to see momentum shifts.
Zero Line Reference: Helps traders interpret trend direction and strength.
How to Use
Customize Inputs: Adjust Fast, Slow, and Signal lengths as needed. Modify the multiplier to view a higher timeframe MACD.
Enable Histogram: Use the "Show Histogram" toggle to display additional visual cues for momentum shifts.
Interpret the Signals:
Uptrend (Lime): Fast EMA is above Slow EMA.
Downtrend (Fuchsia): Fast EMA is below Slow EMA.
Histogram Changes: Increasing histogram bars indicate growing momentum, while decreasing bars suggest weakening momentum.
Golden Death Cross IndicatorThis indicator uses moving average to detect both a Golden Cross and Death Cross on any timeframe but is recommended for use on the daily and 24 hour timeframes only.
We have also provided instructions on how to create alerts for these indicators below.
Happy Trading!
Moving Averages: We’ll use Simple Moving Averages (SMA). The 50-day SMA looks at the average price over the last 50 periods, and the 200-day SMA does the same for 200 periods.
Crossovers: We’ll check when the 50-day SMA crosses above (Golden Cross) or below the 200-day SMA (Death Cross).
Set Up Alerts
Now, let’s make sure you get notified when a cross happens:
Open the Alerts Menu
On the chart, click the bell icon (top right of the screen) to create an alert.
Configure the Golden Cross Alert
In the “Condition” dropdown, select “Cross Alerts” (the name of your script).
Below that, select “Golden Cross.”
Set “Once Per Bar Close” in the next dropdown (this ensures it only triggers after the period ends, avoiding false signals mid-bar).
Choose how you want to be notified (e.g., popup, email, or phone app—set this under “Notifications”).
Name the alert (e.g., “Golden Cross Alert”) and click “Create.”
Configure the Death Cross Alert
Click the bell icon again to create a second alert.
Condition: “Cross Alerts” > “Death Cross.”
Set “Once Per Bar Close” again.
Choose your notification method.
Name it (e.g., “Death Cross Alert”) and click “Create.”
Support and Resistance LevelsSupport and Resistance Levels with Breaks – Amin & Taufik
The Support and Resistance Levels with Breaks indicator is designed to automatically detect support and resistance levels based on pivots (high and low points within a given period). It also highlights breakouts of these levels, confirmed by increased volume for additional validation.
Key Features:
✅ Automatic Support & Resistance Detection
Uses pivothigh and pivotlow to identify key support and resistance levels.
Red lines indicate resistance, while blue lines represent support.
✅ Breakout Confirmation with Volume
The indicator generates breakout signals when price breaks support or resistance with high volume.
A downside breakout is marked with a red "B" label above the candlestick.
An upside breakout is marked with a green "B" label below the candlestick.
✅ Bullish & Bearish Wick Detection (Rejections)
Additional signals for long wicks (candlestick shadows) indicating possible price reversals.
Bullish Wick (rejection at support) is marked with a green label.
Bearish Wick (rejection at resistance) is marked with a red label.
✅ Automatic Breakout Alerts
The indicator can send automatic notifications when support or resistance is broken with high volume.
How to Use:
1️⃣ Adjust the Left Bars and Right Bars parameters to fine-tune pivot sensitivity for detecting support & resistance.
2️⃣ Enable the Show Breaks option to see breakout confirmations with high volume.
3️⃣ Use this indicator alongside price action analysis and other indicators to confirm trade decisions.
🚀 Ideal for:
✔️ Scalping & Intraday Trading
✔️ Swing Trading & Trend Following
✔️ Breakout & Retest Confirmation
ℹ️ Note:
This indicator does not provide direct buy or sell signals. It is recommended to use it alongside other technical analysis tools, such as candlestick patterns, moving averages, and RSI, for more accurate decision-making.
📌 Developed by: Amin & Taufik
🔗 License: Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
💬 If you find this indicator useful, don’t forget to like and comment on TradingView! 🚀
Market Structure Break with Volume & ATR#### Indicator Overview:
The *Market Structure Break with Volume & ATR (MSB+VolATR)* indicator is designed to identify significant market structure breakouts and breakdowns using a combination of price action, volume analysis, and volatility (ATR). It is particularly useful for traders who rely on higher timeframes for swing trading or positional trading. The indicator highlights bullish and bearish breakouts, retests, fakeouts, and potential buy/sell signals based on RSI overbought/oversold conditions.
---
### Key Features:
1. *Market Structure Analysis*:
- Identifies swing highs and lows on a user-defined higher timeframe.
- Detects breakouts and breakdowns when price exceeds these levels with volume and ATR validation.
2. *Volume Validation*:
- Ensures breakouts are accompanied by above-average volume, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
3. *ATR Filter*:
- Filters out insignificant breakouts by requiring the breakout size to exceed a multiple of the ATR.
4. *RSI Integration*:
- Adds a momentum filter by considering overbought/oversold conditions using RSI.
5. *Visual Enhancements*:
- Draws colored boxes to highlight breakout zones.
- Labels breakouts, retests, and fakeouts for easy interpretation.
- Displays stop levels for potential trades.
6. *Alerts*:
- Provides alert conditions for buy and sell signals, enabling real-time notifications.
---
### Input Settings and Their Effects:
1. **Timeframe (tf):
- Determines the higher timeframe for market structure analysis.
- *Effect*: A higher timeframe (e.g., 1D) reduces noise and provides more reliable swing points, while a lower timeframe (e.g., 4H) may generate more frequent but less reliable signals.
2. **Lookback Period (length):
- Defines the number of historical bars used to identify significant highs and lows.
- *Effect*: A longer lookback period (e.g., 50) captures broader market structure, while a shorter period (e.g., 20) reacts faster to recent price action.
3. **ATR Length (atr_length):
- Sets the period for ATR calculation.
- *Effect*: A shorter ATR length (e.g., 14) reacts faster to recent volatility, while a longer length (e.g., 21) smooths out volatility spikes.
4. **ATR Multiplier (atr_multiplier):
- Filters insignificant breakouts by requiring the breakout size to exceed ATR × multiplier.
- *Effect*: A higher multiplier (e.g., 0.2) reduces false signals but may miss smaller breakouts.
5. **Volume Multiplier (volume_multiplier):
- Sets the volume threshold for breakout validation.
- *Effect*: A higher multiplier (e.g., 1.0) ensures stronger volume confirmation but may reduce the number of signals.
6. **RSI Length (rsi_length):
- Defines the period for RSI calculation.
- *Effect*: A shorter RSI length (e.g., 10) makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer length (e.g., 20) smooths out RSI fluctuations.
7. *RSI Overbought/Oversold Levels*:
- Sets the thresholds for overbought (default: 70) and oversold (default: 30) conditions.
- *Effect*: Adjusting these levels can make the indicator more or less conservative in generating signals.
8. **Stop Loss Multiplier (SL_Multiplier):
- Determines the distance of the stop-loss level from the entry price based on ATR.
- *Effect*: A higher multiplier (e.g., 2.0) provides wider stops, reducing the risk of being stopped out prematurely but increasing potential losses.
---
### How It Works:
1. *Breakout Detection*:
- A bullish breakout occurs when the close exceeds the highest high of the lookback period, with volume above the threshold and breakout size exceeding ATR × multiplier.
- A bearish breakout occurs when the close falls below the lowest low of the lookback period, with similar volume and ATR validation.
2. *Retest Logic*:
- After a breakout, if price retests the breakout zone without closing beyond it, a retest label is displayed.
3. *Fakeout Detection*:
- If price briefly breaks out but reverses back into the range, a fakeout label is displayed.
4. *Buy/Sell Signals*:
- A sell signal is generated when price reverses below a bullish breakout zone and RSI is overbought.
- A buy signal is generated when price reverses above a bearish breakout zone and RSI is oversold.
5. *Stop Levels*:
- Stop-loss levels are plotted based on ATR × SL_Multiplier, providing a visual guide for risk management.
---
### Who Can Use It and How:
1. *Swing Traders*:
- Use the indicator on daily or 4-hour timeframes to identify high-probability breakout trades.
- Combine with other technical analysis tools (e.g., trendlines, Fibonacci levels) for confirmation.
2. *Positional Traders*:
- Apply the indicator on weekly or daily charts to capture long-term trends.
- Use the stop-loss levels to manage risk over extended periods.
3. *Algorithmic Traders*:
- Integrate the buy/sell signals into automated trading systems.
- Use the alert conditions to trigger trades programmatically.
4. *Risk-Averse Traders*:
- Adjust the ATR and volume multipliers to filter out low-probability trades.
- Use wider stop-loss levels to avoid premature exits.
---
### Where to Use It:
- *Forex*: Identify breakouts in major currency pairs.
- *Stocks*: Spot trend reversals in high-volume stocks.
- *Commodities*: Trade breakouts in gold, oil, or other commodities.
- *Crypto*: Apply to Bitcoin, Ethereum, or other cryptocurrencies for volatile breakout opportunities.
---
### Example Use Case:
- *Timeframe*: 1D
- *Lookback Period*: 50
- *ATR Length*: 14
- *ATR Multiplier*: 0.1
- *Volume Multiplier*: 0.5
- *RSI Length*: 14
- *RSI Overbought/Oversold*: 70/30
- *SL Multiplier*: 1.5
In this setup, the indicator will:
1. Identify significant swing highs and lows on the daily chart.
2. Validate breakouts with volume and ATR filters.
3. Generate buy/sell signals when price reverses and RSI confirms overbought/oversold conditions.
4. Plot stop-loss levels for risk management.
---
### Conclusion:
The *MSB+VolATR* indicator is a versatile tool for traders seeking to capitalize on market structure breakouts with added confirmation from volume and volatility. By customizing the input settings, traders can adapt the indicator to their preferred trading style and risk tolerance. Whether you're a swing trader, positional trader, or algorithmic trader, this indicator provides actionable insights to enhance your trading strategy.
JL - DWM OHLCThis indicator plots the following price levels on your chart automatically AND will not show up if you are using a timeframe bigger than 60 minutes, 1 day, or 1 week.
Here are the price levels that are automatically plotted for you, and so you know the styling is different for Daily, Weekly, Monthly levels so you can easily distinguish between them:
- Prior Day: High / Low / Close
- Current Day: Open
- Prior Week: High / Low / Close
- Current Week: Open
- Prior Month: High / Low / Close
- Current Month: Open
These plots are timeframe dependent and will not plot on subsequently higher timeframes, here is how they work:
Daily Price Levels are only shown on timeframes that are smaller than 60 minutes.
Weekly Price Levels are only shown on timeframes smaller than 1 Day.
Monthly Price Levels are only shown on timeframes smaller than 1 Week.
This way, you can turn on the indicator and not have to think about turning off certain price levels if you switch to a larger / longer timeframe than what you typically use.
For example, Daily OHLC price levels will quickly clutter the 60 minute chart, and likely you don't need to know the HLC of the Prior Day if you are looking at the 60 minute chart. Therefor it may be helpful to automatically hide the Daily price level plots, and only show the Weekly and Monthly plots on the 60 minute timeframe.
I hope you find this indicator helpful, thanks for reading.
day of Month | xilixMonthly Marker (1D Only)
The Monthly Marker indicator automatically highlights a specific day of the month on a daily (1D) chart by drawing a vertical line. Users can select their desired day of the month and customize the line color.
Features:
✅ Marks the chosen day of each month with a vertical line.
✅ Customizable line color (set in the indicator settings).
✅ Helps traders quickly identify key monthly dates.
Note: This indicator will not work on lower timeframes (e.g., 4H, 1H) and will show an error if applied outside the 1D timeframe.
Best Use Cases: Monthly trend tracking, economic event alignment, and custom date-based analysis. 🚀
Crypto Strategy SUSDT 10 minThis strategy is designed to trade the **SUSDT** pair on a **10-minute time frame**, using a combination of an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and percentage-based Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels.
### How the strategy works:
1. **EMA Calculation**:
- The strategy calculates a 24-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) based on the closing price.
- This EMA serves as the primary trend indicator.
2. **Entry Conditions**:
- **Long Position**: A long position is entered when the closing price is above the EMA and the opening price is below the EMA. This indicates a potential upward trend.
- **Short Position**: A short position is entered when the closing price is below the EMA and the opening price is above the EMA. This indicates a potential downward trend.
3. **Stop Loss and Take Profit**:
- Both Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) are calculated based on the entry price of the position.
- **For Long Positions**:
- Stop Loss is set as a percentage below the entry price.
- Take Profit is set as a percentage above the entry price.
- **For Short Positions**:
- Stop Loss is set as a percentage above the entry price.
- Take Profit is set as a percentage below the entry price.
- The percentage values for SL and TP can be adjusted in the strategy's settings (default: SL = 2%, TP = 4%).
4. **Exit Conditions**:
- The position is closed automatically when either the Stop Loss or Take Profit level is reached.
5. **Visualization**:
- The 24-period EMA is plotted on the chart as a blue line, helping visualize the trend direction.
### Key Features:
- **Pair and Time Frame**: The strategy is optimized for the SUSDT pair on a 10-minute time frame.
- **Customizable Parameters**: Users can adjust the Stop Loss and Take Profit percentages to suit their risk tolerance and trading style.
- **Trend-Following Approach**: The strategy uses the EMA to identify and follow the current market trend.
This strategy is simple yet effective for capturing trends while managing risk through predefined Stop Loss and Take Profit levels.
Earnings Date and CountdownOverview:
The Earnings Date & Countdown (EDC) Indicator displays the next earnings date for a stock and a countdown of days remaining until the earnings announcement. This helps traders stay informed about upcoming earnings events and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Features:
- Displays the next earnings date in a customizable format.
- Accurate countdown of days remaining until the earnings event (optional).
- Automatically adjusts for time zones and ensures the correct number of full calendar days.
- Customizable display position for easy visibility on the chart.
Settings:
- Show day of the week: option to toggle the day of the week.
- Date Format: choose between dd mmm, mmm dd, dd/mm or mm/dd.
- Show year: option to toggle the year display.
- Show (countdown): option to toggle the countdown display.
- Indicator position: adjusts the location of the display on the chart.
Why use this indicator?
Earnings reports often cause significant price movements.
This indicator helps traders plan ahead by keeping earnings dates visible and tracking the countdown with precision directly on the chart.
Live SessionsLive sessions plots the highs and lows of the previous for sessions.
It also marks when these are broken by price.
Default Time Frames are:
London Session = "0000-0600", "UTC-4"
New York Session = "0830-1230", "UTC-4"
Asia Session = "1800-0000", "UTC-4"
New York Close Session = "1330-1630", "UTC-4"
Useful for highlighting when price has gone through a previous session high or low and quickly seeing where liquidity still lies.
Forex Pips Tracker PinescriptlabsThis algorithm is exclusively designed for the Forex market 🌐 and serves as a tool to measure volatility, helping to determine on average how many pips positions move per hour. With this information, a trader can place take profit and stop loss orders with greater certainty, since they know the average pip movement range during each hour of the day.
What does it do and how does it work?
• Volatility measurement in pips 📊:
The algorithm calculates the size of the movement (or range) of each candle expressed in pips. To do this, it takes the difference between the highest and lowest price of each candle and converts it into pips.
👉
• Time zone adjustment ⏰:
It allows you to configure the time zone so that the data aligns with your desired schedule. This is especially useful for comparing movements at different times based on the trader's location.
• Analysis by time intervals 🕒:
The algorithm’s logic organizes the information for each hour of the day. It stores data for the current day, the previous day, weekly, and historically (200 candles). This allows you to see how volatility varies across different periods, providing a dynamic view of market behavior.
👉
• Directionality of movement 🔄:
In addition to averaging the pip range, the algorithm determines the predominant direction of each candle (bullish or bearish). This translates into visual indicators (like arrows) that help identify whether, on average, the movement during that hour tends to go up or down.
• Table visualization 📈:
Finally, the information is presented in an integrated table on the chart. Each row corresponds to an hour of the day and shows the average number of pips and the direction (bullish, bearish, or neutral) for each analyzed period. This table makes it easy to quickly and practically interpret the volatility data.
By combining these features, the algorithm becomes an essential tool for traders looking to better understand market dynamics and optimize their trading strategies! 💼✨
Español:
Este algoritmo está diseñado exclusivamente para el mercado Forex 🌐 y sirve como una herramienta para medir la volatilidad, ayudando a determinar en promedio cuántos pips se mueven las posiciones por hora. Con esta información, un trader puede colocar el take profit y el stop loss con mayor certeza, ya que conoce el rango promedio de movimiento en pips durante cada hora del día.
¿Qué hace y cómo funciona?
• Medición de volatilidad en pips 📊:
El algoritmo calcula el tamaño del movimiento (o rango) de cada vela expresado en pips. Para ello, toma la diferencia entre el precio máximo y el mínimo de cada vela y la convierte a pips.
👉
• Ajuste de zona horaria ⏰:
Permite configurar la zona horaria para que los datos se ajusten al horario deseado. Esto es especialmente útil para comparar movimientos durante distintas horas en función de la localización del trader.
• Análisis por intervalos de tiempo 🕒:
La lógica del algoritmo organiza la información por cada hora del día. Guarda datos para el día actual, el día anterior, a nivel semanal e histórico (200 velas). Esto permite ver cómo varía la volatilidad en diferentes periodos, proporcionando una visión dinámica del comportamiento del mercado.
👉
• Direccionalidad del movimiento 🔄:
Además de promediar el rango en pips, el algoritmo determina la dirección predominante de cada vela (alcista o bajista). Esto se traduce en indicadores visuales (como flechas) que permiten identificar si, en promedio, el movimiento en esa hora tiende a subir o bajar.
• Visualización en tabla 📈:
Finalmente, la información se presenta en una tabla integrada en el gráfico. Cada fila corresponde a una hora del día y muestra el promedio de pips y la dirección (alcista, bajista o neutral) para cada uno de los periodos analizados. Esta tabla facilita la interpretación rápida y práctica de los datos de volatilidad.
Al combinar estas funciones, el algoritmo se convierte en una herramienta esencial para traders que buscan entender mejor la dinámica del mercado y optimizar sus estrategias de trading! 💼✨
ETH/USDT EMA Crossover Strategy - OptimizedStrategy Name: EMA Crossover Strategy for ETH/USDT
Description:
This trading strategy is designed for the ETH/USDT pair and is based on exponential moving average (EMA) crossovers combined with momentum and volatility indicators. The strategy uses multiple filters to identify high-probability signals in both bullish and bearish trends, making it suitable for traders looking to trade in trending markets.
Strategy Components
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages):
EMA 200: Used to identify the primary trend. If the price is above the EMA 200, it is considered a bullish trend; if below, a bearish trend.
EMA 50: Acts as an additional filter to confirm the trend.
EMA 20 and EMA 50 Short: These short-term EMAs generate entry signals through crossovers. A bullish crossover (EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50 Short) is a buy signal, while a bearish crossover (EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50 Short) is a sell signal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is used to avoid overbought or oversold conditions. Long trades are only taken when the RSI is above 30, and short trades when the RSI is below 70.
ATR (Average True Range):
The ATR is used as a volatility filter. Trades are only taken when there is sufficient volatility, helping to avoid false signals in quiet markets.
Volume:
A volume filter is used to confirm sufficient market participation in the price movement. Trades are only taken when volume is above average.
Strategy Logic
Long Trades:
The price must be above the EMA 200 (bullish trend).
The EMA 20 must cross above the EMA 50 Short.
The RSI must be above 30.
The ATR must indicate sufficient volatility.
Volume must be above average.
Short Trades:
The price must be below the EMA 200 (bearish trend).
The EMA 20 must cross below the EMA 50 Short.
The RSI must be below 70.
The ATR must indicate sufficient volatility.
Volume must be above average.
How to Use the Strategy
Setup:
Add the script to your ETH/USDT chart on TradingView.
Adjust the parameters according to your preferences (e.g., EMA periods, RSI, ATR, etc.).
Signals:
Buy and sell signals will be displayed directly on the chart.
Long trades are indicated with an upward arrow, and short trades with a downward arrow.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss and take-profit orders in all trades.
Consider a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Backtesting:
Test the strategy on historical data to evaluate its performance before using it live.
Advantages of the Strategy
Trend-focused: The strategy is designed to trade in trending markets, increasing the probability of success.
Multiple filters: The use of RSI, ATR, and volume reduces false signals.
Adaptability: It can be adjusted for different timeframes, although it is recommended to test it on 5-minute and 15-minute charts for ETH/USDT.
Warnings
Sideways markets: The strategy may generate false signals in markets without a clear trend. It is recommended to avoid trading in such conditions.
Optimization: Make sure to optimize the parameters according to the market and timeframe you are using.
Risk management: Never trade without stop-loss and take-profit orders.
Author
Jose J. Sanchez Cuevas
Version
v1.0
Machine Learning Trendlines Cluster [LuxAlgo]The ML Trendlines Cluster indicator allows traders to automatically identify trendlines using a machine learning algorithm based on k-means clustering and linear regression, highlighting trendlines from clustered prices.
For trader's convenience, trendlines can be filtered based on their slope, allowing them to filter out trendlines that are too horizontal, or instead keep them depending on the user-selected settings.
🔶 USAGE
Traders only need to set the number of trendlines (clusters) they want the tool to detect and the algorithm will do the rest.
By default the tool is set to detect 4 clusters over the last 500 bars, in the image above it is set to detect 10 clusters over the same period.
This approach only focuses on drawing trendlines from prices that share a common trading range, offering a unique perspective to traditional trendlines. Trendlines with a significant slope can highlight higher dispersion within its cluster.
🔹 Trendline Slope Filtering
Traders can filter trendlines by their slope to display only steep or flat trendlines relative to a user-defined threshold.
The image above shows the three different configurations of this feature:
Filtering disabled
Filter slopes above threshold
Filter slopes below threshold
🔶 DETAILS
K-means clustering is a popular machine-learning algorithm that finds observations in a data set that are similar to each other and places them in a group.
The process starts by randomly assigning each data point to an initial group and calculating the centroid for each. A centroid is the center of the group. K-means clustering forms the groups in such a way that the variances between the data points and the centroid of the cluster are minimized.
The trendlines are displayed according to the linear regression function calculated for each cluster.
🔶 SETTINGS
Window Size: Maximum number of bars to get data from
Clusters: Maximum number of clusters (trendlines) to detect
🔹 Optimization
Maximum Iteration Steps: Maximum loop iterations for cluster computation
🔹 Slope Filter
Threshold Multiplier: Multiplier applied to a volatility measure, higher multiplier equals higher threshold
Filter Slopes: Enable/Disable Trendline Slope Filtering, select to filter trendlines with slopes ABOVE or BELOW the threshold
🔹 Style
Upper Zone: Color to display in the top zone
Lower Zone: Color to display in the bottom zone
Lines: Style for the lines
Size: Line size
Multi-Period Rolling VWAPMulti-Period Rolling VWAP (MP-RVWAP)
This indicator plots multiple Rolling Volume-Weighted Average Price (RVWAP) lines over different time periods (7, 14, 30, 60, 90, 180, and 360 days) on a single chart. Each RVWAP is calculated using a user-defined timeframe and source (default: HLC3), ensuring consistency across chart resolutions.
Key Features:
Customizable Periods: Toggle visibility for each period (7d, 14d, 30d, 60d, 90d, 180d, 360d) and adjust their colors.
Labels: Each RVWAP line is labeled at the end (e.g., "7d", "360d") for easy identification.
Standard Deviation Bands: Optional bands can be added above and below each RVWAP, with customizable multipliers (set to 0 to hide).
Flexible Timeframe: Define a single timeframe (default: 1D) for all RVWAP calculations, independent of the chart’s timeframe.
Minimum Bars: Set a minimum number of bars (default: 10) to ensure reliable calculations.
Usage:
Ideal for traders analyzing price trends across multiple time horizons. Enable/disable specific RVWAPs, tweak colors, and add bands to suit your strategy.
Premarket High/Low Breakout AlertsPremarket High/Low Breakout Alerts
Description: This custom TradingView indicator helps you track premarket breakouts and breakdowns for a list of selected stocks. The indicator monitors the premarket session and sends an alert every time the stock's price breaks above the premarket high or below the premarket low.
Key Features:
Track Multiple Stocks: Easily monitor multiple stocks (e.g., AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, etc.) and get alerts when they break premarket levels.
Premarket Session Monitoring: The indicator checks for price movements during the premarket session (4:00 AM to 9:30 AM EST).
Customizable Ticker List: Modify the list of tickers directly from the TradingView settings to suit your daily trading needs.
Breakout and Breakdown Alerts: Receive instant alerts for both breakout (above premarket high) and breakdown (below premarket low) conditions.
Plot Premarket Levels: The premarket high and low levels are plotted on the chart for easy reference.
How to Use:
Add this indicator to your chart.
Go to the indicator settings and input your desired stock tickers (e.g., AAPL, TSLA, MSFT).
The indicator will automatically track the premarket levels and send alerts when those levels are broken.
Customize the tickers daily if needed.
Ideal For:
Day Traders who want to track premarket movements.
Swing Traders looking for strong breakouts from premarket levels.
Scalpers who need quick alerts to catch price action early.
Intraday Low Engulf Line This indicator currently work on Future product as it track the intraday low for the daily session from 6pm to 5pm EST. You may have to manually adjust the code if there is a time difference, or day light saving.
This indicator will track all new intraday low through out the session. Once a new intraday low is made, the indicator will display the high of that candle as an engulf target.
If the next candle making a intraday low, this engulf target will be updated. Until there is no more intraday low is made, we will see a engulf target line which is the high of the candle that make the most recent intraday low.
If there is any candle body is below the intraday low engulf life, you can expect to place a buy stop order to trade the bullish reversal.
You may want to use 5m or 15m, or 30M timeframe to reduce the noise of this indicator.
Your stop loss will be set at the intraday low. Therefore a higher time frame 5m is better for entry, however 1m timeframe will give you the best reward.
The idea is that Indraday low engulf line can be a target for bullish reversal or a bullish retest.
Another way to use this this intraday low engulf line is to treat it as a support. If the support break, the trend can be bearish too.
You have to develop your own price action strategy how to trade this.
I will also add an intraday High engulf indicator later.
Air Gap MTF with alert settingsWhat it shows:
This indicator will show a horizontal line at a price where each EMAs are on on different time frames, which will remove the effort of having to flick through different time frames or look at different chart.
The lines itself will move in real time as price moves and therefore as the EMA values changes so no need to manually adjustment the lines.
How to use it:
The price gap between each of the lines are known as "air gaps", which are essentially zones price can move with less resistance. Therefore bigger the airgap there is more likely more movement in price.
In other words, where lines are can be a resistance (or support) and can expect price stagnation or rejection.
On the chart it is clear to see lines are acting as resistances/supports.
Key settings:
The time frame are fixed to: 30min, 1hr and 4hr. This cannot be changed as of now.
EMA values for each time frame are user changeable in the settings, and up to 4 different values can be chosen for each time frame. Default is 5,12,34 and 50 for each timeframe.
Line colour, thickness and style can be user adjusted. Start point for where line will be drawn can be changed in the settings, either: start of day, user defined start or across the chart. In case of user defined scenario user can input a number that specifies a offset from current candle.
Label colour, font, alignment, text size and text itself can be user adjusted in the settings. Price can be also displayed if user chooses to do so. Position of label (offset from current candle) is user specified and can be adjusted by the user.
Both the lines and labels can be turned off (both and individually), for each lines.
Alert Settings:
Manually, user can set alerts for when price crosses a specific line.
This can be done by:
right click on any of line
choose first option (add alert on...)
On the second option under condition, use the dropdown menu to choose the desired EMA/timeframe to set alert for.
Hit "create" at bottom right of option
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If anything is not clear please let me know!
ICT Gold Trading ToolFirst, I recall the original code had elements like Break of Structure, Fair Value Gaps, Premium/Discount Zones, Liquidity Pools, and Buy/Sell signals. The user had previous feedback pointing out issues in the code, like incorrect timeframe usage for BOS and FVG inaccuracies. They also suggested improvements, which were incorporated into a revised version.
So, the brief note should highlight the main components of the tool without getting too technical. The user probably wants this for a quick overview, maybe to share with others or for their own reference. They might be a trader familiar with ICT concepts, so using terms like BOS or FVG is okay without explaining each one.
I need to mention that the tool combines multiple ICT strategies into one indicator. It uses higher timeframes for BOS, which is important for structure. FVG detection was corrected in the revised code, so I should note that it identifies 3-candle patterns. The zones and liquidity pools help in identifying market extremes and areas where price might reverse. The buy/sell signals are based on a combination of BOS and zones, which adds confluence.
Also, the user might appreciate knowing that the tool is customizable with inputs for periods, making it adaptable to different trading styles. Emphasizing that it's for visual assistance and not standalone signals is crucial to remind users to use additional analysis.
Scalping Entry/Exit Indicator by DiGetImagine having a tool that not only spots high-probability entry signals but also visually marks them on your chart with color-coded cues and automated alerts. The Scalping Entry/Exit Indicator by DiGet does exactly that—by fusing a range of classic candlestick patterns (such as Bullish Hammers, Engulfing patterns, and Morning/Evening Stars) with dynamic risk management levels, this script empowers you to make swift and informed trading decisions. Whether you're an active trader or an algorithm enthusiast, this indicator offers both precision and clarity in identifying scalp opportunities, making your chart analysis more efficient and visually engaging.
Indicator Breakdown
Input Parameters:
The indicator accepts a customizable risk-reward ratio, an ATR period for volatility measurement, and a lookback period to scan for valid candlestick patterns.
ATR & Candle Calculations:
It computes the Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically set stop-loss and take-profit levels. Additionally, it determines the body and wick sizes of each candlestick to help identify key reversal patterns.
Pattern Detection:
Multiple bullish patterns (Hammer, Engulfing, Morning Star) and bearish patterns (Shooting Star, Engulfing, Evening Star) are detected. There’s also a simplified version of the Head & Shoulders pattern, offering further validation for reversal signals.
Signal Generation & Trade Levels:
The script consolidates the pattern signals into combined “buy” and “sell” triggers. It then calculates the respective stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) levels based on the current price and ATR, providing a robust risk management framework.
Visual Aids & Alerts:
To enhance usability, the indicator changes the chart’s background color to green for buy signals and red for sell signals. It also draws labels, lines (representing SL and TP), and markers directly on the chart, along with alert conditions to notify traders of actionable signals.
This indicator is an excellent addition to your TradingView toolkit—ideal for scalpers and short-term traders seeking clarity, precision, and automated signal generation on their charts.
Enjoy trading with confidence and precision!
EM Yield Curve IndexThis script calculates the Emerging Markets (EM) Yield Curve Index by aggregating the 2-year and 10-year bond yields of major emerging economies. The bond yields are weighted based on each country's bond market size, with data sourced from TradingView. The yield curve is derived by subtracting the 2-year yield from the 10-year yield, providing insights into economic conditions, risk sentiment, and potential recessions in emerging markets. The resulting EM Yield Curve Index is plotted for visualization.
Note: In some cases, TradingView's TVC data did not provide a 2-year bond yield. When this occurred, the best available alternative yield (such as 3-month, 1-year or 4-year yields) was used to approximate the short-term interest rate for that country.
ALMA 20, 50, 200The ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average) crossover strategy uses two ALMA lines (fast and slow) to generate buy/sell signals, aiming to reduce lag and noise compared to traditional moving averages, and is often combined with volume filters for improved accuracy.
Here's a more detailed explanation:
What it is:
The ALMA indicator is a moving average (MA) variant designed to reduce lag and improve responsiveness while maintaining a smooth curve, using a Gaussian filter.
How it works:
ALMA calculates two moving averages, one from left to right and one from right to left, and then processes the output through a customizable formula for increased smoothness or responsiveness.
Crossover Strategy:
A common ALMA strategy involves using two ALMA lines with different lengths (fast and slow). A buy signal is generated when the fast ALMA crosses above the slow ALMA, and a sell signal when the fast ALMA crosses below the slow ALMA.
Benefits:
ALMA offers advantages like reduced lag, smoothness, and filtering capabilities, making it useful for identifying trends and potential reversals.
Potential Risks:
Like any indicator, ALMA can produce false signals, so it's crucial to combine it with other indicators and analyze price action.
Parameters:
ALMA has parameters like "Length" (number of periods), "Sigma" (filter's range, affecting responsiveness), and "Offset" (for accessing data of different candles).
Other uses:
ALMA can also be used for trend identification, dynamic support and resistance, and combined with other indicators to enhance trading strategies.
