Bitcoin Difficulty Model [aamonkey]This is a model to calculate Bitcoin price based on Difficulty.
How to calculate it:
BDM = (difficulty^0.51) * 0.002
For the difficulty, the daily average is used.
Prediction
Confluence Zone Calculation for Support in Bullish TendsConfluence Zone Calculation for Support in Bullish Tends
(or Restance in bearish ones)
Ever wondered why sometimes the zag of an Elliot Wave zigzag is stopped after just a few points?
(Like in the given Chart where I draw a line for a typical zag action.)
It has often to do with confluence Zones. Most people think that the lower edge of a narrow range, repeated a few times, creates big support - confluence zones are stronger.
You can make them visible by getting fibonaccis from just one specific high to several different significant lows (for example the range lines mentioned above). The areas where significant lows and their fibos appear very close together are confluence zones. They can brake a falling price like a security net.
This script caluculates Confluence zones for you by using a second useful "secret": the secret that signifant lows test or create temporal rsi lows (vice-verse with highs).
The thicker (non-aqua clored)lines show actual lows, are corresponding with those rsi lows, the thinner are fibo lines deriving from them. (The white line stands for the high taken for the calculation.)
Note: Only those lines are valid which reach to the actual last bar.
Best practise is to let the script calculate,then redraw your lines of interest by hand and get rid of the rest of the spider web-like turmoil of lines by deleting the script from the chart.
Note further: I had to omit some calculations, because otherwise calculation time gets too long for TV and it stops with calculation Time out. (For your transparency I calculated all fibo codes but skipped some in "sline"-function; the number-suffix makes a jump when i omit a value ).
Note further further: Resistance confluence lines for bullish trends need a different script, because if you do it totally right vou in this case work from a single LOW of your interes t.
I hope it enriches your knowledge and is a help for your studies and tradings.
Feedback and Questions welcome
yoxxx
Triple MA 5-period forecast [Siem]This script calculates 3 MAs and forecasts where these MAs will be in the next 5 future periods.
Automatic mode - price will be based on current price ("flat") or an X-period linear regression ("linreg").
Manual mode - enter your own value('s): let's see where the MA's will be when your favourite equity all of a sudden hits 1 million tomorrow!
based on Triple MA Forecast by yatrader2 , idea by anthnyl
Morphed Sine WaveIntroduction
If you rescale a sine wave to the price you will need to correlate it with it in order to show good results, today i present a different method that does not involve correlation to "morph" a sine wave to the price in order to provide forecast's and highlight market periodic patterns.
Parameters
length control the period of the sine wave, power control the "morphing" amount, if you see for example that the results are going nuts try to increase power , if the results are just the price and the delayed price try to decrease power .
power = 1
power = 100
Those settings might be different depending on which market you are in.
Various Uses
You can do a lot of things with this indicator, use filters as source :
Use the indicator as source for oscillators in order to create cycles indicators :
And certainly many more things
Conclusion
I presented a way to morph a sine wave to the price i order to highlight cycles. You can use any function that return a value between -1 and 1 instead of sin , this can be a scaled rsi/stochastic or correlation coefficient, its up to you :)
If you need help don't hesitate to commend or pm me. I hope you will like the indicator and that it will inspire you to make great things.
Thanks for reading !
DepthHouse Exponential CandlesThis EMA Candles indicator use the price movement between two user selected Exponential Moving Averages to help determine the current trend.
As of release, there are 5 possible bar color outputs, all of which are shown in the legend above.
The Five Electable Color Outputs:
Uptrend; Strong Uptrend; Downtrend; Strong Downtrend; n/a
I hope you all enjoy!
Please leave your suggestions in the comments below!
Pivot Point Daily prediction bitcoin - by Simon-RoseThis is an additional Script to my recent Pivot Point indicator scripts which will show you the next days pivot points based on the actual price range.
This is useful if you are trading right before a new day and want to know how the next bdays pivot points may be placed.
If you have any questions or suggestions pls write me :)
Happy trading
Cheers
Daily Pivots:
Weekly Version:
Monthly Version:
HoltsMethodHolt's method (see: otexts.com)
Holt (1957) extended simple exponential smoothing to allow the forecasting of data with a trend.
This method involves a forecast equation and two smoothing equations (one for the level and one for the trend):
Forecast equation: ŷ = l + h * b
Level equation: l = alpha * y + (1 - alpha) * (l + b )
Trend equation: b = beta * (l - l ) + (1 - beta) * b
where h is a step forward or lookahead
Hull MA BarsThis indicator fill bars with color of HullMA + warning yellow bars, then trend reversing
RSI Correlation with future priceThis script measures the correlation of the hourly RSI of 24 hours ago with the difference of price between now and the price 24 hours ago. In other words, this is an indicator which measures the predictive power of the RSI.
Green means that the price is strongly correlated with the past RSI (which is the normal state when the market is flat and there is no news).
Red means that the price is inversely correlated with the past RSI.
The hourly RSI is a leading indicator which enables you to (sort of) see into the future. It shows you how the current price is, compared to the price 24 (or 48) hours into the future.
If the RSI is low, it means the current price is low compared to the future price, and if the RSI is high, it means the current price is high compared to the future price.
So the hourly RSI really correlates (in the way I described) to the price 24 hours in the future.
Except when it doesn't!!!
What happens when the correlation breaks (RED on this indicator)? Usually there are important news - a strong signal external to the chart. There are either economy at large news, or security-specific news.
Following a strong break of this RSI-future price correlation, some cash can be made by understanding what happened and playing the restoration of the RSI-price correlation.
Hull MA & Warning Zones & Buy/Sell ArrowsThis moving average, in contrast to the standard, shows a slowdown of the current trend - it draws additional zones of yellow color. These zones show a possible trend reversal by 1-2 bars earlier than the standard Hull moving average. Additionally, there are arrows to enter a position and the second is the same MA for another timeframe, which can be selected in the settings.
Bull Bear Divergence IndicatorThe script is written for Constance Brown-like anayis with divergence signals between price and indicator (i.e. stock close / RSI divergence)
Note: Though the example here with NVDA shows good reversal predictions, best results generally are optained with un-normalized indicators and oscilators like CB#s comosite index.
(For Trading view written by LazyBear.) I use two different lines: an indi high line for baerish, and an indi low line for bullish divergences.
The script only shows divergences to pivot pairs next to each other, not between actual pivot and those "a few pivots ago"
For individual work, chose your indicator and replace rsi in line 10 with it, anything else is auto. Sript bottom: optional comparison lines addable.
Linear ExtrapolationBasic extrapolator for forecast a time-series, all forecasts are mades length periods ahead.
This is not a estimation of the exact price
This should only be used for forecasting direction, dont expect the price to be at the same value of its forecast.
Bias, Mean absolute error, Mean percentage error...etc look useless here, its better to use correlation as a accuracy measurement.
Correlation(Forecast ,close,period)
Rescaling for a better forecast ?
Transforming a non-stationary signal to a stationary signal can increase the forecasting accuracy, this can be done by detrending. Here is a list of somes detrending methods:
Auto-Bias : price - price
Mean-Bias : price - price moving average
Log transform : log(price/price moving average)
Correlation : correlation(price,n,period)
Twiggs Money Flow_LB [SwetSwet]The modified indicator Twiggs Money Flow more convenient. The critical value is colored in green or red.
