BTC and ETH Long strategy - version 2I wrote my first article in May 2020. See below
BTC and ETH Long strategy - version1
After 6 months, it is now time to check the result of my script for the last 6 months.
XBTUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +78% in 4 trades
ETHXBT (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +21% in 9 trades
ETHUSD (4H): 14/05/2020 --> 22/11/2020 = +90% in 6 trades
Using the signals from this strategy to trade manually has shown that this was a bit frustrating because of the low rate of winning trades.
If you have to enter 100 trades and see 75% of them failing and 25% winning, this is frustrating. For sure the strategy makes good money but it is difficult to hold this mentality.
So, I have reviewed and modified it to get a higher winning rate.
After few days of work, tests and validation, I managed to get a wining rate close to 60%.
The key element was also to decrease the number of trades by using a higher time frame. (4H candles instead of 2H candles).
- Entry in position is based on
MACD, EMA (20), SMA (100), SMA (200) moving up
AND EMA (20) > SMA (100)
AND SMA (100) > SMA (200)
- Exit the position if: Stoploss is reached OR EMA (20) crossUnder SMA (100)
The goal of this new script is to be able to follow the signals manually and only make few trades per years.
I have also validated it against some other altcoins where some are giving very good results.
Here are some results for 2020 (from 01/01/2020 until now (22/11/2020). Those results are the one I get when using 4H candles.
ETH/USD: +144% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +120% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +33% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +123% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +155% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +388% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +180% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +97% in 10 trades.
The best is that above results are without considering compound effect. If you re-invest all gains done in each new trade, this will give you the below results :)
ETH/USD: +189% in 8 trades.
BTC/USD: +260% in 7 trades.
ETH/BTC: +29% in 9 trades.
ICX/USD: +112% in 10 trades.
LINK/USD: +222% in 11 trades.
MLN/USD: +793% in 8 trades.
ADA/USD: +319% in 7 trades.
LINK/BTC: +103% in 10 trades.
As you can see, the results are good and the number of trades for 11 months is not big, which allows the trader to place orders manually.
But still, I'm lazy :), so, I have also coded this strategy in HaasScript language which allows you to automate this strategy using the HaasOnline software specialized in automated crypto trading.
I hope that this strategy will give you ideas or will be the starting point for your own strategy.
Let me know if you need more details.
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
MA+ADX+DMICOINBASE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Use long and short moving average to look for a potential price in/out. (default as 14 and 7, bases on the history experience)
ADX and DMI to prevent the small volatility and tangling MA.
Test it in 4HR, "BINANCE:BTCUSDT"
From 12/1/2017- 11/1/2020 (Mixed Bull/Bear market)
Overall Profit: 560.89%
From 1/1/2018 - 1/1/2019 (Bear market)
Overall Profit: -2.19%
From 4/1/2020 - 11/1/2020 (Bull Market)
Overall Profit: 274.74%
Any suggestion is welcome to discuss.
Array SMACalcuating SMA on an Array
In this script i show you how to calculate SMA on an array.
Several values are plotted just for illustration.
Steps to follow:
- make sure you have an array with values (source array)
- create a blank array (pref. with the same size)
- call the function array_sma
This function fills the empty array with the SMA values of the source array.
Easy Loot Golden CrossGolden/Death Cross Moving Average Indicator
30, 100 & 200 period Simple Moving Average (SMA).
30 = Yellow
100 = Green
200 = Black
Black crosses mark the 'golden crosses' as well as the 'death crosses'. These black crosses appear when the 30 crosses the 100 & when the 100 crosses the 200. These black crosses don't tell you when to buy/sell, but simply indicate interest in the market.
This code is open-source so feel free to add this indicator to your chart and play around with the different moving average timeframes & color schemes.
Golden Cross
The golden cross occurs when a short-term moving average crosses over a major long-term moving average to the upside and is interpreted by analysts and traders as signaling a definitive upward turn in a market. Basically, the short-term average trends up faster than the long-term average, until they cross.
There are three stages to a golden cross:
A downtrend that eventually ends as selling is depleted
A second stage where the shorter moving average crosses up through the longer moving average
Finally, the continuing uptrend, hopefully leading to higher prices
Death Cross
Conversely, a similar downside moving average crossover constitutes the death cross and is understood to signal a decisive downturn in a market. The death cross occurs when the short term average trends down and crosses the long-term average, basically going in the opposite direction of the golden cross.
The death cross preceded the economic downturns in 1929, 1938, 1974, and 2008.
Public & Pro ActionBased on Larry Williams Pro-Go logic for public and pro actions. This indicator works on all timeframes.
The public action is previous close to today's open.
The pro action is today's close to today's open.
The series is smoothened with a simple moving average.
It works best after the candle is formed.
Bollinger Band+ Multi EMA, SMAHello Everyone.
I make Bollinger band , 3 ema and 3 sma combined.
I think this indicator can use all timeframe.
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Indicator will show you
1. Trend follow
2. Pullback catch
2. Market bounce.
1. Trend Follow
- Trend Follow for I used 3 terms. They are short, Mid and Long Trend.
2. Pullback Catch
- EMA for Save, take care, alert Zones.
- Mid Term Trend can be catch also.
3. Market Bounce
- Bollinger Band will show you market re-bounce point.
Final Notes
Indicator will show Trend, Pullback, Market bounce and some support and resistant level.
Fib Cross Moving AveragesThe white line is the main 200-candle MA. The fibonacci ratio MAs are relative to that 200-day MA. Some lines change color based on the trend shown by this indicator.
So 61.8% for example, the orange/red line golden ratio MA is a 124 candle MA (~68% of 200). There is also a weighted 124 candle MA that works along-side the 100 candle MA.
Pisani BandsThis indicator is based on Historical Volatility.
It's plot the simple moving average with a upper and a lower band.
The bands are calculated like this:
UpperBand = 20 Simple moving average + 20% * Historical volatility
LowerBand = 20 Simple moving average - 20% * Historical volatility
But, you can change the paramters. I use the 200SMA with 100% of Historical Volatility either.
How to use:
If the price are negociating out of the bands, it's dangerous to trade this stock.
Hope you like it.
[Strategy] Simple Golden CrossSimple Golden Cross Strategy.
Works best on a daily chart on "Blue Chip" cryptos such as BTC, ETH, and LTC.
Entry Signal:
-50 day moving average crosses over the 100 day moving average.
Exit Signal:
-50 day moving average crosses under the 100 day moving average.
-Daily candle closes under the 100 day moving average (support).
-100 day moving average crosses under the 200 day moving average.
Improved On balance volume with BB channel and double MAThis is an improved version of the on balance volume indicator.
I made it inside a bollinger band channel, so we can define better the zones. At the same time I applied 2 moving averages on OBV, to get a better idea of the trend and at same time that change direction of the trend.
Green - > uptrend - > we look for buy positions
Red - > downtrend -> we look for sell positions.
At the same time we have to be aware of crosses on bollinger bands, which can indicate a change in the trend .
Displaced Moving Average Channel (DMA)What is This?
The Displaced Moving Average Channel (DMA) indicator is a combination of two moving averages calculated on the high and low of a set time period back which are displaced forward or backward with the center highlighted as a central channel.
What Information Can I Get Out of It?
This indicator can be used as a support or resistance as some moving averages are typically used as well as a tiny measure of recent volatility by looking at the spread between the top and bottom moving averages.
Where Did This Idea Come From?
I did not come up with the concept of this indicator since I was inspired to use this as a setup/trigger indicator in a potential trading strategy as seen in this whitepaper .
Golden & Death CrossThis indicator allows you to see Golden Cross and Death Cross.
Each Sma line can be hidden.
It is for educational purposes only.
Enjoy it.
Best Regards,
Bilgin , Kaptanin Seyir Defteri
Higher High / Lower Low StrategyThis is a very simple trend following strategy for Day Trading. The premise is to follow the Moving Average for the trend direction and buy/sell the dips and blips in the trend.
1. In an uptrend, when the candle action offers a "dip", or a lower high, the strategy will then buy on the close of the candle that breaks the high of the previous candle.
2. In a downtrend, when the candle action offers a"blip", or a higher low, the strategy will then sell on the close of the candle that breaks the low of the previous candle.
3. The strategy will go Long only or Short only, not both. It must be manually reversed in the settings when a new trend is established.
4. The start month and year allow you to backtest from then until now. It's not one month at a time.
5. The strategy uses a reversal of the Stochastic %K variable as the exist. The setting for Period K controls the exit for backtesting purposes.
6. The strategy uses a moving average to determine the trend. The setting for the Period MA controls the SMA.
7. The strategy has the option of filtering the number of trades based on the direction of the MACD and/or the Signal line. This can either reduce or increase the probability, and is highly dependent on the price action of the instrument.
WARNING: I am not a licensed financial advisor. This script is intended for entertainment purposes only. I highly recommend you manually enter and exit positions per your own Trading Rules, and do not blindly follow any software or recommendation. Use of this script is elective and at your own discretion, and risk.
If you like this script, please give it a Thumb's Up, and leave a comment. If you would like any custom scripts developed, contact me to discuss it. All of my work here is open and available, free of charge. It can be copied and edited to suit your needs.
Ratio Between Two SymbolsThis scripts displays the ratio of any two symbols. The ratio is shown on a second chart.
A multiplier may be added to the ratio, and moving average is calculated.
Long Term Moving AverageThis scripts plots the long term moving average calculated daily for 4 sets.
The default averages are:
18 day
50 day
100 day
200 day
The settings can be used to flexibly change this and to hide / show labels
Aligned Moving Average IndexMoving averages are considered as aligned when either all faster moving averages are placed above their next slower moving averages or all faster moving averages are placed below their next slower moving averages. In this script, we are considering moving averages of 5, 10, 20, 30, 50, 100 and 200. User can select different moving average types from input : sma, ema, hma, rma, vwma, wma.
Moving average is considered as positively aligned when close > ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma30 > ma50 > ma100 > ma200
Moving average is considered as negatively aligned when close < ma5 < ma10 < ma20 < ma30 < ma50 < ma100 < ma200
Whenever there is positively aligned moving average, alignment value is considered as +1 and whenever there is negatively aligned moving average, alignment value is considered as -1. Aligned moving average index is sum of n periods of alignment value.
We can optionally apply another moving average on this index to see the overall direction.
Simple and efficient MACD crypto strategy with risk managementToday I am glad to bring you another great creation suited for crypto markets.
MARKET
Its a simple and efficient strategy, designed for crypto markets( btcusd , btcusdt and so on), and suited for for higher time charts : like 1hour, 4hours, 1 day and so on.
Preferably to use 1h time charts.
COMPONENTS
MACD with simple moving average
ENTRY DESCRIPTION
For entries we have :
We check the direction with MACD . Depending if its an uptrend and positive level on histogram of MACD we go long, otherwise we go short.
RISK MANAGEMENT
In this strategy we use a stop loss based on our equity. For this example I choosed a 2% risk .That means if our account has 100.000 eur, it will automatically close the trade if we lose 2.000.
We dont use a take profit level.
In this example also we use a 100.000 capital account, risking 5% on each trade, but since its underleveraged, we only use 5000 of that ammount on every trade. With leveraged it can be achieved better profits and of course at the same time we will encounter bigger losses.
The comission applied is 5$ and a slippage of 5 points aswell added.
For any questions or suggestions regarding the script , please let me know.
All LinesThe objective of this script is to try to display as many overlay indicators as possible simultaneously while keeping the clutter to a minimum.
--Included are Indicators are--
sma 20 50 100 200
ema 20 50 100 200
High/Low
Bollinger bands upper/lower
Pivot points PP R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
-- For Time periods --
Hour,Day,Week
--- How To Use --
Switch it on when looking for likely support or resistance areas to plot your trade.
The more lines that overlay each other indicate even greater support/resistance at that point
meaning if the price is going down it may bounce up at this area or if the price is going up it may bounce down.
Also the more visible the line the more strength it has to effect the price. This value can be edited in settings by adjusting the power value for each indicator as it can often depend on what you are trading.
--Tips--
If you want to know what the line represents hover your cursor over the dot at the end of the line and a tool tip will appear.
If there are to many circles zoom in the price more to separate them and try to hover again.
Every single moving average (ALMA, EMA, HMA, KAMA, RMA, SMA...)So you may be looking at the graph and thinking "this is a mess", and I agree.
The purpose of this script is to plot in the same graph every single type of moving average that I could think of, so you can find the ones that are better for your timeframe and for your asset. Once you add it, disable those types that doesn't seem to serve your purpose, until you can select one you like.
The average types are: ALMA, EMA, HMA, KAMA, RMA, SMA, SWMA, VIDYA, VWAP, VWMA, and WMA. Each one is ploted two times (except SWMA and VWAP), one with a short period, and another with a long, both of which you can configure.
7 EMA 3 SMA with nameplatesScript provides 7 EMA (5 20 50 100 200 500 1000), 3 SMA (200 500 1000) with built-in nameplates for easier navigation. Different colors and widths from the start just to make your initial tuning a bit easier.
Based on Bubsan and Silkheat multicombo, heavily modified, but still huge kudos to guys for the base code.
Modifications: lengths adjusted, on-chart nameplates added, 2 EMA's added, SMA's reduced, static SMA's deleted.
DCA LinesThis is an indicator which shows your position's average price of you started dollar cost averaging 30, 60, 90, 120, 150 and 180 bars ago.
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) means buying into a position by investing a fixed sum every bar (for example every day or every week). This way, when the coin of stock goes down, you buy more of the stock.
Some exchanges such as Coinbase, Revolut or River Financial offer this option of entering a position using automatic DCA. It's a kind of "set it and forget it" investment (but you still have to be careful to sell your position into profit).
There are people who DCA into an ETF every week for many years, and so build a position at a very advantageous average price.
CC - Array-meta Consolidated Interval Display (ACID)This script extends my other two Array examples (which I've also provided to you open source):
The Ticker-centric 5m,15m,45m,1h,4h,1d resolution labels using arrays:
And the more Macro VIX,GLD,TLT,QQQ,SPY,IWM 1d resolution labels using arrays:
This script aims to show how to use min/max/avg with Arrays easily. My next example after this will be exploring the usage of variance versus covariance ratios over different periodic interval resolutions. Currently, this is using the following intervals: 5m,15m,45m,1h,4h,1d. It takes these intervals, calculates the values at those resolutions and puts the absolute min and max from the 5 minute to the 1 day resolutions.
It's more of an example of the power that arrays can hold, as all this truly is right now is a min/max bound calculator. The real gem lies in the avg calculators for multiple resoltuions tied into a single label with readable data. Check out the code and let me know what you think. If you need more examples, the other two scripts I mentioned before are also open source.
Using this on intervals of less than 1D sometimes times out, the way I wrote it is memory intensive, may not work for non-pro users.
Thanks!
NONE OF THIS IS FOREWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS, THIS IS NOT A PREDECTIVE ANALYSIS TOOL. THIS IS A RESEARCH ATTEMPT AT A NOVEL INDICATOR. I am not responsible for outcomes using it.
Please use and give criticisms freely. I am experimenting with combining resolutions and comparing covariance values at different levels right now, so let me know your thoughts! The last indicator will likely not be open source, but may be depending on how complex I get.