Target Trend [BigBeluga]The Target Trend indicator is a trend-following tool designed to assist traders in capturing directional moves while managing entry, stop loss, and profit targets visually on the chart. Using adaptive SMA bands as the core trend detection method, this indicator dynamically identifies shifts in trend direction and provides structured exit points through customizable target levels.
SP500:
🔵 IDEA
The Target Trend indicator’s concept is to simplify trade management by providing automated visual cues for entries, stops, and targets directly on the chart. When a trend change is detected, the indicator prints an up or down triangle to signal entry direction, plots three customizable target levels for potential exits, and calculates a stop-loss level below or above the entry point. The indicator continuously adapts as price moves, making it easier for traders to follow and manage trades in real time.
When price crosses a target level, the label changes to a check mark, confirming that the target has been achieved. Similarly, if the stop-loss level is hit, the label changes to an "X," and the line becomes dashed, indicating that the stop loss has been activated. This feature provides traders with a clear visual trail of whether their targets or stop loss have been hit, allowing for easier trade tracking and exit strategy management.
🔵 KEY FEATURES & USAGE
SMA Bands for Trend Detection: The indicator uses adaptive SMA bands to identify the trend direction. When price crosses above or below these bands, a new trend is detected, triggering entry signals. The entry point is marked on the chart with a triangle symbol, which updates with each new trend change.
Automated Targets and Stop Loss Management: Upon a new trend signal, the indicator automatically plots three price targets and a stop loss level. These levels provide traders with structured exit points for potential gains and a clear risk limit. The stop loss is placed below or above the entry point, depending on the trend direction, to manage downside risk effectively.
Visual Target and Stop Loss Validation: As price hits each target, the label beside the level updates to a check mark, indicating that the target has been reached. Similarly, if the stop loss is activated, the stop loss label changes to an "X," and the line becomes dashed. This feature visually confirms whether targets or stop losses are hit, simplifying trade management.
The indicator also marks the entry price at each trend change with a label on the chart, allowing traders to quickly see their initial entry point relative to current price and target levels.
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
Trend Length: Set the lookback period for the trend-detection SMA bands to adjust the sensitivity to trend changes.
Targets Setting: Customize the number and spacing of the targets to fit your trading style and market conditions.
Visual Styles: Adjust the appearance of labels, lines, and symbols on the chart for a clearer view and personalized layout.
🔵 CONCLUSION
The Target Trend indicator offers a streamlined approach to trend trading by integrating entry, target, and stop loss management into a single visual tool. With automatic tracking of target levels and stop loss hits, it helps traders stay focused on the current trend while keeping track of risk and reward with minimal effort.
Tradingsignals
TechniTrend: Trend and Volume Indicator🟪 Overview
The "TechniTrend: Trend and Volume Indicator" is designed to assist traders in identifying optimal entry and exit points in the market by combining trend detection and volume analysis. This indicator integrates moving average-based trend recognition with volume threshold analysis to provide clear buy and sell signals. Additionally, it includes divergence filtering and correlation analysis to enhance the accuracy of signals, making it suitable for traders who want to identify strong trends and high-probability trading opportunities.
🟪 Indicator Components
🔹Trend Moving Average (MA):
The indicator calculates a moving average based on the closing prices to identify the overall trend. Various moving average types are available for customization:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
The length of the moving average can be adjusted via the Trend MA Length input to adapt to different market conditions.
🔹Volume Analysis:
A volume moving average is calculated over a specified period (Volume MA Length), with a volume threshold derived by multiplying this average by a user-defined Volume Threshold Factor.
This threshold helps to classify volume as either high or low, which plays a crucial role in signal generation.
🔹Divergence Detection:
The indicator can filter out signals when there is a divergence between the price movement and volume changes. Divergence occurs when the price moves in one direction while the volume moves in the opposite direction, indicating a potential weakening of the trend.
🔹Correlation Analysis:
The correlation between price and volume changes is calculated over the same length as the trend moving average. The user can enable this filter to ensure that buy or sell signals are only generated when the correlation exceeds a specified threshold (Correlation Threshold).
🟪 Signals and Alerts
🔹Buy Signal: Generated when the price is above the trend moving average (indicating an uptrend), and the current volume exceeds the volume threshold (indicating high volume). The signal can be filtered based on divergence or correlation settings.
🔹Sell Signal: Triggered when the price is below the trend moving average (indicating a downtrend), and the volume is above the threshold. Similarly, the signal is affected by divergence and correlation filters.
🔹Visual Indicators:
The trend line is plotted on the chart for easy trend identification.
Buy and sell signals are displayed using green and red labels, respectively.
Background highlighting is used to mark areas of high volume on the chart.
🟪 Customizable Inputs
🔹Trend MA Length: Adjusts the moving average length used to detect trends.
🔹Volume MA Length: Sets the length for the volume moving average calculation.
🔹MA Type for Trend: Select the type of moving average for trend detection (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA).
🔹Volume Threshold Factor: Multiplier used to define high-volume conditions based on the volume moving average.
🔹Enable Divergence Filter: Allows the user to filter out signals where divergence between price and volume is detected.
🔹Enable Correlation Filter: Enables filtering of signals based on the correlation between price and volume changes.
🔹Correlation Threshold: Sets the minimum correlation value required for a signal to be considered valid.
🟪 Alerts
The indicator provides alert conditions for buy and sell signals, allowing traders to receive notifications when new trading opportunities arise.
🟪 Usage Tips
🔹Adjust Moving Average Lengths: Shorter lengths can make the indicator more sensitive to recent market changes, while longer lengths provide a smoother, more reliable trend signal.
🔹Volume Threshold Factor: Increasing this factor raises the volume required to generate high-volume signals, which can help filter.
🟪 Disclaimer:
The "TechniTrend: Trend and Volume Indicator" is a technical analysis tool intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not a guarantee of future performance or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should conduct their own research and seek advice from a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The creators of this indicator are not liable for any financial losses or damages incurred through its use.
long&short signal Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with MACD Signals Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with MACD Signals
Advanced SMC and MACD Integration for Precision Trading
The "Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with MACD Signals" indicator is a powerful and versatile tool designed to enhance trading strategies by integrating two highly effective technical analysis methods into a single, cohesive indicator. This advanced script combines the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator to provide traders with a comprehensive trading solution that identifies key market trends and potential trading opportunities.
What It Does:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
The SMC component of this indicator identifies significant price levels and zones where market participants, particularly institutional investors, may be active. It calculates high and low anchor levels based on historical price data, creating zones that help traders understand where price action may encounter support or resistance. These anchor levels are used to plot background colors on the chart, highlighting critical areas of interest where price might react, and generating buy (long) and sell (short) signals based on price interactions with these levels.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD component provides insights into market momentum and trend strength. By calculating the difference between two moving averages and comparing it to a signal line, the MACD indicator helps traders identify potential changes in trend direction. The script plots the MACD line, signal line, and histogram, offering a clear visual representation of market momentum. Buy (long) and sell (short) signals are generated when the MACD line crosses above or below the signal line, providing timely alerts to potential trading opportunities.
Why It’s Special:
This indicator stands out for its dual functionality, combining the price level analysis of SMC with the momentum-based insights of MACD. The integration allows traders to benefit from both trend and price level analysis, offering a more robust and accurate trading tool. The SMC component highlights critical price zones and provides context for price action, while the MACD component confirms the strength and direction of market trends.
By using this combined approach, traders can make more informed decisions based on comprehensive market analysis. The indicator not only helps in identifying significant price levels and potential market reversals but also provides real-time signals to capitalize on these opportunities. Whether you are a day trader or a swing trader, the "Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with MACD Signals" indicator is designed to enhance your trading strategy with precision and clarity.
This unique combination of SMC and MACD offers a powerful toolset for traders looking to refine their trading strategies and improve their market analysis. With its user-friendly visualizations and signal generation, this indicator is an essential addition to any trader’s toolkit.
Fibonacci Retracements & Trend Following Strategy V2This Pine Script strategy generates trading signals using Fibonacci levels and trend-following indicators.
1. Strategy Summary
This strategy analyzes price movements using a combination of Fibonacci levels and trend-following indicators, providing potential trading signals. The strategy includes Fibonacci levels as well as EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and ADX (Average Directional Index) indicators.
2. Indicators and Parameters
Fibonacci Levels
Fibonacci Level 1, Level 2, Level 3, Level 4: Used as Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels are typically set at 0.236, 0.382, 0.618, and 0.786. Users can adjust these values according to their preferences.
Trend-Following Indicator
Trend Length: The period for calculating the EMA used as the trend-following indicator. For example, if set to 20, the EMA will be calculated over 20 periods.
ADX (Average Directional Index)
ADX Length: The period for calculating the ADX. ADX measures the strength of the price trend and is usually set to 14 periods.
ADX Threshold: A threshold value for the ADX. This value determines when trading signals will be activated.
3. Usage Steps
Displaying the Indicator on the Chart:
On the TradingView platform, paste the code into the Pine Editor and click the "Add to Chart" button to add it to the chart.
Analyzing the Indicators:
Fibonacci Levels: Show retracement levels of price movements. When the price reaches one of these levels, potential reversals may occur.
Trend-Following Indicator: EMAs determine the direction of the trend. Green EMA represents an uptrend, while red EMA represents a downtrend.
ADX: Measures the strength of the trend. When ADX surpasses the threshold value, it indicates a strong trend.
Trading Signals:
Long Signal: Generated when the price is above the second Fibonacci level and the trend is upward. Additionally, the ADX value must be above the set threshold.
Short Signal: Generated when the price is below the second Fibonacci level and the trend is downward. Additionally, the ADX value must be above the set threshold.
Target Prices:
Long Targets: Determines upward targets based on Fibonacci levels. These targets indicate expected prices if the price reverses from Fibonacci levels.
Short Targets: Determines downward targets based on Fibonacci levels. These targets indicate expected prices if the price reverses from Fibonacci levels.
4. Chart Displays
Trend Up (Green Line): Shows the rising EMA.
Trend Down (Red Line): Shows the falling EMA.
Fibonacci Levels (Blue Lines): Shows Fibonacci retracement levels.
Long Targets (Green Circles): Shows targets for long positions.
Short Targets (Red Circles): Shows targets for short positions.
Long Signal (Green Label): Buy signal.
Short Signal (Red Label): Sell signal.
5. Important Notes
Retracement and Target Levels: Fibonacci levels can act as potential retracement or support/resistance levels. However, they should always be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools.
Trend and ADX: ADX is used to determine the strength of the trend. Be aware that when ADX is low, trends may be weak.
6. Example Scenarios
Example 1: If the trend is upward (green EMA) and the price is above the second Fibonacci level, you may receive a long position signal. If the ADX value is above the threshold, the signal may be stronger.
Example 2: If the trend is downward (red EMA) and the price is below the second Fibonacci level, you may receive a short position signal. If the ADX value is above the threshold, the signal may be stronger.
This updated version contains significant improvements in both technical aspects and user experience. Innovations such as ADX calculations and dynamic Fibonacci levels make the strategy more robust and flexible. The code's readability and comprehensibility have been enhanced, and errors have been corrected.
This guide will help you understand the basic operation of the strategy. It is always recommended to conduct your own research and test the strategy before using it.
GOOD LUCK. // halilvarol
Market Cycle Phases IndicatorOverview
The Market Cycle Phases Indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify and visualize the different phases of market cycles. By distinguishing between Accumulation, Uptrend, Distribution, and Downtrend phases, this indicator provides a clear and color-coded representation of market conditions, aiding in better decision-making and strategy development. It is especially useful for long-term investors to observe and understand market cycles over extended periods. The phases are color-coded for easy identification: Green for Accumulation, Blue for Uptrend, Yellow for Distribution, and Red for Downtrend.
Key Features
Identifies four key market phases: Accumulation, Uptrend, Distribution, and Downtrend
Uses a combination of moving averages and volatility measures
Color-coded background for easy visualization of market phases
Adjustable parameters for moving average length, volatility length, and volatility threshold
Plots the moving average and Average True Range (ATR) for reference
Suitable for both short-term trading and long-term investing
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
The calculations behind the Market Cycle Phases Indicator are straightforward, combining the principles of moving averages and volatility measures:
Moving Average (MA): A simple moving average is used to determine the overall trend direction.
Average True Range (ATR): This measures market volatility over a specified period.
Volatility Threshold: A multiplier is applied to the ATR to distinguish between high and low volatility conditions.
How It Works
The indicator first calculates a moving average (MA) of the closing prices and the Average True Range (ATR) to measure market volatility. Based on the position of the price relative to the MA and the current volatility level, the indicator determines the current market phase:
Accumulation Phase: Price is below the MA, and volatility is low (Green background). This phase often indicates a period of consolidation and potential buying interest before an uptrend.
Uptrend Phase: Price is above the MA, and volatility is high (Blue background). This phase represents a strong upward movement in price, often driven by increased buying activity.
Distribution Phase: Price is above the MA, and volatility is low (Yellow background). This phase suggests a period of consolidation at the top of an uptrend, where selling interest may start to increase.
Downtrend Phase: Price is below the MA, and volatility is high (Red background). This phase indicates a strong downward movement in price, often driven by increased selling activity.
How Traders Can Use It
Traders can use the Market Cycle Phases Indicator to:
Identify potential entry and exit points based on market phase transitions.
Confirm trends and avoid false signals by considering both trend direction and volatility.
Develop and refine trading strategies tailored to specific market conditions.
Enhance risk management by recognizing periods of high and low volatility.
Observe long-term market cycles to make informed investment decisions.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the Market Cycle Phases Indicator to your chart.
Adjust the input parameters as needed:
Base Length: Default is 50.
Volatility Length: Default is 14.
Volatility Threshold: Default is 1.5.
Observe the color-coded background to identify the current market phase
Use the identified phases to inform your trading decisions:
Consider buying during the Accumulation or Uptrend phases.
Consider selling or shorting during the Distribution or Downtrend phases.
Combine with other indicators and analysis techniques for comprehensive market insights.
By incorporating the Market Cycle Phases Indicator into your trading toolkit, you can gain a clearer understanding of market dynamics and enhance your ability to navigate different market conditions, making it a valuable asset for long-term investing.
Fisher Transform on RSIOverview
The Fisher Transform on RSI indicator combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with the Fisher Transform to offer a refined tool for identifying market turning points and trends. By applying the Fisher Transform to the RSI, this indicator converts RSI values into a Gaussian normal distribution, enhancing the precision of detecting overbought and oversold conditions. This method provides a clearer and more accurate identification of potential market reversals than the standard RSI.
Key/Unique Features
Fisher Transform Applied to RSI : Transforms RSI values into a Gaussian normal distribution, improving the detection of overbought and oversold conditions.
Smoothing : Applies additional smoothing to the Fisher Transform, reducing noise and providing clearer signals.
Signal Line : Includes a signal line to identify crossover points, indicating potential buy or sell signals.
Custom Alerts : Built-in alert conditions for bullish and bearish crossovers, keeping traders informed of significant market movements.
Visual Enhancements : Background color changes based on crossover conditions, offering immediate visual cues for potential trading opportunities.
How It Works
RSI Calculation : The indicator calculates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) based on the selected source and period length.
Normalization : The RSI values are normalized to fit within a range of -1 to 1, which is essential for the Fisher Transform.
Fisher Transform : The normalized RSI values undergo the Fisher Transform, converting them into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Smoothing : The transformed values are smoothed using a simple moving average to reduce noise and provide more reliable signals.
Signal Line : A signal line, which is a simple moving average of the smoothed Fisher Transform, is plotted to identify crossover points.
Alerts and Visuals : Custom alert conditions are set for bullish and bearish crossovers, and the background color changes to indicate these conditions.
Usage Instructions
Trend Identification : Use the Fisher Transform on RSI to identify overbought and oversold conditions with enhanced precision, aiding in spotting potential trend reversals.
Trade Signals : Monitor the crossovers between the smoothed Fisher Transform and the signal line. A bullish crossover suggests a potential buying opportunity, while a bearish crossover indicates a potential selling opportunity.
Alerts : Set custom alerts based on the built-in conditions to receive notifications when important crossover events occur, ensuring you never miss a trading opportunity.
Visual Cues : Utilize the background color changes to quickly identify bullish (green) and bearish (red) conditions, providing immediate visual feedback on market sentiment.
Complementary Analysis : Combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools and indicators to enhance your overall trading strategy and make more informed decisions.
RSI Multi Strategies With Overlay SignalsHello everyone,
In this indicator, you will find 6 different entry and exit signals based on the RSI :
Entry into overbought and oversold zones
Exit from overbought and oversold zones
Crossing the 50 level
RSI cross RSI MA below or above the 50 level
RSI cross RSI MA in the overbought or oversold zones
RSI Divergence
With the signals identified, you can create your own strategy . (If you have any suggestions, please mention them in the comments).
Beyond these signals, you can set SL (Stop Loss) and TP (Take Profit) levels to better manage your positions.
SL Methods:
Percentage: The stop loss is determined by the percentage you specify.
ATR : The stop level is determined based on the Average True Range (ATR).
TP Methods:
Percentage: The take profit is determined by the percentage you specify.
RR ( Risk Reward ): The take profit level is determined based on the distance from the stop level.
You can mix and match these options as you like.
What makes the indicator unique and effective is its ability to display the RSI in the bottom chart and the signals, SL (Stop Loss), and TP (Take Profit) levels in the overlay chart simultaneously. This feature allows you to manage your trading quickly and easily without the need for using two separate indicators.
Let's try out a few strategies together.
My entry signal: RSI Entered OS (Oversold) Zone
My exit signal: RSI Entered OB (Overbought) Zone
I'm not using a stoploss for this strategy ("Fortune favors the brave").
Let's keep ourselves safe by adding a stop loss.
I'm adding an ATR-based stop loss.
I think it's better now.
If you have any questions or suggestions about the indicator, you can contact me.
Cheers
Bitcoin Leverage Sentiment - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Bitcoin Leverage Sentiment - Strategy " represents a novel approach in the realm of cryptocurrency trading by focusing on sentiment analysis through leveraged positions in Bitcoin. Unlike traditional strategies that primarily rely on price action or technical indicators, this strategy leverages the power of Z-Score analysis to gauge market sentiment by examining the ratio of leveraged long to short positions. By assessing how far the current sentiment deviates from the historical norm, it provides a unique lens to spot potential reversals or continuation in market trends, making it an innovative tool for traders who wish to incorporate market psychology into their trading arsenal.
BTC 4h L/S Performance
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Data Collection and Ratio Calculation
Firstly, the strategy acquires data on leveraged long (**`priceLongs`**) and short positions (**`priceShorts`**) for Bitcoin. The primary metric of interest is the ratio of long positions relative to the total of both long and short positions:
BTC Ratio=priceLongs / (priceLongs+priceShorts)
This ratio reflects the prevailing market sentiment, where values closer to 1 indicate a bullish sentiment (dominance of long positions), and values closer to 0 suggest bearish sentiment (prevalence of short positions).
🔶 Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is then calculated to standardize the BTC Ratio, allowing for comparison across different time periods. The Z-Score formula is:
Z = (X - μ) / σ
Where:
- X is the current BTC Ratio.
- μ is the mean of the BTC Ratio over a specified period (**`zScoreCalculationPeriod`**).
- σ is the standard deviation of the BTC Ratio over the same period.
The Z-Score helps quantify how far the current sentiment deviates from the historical norm, with high positive values indicating extreme bullish sentiment and high negative values signaling extreme bearish sentiment.
🔶 Signal Generation: Trading signals are derived from the Z-Score as follows:
Long Entry Signal: Occurs when the BTC Ratio Z-Score crosses above the thresholdLongEntry, suggesting bullish sentiment.
- Condition for Long Entry = BTC Ratio Z-Score > thresholdLongEntry
Long Exit/Short Entry Signal: Triggered when the BTC Ratio Z-Score drops below thresholdLongExit for exiting longs or below thresholdShortEntry for entering shorts, indicating a shift to bearish sentiment.
- Condition for Long Exit/Short Entry = BTC Ratio Z-Score < thresholdLongExit or BTC Ratio Z-Score < thresholdShortEntry
Short Exit Signal: Happens when the BTC Ratio Z-Score exceeds the thresholdShortExit, hinting at reducing bearish sentiment and a potential switch to bullish conditions.
- Condition for Short Exit = BTC Ratio Z-Score > thresholdShortExit
🔶Implementation and Visualization: The strategy applies these conditions for trade management, aligning with the selected trade direction. It visualizes the BTC Ratio Z-Score with horizontal lines at entry and exit thresholds, illustrating the current sentiment against historical norms.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy offers flexibility in trade direction, allowing users to choose between long, short, or both, depending on their market outlook and risk tolerance. This adaptability ensures that traders can align the strategy with their individual trading style and market conditions.
█ Usage
To employ this strategy effectively:
1. Customization: Begin by setting the trade direction and adjusting the Z-Score calculation period and entry/exit thresholds to match your trading preferences.
2. Observation: Monitor the Z-Score and its moving average for potential trading signals. Look for crossover events relative to the predefined thresholds to identify entry and exit points.
3. Confirmation: Consider using additional analysis or indicators for signal confirmation, ensuring a comprehensive approach to decision-making.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Determines if the strategy engages in long, short, or both types of trades, impacting its adaptability to market conditions.
- Timeframe Input: Influences signal frequency and sensitivity, affecting the strategy's responsiveness to market dynamics.
- Z-Score Calculation Period: Affects the strategy’s sensitivity to market changes, with longer periods smoothing data and shorter periods increasing responsiveness.
- Entry and Exit Thresholds: Set the Z-Score levels for initiating or exiting trades, balancing between capturing opportunities and minimizing false signals.
- Impact of Default Settings: Provides a balanced approach to leverage sentiment trading, with adjustments needed to optimize performance across various market conditions.
Crypto MVRV ZScore - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Crypto Valuation Extremes: MVRV ZScore - Strategy " represents a cutting-edge approach to cryptocurrency trading, leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score. This metric is pivotal for identifying overvalued or undervalued conditions in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. It assesses the current market valuation against the realized capitalization, providing insights that are not apparent through conventional analysis.
BTCUSD 6h Long/Short Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy leverages the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, specifically designed for cryptocurrencies, with a focus on Bitcoin. This metric is crucial for determining whether Bitcoin is currently undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical 'realized' price. Below is an in-depth explanation of the strategy's components and calculations.
🔶Conceptual Foundation
- Market Capitalization (MC): This represents the total dollar market value of Bitcoin's circulating supply. It is calculated as the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
- Realized Capitalization (RC): Unlike MC, which values all coins at the current market price, RC is computed by valuing each coin at the price it was last moved or traded. Essentially, it is a summation of the value of all bitcoins, priced at the time they were last transacted.
- MVRV Ratio: This ratio is derived by dividing the Market Capitalization by the Realized Capitalization (The ratio of MC to RC (MVRV Ratio = MC / RC)). A ratio greater than 1 indicates that the current price is higher than the average price at which all bitcoins were purchased, suggesting potential overvaluation. Conversely, a ratio below 1 suggests undervaluation.
🔶 MVRV Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean. For this strategy, the MVRV Z-Score is calculated as follows:
MVRV Z-Score = (MC - RC) / Standard Deviation of (MC - RC)
This formula quantifies Bitcoin's deviation from its 'normal' valuation range, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price reversals.
🔶 Spread Z-Score for Trading Signals
The strategy refines this approach by calculating a 'spread Z-Score', which adjusts the MVRV Z-Score over a specific period (default: 252 days). This is done to smooth out short-term market volatility and focus on longer-term valuation trends. The spread Z-Score is calculated as follows:
Spread Z-Score = (Market Z-Score - MVVR Ratio - SMA of Spread) / Standard Deviation of Spread
Where:
- SMA of Spread is the simple moving average of the spread over the specified period.
- Spread refers to the difference between the Market Z-Score and the MVRV Ratio.
🔶 Trading Signals
- Long Entry Condition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the spread Z-Score crosses above the long entry threshold, indicating that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued.
- Short Entry Condition: A short (sell) signal is triggered when the spread Z-Score falls below the short entry threshold, suggesting overvaluation.
These conditions are based on the premise that extreme deviations from the mean (as indicated by the Z-Score) are likely to revert to the mean over time, presenting opportunities for strategic entry and exit points.
█ Practical Application
Traders use these signals to make informed decisions about opening or closing positions in the Bitcoin market. By quantifying market valuation extremes, the strategy aims to capitalize on the cyclical nature of price movements, identifying high-probability entry and exit points based on historical valuation norms.
█ Trade Direction
A unique feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction. Users can specify their preference for engaging in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, market outlook, or trading style, making it adaptable to various market conditions and trader objectives.
█ Usage
To implement this strategy, traders should first adjust the input parameters to align with their trading preferences and risk management practices. These parameters include the trade direction, Z-Score calculation period, and the thresholds for long and short entries. Once configured, the strategy automatically generates trading signals based on the calculated spread Z-Score, providing clear indications for potential entry and exit points.
It is advisable for traders to backtest the strategy under different market conditions to validate its effectiveness and adjust the settings as necessary. Continuous monitoring and adjustment are crucial, as market dynamics evolve over time.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (Allows for both long and short positions)
- Z-Score Calculation Period: 252 days (Approximately one trading year, capturing a comprehensive market cycle)
- Long Entry Threshold: 0.382 (Indicative of moderate undervaluation)
- Short Entry Threshold: -0.382 (Signifies moderate overvaluation)
These default settings are designed to balance sensitivity to market valuation extremes with a pragmatic approach to trade execution. They aim to filter out noise and focus on significant market movements, providing a solid foundation for both new and experienced traders looking to exploit the unique insights offered by the MVRV Z-Score in the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin to GOLD [presentTrading]**Introduction and How it is Different**
Unlike traditional indicators, the BTGR offers a unique perspective on market sentiment and asset valuation by juxtaposing two seemingly disparate assets: Bitcoin, the digital gold, and Gold, the traditional store of value. This article introduces an advanced version of this ratio, complete with upper and lower bands calculated using standard deviations. These bands add an extra layer of analytical depth, allowing for more nuanced trading strategies.
BTCUSD 12h bigger picture
**Economic Principles**
The BTGR is rooted in the economic principles of asset valuation and market sentiment. Gold has long been considered a safe haven asset, a place where investors park their money during times of economic uncertainty. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is often viewed as a high-risk, high-reward investment. By comparing the two, the BTGR provides insights into the broader market sentiment.
- Risk Appetite: A high BTGR indicates a bullish sentiment towards riskier assets like Bitcoin.
- Market Uncertainty: A low BTGR suggests a bearish sentiment and a flight to the safety of Gold.
- Asset Diversification: The BTGR can be used as a tool for portfolio diversification, helping investors balance risk and reward.
**How to Use It**
Setting Up the Indicator
- Platform: The indicator is designed for use on TradingView.
- Time Frame: A 480-minute time frame is recommended for more accurate signals.
- Parameters: The moving average is set at 200 periods, and the standard deviation is calculated over the same period.
**Trading Signal**
Long Entry: Consider going long when the BTGR crosses above the upper band.
Short Entry: Consider going short when the BTGR crosses below the lower band.
Note: Due to the issue that the number of trading is less than about 100 times, the corresponding strategy is not allowed to publish.
MACD Fake Filter [RH]Introducing a new indicator for the TradingView community based on the MACD indicator! This innovative tool goes beyond traditional MACD signals by analyzing positive and negative waves to determine the average height of the waves to filter false cross-over or cross-under signals during the sideways market.
There are two types of waves created by the MACD line, one is a positive wave above the "zero" line and another is a negative wave below "zero" line. Each wave has peaks. This indicator will find the average height of the positive waves' peaks and plot as a green line(by default). Vice-versa it will also find the average height of the negative waves' peaks and plot as a red line(by default).
Example :
This indicator will show labels when the MACD line crosses-under the MACD signal line above the average height of the positive waves.
Vice-versa, the indicator will show labels when the MACD line crosses-above the MACD signal line below the average height of the negative waves.
Example:
Alerts are also available for these types of cross-over and cross-under.
kyle algo v1
Integration of multiple technical indicators: The strategy mainly combines two technical indicators - Keltner Channels and Supertrend, to generate trading signals. It also calculates fifteen exponential moving averages (EMAs) for the high price with different periods ranging from 9 to 51.
Unique combination of indicators: The traditional Supertrend typically uses Average True Range (ATR) to calculate its upper and lower bands. In contrast, this script modifies the approach to use Keltner Channels instead.
Flexible sensitivity adjustment: This strategy provides a "sensitivity" input parameter for users to adjust, which controls the multiplier for the range in the Supertrend calculation. This can make the signals more or less sensitive to price changes, allowing users to tailor the strategy to their own risk tolerance and trading style.
EMA Energy Representation: The code offers a visualization of "EMA Energy", which color-codes the EMA lines based on whether the closing price is above or below the EMA line. This can provide an intuitive understanding of market trends.
Clear visual signals: The strategy generates clear "BUY" and "SELL" signals, represented as labels on the chart. This makes it easy to identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
Customizable: The script provides several user inputs, making it possible to fine-tune the strategy according to different market conditions and individual trading preferences.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Principle:
The EMA is a type of moving average that assigns more weight to the most recent data.
It responds more quickly to recent price changes and is used to capture short-term price trends.
Principle of Color Change :
In this trading strategy, the color of the EMA line changes based on whether the closing price is above or below the EMA. If the closing price is above the EMA, the EMA line turns green,
indicating an upward price trend. Conversely, if the closing price is below the EMA, the EMA line turns red,
indicating a downward price trend. These color changes help traders to more intuitively identify price trends
In short, our team provides a lot of practical space
That is your development space
Boftei's StrategyI wrote this strategy about a year ago, but decided to publish it just now. I have not been able to implement this strategy in the market. If you can, then I will be happy for you.
This strategy is based on my "Botvenko Script". (It finds the difference between the logarithms of closing prices from different days.) (Check this script in my profile)
Then the strategy makes trades when the "Botvenko Script" indicator crosses the levels set earlier and manually selected for each currency pair/shares: long/short opening/closing levels, long/short re-entry levels. (They are drawn with horizontal dotted lines.) The names of these lines are: buy/sell level, long/short retry - too low/high, long close up/down, dead - close the short. Manual selection of each of the parameters provides a qualitative entry of the strategy into the deal. However, without restraining mechanisms, the strategy enters into rather controversial deals. In order to avoid going long/short during bear/bull markets, which is unacceptable, I added a fan of EMA lines.
The fan consists of several EMA lines, which are set according to Fibonacci numbers (21, 55, 89, 144). If the lines in the fan are arranged in ascending order (ema_21>ema_55 and ema_55>ema_89 and ema_89>ema_144), then this indicates a bull market, during which I banned shorting. And vice versa: during the bear market (ema_21<ema_55 and ema_55<ema_89 and ema_89<ema_144) I banned long trading. If these two inequalities are not met, then this indicates that the market is flat, and during it it is allowed to enter any transactions, because a flat is a good moment to catch massive movements in the future by entering a transaction. (This is all visualized using semi-transparent thick lines of green, yellow and red colors.)
By default, all parameters are adjusted for the btc/usd (bitstamp) pair. Best of all, the strategy shows itself if 1 candle = 1 day.
At the time of writing, on the pair btcusd (bitstamp) (1d) with pyramiding = 1, the strategy shows a profit of 64728896%. If pyramiding is increased by 1, then the profit will be greater, but I still prefer pyramiding = 1.
There is a possibility that my strategy is doing complete nonsense. I don't vouch for her.
If you select parameters for other pairs of currencies/stocks, then you should not change anything in the fan of lines.
That's all, probably.
Trap Trading - SwaGThis is an intraday indicator
Set timeframe to 5 min
Take long entry on the high brakes of selling traps
Take short entry on the low brakes of buying traps
ignore traps left to red zones
Use the nearest trap
take profit/loss on a 1:2 risk-to-reward basis.
Trap Trading
Trap trading is a trading strategy that seeks to profit from false breakouts in financial markets. This strategy is based on the idea that when the market breaks through a key level of support or resistance, many traders will take that as a signal to enter or exit trades, causing the price to move further in the breakout direction.
However, in some cases, the market will quickly reverse course and move in the opposite direction, trapping those traders who entered the trade based on the breakout. This can create a trading opportunity for those who are able to identify the false breakout and trade in the opposite direction.
The trap trading strategy typically involves identifying a key level of support or resistance on a price chart and then waiting for the market to break through that level. If the price continues to move in the breakout direction, the trader may enter a trade in that direction with a stop loss set just below the breakout level.
However, if the market quickly reverses and moves back below the breakout level, the trader may enter a trade in the opposite direction with a stop loss set just above the breakout level. The idea is to take advantage of the trapped traders who entered the trade based on the false breakout, and profit from the market's reversal.
As with any trading strategy, there are risks and potential drawbacks to trap trading. False breakouts can be difficult to identify, and there is always the risk that the market will continue to move in the breakout direction, resulting in losses for the trader. Additionally, trap trading requires a solid understanding of technical analysis and market trends, which may take time and experience to develop.
Davin's 10/200MA Pullback on SPY Strategy v2.0Strategy:
Using 10 and 200 Simple moving averages, we capitalize on price pullbacks on a general uptrend to scalp 1 - 5% rebounds. 200 MA is used as a general indicator for bullish sentiment, 10 MA is used to identify pullbacks in the short term for buy entries.
An optional bonus: market crash of 20% from 52 days high is regarded as a buy the dip signal.
An optional bonus: can choose to exit on MA crossovers using 200 MA as reference MA (etc. Hard stop on 50 cross 200)
Recommended Ticker: SPY 1D (I have so far tested on SPY and other big indexes only, other stocks appear to be too volatile to use the same short period SMA parameters effectively) + AAPL 4H
How it works:
Buy condition is when:
- Price closes above 200 SMA
- Price closes below 10 SMA
- Price dumps at least 20% (additional bonus contrarian buy the dip option)
Entry is on the next opening market day the day after the buy condition candle was fulfilled.
Sell Condition is when:
- Prices closes below 10 SMA
- Hard stop at 15% drawdown from entry price (adjustable parameter)
- Hard stop at medium term and long term MA crossovers (adjustable parameters)
So far this strategy has been pretty effective for me, feel free to try it out and let me know in the comments how you found :)
Feel free to suggest new strategy ideas for discussion and indicator building
Ichimoku Cloud with ADX (By Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
DMI is simple to interpret. When +DI > - DI, it means the price is trending up. On the other hand, when -DI > +DI , the trend is weak or moving on the downside. The ADX does not give an indication about the direction but about the strength of the trend.
Typically values of ADX above 25 mean that the trend is steeply moving up or down, based on the -DI and +D positioning. This script aims to capture swings in the DMI, and thus, in the trend of the asset, using a contrarian approach.
Trading on high values of ADX , the strategy tries to spot extremely oversold and overbought conditions. Values of ADX above 45 may suggest that the trend has overextended and is may be about to reverse.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with the ADX indicator to better enter trades.
Long/Short orders are placed when these basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses over the signal line
-DI is greater than +DI
ADX is greater than 45
Short Position:
Tenkan-Sen is below the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is below the close of 26 bars ago
Close is below the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses under the signal line
+DI is greater than -DI
ADX is less than 45
The script is backtested from 1 January 2022 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
This script also works well on MATIC (15m timeframe), ETH (5m timeframe), and SOL (15m timeframe).
Ichimoku Cloud with MACD (By Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator and provides identification of short-term trend direction. In this variation it utilises the 12-period as the fast and 26-period as the slow length EMAs, with signal smoothing set at 9.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with the MACD indicator to better enter trades.
Long/Short orders are placed when three basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses over the signal line
Short Position:
Tenkan-Sen is below the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is below the close of 26 bars ago
Close is below the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses under the signal line
The script is backtested from 1 June 2022 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
This script also works well on MATIC (1h timeframe), AVA (45m timeframe), and BTC (30m timeframe).
Inverse MACD + DMI Scalping with Volatility Stop (By Coinrule)This script is focused on shorting during downtrends and utilises two strength based indicators to provide confluence that the start of a short-term downtrend has occurred - catching the opportunity as soon as possible.
This script can work well on coins you are planning to hodl for long-term and works especially well whilst using an automated bot that can execute your trades for you. It allows you to hedge your investment by allocating a % of your coins to trade with, whilst not risking your entire holding. This mitigates unrealised losses from hodling as it provides additional cash from the profits made. You can then choose to hodl this cash, or use it to reinvest when the market reaches attractive buying levels.
Alternatively, you can use this when trading contracts on futures markets where there is no need to already own the underlying asset prior to shorting it.
ENTRY
The trading system uses the Momentum Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator and the Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicator to confirm when the best time is for selling. Combining these two indicators prevents trading during uptrends and reduces the likelihood of getting stuck in a market with low volatility.
The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator and provides identification of short-term trend direction. In this variation it utilises the 12-period as the fast and 26-period as the slow length EMAs, with signal smoothing set at 9.
The DMI indicates what way price is trending and compares prior lows and highs with two lines drawn between each - the positive directional movement line (+DI) and the negative directional movement line (-DI). The trend can be interpreted by comparing the two lines and what line is greater. When the negative DMI is greater than the positive DMI, there are more chances that the asset is trading in a sustained downtrend, and vice versa.
The system will enter trades when two conditions are met:
1) The MACD histogram turns bearish.
2) When the negative DMI is greater than the positive DMI.
EXIT
The strategy comes with a fixed take profit combined with a volatility stop, which acts as a trailing stop to adapt to the trend's strength. Depending on your long-term confidence in the asset, you can edit the fixed take profit to be more conservative or aggressive.
The position is closed when:
Take-Profit Exit: +8% price decrease from entry price.
OR
Stop-Loss Exit: Price crosses above the volatility stop.
In general, this approach suits medium to long term strategies. The backtesting for this strategy begins on 1 April 2022 to 18 July 2022 in order to demonstrate its results in a bear market. Back testing it further from the beginning of 2022 onwards further also produces good returns.
Pairs that produce very strong results include SOLUSDT on the 45m timeframe, MATICUSDT on the 2h timeframe, and AVAUSDT on the 1h timeframe. Generally, the back testing suggests that it works best on the 45m/1h timeframe across most pairs.
A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
SP IndicatorSP Indicator - One of the best indicators for scalping trading on any timeframes. The best readings are given on 5, 15 and 30 minute frames.
For readings, several indicators are combined into one, which allows you to get a more accurate forecast, which is more than 90%.
Instruction.
The indicator is easy to use. Just install it and follow the arrows to go long or short. Stop loss set small, about 1-2%. In most cases, this is sufficient.
Good luck in bidding!
Swing LineThe author was inspired by Charles Dow's concept on trend and Gann's concept on swing trade.
Swing line can help identify resistance and support. Breaking resistance indicate an uptrend. Breaking support indicates a downtrend. This is a simple and intuitive method in trend determination.
However, many chart readers nowadays set Candlestick as preferred pattern. The shared indicator provides another choice for constructing swing lines.
TrenderTrender is an indicator that compiles trend-following ideas in a complete friendly-custom indicator. Based on classic arithmetic moving averages, exponential moving averages, volume and a little bit of Fibonacci. Indicator built and usable in TradingView, focused only for easy visualization of the trend.
