Key LevelsKey Levels Indicator
In the world of trading, manually identifying and plotting key levels for every close can be a tedious and error-prone task. This indicator stands out by automatically detecting and plotting only those levels where a significant shift in market sentiment has occurred. Unlike traditional indicators that plot lines for every open or close, this tool focuses on levels where liquidity has changed hands, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
How It Works:
- The indicator identifies Higher Timeframe (HTF) reversals, plotting levels only when a bearish candle is followed by a bullish one, or vice versa.
- Weekly levels are represented by dashed lines, while monthly levels are solid, providing clear visual differentiation.
- Levels are drawn at the open price of the reversal candle, starting precisely at the beginning of the new HTF bar.
Why It's Different:
- Focuses on genuine shifts in market sentiment rather than arbitrary price points.
- Automatically manages the number of visible levels to prevent chart clutter.
- Ideal for range traders and mean reversion strategies, offering insights into potential support and resistance zones where market participants have shown a change in behavior.
Usage Note:
While this indicator provides valuable insights, it should not be used in isolation. Always consider the broader market context and combine it with other analysis techniques for optimal results.
Settings:
- Toggle weekly/monthly levels
- Adjust the number of visible levels (1-20)
- Customize level colors
Trend Analysis
Prediction Based on Linreg & Atr
We created this algorithm with the goal of predicting future prices 📊, specifically where the value of any asset will go in the next 20 periods ⏳. It uses linear regression based on past prices, calculating a slope and an intercept to forecast future behavior 🔮. This prediction is then adjusted according to market volatility, measured by the ATR 📉, and the direction of trend signals, which are based on the MACD and moving averages 📈.
How Does the Linreg & ATR Prediction Work?
1. Trend Calculation and Signals:
o Technical Indicators: We use short- and long-term exponential moving averages (EMA), RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands 📊 to assess market direction and sentiment (not visually presented in the script).
o Calculation Functions: These include functions to calculate slope, average, intercept, standard deviation, and Pearson's R, which are crucial for regression analysis 📉.
2. Predicting Future Prices:
o Linear Regression: The algorithm calculates the slope, average, and intercept of past prices to create a regression channel 📈, helping to predict the range of future prices 🔮.
o Standard Deviation and Pearson's R: These metrics determine the strength of the regression 🔍.
3. Adjusting the Prediction:
o The predicted value is adjusted by considering market volatility (ATR 📉) and the direction of trend signals 🔮, ensuring that the prediction is aligned with the current market environment 🌍.
4. Visualization:
o Prediction Lines and Bands: The algorithm plots lines that display the predicted future price along with a prediction range (upper and lower bounds) 📉📈.
5. EMA Cross Signals:
o EMA Conditions and Total Score: A bullish crossover signal is generated when the total score is positive and the short EMA crosses above the long EMA 📈. A bearish crossover signal is generated when the total score is negative and the short EMA crosses below the long EMA 📉.
6. Additional Considerations:
o Multi-Timeframe Regression Channel: The script calculates regression channels for different timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, helping determine the overall market direction 📊 (not visually presented).
Confidence Interpretation:
• High Confidence (close to 100%): Indicates strong alignment between timeframes with a clear trend (bullish or bearish) 🔥.
• Low Confidence (close to 0%): Shows disagreement or weak signals between timeframes ⚠️.
Confidence complements the interpretation of the prediction range and expected direction 🔮, aiding in decision-making for market entry or exit 🚀.
Español
Creamos este algoritmo con el objetivo de predecir los precios futuros 📊, específicamente hacia dónde irá el valor de cualquier activo en los próximos 20 períodos ⏳. Utiliza regresión lineal basada en los precios pasados, calculando una pendiente y una intersección para prever el comportamiento futuro 🔮. Esta predicción se ajusta según la volatilidad del mercado, medida por el ATR 📉, y la dirección de las señales de tendencia, que se basan en el MACD y las medias móviles 📈.
¿Cómo Funciona la Predicción con Linreg & ATR?
Cálculo de Tendencias y Señales:
Indicadores Técnicos: Usamos medias móviles exponenciales (EMA) a corto y largo plazo, RSI, MACD y Bandas de Bollinger 📊 para evaluar la dirección y el sentimiento del mercado (no presentados visualmente en el script).
Funciones de Cálculo: Incluye funciones para calcular pendiente, media, intersección, desviación estándar y el coeficiente de correlación de Pearson, esenciales para el análisis de regresión 📉.
Predicción de Precios Futuros:
Regresión Lineal: El algoritmo calcula la pendiente, la media y la intersección de los precios pasados para crear un canal de regresión 📈, ayudando a predecir el rango de precios futuros 🔮.
Desviación Estándar y Pearson's R: Estas métricas determinan la fuerza de la regresión 🔍.
Ajuste de la Predicción:
El valor predicho se ajusta considerando la volatilidad del mercado (ATR 📉) y la dirección de las señales de tendencia 🔮, asegurando que la predicción esté alineada con el entorno actual del mercado 🌍.
Visualización:
Líneas y Bandas de Predicción: El algoritmo traza líneas que muestran el precio futuro predicho, junto con un rango de predicción (límites superior e inferior) 📉📈.
Señales de Cruce de EMAs:
Condiciones de EMAs y Puntaje Total: Se genera una señal de cruce alcista cuando el puntaje total es positivo y la EMA corta cruza por encima de la EMA larga 📈. Se genera una señal de cruce bajista cuando el puntaje total es negativo y la EMA corta cruza por debajo de la EMA larga 📉.
Consideraciones Adicionales:
Canal de Regresión Multi-Timeframe: El script calcula canales de regresión para diferentes marcos de tiempo (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, ayudando a determinar la dirección general del mercado 📊 (no presentado visualmente).
Interpretación de la Confianza:
Alta Confianza (cerca del 100%): Indica una fuerte alineación entre los marcos temporales con una tendencia clara (alcista o bajista) 🔥.
Baja Confianza (cerca del 0%): Muestra desacuerdo o señales débiles entre los marcos temporales ⚠️.
La confianza complementa la interpretación del rango de predicción y la dirección esperada 🔮, ayudando en las decisiones de entrada o salida en el mercado 🚀.
The Dragons Maw [inspired by Kioseff Trading]The Dragon's Maw is a playful visualization tool that uses Monte Carlo simulation to create a dragon-like pattern on your chart. Although primarily intended for entertainment, it is also suitable for testing or falsifying the utility of this method's predictions.
What It Does:
- Generates multiple price path simulations that form the shape of a "fire-breathing" effect
- Shows upper and lower boundaries of all simulations as the dragon's "maw"
- Displays the dragon's "eye" and "ear" as a visual indicator of the historical data used
How It Works:
1. The indicator calculates returns from historical price data
2. Using Monte Carlo simulation with either normal distribution or bootstrap sampling, it generates multiple potential price paths
3. These paths are rendered with high transparency to create a fire/smoke effect showing the higher probability regions as denser color
4. It can be observed that the direction of the "fire" is influenced by recent price movement especially when set in relation to the "eye" position which indicates the limit of historical data used for the simulation
Educational Value:
Use the 'Move to the Left' parameter to position the dragon's head at different points in historical data. This feature serves as an excellent demonstration of the limitations of statistical price projections – you'll quickly see how the simulated paths diverge from what actually happened, highlighting why such projections should not be relied upon for trading decisions.
You might find, that it's not at all capable of 'predicting' sudden price movements but rather 'predicts' a continuation of the recent trend.
Features:
- Adjustable number of simulations (affects detail of the "fire" effect)
- Moveable dragon head (can be positioned at different points in price history)
- Customizable colors for the maw boundaries and fire effect
- Optional scale display for price levels
Note: This indicator is inspired by KioseffTrading's original work, with added features for visualization and positioning. While it uses statistical methods, it should be viewed as an artistic interpretation of price movement rather than a predictive tool.
Settings Guide:
- Upper/Lower Limit: Colors for the dragon's maw boundaries
- Fire Color: Color and transparency of the simulation paths
- Look Back: How far back to calculate the dragon's eye position
- Much Fire: Controls the density of simulation paths
- Length: Determines how far forward the simulation extends
The chart shows a clean view of the indicator's output, with the dragon's eye (o), ear, maw boundaries, and fire effect clearly visible on the right side of the chart by default.
Enhanced Gap Up/Down AnalysisThis Pine Script indicator, titled "Enhanced Gap Up/Down Analysis", is designed to visually analyze the percentage gaps between the current day's opening price and the previous day's closing price. It provides valuable insights into market behavior by categorizing gaps and coloring them based on specific conditions.
Key Features:
Bar Coloring Based on Conditions:
Gap-Up Days:
Green if the day closes higher than it opens.
Red if the day closes lower than it opens.
Gap-Down Days:
Red if the day closes lower than it opens.
Green if the day closes higher than it opens.
The bar's position reflects the gap percentage (positive values for gap-ups above the X-axis, negative values for gap-downs below the X-axis).
Gap Size Thresholds:
Users can define small and moderate gap thresholds to categorize gaps:
Small Gaps: Transparent color.
Moderate Gaps: Opaque color.
Large Gaps: Fully visible color.
Ensures small gaps are less than moderate gaps with validation logic.
Filter Gaps by Percentage:
Includes filters to show gaps only within a user-defined range (minFilterGap to maxFilterGap).
Histogram Visualization:
Plots the gap percentages as a histogram for easy visual analysis:
Positive bars for gap-ups.
Negative bars for gap-downs.
Alerts for Large Gaps:
Alerts notify when a gap exceeds the moderate threshold in either direction.
Use Cases:
Identify Market Sentiment:
Quickly assess whether gap-ups or gap-downs dominate.
Analyze whether gaps tend to follow through or reverse by observing bar colors.
Filter Relevant Gaps:
Focus on significant gaps (e.g., only gaps greater than 2%).
Visual Aid for Trading:
Helps traders detect patterns in market gaps and price movement relationships (e.g., gaps and reversals).
Customizable Inputs:
Small and Moderate Gap Thresholds: Define gap categories.
Gap Filter Range: Control which gaps to display.
Alerts: Get notified of significant gaps.
This tool is particularly useful for traders analyzing price gaps and their implications for market trends or reversals.
Linear Regression Channel [TradingFinder] Existing Trend Line🔵 Introduction
The Linear Regression Channel indicator is one of the technical analysis tool, widely used to identify support, resistance, and analyze upward and downward trends.
The Linear Regression Channel comprises five main components : the midline, representing the linear regression line, and the support and resistance lines, which are calculated based on the distance from the midline using either standard deviation or ATR.
This indicator leverages linear regression to forecast price changes based on historical data and encapsulates price movements within a price channel.
The upper and lower lines of the channel, which define resistance and support levels, assist traders in pinpointing entry and exit points, ultimately aiding better trading decisions.
When prices approach these channel lines, the likelihood of interaction with support or resistance levels increases, and breaking through these lines may signal a price reversal or continuation.
Due to its precision in identifying price trends, analyzing trend reversals, and determining key price levels, the Linear Regression Channel indicator is widely regarded as a reliable tool across financial markets such as Forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Identifying Entry Signals
One of the primary uses of this indicator is recognizing buy signals. The lower channel line acts as a support level, and when the price nears this line, the likelihood of an upward reversal increases.
In an uptrend : When the price approaches the lower channel line and signs of upward reversal (e.g., reversal candlesticks or high trading volume) are observed, it is considered a buy signal.
In a downtrend : If the price breaks the lower channel line and subsequently re-enters the channel, it may signal a trend change, offering a buying opportunity.
🟣 Identifying Exit Signals
The Linear Regression Channel is also used to identify sell signals. The upper channel line generally acts as a resistance level, and when the price approaches this line, the likelihood of a price decrease increases.
In an uptrend : Approaching the upper channel line and observing weakness in the uptrend (e.g., declining volume or reversal patterns) indicates a sell signal.
In a downtrend : When the price reaches the upper channel line and reverses downward, this is considered a signal to exit trades.
🟣 Analyzing Channel Breakouts
The Linear Regression Channel allows traders to identify price breakouts as strong signals of potential trend changes.
Breaking the upper channel line : Indicates buyer strength and the likelihood of a continued uptrend, often accompanied by increased trading volume.
Breaking the lower channel line : Suggests seller dominance and the possibility of a continued downtrend, providing a strong sell signal.
🟣 Mean Reversion Analysis
A key concept in using the Linear Regression Channel is the tendency for prices to revert to the midline of the channel, which acts as a dynamic moving average, reflecting the price's equilibrium over time.
In uptrends : Significant deviations from the midline increase the likelihood of a price retracement toward the midline.
In downtrends : When prices deviate considerably from the midline, a return toward the midline can be used to identify potential reversal points.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Time Frame
The time frame setting enables users to view higher time frame data on a lower time frame chart. This feature is especially useful for traders employing multi-time frame analysis.
🟣 Regression Type
Standard : Utilizes classical linear regression to draw the midline and channel lines.
Advanced : Produces similar results to the standard method but may provide slightly different alignment on the chart.
🟣 Scaling Type
Standard Deviation : Suitable for markets with stable volatility.
ATR (Average True Range) : Ideal for markets with higher volatility.
🟣 Scaling Coefficients
Larger coefficients create broader channels for broader trend analysis.
Smaller coefficients produce tighter channels for precision analysis.
🟣 Channel Extension
None : No extension.
Left: Extends lines to the left to analyze historical trends.
Right : Extends lines to the right for future predictions.
Both : Extends lines in both directions.
🔵 Conclusion
The Linear Regression Channel indicator is a versatile and powerful tool in technical analysis, providing traders with support, resistance, and midline insights to better understand price behavior. Its advanced settings, including time frame selection, regression type, scaling options, and customizable coefficients, allow for tailored and precise analysis.
One of its standout advantages is its ability to support multi-time frame analysis, enabling traders to view higher time frame data within a lower time frame context. The option to use scaling methods like ATR or standard deviation further enhances its adaptability to markets with varying volatility.
Designed to identify entry and exit signals, analyze mean reversion, and assess channel breakouts, this indicator is suitable for a wide range of markets, including Forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. By incorporating this tool into your trading strategy, you can make more informed decisions and improve the accuracy of your market predictions.
Fibonacci Confluence Toolkit [LuxAlgo]The Fibonacci Confluence Toolkit is a technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify potential price reversal zones by combining key market signals and patterns. It highlights areas of interest where significant price action or reactions are anticipated, automatically applies Fibonacci retracement levels to outline potential pullback zones, and detects engulfing candle patterns.
Its unique strength lies in its reliance solely on price patterns, eliminating the need for user-defined inputs, ensuring a robust and objective analysis of market dynamics.
🔶 USAGE
The script begins by detecting CHoCH (Change of Character) points—key indicators of shifts in market direction. This script integrates the principles of pure price action as applied in Pure-Price-Action-Structures , where further details on the detection process can be found.
The detected CHoCH points serve as the foundation for defining an Area of Interest (AOI), a zone where significant price action or reactions are anticipated.
As new swing highs or lows emerge within the AOI, the tool automatically applies Fibonacci retracement levels to outline potential retracement zones. This setup enables traders to identify areas where price pullbacks may occur, offering actionable insights into potential entries or reversals.
Additionally, the toolkit highlights engulfing candle patterns within these zones, further refining entry points and enhancing confluence for better-informed trading decisions based on real-time trend dynamics and price behavior.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Market Patterns
Bullish Structures: Enable or disable all bullish components of the indicator.
Bearish Structures: Enable or disable all bearish components of the indicator.
Highlight Area of Interest: Toggle the option to highlight the Areas of Interest (enabled or disabled).
CHoCH Line: Choose the line style for the CHoCH (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Width: Adjust the width of the CHoCH line.
🔹 Retracement Levels
Choose which Fibonacci retracement levels to display (e.g., 0, 0.236, 0.382, etc.).
🔹 Swing Levels & Engulfing Patterns
Swing Levels: Select how swing levels are marked (symbols like ◉, △▽, or H/L).
Engulfing Candle Patterns: Choose which engulfing candle patterns to detect (All, Structure-Based, or Disabled).
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Pure-Price-Action-Structures.
Multi-Indicator Signal with TableThis indicator is a versatile multi-indicator tool designed for traders who want to combine signals from various popular indicators into a single framework. It not only visualizes buy and sell signals but also provides a clear, easy-to-read table that summarizes the included indicators and their respective signal colors.
Key Features:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Buy Signal: RSI falls below the oversold level (default: 30).
Sell Signal: RSI rises above the overbought level (default: 70).
Signal Color: Green.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Buy Signal: MACD line crosses above the signal line.
Sell Signal: MACD line crosses below the signal line.
Signal Color: Blue.
MA Crossover (Moving Average Crossover):
Buy Signal: Short EMA (default: 7) crosses above Long SMA (default: 14).
Sell Signal: Short EMA crosses below Long SMA.
Signal Color: Purple.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Buy Signal: Stochastic %K falls below 20 and crosses above %D.
Sell Signal: Stochastic %K rises above 80 and crosses below %D.
Signal Color: Yellow.
TSI (True Strength Index):
Buy Signal: TSI crosses above the zero line.
Sell Signal: TSI crosses below the zero line.
Signal Color: Red.
Dynamic Signal Table:
A clean, compact table displayed at the top-right corner of the chart, summarizing the indicators and their respective signal colors for quick reference.
Customization:
All indicator parameters are fully adjustable, allowing users to fine-tune settings to match their trading strategy.
Signal colors and table design ensure a visually intuitive experience.
Usage:
This tool is ideal for traders who prefer a multi-indicator approach for generating buy/sell signals.
The combination of different indicators helps to filter out noise and increase the accuracy of trade setups.
Notes:
Signals appear only after the confirmation of the current bar to avoid false triggers.
This indicator is designed for educational purposes and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management strategies.
AiTrend Pattern Matrix for kNN Forecasting (AiBitcoinTrend)The AiTrend Pattern Matrix for kNN Forecasting (AiBitcoinTrend) is a cutting-edge indicator that combines advanced mathematical modeling, AI-driven analytics, and segment-based pattern recognition to forecast price movements with precision. This tool is designed to provide traders with deep insights into market dynamics by leveraging multivariate pattern detection and sophisticated predictive algorithms.
👽 Core Features
Segment-Based Pattern Recognition
At its heart, the indicator divides price data into discrete segments, capturing key elements like candle bodies, high-low ranges, and wicks. These segments are normalized using ATR-based volatility adjustments to ensure robustness across varying market conditions.
AI-Powered k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) Prediction
The predictive engine uses the kNN algorithm to identify the closest historical patterns in a multivariate dictionary. By calculating the distance between current and historical segments, the algorithm determines the most likely outcomes, weighting predictions based on either proximity (distance) or averages.
Dynamic Dictionary of Historical Patterns
The indicator maintains a rolling dictionary of historical patterns, storing multivariate data for:
Candle body ranges, High-low ranges, Wick highs and lows.
This dynamic approach ensures the model adapts continuously to evolving market conditions.
Volatility-Normalized Forecasting
Using ATR bands, the indicator normalizes patterns, reducing noise and enhancing the reliability of predictions in high-volatility environments.
AI-Driven Trend Detection
The indicator not only predicts price levels but also identifies market regimes by comparing current conditions to historically significant highs, lows, and midpoints. This allows for clear visualizations of trend shifts and momentum changes.
👽 Deep Dive into the Core Mathematics
👾 Segment-Based Multivariate Pattern Analysis
The indicator analyzes price data by dividing each bar into distinct segments, isolating key components such as:
Body Ranges: Differences between the open and close prices.
High-Low Ranges: Capturing the full volatility of a bar.
Wick Extremes: Quantifying deviations beyond the body, both above and below.
Each segment contributes uniquely to the predictive model, ensuring a rich, multidimensional understanding of price action. These segments are stored in a rolling dictionary of patterns, enabling the indicator to reference historical behavior dynamically.
👾 Volatility Normalization Using ATR
To ensure robustness across varying market conditions, the indicator normalizes patterns using Average True Range (ATR). This process scales each component to account for the prevailing market volatility, allowing the algorithm to compare patterns on a level playing field regardless of differing price scales or fluctuations.
👾 k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) Algorithm
The AI core employs the kNN algorithm, a machine-learning technique that evaluates the similarity between the current pattern and a library of historical patterns.
Euclidean Distance Calculation:
The indicator computes the multivariate distance across four distinct dimensions: body range, high-low range, wick low, and wick high. This ensures a comprehensive and precise comparison between patterns.
Weighting Schemes: The contribution of each pattern to the forecast is either weighted by its proximity (distance) or averaged, based on user settings.
👾 Prediction Horizon and Refinement
The indicator forecasts future price movements (Y_hat) by predicting logarithmic changes in the price and projecting them forward using exponential scaling. This forecast is smoothed using a user-defined EMA filter to reduce noise and enhance actionable clarity.
👽 AI-Driven Pattern Recognition
Dynamic Dictionary of Patterns: The indicator maintains a rolling dictionary of N multivariate patterns, continuously updated to reflect the latest market data. This ensures it adapts seamlessly to changing market conditions.
Nearest Neighbor Matching: At each bar, the algorithm identifies the most similar historical pattern. The prediction is based on the aggregated outcomes of the closest neighbors, providing confidence levels and directional bias.
Multivariate Synthesis: By combining multiple dimensions of price action into a unified prediction, the indicator achieves a level of depth and accuracy unattainable by single-variable models.
Visual Outputs
Forecast Line (Y_hat_line):
A smoothed projection of the expected price trend, based on the weighted contribution of similar historical patterns.
Trend Regime Bands:
Dynamic high, low, and midlines highlight the current market regime, providing actionable insights into momentum and range.
Historical Pattern Matching:
The nearest historical pattern is displayed, allowing traders to visualize similarities
👽 Applications
Trend Identification:
Detect and follow emerging trends early using dynamic trend regime analysis.
Reversal Signals:
Anticipate market reversals with high-confidence predictions based on historically similar scenarios.
Range and Momentum Trading:
Leverage multivariate analysis to understand price ranges and momentum, making it suitable for both breakout and mean-reversion strategies.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Option vs Index Performance**Indicator Name:** Option vs Index Performance
**Description:**
This indicator helps traders analyze the relative performance of options compared to their underlying index (e.g., Nifty 50). It evaluates and highlights zones based on two key metrics:
1. **Bar-to-Bar Performance:** Compares the percentage movement of the option price against the index movement on a bar-by-bar basis.
- **Green Zone**: Option outperforms the index.
- **Yellow Zone**: Option moves in sync with the index.
- **Red Zone**: Option underperforms the index.
2. **Swing Alignment:** Tracks the swing structure of the index (higher highs, higher lows) and compares it with the option chart. The indicator checks if the option's swings align with or deviate from the index's swing pattern.
The final output combines both conditions, providing clear visual zones below the chart:
- **Green**: Overperformance and alignment with the index.
- **Yellow**: Neutral performance or partial alignment.
- **Red**: Underperformance or misalignment with the index.
Use this tool on option charts to quickly identify opportunities and assess whether the option's movement is in line with the broader market trend.
VWAP Trend with Standard Deviation & MidlinesThis indicator is a sophisticated VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) tool with multiple features:
Core Functionality:
1. Calculates a primary VWAP line that changes color based on trend direction (green when rising, red when falling)
2. Creates multiple standard deviation bands around the VWAP at customizable distances
3. Resets calculations at either:
- New York session start time (configurable, default 9:30 AM)
- Daily start time
- Can be hidden on daily/weekly/monthly timeframes if desired
Band Structure:
- Band 1 (innermost): ±1 standard deviation
- Band 2 (middle): ±2 standard deviations
- Band 3 (outermost): ±3 standard deviations
- Midlines at 0.5σ intervals between bands
- All bands can be individually enabled/disabled
Customization Options:
1. Band calculation modes:
- Standard Deviation based
- Percentage based
2. Visual settings:
- Customizable colors for all elements
- Adjustable line widths
- Optional labels with configurable size
- Optional extension lines
- Label position adjustment
3. Source data selection (default: HLC3 - High, Low, Close average)
Common Uses:
- Identifying potential support/resistance levels
- Measuring price volatility
- Spotting mean reversion opportunities
- Trading range analysis
- Trend direction confirmation
The indicator essentially creates a dynamic support/resistance structure that adapts to market volatility and volume, making it useful for both intraday and swing trading strategies.
300-Candle Weighted Average Zones w/50 EMA SignalsThis indicator is designed to deliver a more nuanced view of price dynamics by combining a custom, weighted price average with a volatility-based zone and a trend filter (in this case, a 50-period exponential moving average). The core concept revolves around capturing the overall price level over a relatively large lookback window (300 candles) but with an intentional bias toward recent market activity (the most recent 20 candles), thereby offering a balance between long-term context and short-term responsiveness. By smoothing this weighted average and establishing a “zone” of standard deviation bands around it, the indicator provides a refined visualization of both average price and its recent volatility envelope. Traders can then look for confluence with a standard trend filter, such as the 50 EMA, to identify meaningful crossover signals that may represent trend shifts or opportunities for entry and exit.
What the Indicator Does:
Weighted Price Average:
Instead of using a simple or exponential moving average, this indicator calculates a custom weighted average price over the past 300 candles. Most historical candles receive a base weight of 1.0, but the most recent 20 candles are assigned a higher weight (for example, a weight of 2.0). This weighting scheme ensures that the calculation is not simply a static lookback average; it actively emphasizes current market conditions. The effect is to generate an average line that is more sensitive to the most recent price swings while still maintaining the historical context of the previous 280 candles.
Smoothing of the Weighted Average:
Once the raw weighted average is computed, an exponential smoothing function (EMA) is applied to reduce noise and produce a cleaner, more stable average line. This smoothing helps traders avoid reacting prematurely to minor price fluctuations. By stabilizing the average line, traders can more confidently identify actual shifts in market direction.
Volatility Zone via Standard Deviation Bands:
To contextualize how far price can deviate from this weighted average, the indicator uses standard deviation. Standard deviation is a statistical measure of volatility—how spread out the price values are around the mean. By adding and subtracting one standard deviation from the smoothed weighted average, the indicator plots an upper band and a lower band, creating a zone or channel. The area between these bands is filled, often with a semi-transparent color, highlighting a volatility corridor within which price and the EMA might oscillate.
This zone is invaluable in visualizing “normal” price behavior. When the 50 EMA line and the weighted average line are both within this volatility zone, it indicates that the market’s short- to mid-term trend and its average pricing are aligned well within typical volatility bounds.
Incorporation of a 50-Period EMA:
The inclusion of a commonly used trend filter, the 50 EMA, adds another layer of context to the analysis. The 50 EMA, being a widely recognized moving average length, is often considered a baseline for intermediate trend bias. It reacts faster than a long-term average (like a 200 EMA) but is still stable enough to filter out the market “chop” seen in very short-term averages.
By overlaying the 50 EMA on this custom weighted average and the surrounding volatility zone, the trader gains a dual-dimensional perspective:
Trend Direction: If the 50 EMA is generally above the weighted average, the short-term trend is gaining bullish momentum; if it’s below, the short-term trend has a bearish tilt.
Volatility Normalization: The bands, constructed from standard deviations, provide a sense of whether the price and the 50 EMA are operating within a statistically “normal” range. If the EMA crosses the weighted average within this zone, it signals a potential trend initiation or meaningful shift, as opposed to a random price spike outside normal volatility boundaries.
Why a Trader Would Want to Use This Indicator:
Contextualized Price Level:
Standard MAs may not fully incorporate the most recent price dynamics in a large lookback window. By weighting the most recent candles more heavily, this indicator ensures that the trader is always anchored to what the market is currently doing, not just what it did 100 or 200 candles ago.
Reduced Whipsaw with Smoothing:
The smoothed weighted average line reduces noise, helping traders filter out inconsequential price movements. This makes it easier to spot genuine changes in trend or sentiment.
Visual Volatility Gauge:
The standard deviation bands create a visual representation of “normal” price movement. Traders can quickly assess if a breakout or breakdown is statistically significant or just another oscillation within the expected volatility range.
Clear Trade Signals with Confirmation:
By integrating the 50 EMA and designing signals that trigger only when the 50 EMA crosses above or below the weighted average while inside the zone, the indicator provides a refined entry/exit criterion. This avoids chasing breakouts that occur in abnormal volatility conditions and focuses on those crossovers likely to have staying power.
How to Use It in an Example Strategy:
Imagine you are a swing trader looking to identify medium-term trend changes. You apply this indicator to a chart of a popular currency pair or a leading tech stock. Over the past few days, the 50 EMA has been meandering around the weighted average line, both confined within the standard deviation zone.
Bullish Example:
Suddenly, the 50 EMA crosses decisively above the weighted average line while both are still hovering within the volatility zone. This might be your cue: you interpret this crossover as the 50 EMA acknowledging the recent upward shift in price dynamics that the weighted average has highlighted. Since it occurred inside the normal volatility range, it’s less likely to be a head-fake. You place a long position, setting an initial stop just below the lower band to protect against volatility.
If the price continues to rise and the EMA stays above the average, you have confirmation to hold the trade. As the price moves higher, the weighted average may follow, reinforcing your bullish stance.
Bearish Example:
On the flip side, if the 50 EMA crosses below the weighted average line within the zone, it suggests a subtle but meaningful change in trend direction to the downside. You might short the asset, placing your protective stop just above the upper band, expecting that the statistically “normal” level of volatility will contain the price action. If the price does break above those bands later, it’s a sign your trade may not work out as planned.
Other Indicators for Confluence:
To strengthen the reliability of the signals generated by this weighted average zone approach, traders may want to combine it with other technical studies:
Volume Indicators (e.g., Volume Profile, OBV):
Confirm that the trend crossover inside the volatility zone is supported by volume. For instance, an uptrend crossover combined with increasing On-Balance Volume (OBV) or volume spikes on up candles signals stronger buying pressure behind the price action.
Momentum Oscillators (e.g., RSI, Stochastics):
Before taking a crossover signal, check if the RSI is above 50 and rising for bullish entries, or if the Stochastics have turned down from overbought levels for bearish entries. Momentum confirmation can help ensure that the trend change is not just an isolated random event.
Market Structure Tools (e.g., Pivot Points, Swing High/Low Analysis):
Identify if the crossover event coincides with a break of a previous pivot high or low. A bullish crossover inside the zone aligned with a break above a recent swing high adds further strength to your conviction. Conversely, a bearish crossover confirmed by a breakdown below a previous swing low can make a short trade setup more compelling.
Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):
Comparing where the weighted average zone lies relative to VWAP can provide institutional insight. If the bullish crossover happens while the price is also holding above VWAP, it can mean that the average participant in the market is in profit and that the trend is likely supported by strong hands.
This indicator serves as a tool to balance long-term perspective, short-term adaptability, and volatility normalization. It can be a valuable addition to a trader’s toolkit, offering enhanced clarity and precision in detecting meaningful shifts in trend, especially when combined with other technical indicators and robust risk management principles.
Bitcoin: Mayer MultipleMayer Multiple Indicator
The Mayer Multiple is a powerful tool designed to help traders assess market conditions and identify optimal buying or selling opportunities. It calculates the ratio between the current price and its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), visualizing key thresholds that indicate value zones, caution areas, and overheated markets.
Key Features:
Dynamic Market Zones: Clearly marked levels like "Smash Buy," "Boost DCA," and "Extreme Euphoria" to guide your trading decisions.
Customizable Input: Adjust the SMA length to fit your strategy.
Color-Coded Signals: Intuitive visualization of market sentiment for quick analysis.
Comprehensive Thresholds: Historical insights into price behavior with plotted reference levels based on probabilities.
This indicator is ideal for traders aiming to enhance their long-term strategies and improve decision-making in volatile markets. Use it to gain an edge in identifying potential turning points and managing risk effectively.
Trend Condition [TradersPro]
OVERVIEW
The Trend Condition Indicator measures the strength of the bullish or bearish trend by using a ribbon pattern of exponential moving averages and scoring system. Trend cycles naturally expand and contract as a normal part of the cycle. It is the rhythm of the market. Perpetual expansion and contraction of trend.
As trend cycles develop the indicator shows a compression of the averages. These compression zones are key locations as trends typically expand from there. The expansion of trend can be up or down.
As the trend advances the ribbon effect of the indicator can be seen as each average expands with the price action. Once they have “fanned” the probability of the current trend slowing is high.
This can be used to recognize a powerful trend may be concluding. Traders can tighten stops, exit positions or utilize other prudent strategies.
CONCEPTS
Each line will display green if it is higher than the prior period and red if it is lower than the prior period. If the average is green it is considered bullish and will score one point in the bullish display. Red lines are considered bearish and will score one point in the bearish display.
The indicator can then be used at a quick glance to see the number of averages that are bullish and the number that are bearish.
A trader may use these on any tradable instrument. They can be helpful in stock portfolio management when used with an index like the S&P 500 to determine the strength of the current market trend. This may affect trade decisions like possession size, stop location and other risk factors.
Tomas' Financial Conditions Z Score"The indicator is a composite z-score comprised of the following four components (equally-weighted):
Credit spreads - ICE BofA High Yield Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2) and ICE BofA Corporate Index Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLC0A0CM)
Volatility indexes - VIX (S&P 500 implied volatility) and MOVE (US Treasury bond implied volatility)
I've got it set to a 160-day lookback period, which I think is roughly the best setting after some tinkering.
When the z-score is above zero, it throws a red signal - and when the z-score is below zero, it throws a green signal.
This indicator is a follow-on from the "traffic light financial conditions indicator" that I wrote a thread about a couple of months ago.
I moved on from that previous indicator because it is based on the Federal Reserve's NFCI, which is regularly revised, but I didn't take that into account at the time.
So not a great real-time indicator, if the signal can be subsequently revised in the opposite direction weeks later.
This new indicator is based on real-time market data, so there's no revisions, and it also updates daily, as opposed to weekly for the NFCI"
Custom EMA (v4) [MacroGlide]Custom EMA (v4) is an easy-to-use tool designed for traders who want a clear and reliable way to analyze market trends. By using multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), this indicator helps you visualize the market's direction and momentum in a straightforward way. Whether you're tracking short-term movements or looking for long-term patterns, Custom EMA makes it simple to spot trends and trading opportunities.
Key Features:
• Multi-EMA System: Plots up to four EMAs on the chart with customizable lengths and colors, providing flexibility to analyze trends over different timeframes.
• Dynamic Trend Cloud: A visually intuitive cloud is generated between the fastest and slowest EMA. The cloud changes color based on market trends:
• Green Cloud: Indicates a bullish trend when shorter EMAs are above longer EMAs.
• Red Cloud: Indicates a bearish trend when shorter EMAs are below longer EMAs.
• Highlighting Zones: Background shading helps distinguish bullish and bearish conditions, further clarifying the prevailing trend in the market.
How to Use:
• Add the Indicator: Load the indicator onto your chart and customize the EMA lengths to suit your trading style.
• Interpret the Cloud: Observe the color of the trend cloud to identify bullish (green) or bearish (red) market conditions.
• Combine with Highlighting Zones: Use the background shading in conjunction with the cloud to confirm trend strength and direction.
• Customize to Fit Your Strategy: Adjust the lengths and colors of the EMAs to align with your preferred analysis timeframe.
Methodology:
This indicator leverages a layered EMA approach, using up to four EMAs to calculate the trend cloud and define market conditions. By comparing the relative positions of the EMAs, it identifies bullish and bearish trends and visually represents them with a color-coded cloud. The inclusion of highlighting zones enhances the trader's ability to quickly grasp market sentiment.
Originality and Usefulness:
Custom EMA (v4) sets itself apart by integrating a trend cloud that adapts dynamically to EMA positions, providing traders with a clean and intuitive way to visualize market trends. The combination of multi-EMA plotting, background shading, and trend cloud offers comprehensive insight into both short-term and long-term market movements.
Charts:
The indicator plots four customizable EMAs alongside a trend cloud that visually captures market direction. Whether you're monitoring short-term price action or identifying long-term trends, the Custom EMA (v4) provides clarity and simplicity for traders at all levels.
Enjoy the game!
Relative PerformanceSimple relative performance of a token compared to BTC, with display of normalized performance velocity line.
Rolling VWAP with Optional Kalman FilterThis script provides an advanced and customizable Rolling VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) indicator, designed for traders who want to refine their trend analysis and improve decision-making. With a unique option to apply a Kalman Filter, you can smooth out VWAP values to reduce noise in volatile markets, making it easier to identify actionable trends.
Key Features:
Dynamic Rolling VWAP:
Choose the rolling window size (number of bars) to match your trading style, whether you’re an intraday scalper or a swing trader.
Kalman Filter Toggle:
Enable the Kalman filter to smooth VWAP values and eliminate market noise.
Adjustable Kalman Gain to control the level of smoothing, making it suitable for both fast and slow markets.
Price Source Flexibility:
Use the Typical Price ((H+L+C)/3) or the Close Price as the basis for VWAP calculation.
Visual Enhancements:
Background shading highlights whether the price is above (bullish) or below (bearish) the VWAP, helping traders make quick visual assessments.
A legend dynamically updates the current VWAP value.
Dual View Option:
Compare the raw Rolling VWAP and the Kalman-filtered VWAP when the filter is enabled, giving you deeper insight into market trends.
Use Cases:
Intraday Traders: Identify key price levels for re-entry or exits using a short rolling window and responsive filtering.
Swing Traders: Analyze broader trends with a longer rolling window and smoother VWAP output.
Volatile Markets: Use the Kalman filter to reduce noise and avoid false signals during high market volatility.
How to Use:
Adjust the Rolling Window to set the number of bars for VWAP calculation.
Toggle Kalman Filter on/off depending on your preference for raw or smoothed VWAP values.
Fine-tune the Kalman Gain for the desired level of smoothing.
Use the shading to quickly assess whether the price is trading above or below the VWAP for potential entry/exit signals.
Alerts and symbolswhat is "Alerts and symbols"?
It is an indicator that allows you to watch more trading pairs and add alarms to them.
what it does?
It allows you to set a total of 20 different intersection alarms, 2 in each pair, for 10 different trading pairs at the same time.
It draws the candlestick chart of a pair you choose among 10 trading pairs and the alarm lines you created for this trading pair on the chart.
It also allows you to see the prices of 10 different trading pairs at the same time, thanks to the table it creates.
how to use it?
First, select the alarm pairs you want to use, for example, BTCUSDT pair is the default value for "pair 1". You can choose 10 different trading pairs as you wish. Just below each trading pair, there are two different sections titled "line 1" and "line 2" so that you can set an alarm. Type here the price levels at which you want to be alerted in case of a price crossover.
You can use the "candle source" section to examine the candlestick charts of trading pairs. The indicator draws the candle chart of the trading pair selected in the "candle source" section.
Check the "show alert lines on chart" box to see the levels you have set an alarm for.
When everything is ready, first click on the three dots next to the indicator's name and then on the clock icon. then create an alarm and that's it.
Candled LWMA (Loacally Weighted MA)The Locally Weighted Moving Average (LWMA) is a type of moving average that emphasizes recent data points by assigning them higher weights compared to older values. Unlike the Simple Moving Average (SMA), which treats all data points equally, or the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which uses a fixed weighting factor, the LWMA applies a linear weighting scheme. This means that the most recent prices contribute more significantly to the average, making the LWMA more responsive to price changes while retaining a smooth curve.
In trading, the LWMA is particularly useful for identifying trends and detecting price reversals with reduced lag. By giving more importance to the latest prices, it provides a clearer picture of the current market dynamics. Traders often use the LWMA in combination with other indicators to confirm trends or spot potential entry and exit points. The adjustable length parameter allows for fine-tuning the indicator to match different market conditions and trading styles. Its ability to adapt to recent price behavior makes it a valuable tool for both short-term and long-term traders.
Adjustable Color Changing WMA by Slope Degree30 weighted moving average that changes colors based upon degree of slope. Consider it a green light for buying/selling pullbacks to the wma. You can adjust the colors and the threshold for the degree of slope.
Smoothed Source Weighted EMAThe Smoothed Source EMA is a tool designed to help traders identify potential buying and selling opportunities in the market. It combines two key elements: price smoothing (using standard deviation) and an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The purpose is to filter out the day-to-day price fluctuations and create clearer buy and sell signals.
Key Concepts Behind the Indicator:
Price Smoothing (Standard Deviation):
To make the price action easier to follow, the indicator first "smooths" the price. This is done by looking at how much the price tends to move up and down (known as standard deviation).
It then creates two "bands" around the current price—one above and one below. These bands represent a smoothed version of the price and help filter out the noise caused by small, random price movements.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
The indicator also uses an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is a line that represents the average price over a certain period of time (but gives more weight to recent prices). The EMA helps capture the general trend of the price.
The indicator uses this EMA to compare the current price with the overall trend.
How Does the Indicator Work?
Once the indicator calculates the smoothed price bands and the EMA, it looks for specific conditions to trigger a buy or sell signal:
Long (Buy) Signal:
A buy signal happens when the smoothed price (the lower band) is above the EMA. In simple terms, the price is moving up, and the indicator is telling you it's a good time to buy.
The more "weight" or influence you give to the EMA, the slower this buy signal will appear, meaning it’ll only trigger when there’s a strong enough upward movement.
Short (Sell) Signal:
A sell signal occurs when the smoothed price (the upper band) is below the EMA. This suggests the price is moving down, and the indicator signals that it might be time to sell.
Again, the more "weight" you put on the EMA, the slower the sell signal will appear, as the indicator waits for a clearer downtrend.
Why is this Useful for Traders?
Smoothing the Price: Many traders struggle with the noise of price fluctuations, where the price moves up and down quickly without a clear trend. By smoothing the price, this indicator helps traders focus on the bigger picture and avoid reacting to every small movement.
Clear Buy and Sell Signals: The indicator generates easy-to-understand buy and sell signals based on the relationship between the smoothed price and the EMA. If the price is above the smoothed level and EMA, it’s a signal to buy. If it’s below, it’s a signal to sell.
Customizable Sensitivity: The indicator lets traders adjust how sensitive the buy and sell signals are. By changing certain settings, such as the smoothing length and the weight of the EMA, traders can make the indicator react faster or slower depending on how quickly they want to catch changes in the market.
How the Indicator Appears on the Chart:
EMA Line: A line that represents the trend of the price.
Upper and Lower Smoothed Bands: Two bands above and below the price that help identify when the price is moving up or down relative to the trend.
Buy and Sell Arrows: Small arrows on the chart show where the indicator suggests buying or selling.
Colored Bars: The bars on the chart may change color to visually indicate whether the indicator suggests a buy (green) or a sell (red).
In Summary:
The Smoothed Source EMA helps you identify trends by smoothing out price movements using standard deviation, then comparing these smoothed prices with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
When the smoothed price moves above or below the EMA, it gives you a signal: a buy when the smoothed price is above the EMA, and a sell when it’s below.
You can adjust how quickly or slowly these signals appear by modifying the settings, giving you control over how sensitive the indicator is to changes in the market.
This indicator is useful for traders who want to reduce noise and focus on the overall trend, using clear, visually simple signals to guide their trading decisions.
Intraday Trend CandlesThe Intraday Trend Candles (ITC) indicator is a Pine Script-based tool designed for traders seeking to visualize market trends effectively. Using a combination of the Look Back Period, a multiplier for true range, and linearly weighted moving averages (LWMA), this indicator calculates dynamic trend limits that adapt to price movements. It identifies key trend shifts by comparing the current price to these dynamic thresholds, resulting in a visually intuitive display of market bias directly on the chart. The indicator is particularly well-suited for intraday trading, as it provides responsive insights tailored to short-term price action.
The ITC plots color-coded candles, highlighting bullish trends in blue and bearish trends in yellow, with gray indicating indecision or trend continuation. This color-coded approach makes it easy to identify reversals and trend dynamics at a glance. Additionally, a trend line is plotted to enhance clarity, signaling whether the price is favoring the upper or lower threshold of the calculated range. With built-in alerts for trend reversals, traders can stay informed about critical market shifts without constantly monitoring the chart. This combination of visual cues and alerts makes the ITC a versatile and powerful tool for traders focusing on momentum and trend-following strategies.
Optimal MA FinderIntroduction to the "Optimal MA Finder" Indicator
The "Optimal MA Finder" is a powerful and versatile tool designed to help traders optimize their moving average strategies. This script combines flexibility, precision, and automation to identify the most effective moving average (MA) length for your trading approach. Whether you're aiming to improve your long-only strategy or implement a buy-and-sell methodology, the "Optimal MA Finder" is your go-to solution for enhanced decision-making.
What Does It Do?
The script evaluates a wide range of moving average lengths, from 10 to 500, to determine which one produces the best results based on historical data. By calculating critical metrics such as the total number of trades and the profit factor for each MA length, it identifies the one that maximizes profitability. It supports both simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA), allowing you to tailor the analysis to your preferred method.
The logic works by backtesting each MA length against the price data and assessing the performance under two strategies:
Buy & Sell: Includes both long and short trades.
Long Only: Focuses solely on long positions for more conservative strategies.
Once the optimal MA length is identified, the script overlays it on the chart, highlighting periods when the price crosses over or under the optimal MA, helping traders identify potential entry and exit points.
Why Is It Useful?
This indicator stands out for its ability to automate a task that is often labor-intensive and subjective: finding the best MA length. By providing a clear, data-driven answer, it saves traders countless hours of manual testing while significantly enhancing the accuracy of their strategies. For example, instead of guessing whether a 50-period EMA is more effective than a 200-period SMA, the "Optimal MA Finder" will pinpoint the exact length and type of MA that has historically yielded the best results for your chosen strategy.
Key Benefits:
Precision: Identifies the MA length with the highest profit factor for maximum profitability.
Automation: Conducts thorough backtesting without manual effort.
Flexibility: Adapts to your preferred MA type (SMA or EMA) and trading strategy (Buy & Sell or Long Only).
Real-Time Feedback: Provides actionable insights by plotting the optimal MA directly on your chart and highlighting relevant trading periods.
Example of Use: Imagine you're trading a volatile stock and want to optimize your long-only strategy. By applying the "Optimal MA Finder," you discover that a 120-period EMA results in the highest profit factor. The indicator plots this EMA on your chart, showing you when to consider entering or exiting positions based on price movements relative to the EMA.
In short, the "Optimal MA Finder" empowers traders by delivering data-driven insights and improving the effectiveness of trading strategies. Its clear logic, combined with robust automation, makes it an invaluable tool for both novice and experienced traders seeking consistent results.
