MMRI Chart (Primary)The **Mannarino Market Risk Indicator (MMRI)** is a financial risk measurement tool created by financial strategist Gregory Mannarino. It’s designed to assess the risk level in the stock market and economy based on current bond market conditions and the strength of the U.S. dollar. The MMRI considers factors like the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield and the Dollar Index (DXY), which indicate investor confidence in government debt and the dollar's purchasing power, respectively.
The formula for MMRI uses the 10-Year Treasury Yield multiplied by the Dollar Index, divided by a constant (1.61) to normalize the risk measure. A higher MMRI score suggests increased market risk, while a lower score indicates more stability. Mannarino has set certain thresholds to interpret the MMRI score:
- **Below 100**: Low risk.
- **100–200**: Moderate risk.
- **200–300**: High risk.
- **Above 300**: Extreme risk, indicating market instability and potential downturns.
This tool aims to provide insight into economic conditions that may affect asset classes like stocks, bonds, and precious metals. Mannarino often updates MMRI scores and risk analyses in his public market updates.
Volatilityindex
Trend Magic Enhanced [AlgoAlpha]🔥✨ Trend Magic Enhanced - Boost Your Trend Analysis! 🚀📈
Introducing the Trend Magic Enhanced indicator by AlgoAlpha, a powerful tool designed to help you identify market trends with greater accuracy. This advanced indicator combines the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Average True Range (ATR) to calculate dynamic support and resistance levels, known as the Trend Magic. By smoothing the Trend Magic with various moving average types, this indicator provides clearer trend signals and helps you make more informed trading decisions.
Key Features :
🎯 Unique Trend Identification : Combines CCI and ATR to detect market trends and potential reversals.
🔄 Customizable Smoothing : Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, or VWMA to smooth the Magic Trend for clearer signals.
🎨 Flexible Appearance Settings : Customize colors for bullish and bearish trends to suit your charting preferences.
⚙️ Adjustable Parameters : Modify CCI period, ATR period, ATR multiplier, and smoothing length to align with your trading strategy.
🔔 Alert Notifications : Set alerts for trend shifts to stay ahead of market movements.
📈 Visual Signals : Displays trend direction changes directly on the chart with up and down arrows.
Quick Guide to Using the Trend Magic Enhanced Indicator
🛠 Add the Indicator : Add the indicator to your chart by pressing the star icon to add it to favorites. Customize settings such as CCI period, ATR multiplier, ATR period, smoothing options, and colors to match your trading style.
📊 Analyze the Chart : Observe the Trend Magic line and the color-coded trend signals. When the Trend Magic line turns bullish (e.g., green), it indicates an upward trend, and when it turns bearish (e.g., red), it indicates a downward trend. Use the visual arrows to spot trend direction changes.
🔔 Set Alerts : Enable alerts to receive notifications when a trend shift is detected, so you can act promptly on trading opportunities without constantly monitoring the chart.
How It Works:
The Trend Magic Enhanced indicator integrates the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Average True Range (ATR) to calculate a dynamic Trend Magic line. By adjusting price levels based on CCI values—upward when CCI is positive and downward when negative—and factoring in ATR for market volatility, it creates adaptive support and resistance levels. Optionally smoothed with various moving averages to reduce noise, the indicator changes line color based on trend direction, highlights trend changes with arrows, and provides alerts for significant shifts, aiding traders in identifying potential entry and exit points.
Enhancements Over the Original Trend Magic Indicator
The Trend Magic Enhanced indicator significantly refines the trend identification method of the original Trend Magic script by introducing customizable smoothing options and additional analytical features. While the original indicator determines trend direction solely based on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) crossing above or below zero and adjusts the Magic Trend line using the Average True Range (ATR), the enhanced version allows users to smooth the Magic Trend line with various moving average types (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA). This smoothing reduces market noise and provides clearer trend signals. Additionally, the enhanced indicator incorporates price action analysis by detecting crossovers and crossunders of price with the Magic Trend line, and it visually marks trend changes with up and down arrows on the chart. These improvements offer a more responsive and accurate trend detection compared to the original method, enabling traders to identify potential entry and exit points more effectively.
Enhance your trading strategy with the Trend Magic Enhanced indicator by AlgoAlpha and gain a clearer perspective on market trends! 🌟📈
Zero Lag Trend Signals (MTF) [AlgoAlpha]Zero Lag Trend Signals 🚀📈
Ready to take your trend-following strategy to the next level? Say hello to Zero Lag Trend Signals , a precision-engineered Pine Script™ indicator designed to eliminate lag and provide rapid trend insights across multiple timeframes. 💡 This tool blends zero-lag EMA (ZLEMA) logic with volatility bands, trend-shift markers, and dynamic alerts. The result? Timely signals with minimal noise for clearer decision-making, whether you're trading intraday or on longer horizons. 🔄
🟢 Zero-Lag Trend Detection : Uses a zero-lag EMA (ZLEMA) to smooth price data while minimizing delay.
⚡ Multi-Timeframe Signals : Displays trends across up to 5 timeframes (from 5 minutes to daily) on a sleek table.
📊 Volatility-Based Bands : Adaptive upper and lower bands, helping you identify trend reversals with reduced false signals.
🔔 Custom Alerts : Get notified of key trend changes instantly with built-in alert conditions.
🎨 Color-Coded Visualization : Bullish and bearish signals pop with clear color coding, ensuring easy chart reading.
⚙️ Fully Configurable : Modify EMA length, band multiplier, colors, and timeframe settings to suit your strategy.
How to Use 📚
⭐ Add the Indicator : Add the indicator to favorites by pressing the star icon. Set your preferred EMA length and band multiplier. Choose your desired timeframes for multi-frame trend monitoring.
💻 Watch the Table & Chart : The top-right table dynamically updates with bullish or bearish signals across multiple timeframes. Colored arrows on the chart indicate potential entry points when the price crosses the ZLEMA with confirmation from volatility bands.
🔔 Enable Alerts : Configure alerts for real-time notifications when trends shift—no need to monitor charts constantly.
How It Works 🧠
The script calculates the zero-lag EMA (ZLEMA) by compensating for data lag, giving traders more responsive moving averages. It checks for volatility shifts using the Average True Range (ATR), multiplied to create upper and lower deviation bands. If the price crosses above or below these bands, it marks the start of new trends. Additionally, the indicator aggregates trend data from up to five configurable timeframes and displays them in a neat summary table. This helps you confirm trends across different intervals—ideal for multi-timeframe analysis. The visual signals include upward and downward arrows on the chart, denoting potential entries or exits when trends align across timeframes. Traders can use these cues to make well-timed trades and avoid lag-related pitfalls.
Larry Williams Valuation Index [tradeviZion]Larry Williams Valuation Index
Welcome to the Larry Williams Valuation Index by tradeviZion! This script is an interpretation of Larry Williams' famous WillVal (Valuation) Index, originally developed in 1990 to help traders determine whether a market or asset is overvalued or undervalued. We've extended it to support multiple securities and offer alerts for different valuation levels, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
What is the Valuation Index?
The Valuation Index measures how a security's current price compares to its historical price action. It helps identify whether the security is overvalued (priced too high), undervalued (priced too low), or in a normal range.
This version supports multiple securities and uses valuation parameters to help you assess the relative valuation of three securities simultaneously. It can help you determine the best times to enter (buy) or exit (sell) the market.
Key Features
Multi-Security Analysis: Analyze up to three securities simultaneously to get a broader view of market conditions.
Valuation Levels: Automatically calculate overvaluation and undervaluation levels or set manual levels for consistent analysis.
Custom Alerts: Create custom alerts when securities move between overvalued, undervalued, or normal ranges.
Customizable Table Display: Display a table with valuation values and their status on the chart.
Getting Started
Step 1: Adding the Script to Your Chart
First, add the Larry Williams Valuation Index script to your chart on TradingView. The script is designed to work with any timeframe, but for best results, use weekly or daily timeframes for a longer-term perspective.
Step 2: Configuring Securities
The script allows you to analyze up to three different securities :
Security 1 (Default: DXY)
Security 2 (Default: GC1!)
Security 3 (Default: ZB1!)
You can enable or disable each security individually.
Custom Timeframe Option: You have the option to select a custom timeframe for analysis. This allows you to see whether the security is overvalued or undervalued in lower or higher timeframes. Note that this feature is experimental and has not been extensively tested. Larry Williams originally used the weekly timeframe to determine if a stock was overvalued or undervalued. By default, the indicator compares the current price with the security based on the selected timeframe, except if you choose to use a custom timeframe.
Pro Tip : New users can start with the default securities to understand the concept before using other assets.
Step 3: Valuation Index Settings
Short EMA Length : This is the short-term average used for calculations. A lower value makes it more responsive to recent price changes.
Long EMA Length : This is the long-term average, used to smooth the valuation over time.
Valuation Length (Default: 156) : Represents approximately three years of daily bars (as recommended by Larry Williams).
How is the Valuation Index Calculated?
The valuation calculation is done using a method called WVI (WillVal Index), which compares the current price of a security to the price of another correlated security. Here’s a step-by-step explanation:
1. Data Collection: The script takes the closing price of the security you are analyzing and the closing price of the correlated security.
2. Ratio Calculation : The ratio of the two prices is calculated:
Price Ratio = (Price of your security) / (Price of correlated security) * 100.
This ratio helps determine how expensive or cheap your security is compared to the correlated one.
3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) : The price ratio is used to calculate short-term and long-term EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages). EMAs are used to create smooth lines that represent the average price of a security over a specific period of time, with more weight given to recent data. By calculating both short-term and long-term EMAs, we can identify the trend direction and how the security is performing compared to its historical averages.
4. Valuation Index Calculation:
The Valuation Index is calculated as the difference between the short-term EMA and the long-term EMA. This difference helps to determine if the security is currently overvalued or undervalued:
A positive value indicates that the price is above its longer-term trend, suggesting potential overvaluation.
A negative value indicates that the price is below its longer-term trend, suggesting potential undervaluation.
5. Normalization:
To make the valuation easier to interpret, the calculated valuation index is then normalized using the highest and lowest values over the selected valuation length (e.g., 156 bars).
This normalization process converts the index into a percentage between 0 and 100, where higher values indicate overvaluation and lower values indicate undervaluation.
Step 4: Understanding Valuation Levels
The valuation levels indicate whether a security is currently undervalued, overvalued, or in a normal range.
Manual Levels : You can manually set the overvaluation and undervaluation thresholds (default is 85 for overvalued and 15 for undervalued).
Auto Levels : The script can automatically calculate these levels based on recent price action, allowing you to adapt to changing market conditions.
Auto Levels Calculation Explained:
The Auto Levels are calculated by taking the average of the valuation indices for all three securities (e.g., index1, index2, and index3).
The script then looks at the highest and lowest values of this average over a selected number of recent bars (e.g., 50 bars).
The overvaluation level is determined by taking the highest value and multiplying it by a multiplier (e.g., 5). Similarly, the undervaluation level is calculated using the lowest value and the multiplier.
These dynamic levels adjust according to recent price action, providing an adaptive approach to identifying overvalued and undervalued conditions.
Step 5: How to Use the Script to Make Trading Decisions
For new users, here's a step-by-step trading strategy you can use with the Valuation Index:
1. Identify Undervalued Opportunities
When two or more securities are in the undervalued range (below 15 for manual or below automatically calculated undervalue levels), wait for at least two of these securities to turn from undervalued to normal .
This transition indicates a potential buy opportunity .
2. Buying Signal
When at least two securities transition from undervalued to normal, you can consider buying the asset.
This indicates that the market may be recovering from undervalued conditions and could be moving into a growth phase.
3. Selling Signal
Exit when the price high closes below the EMA 21 (21-day exponential moving average).
Alternatively, if the valuation index reaches overvalued levels (above 85 manually or auto-calculated), wait for it to drop back to normal . This can be another point to exit the trade .
You can also use any other sell condition based on your r isk management strategy .
Alerts for Valuation Levels
The script includes alerts to notify you of changing market conditions:
To activate these alerts, follow these steps, referring to the provided screenshot with detailed steps:
1. Enable Alerts : Click on the settings gear icon on the script title in your chart. In the settings menu, scroll to the section labeled Alerts Settings .
Enable Alerts by checking the Enable Alerts box.
Set the Required Securities for Alert (default is 2 securities).
Choose the Alert Frequency : Selecting Once Per Bar Close will trigger alerts only at the close of each bar, ensuring you receive confirmed signals rather than potentially noisy intermediate signals.
2. Select Alert Type : Choose the type of alert you want to activate, such as Alert on Overvalued, Alert on Undervalued, Alert on Over to Normal , or Alert on Under to Normal .
3. Save Settings : Click OK to save your alert settings.
4. Add Alert on Indicator : Click the "..." (More button) next to the indicator name on the chart and select " Add alert on tradeviZion - WillVal ".
5. Create Alert : In the Create Alert window:
Set Condition to tradeviZion - WillVal .
Ensure Any alert() function call is selected.
Set the Alert Name and select your Expiration preferences.
6. Set Notification Preferences : Go to the Notifications tab and select how you want to receive notifications, such as via app notification, toast notification, email , or sound alert . Adjust these preferences to best suit your needs.
7. Click Create : Finally, click Create to activate the alert.
These alerts will help you stay informed about key market conditions and take action accordingly, ensuring you do not miss critical trading opportunities.
Understanding the Table Display
The script includes an interactive table on the chart to show the valuation status of each security:
Security : The name of the security being analyzed.
Value : The current valuation index value.
Status : Indicates whether the security is overvalued, undervalued , or in a normal range.
Color: Displays a color code for easy identification of status:
Red for overvalued.
Green for undervalued.
Other colors represent normal valuation levels.
Empowering Messages : Motivational messages are displayed to encourage disciplined trading. These messages will change periodically, helping keep a positive trading mindset.
Acknowledgment
This tool builds upon the foundational work of Larry Williams, who developed the WillVal (Valuation) Index concept. It also incorporates enhancements to extend multi-security analysis, valuation normalization, and advanced alerting features, providing a more versatile and powerful indicator. The Larry Williams Valuation Index [ tradeviZion ] helps traders make informed decisions by assessing overvalued and undervalued conditions for multiple securities simultaneously.
Note : Always practice proper risk management and thoroughly test the indicator to ensure it aligns with your trading strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade smarter with TradeVizion—unlock your trading potential today!
VIX Bars [CrossTrade]In simple terms, this indicator colors your chart bars based on the VIX levels. We know that high volatility is unstainable and will naturally regress to a calmer market, therefore highlighting the bars where VIX is at extreme highs can sometimes indicate a market turning point. Consider pairing this indicator with my VIX Heatmap indicator for a complete picture of volatility.
Customizable VIX Levels: You can set your own thresholds for when the bars turn green or red. Green bars pop up when the VIX is above your set upper level (default is 30) - kind of like a heads-up that things might get bumpy. Red bars show up when the VIX dips below your lower threshold (default is 15), signaling calmer waters.
Optional Donchian Channel Filter: The Donchian Channel filter looks at the highest highs and lowest lows over your chosen period (default's 52 days) and only colors the bars if they match the filter's criteria. This adds an extra layer of confirmation that the colored bars at at a major high or low.
Visual Simplicity: The indicator keeps things visually straightforward. No cluttered screen, just colored bars telling you a story about market vibes. Alert come standard to signal those potential bottom or top bars based on the VIX being at your preferred extreme levels.
In essence, "VIX Bars" is like having a volatility radar on your chart. It doesn't make predictions, but it sure gives you a neat, color-coded heads-up on market sentiment. Great for adding an extra dimension to your analysis without getting all tangled up in complex indicators!
ATR by Time [QuantVue]"ATR by Time" incorporates time-specific volatility patterns by calculating the Average True Range (ATR) over a customizable period and comparing it to historical ATR values
at specific times of the day.
The Average True Range (ATR) is a popular technical indicator that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
By taking the ATR at certain times of the day and comparing it to the current bar's ATR, traders can gain several potential advantages:
Volatility Pattern Recognition: Different times of the trading day often exhibit different levels of volatility. For instance, markets might be more volatile at the open and close compared to midday. By tracking ATR at specific times, traders can recognize these patterns and better predict periods of high or low volatility.
Risk Management: Understanding volatility trends throughout the day helps in better risk management. During periods of high expected volatility (indicated by higher ATR compared to the historical average), traders can adjust their stop-loss levels and position sizes accordingly to protect their capital.
Trend Confirmation and Divergence: This indicator can help confirm trends or identify potential reversals. For example, if the current ATR consistently exceeds the average ATR at specific times, it may confirm a strong trend. Conversely, if the current ATR falls below the historical average, it could signal a potential slowdown or reversal.
This indicator will work on all markets on all time frames. User can customize ATR length as well as the lookback period.
This script utilizes TradingView's RelativeValue library and averageAtTime function, which is used to compare a current data point in a time interval to an average of data points with corresponding time offsets across historical periods. Its purpose is to assess the significance of a value by considering the historical context within past time intervals.
Give this indicator a BOOST and COMMENT your thoughts!
We hope you enjoy.
Cheers!
Realized volatility differentialAbout
This is a simple indicator that takes into account two types of realized volatility: Close-Close and High-Low (the latter is more useful for intraday trading).
The output of the indicator is two values / plots:
an average of High-Low volatility minus Close-Close volatility (10day period is used as a default)
the current value of the indicator
When the current value is:
lower / below the average, then it means that High-Low volatility should increase.
higher / above then obviously the opposite is true.
How to use it
It might be used as a timing tool for mean reversion strategies = when your primary strategy says a market is in mean reversion mode, you could use it as a signal for opening a position.
For example: let's say a security is in uptrend and approaching an important level (important to you).
If the current value is:
above the average, a short position can be opened, as High-Low volatility should decrease;
below the average, a trend should continue.
Intended securities
Futures contracts
GARCH Volatility Estimation - The Quant ScienceThe GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) model is a statistical model used to forecast the volatility of a financial asset. This model takes into account the fluctuations in volatility over time, recognizing that volatility can vary in a heteroskedastic (i.e., non-constant variance) manner and can be influenced by past events.
The general formula of the GARCH model is:
σ²(t) = ω + α * ε²(t-1) + β * σ²(t-1)
where:
σ²(t) is the conditional variance at time t (i.e., squared volatility)
ω is the constant term (intercept) representing the baseline level of volatility
α is the coefficient representing the impact of the squared lagged error term on the conditional variance
ε²(t-1) is the squared lagged error term at the previous time period
β is the coefficient representing the impact of the lagged conditional variance on the current conditional variance
In the context of financial forecasting, the GARCH model is used to estimate the future volatility of the asset.
HOW TO USE
This quantitative indicator is capable of estimating the probable future movements of volatility. When the GARCH increases in value, it means that the volatility of the asset will likely increase as well, and vice versa. The indicator displays the relationship of the GARCH (bright red) with the trend of historical volatility (dark red).
USER INTERFACE
Alpha: select the starting value of Alpha (default value is 0.10).
Beta: select the starting value of Beta (default value is 0.80).
Lenght: select the period for calculating values within the model such as EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and Historical Volatility (default set to 20).
Forecasting: select the forecasting period, the number of bars you want to visualize data ahead (default set to 30).
Design: customize the indicator with your preferred color and choose from different types of charts, managing the design settings.
Squeeze & Release [AlgoAlpha]Introduction:
💡The Squeeze & Release by AlgoAlpha is an innovative tool designed to capture price volatility dynamics using a combination of EMA-based calculations and ATR principles. This script aims to provide traders with clear visual cues to spot potential market squeezes and release scenarios. Hence it is important to note that this indicator shows information on volatility, not direction.
Core Logic and Components:
🔶EMA Calculations: The script utilizes the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in multiple ways to smooth out the data and provide indicator direction. There are specific lengths for the EMAs that users can modify as per their preference.
🔶ATR Dynamics: Average True Range (ATR) is a core component of the script. The differential between the smoothed ATR and its EMA is used to plot the main line. This differential, when represented as a percentage of the high-low range, provides insights into volatility.
🔶Squeeze and Release Detection: The script identifies and highlights squeeze and release scenarios based on the crossover and cross-under events between our main line and its smoothed version. Squeezes are potential setups where the market may be consolidating, and releases indicate a potential breakout or breakdown.
🔶Hyper Squeeze Detection: A unique feature that detects instances when the main line is rising consistently over a user-defined period. Hyper squeeze marks areas of extremely low volatility.
Visual Components:
The main line (ATR-based) changes color depending on its position relative to its EMA.
A middle line plotted at zero level which provides a quick visual cue about the main line's position. If the main line is above the zero level, it indicates that the price is squeezing on a longer time horizon, even if the indicator indicates a shorter-term release.
"𝓢" and "𝓡" characters are plotted to represent 'Squeeze' and 'Release' scenarios respectively.
Standard Deviation Bands are plotted to help users gauge the extremity and significance of the signal from the indicator, if the indicator is closer to either the upper or lower deviation bands, this means that statistically, the current value is considered to be more extreme and as it is further away from the mean where the indicator is oscillating at for the majority of the time. Thus indicating that the price has experienced an unusual amount or squeeze or release depending on the value of the indicator.
Usage Guidelines:
☝️Traders can use the script to:
Identify potential consolidation (squeeze) zones.
Gauge potential breakout or breakdown scenarios (release).
Fine-tune their entries and exits based on volatility.
Adjust the various lengths provided in the input for better customization based on individual trading styles and the asset being traded.
Rolling Volatility Indicator
Description :
The Rolling Volatility indicator calculates the volatility of an asset's price movements over a specified period. It measures the degree of variation in the price series over time, providing insights into the market's potential for price fluctuations.
This indicator utilizes a rolling window approach, computing the volatility by analyzing the logarithmic returns of the asset's price. The user-defined length parameter determines the timeframe for the volatility calculation.
How to Use :
Adjust the "Length" parameter to set the rolling window period for volatility calculation.
Ajust "trading_days" for the sampling period, this is the total number of trading days (usually 252 days for stocks and 365 for crypto)
Higher values for the length parameter will result in a smoother, longer-term view of volatility, while lower values will provide a more reactive, shorter-term perspective.
Volatility levels can assist in identifying periods of increased market activity or potential price changes. Higher volatility may suggest increased risk and potential opportunities, while lower volatility might indicate periods of reduced market activity.
Key Features :
Customizable length parameter for adjusting the calculation period and trading days such that it can also be applied to stock market or any markets.
Visual representation of volatility with a plotted line on the chart.
The Rolling Volatility indicator can be a valuable tool for traders and analysts seeking insights into market volatility trends, aiding in decision-making processes and risk management strategies.
Williams Vix Fix [CC]The Vix Fix indicator was created by Larry Williams and is one of my giant backlog of unpublished scripts which I'm going to start publishing more of. This indicator is a great synthetic version of the classic Volatility Index and can be useful in combination with other indicators to determine when to enter or exit a trade due to the current volatility. The indicator creates this synthetic version of the Volatility Index by a fairly simple formula that subtracts the current low from the highest close over the last 22 days and then divides that result by the same highest close and multiplies by 100 to turn it into a percentage. The 22-day length is used by default since there is a max of 22 trading days in a month but this formula works well for any other timeframe. By itself, this indicator doesn't generate buy or sell signals but generally speaking, you will want to enter or exit a trade when the Vix fix indicator amount spikes and you get an entry or exit signal from another indicator of your choice. Keep in mind that the colors I'm using for this indicator are only a general idea of when volatility is high enough to enter or exit a trade so green colors mean higher volatility and red colors mean low volatility. This is one of the few indicators I have written that don't recommend to buy or sell when the colors change.
This was a custom request from one of my followers so please let me know if you guys have any other script requests you want to see!
Volatility Trend (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Volatility Trend (Zeiierman) is an indicator designed to help traders identify and analyze market trends based on price volatility. By calculating a dynamic trend line and volatility-adjusted bands, the indicator provides visual cues to understand the current market direction, potential reversal points and volatility.
█ How It Works
The indicator uses a weighted moving average of historical prices to create a responsive trend line that is adjusted for volatility using standard deviation. The indicator sets upper and lower bands at intervals of two standard deviations, acting as markers for potential overbought or oversold conditions. Additionally, by comparing current and previous trend line values, the indicator identifies the trend direction, providing crucial insights for traders.
█ How to Use
Trend Identification
Use the trend line to identify the overall market direction. An upward-sloping line indicates an uptrend, while a downward-sloping line indicates a downtrend.
Volatility Assessment
Use the distance between the upper and lower bands to gauge market volatility. Wider bands indicate higher volatility, while narrower bands indicate lower volatility.
Overbought/Oversold
If the price reaches or exceeds the upper or lower bands, it may be in an overbought or oversold condition, respectively.
█ Settings
Trend Control: Adjusts the sensitivity and smoothness of the trend line. Lower values make the trend more responsive, while higher values make it smoother.
Trend Dynamic: Controls how quickly the trend adjusts to price changes. Higher values result in a slower adjustment.
Volatility: Consists of two parts - the scaling factor for volatility and the sensitivity for volatility adjustment. Adjusting these settings alters the distance between the trend lines and the price, as well as how sensitive the bands are to changes in volatility.
Squeeze Control: Influences the degree to which market squeeze is considered in the calculation, with higher values increasing sensitivity.
Enable Scalping Trend: A toggle that, when activated, makes the indicator focus on short-term trends, which is particularly useful for scalping strategies.
█ Related scripts with the same calculation philosophy
TrendCylinder
TrendSphere
Predictive Trend and Structure
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
K's Reversal Indicator IIIK's Reversal Indicator III is based on the concept of autocorrelation of returns. The main theory is that extreme autocorrelation (trending) that coincide with a technical signals such as one from the RSI, may result in a powerful short-term signal that can be exploited.
The indicator is calculated as follows:
1. Calculate the price differential (returns) as the current price minus the previous price.
2. the correlation between the current return and the return from 14 periods ago using a lookback of 14 periods.
3. Calculate a 14-period RSI on the close prices.
To generate the signals, use the following rules:
* A bullish signal is generated whenever the correlation is above 0.60 while the RSI is below 40.
* A bearish signal is generated whenever the correlation is above 0.60 while the RSI is above 60.
L&S Volatility Index Refurbished█ Introduction
This is my second version of the L&S Volatility Index, hence the name "Refurbished".
The first version can be found at this link:
The reason I released a separate version is because I rewrote the source code from scratch with the aim of both improving the indicator and staying as close as possible to the original concept.
I feel that the first version was somewhat exotic and polluted in relation to the indicator originally described by the authors.
In short, the main idea remains the same, however, the way of presenting the result has been changed, reiterating what was said.
█ CONCEPTS
The L&S Volatility Index measures the volatility of price in relation to a moving average.
The indicator was originally described by Brazilian traders Alexandre Wolwacz (Stormer) and Fábio Figueiredo (Vlad) from L&S Educação Financeira.
Basically, this indicator can be used in two ways:
1. In a mean reversion strategy, when there is an unusual distance from it;
2. In a trend following strategy, when the price is in an acceptable region.
As an indicator of volatility, the greatest utility is shown in first case.
This is because it allows identifying abnormal prices, extremely stretched in relation to an average, including market crashes.
How the calculation is done:
First, the distance of the price from a given average in percentage terms is measured.
Then, the historical average volatility is obtained.
Finally the indicator is calculated through the ratio between the distance and the historical volatility.
According to the description proposed by the creators, when the L&S Volatility Index is above 30 it means that the price is "stretched".
The closer to 100 the more stretched.
When it reaches 0, it means the price is on average.
█ What to look for
Basically, you should look at non-standard prices.
How to identify it?
When the oscillator is outside the Dynamic Zone and/or the Fixed Zone (above 30), it is because the price is stretched.
Nothing on the market is guaranteed.
As with the RSI, it is not because the RSI is overbought or oversold that the price will necessarily go down or up.
It is critical to know when NOT to buy, NOT to sell or NOT to do anything.
It is always important to consider the context.
█ Improvements
The following improvements have been implemented.
It should be noted that these improvements can be disabled, thus using the indicator in the "purest" version, the same as the one conceived by the creators.
Resources:
1. Customization of limits and zones:
2. Customization of the timeframe, which can be different from the current one.
3. Repaint option (prints the indicator in real time even if the bar has not yet closed. This produces more signals).
4. Customization of price inputs. This affects the calculation.
5. Customization of the reference moving average (the moving average used to calculate the price distance).
6. Customization of the historical volatility calculation strategy.
- Accumulated ATR: calculates the historical volatility based on the accumulated ATR.
- Returns: calculates the historical volatility based on the returns of the source.
Both forms of volatility calculation have their specific utilities and applications.
Therefore, it is worthwhile to have both approaches available, and one should not necessarily replace the other.
Each method has its advantages and may be more appropriate in different contexts.
The first approach, using the accumulated ATR, can be useful when you want to take into account the implied volatility of prices over time,
reflecting broader price movements and higher impact events. It can be especially relevant in scenarios where unexpected events can drastically affect prices.
The second approach, using the standard deviation of returns, is more common and traditionally used to measure historical volatility.
It considers the variability of prices relative to their average, providing a more general measure of market volatility.
Therefore, both forms of calculation have their merits and can be useful depending on the context and specific analysis needs.
Having both options available gives users flexibility in choosing the most appropriate volatility measure for the situation at hand.
* When choosing "Accumulated ATR", if the indicator becomes difficult to see, there are 3 possibilities:
a) manually adjust the Fixed Zone value;
b) disable the Fixed Zone and use only the Dynamic Zone;
c) normalize the indicator.
7. Signal line (a moving average of the oscillator).
8. Option to normalize the indicator or not.
9. Colors to facilitate direction interpretation.
Since the L&S is a volatility indicator, it does not show whether the price is rising or falling.
This can sometimes confuse the user.
That said, the idea here is to show certain colors where the price is relative to the average, making it easier to analyze.
10. Alert messages for automations.
Average Range PercentageIt is indicator for average percent range (range from high to low of stock/index price) of N days,
This will help to find high percentage moving stock/index for intraday.
TTP VIX SpyTTP VIX Spy is an indicator that uses data from TVC:VIX to better time entries in the market.
The assumption used is that when the VIX is coming down from the top of its range then the risk on assets can move to the upside and when the VIX is is pushing higher there's a high likelihood or risk on assets going down.
This indicator observes the momentum of VIX using MACD. It offers two different signals both for longs and shorts: signal 1 and 2.
Signal 1 is activate when the begging of a new trend for the VIX is confirmed.
Signal 2 is activated when the VIX pulls back from an extreme value.
You can configure the parameters of the internal super trend and the look back for the slope applied to price and RSIs.
The indicator offers the following filter parameters:
- Price RSI slope: it filters signals that have RSI slope pointing in the opposite direction of the signal.
- Counter trend: it filters signals that are not counter trending super trend.
- Wide BBW: it filters signals that happen when there hasn't been high price volatility
- Price slope: it filters signals when the price is not pointing in the direction of the signal (buy: up, sell: down)
- VIX RSI filter: it filters VIX RSI values overextended. MACD can be in the right range, but sometimes RSI contradicts it. By default is OFF since it can cause false negatives.
- Working days only: it filters signals that occur in the weekend.
The colours below the price action show how the VIX momentum is changing. Transitions from red into pink and then green show how the fear is fading which tends to lead to lead to bullish moves, and the opposite when the transitions are from green to red.
Performance and initial thoughts.
I have tried VIX Spy on both BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P and BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P and it seems to offer a decent win ratio. As you can see I had to add many filter to remove bad entries and left toggles available to decide which ones you want to use.
I tried the signal in the 4H, 1H and 15min with mixed results. I tend to incline for the results in the 1H.
VIX signal offers a backtestable stream and alerts both for signals 1 and 2.
AggBands (v1) [qrsq]The "AggBands" indicator is a custom trading indicator designed to provide a consolidated view of the price action across multiple assets or trading pairs. It combines the price data from multiple tickers and calculates an aggregated price using user-defined weights for each ticker.
The indicator starts by defining the tickers to be included in the aggregation. You can choose from predefined configurations such as "BTC PAIRS," "CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP," "TOP 5 PAIRS," "TOP 5 MEMECOINS," "SPX," "DXY," or "FANG." Each configuration includes specific tickers or indices relevant to the chosen category.
The indicator then fetches the closing, high, and low prices for each ticker and applies the user-defined weights to calculate the aggregated prices. The aggregated prices are normalized within a specified length to provide a consistent scale across different assets or pairs.
Next, the indicator calculates the midpoint, which is the average of the highest high and lowest low of the aggregated prices over a specified aggregation period.
To assess the volatility, the indicator calculates the price range and applies the Average True Range (ATR) indicator to determine the volatility value. The standard deviation is then computed using the price range and aggregation period, with an additional scaling factor applied to the volatility value.
Based on the standard deviation, the indicator generates multiple bands above and below the midpoint. By default, three standard deviation bands are calculated, but the user can choose between one and five bands. The upper and lower bands are smoothed using various moving average (MA) types, such as Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA/RMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), or Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA). The user can also adjust the length, offset, and sigma parameters for the moving averages.
The indicator can optionally smooth the midpoint, upper bands, and lower bands using a separate set of moving average parameters.
The indicator can be useful for traders and analysts who want to gain a consolidated view of price movements across multiple assets or trading pairs. It helps identify trends, volatility, and potential support and resistance levels based on the aggregated price and standard deviation bands. Traders can use this information to make informed decisions about trading strategies, risk management, and market analysis.
Daily Factor Indicator [CC]The Daily Factor Indicator was created by Andrea Unger (Stocks and Commodities Jun 2023 pgs 26-31), and this is a new volatility indicator that compares the body, which is the absolute difference between the previous open and previous close, and the range which is the difference between the previous high and previous low. The indicator is calculated by dividing the body and range to determine the volatility for the previous bar. This indicator will range between 0 and 1. Values closer to 1 mean very high volatility, and values closer to 0 mean very low volatility. I have introduced a simple moving average strategy to decide buy or sell signals and colors. Darker colors mean the indicator is above the threshold level, and lighter colors mean the indicator is below the threshold level. Colors are shades of green when the price is above the moving average and shades of red when the price is below the moving average. Feel free to try out your own threshold level and general buy and sell signals.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like me to publish!
Fierytrading: Volatility DepthDear Tradingview community,
I'd like to share one of my staple indicators with you. The volatility depth indicator calculates the volatility over a 7-day period and plots it on your chart.
This indicator only works for the DAILY chart on BTC/USD.
Colors
I've color coded the indicator as follows:
- Red: Extreme Volatility
- Orange: High Volatility
- Yellow: Normal Volatility
- Green: Low Volatility
Red: extreme changes in price. Often during local tops and bottoms.
Orange: higher than average moves in price. Often before or after a "red" period. Often seen in the middle of bear or bull markets.
Yellow: normal price action. Often seen during early stage bull-markets and late stage bear-markets.
Green: very low price movement. Often during times of indecision. Once this indicator becomes green, you can expect a big move in either direction. Low volatility is always followed by high volatility.
In a long-term uptrend, a green period often signals a bullish break out. In a long-term downtrend it often signals a bearish break out.
How to use
Save the indicator and apply it to your chart. You can change the length in the settings, but it's optimized for 7 days, so no need to change it.
I've build in alerts for all 4 different volatility periods. In most cases, the low volatility alert is enough.
Good luck!
Volatility Spike EstimatorPlots the Average True Range (ATR), its historical mean, the upper threshold for a volatility spike, and uses background color to show the likelihood of a volatility spike based on the current ATR value.
Green background indicates an increased likelihood of a volatility spike, while red background means a spike might have already occurred or be in progress.
Update: In this version, we added a short-term ATR calculation with an adjustable input parameter, shortTermATRLength. The likelihood of a volatility spike is now estimated based on the short-term ATR instead of the original ATR. This change makes the indicator more sensitive to recent market conditions and can help detect potential volatility spikes more quickly.
Fibonacci Volatility BandsFibonacci Volatility Bands are just an alternative that allows for more margin than regular Bollinger Bands. They are created based on an average of moving averages that use the Fibonacci sequence as lookback periods.
The use of the Fibonacci Volatility Bands is exactly the same as the Bollinger Bands.
Strategy Myth-Busting #11 - TrendMagic+SqzMom+CDV - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 11th one is an automated version of the "Magic Trading Strategy : Most Profitable Indicator : 1 Minute Scalping Strategy Crypto" strategy from "Fx MENTOR US" who doesn't make any official claims but given the indicators he was using, it looked like on the surface that this might actually work. The strategy author uses this on the 1 minute and 3 minute timeframes on mostly FOREX and Heiken Ashi candles but as the title of his strategy indicates is designed for Crypto. So who knows..
To backtest this accurately and get a better picture we resolved the Heiken Ashi bars to standard candlesticks . Even so, I was unable to sustain any consistency in my results on either the 1 or 3 min time frames and both FOREX and Crypto. 10000% Busted.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Trend Magic by KivancOzbilgic
Squeeze Momentum by LazyBear
Cumulative Delta Volume by LonesomeTheBlue
Trend Magic consists of two main indicators to validate momentum and volatility. It uses an ATR like a trailing Stop to determine the overarching momentum and CCI as a means to validate volatility. Together these are used as the primary indicator in this strategy. When the CCI is above 0 this is confirmation of a volatility event is occurring with affirmation based upon current momentum (ATR).
The CCI volatility indicator gets confirmation by the the Cumulative Delta Volume indicator which calculates the difference between buying and selling pressure. Volume Delta is calculated by taking the difference of the volume that traded at the offer price and the volume that traded at the bid price. The more volume that is traded at the bid price, the more likely there is momentum in the market.
And lastly the Squeeze Momentum indicator which uses a combination of Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels and Momentum are used to again confirm momentum and volatility. During periods of low volatility, Bollinger bands narrow and trade inside Keltner channels. They can only contract so much before it can’t contain the energy it’s been building. When the Bollinger bands come back out, it explodes higher. When we see the histogram bar exploding into green above 0 that is a clear confirmation of increased momentum and volatile. The opposite (red) below 0 is true when there are low periods. This indicator is used as a means to really determine when there is premium selling plays going on leading to big directional movements again confirming the positive or negative momentum and volatility direction.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Trading Rules
1 - 3 min candles
FOREX or Crypto
Stop loss at swing high/low | 1.5 risk/ratio
Long Condition
Trend Magic line is Blue ( CCI is above 0) and above the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is green/lime
Cumulative Delta Volume line is green
Short Condition
Trend Magic line is Red ( CCI is below 0) and below the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is red/maroon
Cumulative Delta Volume line is peach
Implied Volatility Suite (TG Fork)Displays the Implied Volatility, which is usually calculated from options, but here is calculated indirectly from spot price directly, either using a model or model-free using the VIXfix.
The model-free VIXfix based approach can detect times of high volatility, which usually coincides with panic and hence lowest prices. Inversely, the model-based approach can detect times of highest greed.
Forked and updated by Tartigradia to fix some issues in the calculations, convert to pinescript v5 and reverse engineered to reproduce the "Implied Volatility Rank & Model Free IVR" indicator by the same author (but closed source) and allow to plot both model-based and model-free implied volatilities simultaneously.
If you like this indicator, please show the original author SegaRKO some love:
