BRA50 trade ideas
Anyway, the end of the well?- The Index in the last week fulfilled its role by starting the leg "C" of all movement theorized by Elliot. To finish the leg "C" and if everything goes within the "compliant", we will have just one more corrective move up to the 108.7K region.
- If we lose the 108.7K region, (where we have a red bar ignored in the distant month of November, more precisely on the 30/11/2020) we can look at the weekly chart and see the 105.7K house as an important support, because this region was the top broken region of the post-pandemic and what took us to the current historical top in 125K.
- In the diary we have all averages pointing downwards and the loss of all possible LTA's drawn: 2008 LTA (red line); LTA 2016 (black line); Pandemia 2020 LTA (blue line), which indicates a little more correction, and where we should be a little more attentive to the roles of the TOP 20 in the index.
- The stochastic ("baptized") also signals a little lower, for then, "we found the bottom of the current correction".
- Looking at Brazil risk, we have several news in the negative field that can make the correction in the IBOV even more accentuated. We have in mind: the “PEC of IMPUNITY” on the agenda; presidential “possible interventions” in state-owned companies; the “wind vaccines” and the lack of the original vaccines in some key states of the national economy; we have the fiscal ceiling and possible rides to “mitigate its effects on the economy”; we have our “dear” STF (Supreme Gods) with his mandates and misdeeds, always trying to stand out in any news, whether national or international, which does not help our battered economy at all. In the field of international news, the most relevant of all is about the 10-year American Treasuries up in the USA to control possible inflation (as seen without the brake of dollars and checks), which may momentarily glean negatively on our stock exchange, thus raising , the value of the dollar against the real.
- Do your analysis and good business.
-Be aware, If you buy, Use Stop!
IBOVESPA: fourth Elliot wave? or simply a small correction?This graphic is showcasing amazing Price Action, with Fibonacci extensions reaching its target almost perfectly; possible trendline that, if respected, would lead to a 61.8% correction from the third Elliott wave movement; and much more. I will probably update the rest of the info after I get some sleep.
Macroeconomics tells me it will go down, but who am I? :D
I guess price will tell us tomorrow.
IBOV/WIN Sell IdeaLONG AND RISKY TRADE
Perhaps a late entry, but it might be worth it since fundamentalist analysis corroborates with this view.
Dragonfly pattern on the Daily chart.
SL is right above the last high
TP1 is right at Fibo's 38.2%
TP2 is right at Fibo's 50%
TP3 is right at Fibo's 61.8%
I would highly suggest moving SL to BE as soon/if it reaches 23.6% of Fibo.