Spain35 Short TP-1 is highest probablity, TP2 can hit if see good red candle in area of Tp-1 Level, Tp-3 is optional
Looks like good trades
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
ESP35 trade ideas
#008 Trust The Process ESPIXEUR/SPN35 1916SGT 18022025Buy.
I wanted to take it just now before 3pm SGT, but I can't place the order because the market hasn't opened yet.
I entered late, but it's ok.
40% winrate = Breakeven
Above 40% = Profit
Below 40% = Data
Win = Win
Lose = Win
1917SGT 18022025
US tariffs on steel and aluminum : how will it affect Spain?By Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
President Trump's recent announcement of a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, along with reciprocal tariff measures, has set off alarm bells in Europe. As the United States reaffirms its protectionist policy, it is quite possible that the measure could trigger a series of negative effects on the Spanish economy. The decision, communicated from Air Force One en route to New Orleans and on the eve of the Super Bowl, is part of a strategy that seeks to protect U.S. domestic industry from what it considers to be unfair trade practices. However, for Spain - and, by extension, for the European Union as a whole - the repercussions could be manifold. Given the relevance of these metals in key sectors and the exposure of several IBEX 35 companies to fluctuations in these inputs.
Impact on the supply chain
Steel and aluminum are key raw materials for key sectors in Spain, such as the automotive, construction and machinery manufacturing industries. An increase in their prices at international level could translate into higher costs for companies, affecting not only the competitiveness of local industry, but also the final price of products. A rise in the costs of these raw materials has a direct impact on production and, ultimately, on the end consumer. In the industrial sector, this will have an impact on production costs, generating inflation in those industries that purchase such products to produce a service, in particular, the USA will generate inflation for itself if it wishes to purchase such products from Europe. It is possible that these affected companies will end up looking for suppliers that do not have tariff conflicts with the U.S. to mitigate their trade costs and thus maintain their competitiveness in the local U.S. market.
The importance of steel and aluminum in the Spanish industry
Steel and aluminum are essential raw materials for several reasons:
- Versatility and strength: these metals are fundamental in the manufacture of structural components, machinery, vehicles and construction elements. Their use extends to sectors as varied as automotive, construction and renewable energy.
- Specific properties: Steel stands out for its high strength and durability, which makes it indispensable in infrastructure construction and the manufacture of heavy machinery. Aluminum, on the other hand, is prized for its lightness and corrosion resistance, crucial properties for the transportation industry and the manufacture of aerodynamic components.
- Integration into global value chains: Spain is highly dependent on these metals for both the manufacture of consumer products and infrastructure projects. Any variation in international prices has a direct impact on the production costs of key sectors, affecting competitiveness both in the domestic market and abroad.
Retaliation and Reactions from Europe
Faced with this unilateral measure, the European Union could be forced to respond with tariffs of its own, which would further aggravate the situation. Spanish exporters, traditionally strong in industrial sectors, could face additional barriers in the U.S. market, one of their traditional destinations. The uncertainty in international trade adds to a global context already marked by trade tensions and fluctuations in commodity prices. The reactions of authorities and business representatives have not been long in coming, calling for caution, but it is foreseeable for SMEs and large companies a scenario in which production costs will increase, affecting the industrial sector. Many voices are redirecting their gaze to other markets, diversifying their dependence on the U.S. and looking for an increase in intra-European consumer collaboration and Mercosur Treaty countries seeking to alleviate these protections that affect a wide variety of European sectors.
IBEX 35 companies potentially affected
Several companies listed on the IBEX 35 will be impacted by the rise in the price of steel and aluminum, due to their high dependence on these inputs:
- Acerinox: As one of the largest stainless steel producers, Acerinox is directly linked to the steel market. The measure could have a double effect: while greater trade protection could favor the competitiveness of its products in the domestic market, higher costs in imported raw materials could affect its cost structure.
- ACS and Ferrovial: These two large construction and infrastructure companies use large volumes of steel in their projects. The increase in the cost of these materials could translate into higher construction budgets and pressure on profit margins, affecting the planning of new projects both in Spain and in other international markets.
- Siemens Gamesa: Although its main activity is focused on the manufacture of wind turbines and renewable energy solutions, the production of wind turbines requires a considerable amount of steel and aluminum. The higher costs of these inputs can affect the competitiveness of its projects, especially in a global context where cost reduction is key to winning contracts.
- Acciona: With a presence in the construction, infrastructure and renewable energy sectors, Acciona is also a player that could feel the impact of a rise in the prices of these metals. Dependence on large-scale projects and the integration of complex supply chains mean that the company must rethink strategies to remain competitive.
Competitiveness implications and adaptation strategies
The increase in tariffs generates a domino effect that affects everything from the supply chain to the market strategy of Spanish companies:
- Production costs and margins: by increasing the price of steel and aluminum, companies see their profit margins reduced. Some will be able to pass on part of these costs to final prices, although this could affect competitiveness against international competitors that are not exposed to the same increases.
- Risk in infrastructure projects: Large construction and infrastructure projects, in which companies such as ACS and Ferrovial participate, may suffer delays or revisions in their budgets due to the increase in basic inputs. This uncertainty may impact investment and economic activity in the sector.
- Mitigation strategies: Affected companies could choose to diversify their suppliers and seek local or alternative raw material sources. In addition, investment in efficiency processes and technologies that optimize the use of these metals will be essential to offset the impact of higher costs.
- Coordinated response at the European level: Given that Spain is part of the European Union, the adoption of a coordinated response by the bloc could mitigate to some extent the negative effects of the US tariff policy, either through bilateral negotiations or the implementation of reciprocal measures.
Technical Analysis IBEX 35 (Ticker AT: ESP35)
During the past week the index has been reflecting continued rises until reaching an apparent continuation zone. Today seems to start the session continuing Friday's highs at 12766.84 points in a sideways move at 12721 points which coincides with the current control point (POC). RSI indicates a slight oversold of 58.30% with an average of 60.47% which indicates that it could try to find the highs again to test if the index advances to the upside. If it is not pierced, the correction could move it in the direction of 12,481 points, the price reached on February 5.
Short- and medium-term outlook
The uncertainty generated by these tariffs could prompt Spanish companies to seek alternatives in the supply chain, reducing their dependence on volatile markets. Also, the possibility of retaliation by the European Commission opens the door to a readjustment in transatlantic trade relations. In the meantime, a coordinated response among EU member countries can be expected to be crucial to limit the negative impact on the regional economy. Already this week European military units have been mobilized in anticipation of a possible U.S. invasion of Greenland, mirroring U.S. foreign policy. In short, the tariff policy promoted by Washington not only underlines the tensions in international trade, but also poses a challenge for the Spanish economy. The coming weeks will be decisive in defining whether Trump's measures will usher in a new era of protectionism or whether a balance will be achieved in an increasingly uncertain global environment.
The 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum represent a major challenge for Spanish industry, where these metals play a crucial role in construction, automotive and renewable energies. IBEX 35 companies such as Acerinox, ACS, Ferrovial, Siemens Gamesa and Acciona are at the center of this disruption, having to adapt their strategies to remain competitive in an increasingly volatile global environment. The key to mitigating these impacts lies in the diversification of the supply chain, investment in efficiency and a coordinated response at the European level, essential elements to face the pressures of an international market marked by protectionist tendencies.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
SPAIN35 in Strong Uptrend - Continuation Toward 12,819?OANDA:ESPIXEUR is trading within a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline that highlights bullish momentum. The price has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the trend continuation structure.
I anticipate that if the index maintains its current upward momentum, it could move toward the 12,819 level. This setup aligns with the broader bullish trend, supported by the sustained price action above the trendline and recent breakout behavior.
Traders should monitor for potential pullbacks toward the trendline for opportunities to join the trend, with confirmation signals such as bullish candlesticks or strong buying volume.
Spain35 Bounces of Support: Continuation Toward 12,356?FX:ESP35 is respecting an ascending trendline, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has recently rebounded from the trendline, maintaining the overall structure of higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the trend continuation narrative.
I anticipate that if the index sustains its upward trajectory, it could move toward the 12,356 level. However, a break below the ascending trendline would invalidate this bullish setup and indicate potential downside.
Feel free to share your perspective or any insights in the comments!
IBEX 35: Nearly Three Consolidation IBEX 35: Nearly Three Decades of Stability and Long-Term Growth Prospects
The IBEX 35 chart distinctly showcases an impressive trend over nearly 30 years, from 1997 to 2025, fluctuating between 6,500 and 12,500 points. This extensive consolidation period has historically provided a solid foundation for significant trend movements.
Key Points:
🔸 Downward Trend from 2008 to 2023:
Throughout these years, the index displayed a persistent downward trend, remaining within a declining channel. However, in 2023, this trend was overcome, creating new avenues for growth.
🔸 Breakaway from the Downtrend:
Currently, the IBEX 35 has exited the confines of its downward trend. It is important to note that this shift may be partly influenced by high inflation, which elevates the nominal values of assets.
🔸 Current Resistance Zone:
At present, the IBEX 35 is approaching the upper boundary of its range, near 12,000 points. A successful breakout and consolidation above this level would confirm a bullish outlook. In such a scenario, the index could increase by 70% over the next decade, reaching between 15,000 and 20,000 points.
🔸 Risk of a Bearish Scenario:
If the 12,000-point threshold is not breached and the index fails to stabilize above it, there is a significant risk of a decline towards the lower end of the range (7,000–8,000 points). This correction could last between one to two years, but it typically concludes with renewed growth following the testing and breaking of the downward trend.
Optimistic Projection:
I lean towards the bullish scenario, where the IBEX 35, in the short term, decisively surpasses the 12,000-point level. This would propel the index to historic highs near 15,000 points and, in the long run, to levels around 20,000 points.
Both Scenarios Indicate Growth:
Regardless of the short-term movements, both scenarios suggest continued long-term growth. Even with a correction towards the lower levels (7,000–8,000 points), the subsequent rise would be the logical continuation after testing and overcoming the downward trend.
IBEX35: Downward pressure after the NFP Markets closed lower on Friday despite strong Non-Farm Payrolls data (256,000 vs. 165,000 expected) due to concerns that the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer. This boosted Treasury yields, attracting capital into fixed income and affecting rate-sensitive sectors. In addition, corporate earnings warnings and global economic weakness increased caution. Technical factors, such as profit-taking and moderate wage growth, also contributed to the pessimism.
1. Concerns over strong employment data could increase the likelihood of a tightening stance from the Fed for a longer period of time.
2. Rising U.S. Treasury bond yields.
3. Corporate earnings and economic warnings: Corporations have started to report cooling earnings and global economic data in Europe and China showed weakness, which has increased fears of uneven global growth.
4. Expected falls in Wall Street: This result has caused many investors to take profits given the general pessimistic tone in the market, “A bird in the hand is worth two in the Bush”.
5. Technical and psychological factors: The market had already partially discounted the possibility of a strong data, and the additional data added some uncertainty about the ability of consumers to maintain spending in an inflationary environment.
IBEX 35: A month of downward pressure
The IBEX 35 (Ticker AT: ESP35, Spain's main stock market index, began the week with a 0.98% decline in futures, standing at 11,720 points. This downward movement is in line with the falls in Asian stock markets and the negative closing of Wall Street last Friday.
In the last month, the IBEX 35 has faced several factors that have put downward pressure:
1. stricter capital requirements for banks: the European Central Bank (ECB) has raised capital requirements to 15.6% by 2025, especially affecting banks, a key sector in the index.
2. Trade uncertainty in the US: The possible protectionist policies of President-elect Donald Trump have generated nervousness in sectors such as renewable energies and telecommunications.
3. Weak economic data in Europe: Especially in Germany, economic indicators have weighed on investor sentiment in European markets.
4. Slowdown in China: The Chinese economic slowdown and the implementation of tariffs have negatively affected global markets.
Market Outlook
Although U.S. employment figures show a solid economy, the IBEX 35 remains under pressure from international and local factors. Investors should keep an eye on upcoming corporate results and economic data, especially those related to inflation in the US, to assess the direction of the markets in the coming days. In conclusion, while the US market shows resilience, the IBEX 35 faces a week of caution, reflecting a complex global environment and expectations regarding monetary policy.
Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ECB impact on IBEX 35 and EURUSDThe European Central Bank (ECB) has taken a definite path towards monetary easing under the leadership of Christine Lagarde, whose dovish (stimulus) policy is designed to address the eurozone's economic slowdown without compromising strategic sustainability objectives. The recent rate cuts, combined with the rollback of the €1.85 trillion debt purchase program, reflect an expansionary stance that seeks to sustain growth, finance sustainable projects and ensure economic stability.
The dovish policy and its connection to the Green Deal and Mercosur
Lagarde's stance, characterized by an accommodative monetary policy, is manifested in a series of decisions aimed at easing financial conditions. The re-orientation of the debt purchase program, initially designed to mitigate the impact of the pandemic, is now focused on supporting strategic sectors such as agriculture and the ecological transition, fundamental pillars of the European Green Deal.
In addition, this policy fosters synergies with the Mercosur-EU agreement, which prioritizes agricultural and sustainable trade. The funds redistributed by the ECB reinforce support for the modernization of the agricultural sector, facilitating the transition to more sustainable practices in line with the European Commission's climate objectives.
Impact on EURUSD and financial markets
The ECB's dovish stance puts pressure on the euro against the dollar, maintaining a clear, albeit moderate, bearish path. However, this strategy seeks to create a low interest rate environment that facilitates the financing of green and sustainable projects, consolidating the perception of stability in the Eurozone.
In the short term, the EUR/USD could face fluctuations, but in the long term, the flow of sustainable investments could support a moderate recovery of the euro. The ECB's expansionary policy also encourages appetite for riskier assets, which could translate into a strengthening of equity markets. From a technical perspective, the dollar has tested the lows of 1.04525 in the wake of the news, moving sideways in today's morning session.
The IBEX 35 and the key levels to watch
The IBEX 35, although affected by the volatility associated with the ECB's decisions, could benefit from strategic sectors linked to the Green Deal, such as energy and agriculture. The aid redistributed from the debt purchase program will boost key companies in the index, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
From a technical perspective, the index maintains its consolidation in the range of 11,700-11,850 points, with crucial support at 11,625 points. As long as these levels are not lost, the market could resume its uptrend, in line with the optimism generated by the ECB's expansionary policy and the expectations of a Christmas Rally.
Conclusion: Synergy between monetary policy and sustainability
Lagarde's dovish policy not only addresses the economic slowdown, but also supports the European Union's strategic objectives. The redirection of the debt purchase program towards sustainable and agricultural projects strengthens the ECB's commitment to balanced growth, while fostering economic resilience in an uncertain global environment.
For investors, this scenario offers opportunities in key sectors, supported by an expansive monetary framework and sustainable policies. Both the IBEX 35 and the EUR/USD remain watchful of the evolution of these measures, which could mark the beginning of a phase of a return to sustained and resilient growth in the eurozone.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ES35/ESPIXEUR "SPAIN 35" Index Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist ES35 / ESPIXEUR "SPAIN 35" Index Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
An upward opportunityIbex may rally upwards due to the sell off not stabilising under 11300. However, the price may bounce back up above 11300 heading towards the top. Breaking the mark may see bearish continuation.
Trendline breakWe see the price make a pullback before the break, usually i wait for outer pullbacks but the price movement is backed up by a similar move on SPAIN35,EU50,DE40
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
Elliott Wave View on IBEX Provides Warning that Indices can See Short Term Elliott Wave View in IBEX suggests rally to 12040.79 ended wave ((3)). Wave ((4)) pullback is currently in progress to correct larger degree cycle from 3.20.2023 low. Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) is unfolding as double three (W)-(X)-(Y) where wave (W) is now unfolding as a zigzag. Down from wave ((3)), wave (i) ended at 11682.7 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 11959. Index extended lower in wave (iii) towards 11621.7 and rally in wave (iv) ended at 11716.9. Final leg wave (v) ended at 11616.6 which completed wave ((i)). Rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 11891.80.
The Index then extended lower in wave ((iii)) towards 11462.2 and wave ((iv)) bounce ended at 11667. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 11295.2 which completed wave A. Wave B rally is now in progress to correct cycle from 10.17.2024 high with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave A, wave ((a)) ended at 11672 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended a 11428.3. Expect wave ((c)) of B to fail below 12040.79 for further downside. Potential target is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((a)). This area comes at 11800.3 – 12030.1 before the Index turns lower.
Ibex 35:The European King of the dividend vs Bonds in 2025The dividend yield of the IBEX 35 will reach 5.05% in 2025, according to estimates, doubling the current yield of 12-month Treasury Bills, which stands at 2.53%. This index has exceeded 5% at various points in 2024, marking the widest gap against the EUROSTOXX in a decade. Currently, the Ibex dividend is at 4.5%, and with every 250 point drop in the index, the yield increases by one tenth, reflecting its attractiveness to investors.
Comparison with other European indexes
Within the European panorama, the IBEX 35 is the index with the second highest dividend yield, second only to the Italian FTSE Mib. In contrast, other benchmarks such as the FTSE 100 UK show a lower yield of around 4.03%, while indices such as the STOXX 600, EUROSTOXX 50, DAX40 and CAC40 offer between 3.2% and 3.6% for the coming year. The Spanish market is also known for its generous dividend policy, having reached a peak in distribution in 2023, led by key sectors such as banking and telecommunications.
Outlook for 2025
Looking ahead to 2025, the Ibex is expected to maintain this outperformance, supported by dividends from strategic sectors, although corporate earnings growth could slow down. Analysts estimate a moderate increase of 4% in the profits of the companies in the index, which ensures a competitive return with respect to other European and American benchmarks.
Current technical analysis
We are witnessing a recovery in the index to the 11634 points zone, with the checkpoint zone being the value of November 5 around 11838 points closest to the highs zone. The RSI shows a 59.05% of overbought which could be representing that the current value has a possible increase in value. If we look at the last delta zone we can see that it is located above 11715 points. The current trend seems to be to evolve upwards, if the results of its companies continue to accompany, because it is one of the most defensive indexes in Europe.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
TRUMPDOWN- Ibex 35: Week of Declines after Trump's VictoryThe Ibex 35 faces a week of losses, registering an accumulated fall of 2.2%, influenced by the reelection of Donald Trump in the U.S. The prospect of new tariffs and restrictive trade policies have generated concern, especially for Spanish companies with international operations. At mid-session, the Spanish index fell 0.28% to 11,537.60 points, and then recovered to 11,586.80 points during the midday break.
Among the most affected stocks of the day were ArcelorMittal and BBVA, with declines of 2.72% and 2.59%, respectively. BBVA, in particular, faces uncertainty about how Trump's policies could influence its business in Mexico. In contrast, IAG and Grifols stand out positively, with increases of 5.82% and 5.77%, thanks to solid recent business results.
International Trends: Contrasts between Europe and the United States
The European context reflects investor caution, with declines in the region's main stock indexes. The German DAX and the EURO STOXX 50 are down 1.07%, while the French CAC 40 is down 1.01%. In contrast, the US indices, boosted by Trump's victory, show an opposite trend, reaching new highs on the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones. This optimism on Wall Street has been helped by the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. At the end of the morning session, all indices are negative except the IBEX and the Portuguese PSI, a clear link between politics and indices.
Commodities and Currencies: Moderate Declines in Oil and Gold, with Euro Declining
The commodities market has a weak tone. Brent oil has fallen by 1.47% and gold has lost 0.56% to 2,690 dollars per ounce. In the currency market, the euro is down 0.22% against the dollar, trading at 1.0782 units. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has registered an increase of 1.71%, reaching 76,312 dollars.
This scenario shows a market divided between caution in Europe and optimism on Wall Street, where investors remain attentive to changes in U.S. trade policy and its impact on an uncertain economic environment.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Upward momentumThe index will test previous established higher highs due to finding support on an essential barrier at 11,400. As long as price action fails to go this barrier, bullish moves will be favourable until reversal.
ESP35 "Spain 35 CFD" Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist ESP35 "Spain 35 CFD" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Ibex 35: A Sectoral OverviewThe Ibex 35 has performed remarkably well in recent sessions, reaching an intraday high of 12,000 points, thanks to the solid performance of several market sectors.
Telecommunications
The telecommunications sector has been the main driver of the index, led by Telefónica. The company experienced a strong boost following a favorable European court decision regarding its German subsidiary, E. Plus. This endorsement helped Telefónica to lead the market and thus lift the index above 12,000 points.
Construction and Infrastructure
The construction and infrastructure sector also played an important role, with ACS standing out in the index. Its positive performance helped to keep the Ibex 35 at high levels, consolidating its position above 11,900 points.
Energy
In the energy sector, Iberdrola reached a significant milestone of over 14 euros per share, consolidating its capitalization at close to 90 billion euros. This success not only reflects the strength of the company, but also the confidence in the energy sector within the index.
Retail
Inditex, the retail giant, has shown solid resistance by adding 0.81% to its value, which also contributes to the overall thrust of the Ibex 35. Inditex's stability and growth are crucial to maintain confidence in the sector.
Banking
On the other hand, the banking sector faced difficulties. Bankinter and BBVA led the falls, with declines of 1.65%. The pressure on banks has become evident, limiting the growth of the index on a day when optimism predominated in other sectors.
Conclusions
As the Ibex 35 seeks to break above 12,000 points for good, the combination of strengths in sectors such as telecommunications, construction, energy and retail contrasts with the difficulties in banking. The market's attention will be focused on how these sectors continue to evolve in a changing economic context.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
The Ibex 35 takes a pause within an upward trendThe IBEX 35 remains flat, with mixed performance among the selective stocks. The most bearish companies are those negatively affected by interest rate cuts, such as banks, while construction, real estate, and utilities, which benefit from lower rates, rose today after:
Several ECB members advocate for another interest rate cut next week after having reduced them twice this year, and financial markets almost certainly expect a cut to the deposit rate to 3.5% on October 17.
The French central bank chief, François Villeroy: the cut is likely, and it will not be the last one, depending on how inflation evolves.
Economic weakness: The economy has been stagnating, the labor market is weakening, wage growth is slowing down, and inflation has fallen faster than the ECB had predicted.
Market expectations: Investors expect the ECB’s deposit rate to fall to 3% by the end of 2023 and to 2% by the end of 2025, which is considered the neutral rate, a level that neither stimulates nor slows economic growth.
Additionally, investors remain cautious due to global uncertainty and decisions from the Fed.
Investors are waiting for the minutes from the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting to get hints about interest rate easing in the U.S. The market estimates a 98% probability of a 25 basis point cut at the next meeting.
U.S. inflation data (Thursday) and the producer price index (Friday) will be crucial.
Uncertainty in the U.S.: Recent employment data and wage inflation have raised doubts about Federal Reserve rate cuts, strengthening the dollar and increasing bond yields.
China and the Middle East: Market correction in China and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are affecting oil price stability and adding more pressure to international markets.
However, the IBEX 35 has an upward target activated by breaking out of a lateral range up to 12,413 points, a scenario which, in my opinion, is the most likely to materialize in the medium term.
Sergio Ávila
Analista senior de IG
IBEX 35 Triples its annual average and Performance Analysis
Cumulative performance in 2024: The Ibex 35 has maintained a remarkable performance in 2024, with a cumulative rise of 18.5% in the first nine months of the year, outperforming its historical annual average of 6.6%. This performance has consolidated the Spanish index as the strongest in Europe in this period, with a quarterly rise of 9.4%, outperforming its European peers such as the EuroStoxx 50, which posted a rise of 3.5%. Compared to the S&P500, its historical annual average is 9.5%, the DAX 10.3% and NASDAQ 18.1% (the most bullish).
Positive start to October: The start of October has been equally positive, with the index reaching new annual highs after a solid September, in which it rose 4.4%, taking the Ibex to 11,950 points, a level not seen since 2010.
General context and drivers: Although September is usually a month of market correction, this year has been an exception, as the easing of monetary policy has benefited equities, especially in more indebted sectors. This has facilitated a year-to-date rise of 16.8%.
Bullish Companies:
• IAG: IAG was the most bullish company in the quarter, up 33%.
• Financial sector: It has been key to the performance of the Ibex, with Banco Sabadell (+66% in the year) and Caixabank (+42%) standing out. Both continue to show growth opportunities due to their solid earnings and the expectation of higher credit volume and mergers that would offset the reduction in interest margins.
• Grifols: Although down 34.5% for the year, it has rebounded 59% from the March lows. A target price of 17.27 euros per share is projected, giving it a strong upside potential of 70%.
• Fluidra: followed IAG and Grifols as the third with a 21% rebound in September.
• Colonial: rose 12% in September.
• ArcelorMittal and Acerinox: Despite their falls so far this year, both have projected medium-term growth of 52% and 40%, respectively. September's rises were 11%.
• Energy and technology sectors: These are singled out by analysts as areas with potential, benefiting from the moderation in interest rates and macroeconomic momentum.
Bearish companies:
• Telefónica: Despite accumulating growth of 24.5% in 2024, its value is expected to decline by 5.7%, reflecting limited near-term growth potential.
• Inditex: The company has reached all-time highs after solid quarterly results, closing the month up 9%, but its further upside potential appears to be limited.
• Puig: fell 18.7% in September and accumulates a year-to-date loss of 21%.
Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
The Ibex 35: an attractive index full of opportunities in 2024Throughout 2024, the Ibex 35 has surprised investors with a 17% rally since the start of the year, consolidating its position as one of the best performing indices in Europe. This has been driven by key sectors such as banking, telecommunications, tourism and renewable energies. Despite this strong advance, the Spanish stock index is not considered expensive, offering an attractive opportunity for investors seeking long-term value.
An attractive price to book value
The Ibex 35 currently trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.5x by 2025, making it one of the most attractive indices compared to its track record over the past decade. This discount has been made possible by the solid performance of the companies comprising the index, which have been able to take advantage of a favorable macroeconomic environment and persistently high interest rates in Europe.
Among the stocks that stand out for their discount to book value are Cellnex, Solaria and Rovi. Cellnex (Ticker AT: CLNX.ES), a leader in telecommunications infrastructure, trades at 1.8 times book value, well below its average of 11 times. This discount is in response to interest rate hikes and the company's deleveraging, which could lead to an increase in shareholder remuneration in the coming months. Solaria (Ticker AT: SLR.ES), one of the leaders in solar energy, trades at 2.5x versus a historical average of 9.7x, penalized by the fall in energy prices and delays in key projects. For its part, the pharmaceutical company Rovi (TICKER AT: ROVI.ES) offers a discount of more than 50% compared to its historical book value, making it one of the most attractive options for 2025.
Spanish banking leadership
Banking has been one of the big drivers of the Ibex 35 this year, boosted by the prolongation of a high interest rate environment. BBVA (TICKER AT: BBVA.ES)and Santander (SAN.ES), two of the index's leading banks, have seen their profit margins expand, and everything points to them remaining key players in the index's performance in the coming quarters.
In addition, other major Spanish companies such as Inditex (Ticker AT: ITX.ES), Telefónica and IAG have also played a relevant role in the Ibex leadership, benefiting from the recovery of tourism and post-COVID consumption, as well as organic growth and international expansions.
Outlook for the Ibex and the Spanish stock market
Despite the accumulated gains, the Spanish stock market continues to offer value. In addition to its discount to book value, macroeconomic expectations, especially in Europe, where possible interest rate cuts are expected, may continue to favor key sectors such as banking, infrastructure and renewable energies. These positive signals offer investors the opportunity to continue to participate in a market that has demonstrated strength and growth.
With a strong base in strategic sectors and the support of monetary policies that could become more accommodative in the coming months, the Ibex 35 continues to show great potential for appreciation in the medium and long term. Investors betting on this index will not only find companies with solid fundamentals, but also attractive dividends that complete the positive outlook for the Spanish stock market.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Fed Cuts: New Boost for the Ibex 35?The recent 50 basis point reduction by the Federal Reserve (Fed) has had a significant impact on global financial markets, including the Ibex 35. This cut, which comes on top of 18 similar occasions since the turn of the century, seeks to stimulate the economy in times of economic uncertainty. For the Ibex 35, the Fed's move has generated positive momentum.
The Spanish index has shown strength, and this effect is expected to spread to other indices such as the Ibex Medium and Small Caps, bringing them closer to their annual highs. The Ibex Small Caps, in particular, is close to reaching a crucial upward trend line, which could trigger a significant rally in Spanish equities.
The Fed's monetary policy, by cutting interest rates, not only affects the US dollar, but also has a knock-on effect on international stock markets. In Europe, the EuroStoxx 50 is approaching key resistance, while in the US, indices such as the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones could surpass their annual highs, driven by the same monetary policy that favors stock markets.
Currently, the IBEX35, is currently at highs again at 11,881.43 points with a strong trading zone between 11,195.46 points and 10,931.36 points respectively, and initial support at 10,491.19 points. The next support rests at the upper zone of the indicated trading range at 11,195.46 points. The RSI shows an overbought level of 77.16%, evidencing the positive impact of the Fed's decisions on the Spanish spread. The upcoming Spanish bond auctions and Schnabel's speech will be crucial to determine the future direction. If the trend continues, we could see an upward extension, although Fibonacci projections suggest that the index may not exceed 11,906 points (161.80% of the original momentum).
In summary, the Fed's rate cut is positively influencing the Ibex 35, providing a favorable context for the Spanish index, along with other European and US indices, to approach its highs and experience a potential rally.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
IBEX35/EUROSTOXX50: Preparing for Imminent VolatilityEuropean stock markets, boosted by the ECB's recent meeting, have managed to ward off the fears that plagued markets in early September. Although the recent rebound has helped the indices to stay away from the August lows, it is not yet a definitive recovery. The declines at the beginning of the month have proved too deep to be considered a simple consolidation, suggesting that additional bouts of volatility may be ahead before a sustainable upswing. In this context, remaining calm, reducing exposure to the stock market if it is high, and being prepared for future buying opportunities is advisable.
On Friday, Spanish stock markets closed higher, with the IBEX 35 gaining 1.23%, reaching a new five-year high. The financial services, construction and technology sectors drove the rally. Inmobiliaria Colonial SA led the gains, while Bankinter and Redeia Corporación SA were among the losers.
It is crucial to maintain liquidity to take advantage of possible pullbacks, which will allow acquiring assets with a better risk-return ratio. Key supports to monitor include the 4,730 points of the EuroStoxx 50 and the 11,138 points of the IBEX 35. Looking at the IBEX 35 chart, there is solid support around 11,100 points. After overcoming double resistance last week, there is a possibility that the index will advance to new highs driven by volatility. The current RSI stands at 64.67%, suggesting that this upward momentum could continue, as long as previous fears do not affect its trajectory.
It is relevant to mention the EuroStoxx 50, as both indices have shown a high correlation recently. However, in the last week, their movements have been different, probably due to the practically null weighting of the EuroStoxx 50 in relation to companies in the Spanish index. The EuroStoxx 50 is moving in a sideways range near the strong trading zone of 4,843 points. With an RSI of 64.26%, this index could correct towards the lower indicated zone of 4,730 points.
Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
IBEX 35 Index Overview | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
Trend |Time Frame Conductive | Daily Time Frame
- General Trend
- Measurement on Session
- Signpost
* Support & Resistance
* Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead
# Position & Risk Reward | 15 Minutes Time Frame
- Measurement on Session
* Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618
* Extension | 0.88 & 1
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
