Ger40 dax shortMy last 2 analisis were worng, possibly this have higher probability to win you can short if your setup allows, market will go to fill gap.
GER40 trade ideas
DAX Bullish ContinuationDAX price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish momentum. A potential new ALL TIME HIGH may form as the price action may form a credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci levels.
If price action breaks the ALL TIME HIGH of 19500, chances of TP2 may increase. Till then, opportunity may be seized by the Bulls.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 19025
Stop Loss @ 18570
TP1 @ 19480
TP2 @ 19935
No. of Trades: 2
Move SL to Break Even if TP1 hits.
GER40 SELL POSITION Price created double top as a result of reversal confirmation, now it broke trendline and retest it which indicate the change of market direction from uptrend to downtrend
1H ChoCh Green still buying on Week Buy entry 1.5 ratio1H ChoCh Green still buying on Week Buy entry 1.5 ratio
Last week closed Above our 1W entry now 1H Flip green above 200ma
Strat buying week entry in this entry on 1H
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
*KEY
Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods
Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below)
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Analysis
Germany 40
Germany 40 remains bullish but has shifted into a corrective phase. The price is 19,045, just above the VWAP (20) of 19,000. Support is at 18,510, with resistance positioned at 19,507. The RSI of 53 reflects neutral momentum, signalling the potential for further consolidation.
UK 100
UK 100 continues its neutral stance, staying in a consolidation phase. The price is 8,288, almost aligned with the VWAP (20) of 8,286. Support is seen at 8,220, while resistance lies at 8,347. The RSI of 51 indicates balanced momentum, suggesting no immediate directional bias.
Wall Street
Wall Street remains in a bullish trend, with the price in an impulsive phase. The current price is 42,136, significantly higher than the VWAP (20) of 41,120. Support is at 41,464, with resistance at 42,587. The RSI of 57 reflects continued bullish momentum but within more moderated levels.
Brent Crude
Brent Crude has quickly switched to a bullish trend, now entering an impulsive phase. The price is 79.38, comfortably above the VWAP (20) at 73.86 after a massive weekly rally. Support is at 69.05, while resistance sits at 79.20. An RSI of 65 signals solid bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential.
Gold
Gold continues to trend upward but has entered a corrective phase - more via time than price, which has stayed in a tight range, currently at 2,652, just above the VWAP (20) of 2,629. Support is found at 2,557, while resistance is at 2,700. The RSI of 63 indicates strong bullish momentum, although a potential slowdown could occur.
EUR/USD
EUR/USD remains bullish but has entered a corrective phase. The current price is 1.0962, just under the VWAP (20) of 1.1105. Support is found at 1.0900, while resistance lies at 1.1248. The RSI of 34 signals weakening momentum, suggesting potential for further correction.
GBP/USD
GBP/USD is still bullish, now in a corrective phase. The price is 1.3074, slightly below the VWAP (20) of 1.3262. Support is at 1.3070, with resistance at 1.3484. The RSI of 38 reflects a slowing bullish momentum.
USD/JPY
USD/JPY remains in a bearish trend but has entered a corrective phase. The price is 148.34, just above the VWAP (20) of 143.90. Support is located at 139.02, with resistance at 149.07. The RSI of 64 signals a major shift, with momentum edging towards bullish territory.
DAX Analysis: Consolidation Signals Pending BreakoutDAX Technical Analysis:
The price is anticipated to consolidate between 19100 and 18975 until a breakout occurs. A close below 18975 on the 4-hour chart would signal a bearish trend, with potential targets at 18890 and 18780.
Conversely, a 4-hour close above 19110 would support a bullish trend, likely driving the price toward 19250.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 19020
Resistance Levels: 19110, 19250, 19330
Support Levels: 18970, 18780, 18650
Trend:
- Consolidation 19100 and 18970
- Bearish below 18970
- Bullish above 19110
previous idea:
GER40 "GERMANY40 Index" Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist GER40 "GERMANY40 Index" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
DAX H4 | Potential bullish reversalDAX (GER30) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,000.03 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 18,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 19,337.11 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Fake inverse Head and Shoulders in DAX#Germany #factoryorders -5.8% MoM among other bad economic data. Fake inverse head and shoulders. Cheap energy prices are not guaranteed under war uncertainty. Not looking good.
Mon 2024 10 07 - Short||| Stats |||
Stats Day:
** 08:00 H4 double color, - Short
Stats Week:
** Mon Morning rule - pending,
** Tue return to W1 trend and not a W1 trend change - pending,
Stats Month:
** Oct turn,
** Mid Nov end,
Stats Year:
** US Election,
||| Trade Taken |||
Trade Taken:
** Time frame:
* H4
** Time:
* 08am,
Set-Up:
** Trigger for trade:
* 8am H4 double color Short,
** Mom Type:
* 1st directional - risk at initial turn,
Risk Reward:
** Risk:
* Initial Turn,
** Target:
* R 1:1 as against trend,
GER40 Intraday long ideaContext Long
Entry Asia Low or NY1h fractal sweep
Target 1D imb or 1h fractal
Invalidation 1H close below NY1h fractal
7.10.24This weeks inflation data will been keenly anticipated after the job report from last Friday which were stronger than expected, CPI & PPI data will assure Fed that interest rates is on a sturdy path to 2% and the Fed minutes, investors will be looking to see how officials feel about the cut on US interest rates.
Us30: Price was very rangey early in the week until lows were taken from the previous week which is now pushing price higher back towards 42654.00. Price we trapped between the previous weeks range as it is the start of trhe month but hopefully we will begin to see a breakout. As I write this price has already pushed above 42345.87 the way I would like it to
Ger40: Price traded lower into an area of demand on Thursday-Friday and is trading back higher towards 19500.4. I will liek to see price push above 19197.3 and continue higher as long as data is on its side but I will still keep an eye out to see if price has a potentional to drop past 18683.8
SHORT DAXDISCLAIMER The below is just is my view trade responsibly
FUNDERMENTAL
The Zew sentiment has been dropping for the past 3months, with a low business sentiment and a bullish dollar i would conclude that the DAX to possibly trade to the downside
as for the technical part it not yet clear to but from the last week push down and a closer to the upside i would say a bullish Monday is possible before a reversal on Tuesday
GER40 / GERMANY40 Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHallo My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist GER40 / GERMANY40 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Short trade
Sun 28th Sept 24
8.00 pm
LND to NY Session PM
Pair DE30EUR
Entry 19464.5 (0.25%)
Profit level 18936.1 (2.71%)
Stop level 19512.6
RR 10.99
Trade entry reason:
High vol RedK & Vol analysis indicators:
High Volume RedK (Red Candlestick): The presence of a large red candlestick likely indicates strong selling pressure, which suggests bearish momentum in the market.
Volume Analysis indicator: Increased trading volume in conjunction with the red candlestick supports the downward move, making it a solid setup for a sell-side trade.
Target
Support zone 18912.1 to 18935.5
Thu 2024 10 03 - Short -||| Stats |||
Stats Day:
** 08:00 H4 double color, - Short
** 09:30 VOLD ???, AD ???, Senti ???, Agio St ???, Lg ???, - Range/Long/Short
** 09:45 VOLD ???, AD ???, Senti ???, Agio St ???, Lg ???, - Range/Long/Short
** 16:15 VOLD ???, AD ???, Senti ???, Agio St ???, Lg ???, - Range/Long/Short
Stats Week:
** Fri US NFP 14:30:,
** Mon Morning rule - pending,
** Tue return to W1 trend and not a W1 trend change - pending,
Stats Month:
** Oct turn,
Stats Year:
** US Election,
||| Trade Taken |||
Trade Taken:
** Time frame:
* H4
** Time:
* 08am,
Set-Up:
** Trigger for trade:
* 8am H4 double color Short,
* m45 close outside m45 BB Long/Short
Risk Reward:
** Risk:
* H4 double start
** Target:
* R 1:1 as still against H3 trend
* although a smaller H3 confirmed counter trend (3 H3 Mom) started,
DAX This week offers a great buying opportunity.DAX (DE40) has been trading within the same Channel Up since the bottom of the Inflation Crisis on the week of October 03 2022. The recent August 05 rebound on the 1W MA200 (blue trend-line) was nothing but the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, the 3rd in total.
The previous two, following their respective Bearish Legs (dotted Channel Down), they first reached a Resistance just above the previous High and after a pull-back and break-out above it, the continued for the 2nd part of the Leg.
It appears that in symmetrical terms, we are exactly there, right before the start of the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg. Interestingly enough, the 1W MACD completed a Bullish Cross just last week (been the most solid bottom confirmation in the past Legs) so if anything, the rally could be even stronger.
In any case, keeping in mind the strict Resistance offered by the Higher Highs trend-line of the Channel Up, our target is still 20000, which is just below the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That is the Fib level where both previous Higher Highs of the Channel Up were priced.
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DE40The German index DE40 has reached a zone where Daily timeframe buyers might step in, with a good chance of driving the price back up.
The signal is to buy, but where to find the exact entry is something that each individual can figure out. I prefer to buy now, with a stop-loss slightly below the daily lows or if you are searching for best R:R, then wait until the price enters even deeper into the zone.
In any case, stay cautious, as NFP could also cause some price fluctuations.
Trade safe!
GER40 intraday short IdeaContext short
target PDL
entry Asia H or NY 1h Fractal or London sweep Frank
Dax nfp short ?Dax sell idea,
Weekly sell, monthly sell,
Us election coming,
War of Israel Iran, increase in oil price not good for European countries.
, combine with your setup,
DAX H4 | Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?The DAX (GER30) has reversed off a pullback support and could potentially climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 19,000.03 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 18,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 19,337.11 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
2024-10-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax - Look at the xetra 1h chart because it’s clearer there than on futures. 4 legs down and we have not touched the 1h 20ema on xetra since Tuesday. Strong follow through selling and there is an open gap down to 18928. Since we are seeing continues episodes of buying, I do expect this gap to get closed on a spike and we might go neutral or green into the weekend. We are right at the bull trend line from beginning of August and I highly doubt it will get broken on the second touch.
comment : Clear picture on the xetra chart. Close enough to the bull trend line to expect a big bounce upwards to 19200 or higher. If bears win this, next good support is 18800ish. I favor the bulls if they break strongly above the 1h 20ema tomorrow.
current market cycle: bull trend (big trend line is currently at 18950 on xetra)
key levels: 19000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls are trying and buying in between the bear legs and one side will give up for a bigger move soon. Since this is the second touch of the bull trend line from early August, I have to favor the bulls. Their first target is a 1h bar close above 19100 and if the move is strong enough, we see more bears giving up and they will probably wait before shorting again higher. Second target is 19200 (50% pullback).
Invalidation is below 18800.
bear case: Bears continue to sell every rip near the 1h 20ema but the selling is getting weaker and they barely made new lows today. It’s either go big or go home for the bears. Strong break below the bull trend line 18900 is their only option or give up and try to short higher (19200 or wait for 19500).
Invalidation is above 19150.
short term: Neutral again at 19000. Big round number, should be huge support and my bias is bullish for tomorrow.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: 4 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Next 2000 Points will be made to the downside but it’s too early to short this.
current swing trade : None
trade of the day: Short near the 1h 20ema, again. Or buying 19000. Obvious trades in hindsight…
