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The Dragon Awakening: China's Stock Market Set for GrowthThe Chinese stock market has been volatile in recent years, but there are signs that it is on the verge of a major rebound. The government is implementing a number of reforms that are aimed at boosting economic growth and investor confidence. These reforms include tax cuts, infrastructure spending, and measures to support small and medium-sized businesses. As a result of these reforms, there is a growing sense that China's stock market is undervalued. This is reflected in the fact that the MSCI China Index, which tracks the performance of Chinese stocks, is currently trading at a discount to the MSCI World Index, which tracks the performance of stocks in developed markets. Investors who are looking for long-term growth opportunities should consider investing in Chinese stocks. The country has a large and growing economy, and its stock market is poised for a major rebound. Here are some of the reasons why China's stock market is set for growth: The Chinese economy is growing at a rapid pace. The Chinese economy is expected to grow by 7.8% in 2023, making it one of the fastest-growing economies in the world. The Chinese government is committed to supporting the stock market. The government has implemented a number of reforms that are aimed at improving the environment for investors. These reforms include measures to increase transparency and protect investors from fraud. The Chinese consumer is growing in affluence. The Chinese consumer class is growing rapidly, and this is creating strong demand for goods and services. This is a positive sign for the Chinese economy and its stock market. Investors who are considering investing in Chinese stocks should carefully research their investment options and consult with a financial advisor.
CAPITALCOM:HK50Long
by SabahEquityResearch
8
A few trends in China's economyToday, we would like to briefly discuss a few underlying trends in China's economy, touching on the subject of unemployment, demographics, and deflation. Youth unemployment While the unemployment situation has improved in 2023, youth unemployment (for those aged between 16 and 24) has been a longtime issue in China. Indeed, it has steadily risen since 2018 (back then, it stood at around 10%), with government programs promoting a higher level of education contributing to the problem. As a matter of fact, this year, in June, the youth unemployment rate hit a staggering 21.3%, prompting the Chinese government to stop reporting the number. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of China’s unemployment rate. Demographics and fertility Another big issue in China is the country’s aging population and declining fertility among women. The median age has risen from 28.9 years in 2000 to 34.1 years in 2010 and 37.4 years in 2020. On the other hand, the average number of births per woman stood at 1.6 in 2000; in 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2017, the average rose to 1.8. But since 2018, the rate has been rapidly collapsing. In 2021, the number stood at 1.2, representing approximately 33% decline since 2018. China’s deflation As much of the Western world grapples with inflation, China has the opposite problem. For November 2023, the country recorded -0.5% deflation compared to the previous year. With that said, there were three periods when China experienced deflation (annually) since the 1990s. The first period occurred between 1998 and 1999, when the annual inflation rate was -0.8% and -1.4%. The second instance took place in 2002, and the third in 2007. For the eleven months of 2023, the inflation rate averages about 0.3%, the lowest figure since 2009. Housing prices Amid the ongoing property crisis in China, house prices have been sliding down this year. Actually, there were only two prints when the year-over-year change was not negative, particularly in June 2023 (coming in at 0.1%) and July 2023 (coming in at 0%). Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:HSI
by Tradersweekly
2
Hong Kong to continue in the downward move?HS50 - 24h expiry Buying pressure from 16228 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. The current move higher is expected to continue. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 16665 level. We look to Sell at 16665 (stop at 16825) Our profit targets will be 16265 and 16185 Resistance: 16810 / 17150 / 17420 Support: 16380 / 16150 / 15830 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:HK33HKDShort
by OANDA
Hang Seng SetupsLooking for turnarounds or pivot points at the rectangles which are projected potential support and resistance zones. Preferred Japanese Candlesticks Patterns for potential pivot points are Harami and Engulfing patterns, but others will be taken into consideration. Icons are potential price predictions which don't require a pivot point specifically at a rectangle in order to be taken into consideration as a target for a trade from a candlestick pattern that could signal a turnaround.
OANDA:HK33HKD
by nen
HSI went ballastic yesterday and traders went wild !So, HSI rallied more than 600 points yesterday ! Wow, it went to a high of 18103 , exceeding the 18,000 price level that I said must sustain above for the rally to continue. We are currently 186 point down, having recovered much better than this morning with 300 points negative. The meeting with President Biden and Xi was a good stimulus to the overall market. (read here ) Property market remain in the doldrum todate (read here ) though there are measures being introduced but much to the disappointment of many who feels it is inadequate. Consumer confidence remains low and we are not seeing huge spending even on Singles Day. I am patiently awaiting ......
TVC:HSI
by dchua1969
Is HSI out of the woods yet ?From the chart, we can see the orange circle showing a series of multiple lows for the entire 2023. But the last circle in green , dated 1 Nov 23 could be a turning point. Before we get too excited, a few things need to happen. 1. 1 Nov low was 17110 followed by 17, 193 on 10 Nov - a good sign 2. 6 Nov peak was 17,954 and the next few days has to surpassed this level to near 18,000 price level in order to confirm the change of trend within the channel. 3. Note that overall trend is still bearish in the wider channel (red) and until the price of 18,500 is breached, we can't say for sure that a bullish trend is established. The early adopters may have already park some funds to ride up but I think many consumer investors are still wary and uncertain of the overall direction. So, be patient and watch the trend, read the news, etc.
TVC:HSI
by dchua1969
HONG KONG joins the bull marketThe HANG SENG INDEX is the main indicator of the overall market performance in Hong Kong. The index has underperformed the rest of the world since March 2020 and was among the worst performing indices globally from 2020-2022. In October 2022 however the Index seems to have moved up in a 5 wave structure after having seen quite a freefall from Feb. 2021. This 5 wave advance completed in Jan 2023, and since then, till the very recent low of Oct.2023 the Index corrected 61.8% of the entire Wave 1 rise. Now however, the Index is ready give a massive 40-45% up move as the Wave 3 unfolds itself going forward into 2024-2025. Note*- This post is for educational purpose only
HSI:HSILong
by neeraj_2_sharma
6
A beginner's analysis in HK50 Short TermTraders may consider trading the HK50 (Hang Seng Index) in the long (buy) direction for several reasons: Bullish Market Sentiment: If there is a prevailing bullish sentiment in the global or regional economy, it can positively impact the HK50. A long position aligns with the expectation that the index will rise, potentially resulting in profits. Strong Fundamentals: A trader may observe strong economic indicators, robust corporate earnings, or favorable government policies in Hong Kong, which can support a long trade as these factors are likely to drive the index upward. Diversification: Incorporating the HK50 into a diversified investment portfolio can provide exposure to a different market and currency, reducing risk through diversification. Technical Analysis Signals: Traders may use technical analysis to identify patterns, support levels, or other indicators that suggest the index is likely to move higher, providing a basis for long trades. Global Events: Positive outcomes in international events or trade agreements can benefit the Hong Kong market and may encourage traders to take long positions. Risk Management: Before trading long, traders should set stop-loss orders and risk management strategies to limit potential losses. A well-defined risk management plan is crucial in any trade. Research and Analysis: It's essential to conduct thorough research and analysis, taking into account various factors, before entering a long trade. This includes monitoring news, earnings reports, and geopolitical events. Traders should be cautious and consider market conditions, personal risk tolerance, and their own analysis when deciding whether to trade the HK50 or any other financial instrument. Trading in the financial markets carries inherent risks, and decisions should be made with care and diligence.
CAPITALCOM:HK50Long
by IMODERAT0RI
HK33HKD to find resistance at swing highs?HS50 - 24h expiry Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 17520. This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return. The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. We look to Sell at 17545 (stop at 17705) Our profit targets will be 17145 and 17045 Resistance: 18015 / 18520 / 18915 Support: 17040 / 16560 / 15665 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:HK33HKDShort
by OANDA