Us30 shorts loading for New York !!!Reason for Trade
1) There a 1 hour up trend that was broken
2) I see a range on the 1 hour that was broken
USAIND trade ideas
Dow Jones Index (US30): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis for US30.
Resistance 1: 42450 - 42720 area
Resistance 2: 43280 - 43310 area
Support 1: 41616 - 41886 area
Support 2: 40850 - 41182 area
Support 3: 40000 - 40240 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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US30 LongWe will retest 38.2 area, then we are going back to the liquidity zone and take out all the SL and then we will hit 70.0 fibonacci
Dow: Key data, earnings and US election all coming upStocks rebounded on Monday with oil prices taking a 5% plunge, amid an apparent easing in Middle East tension. The restrained reaction by Israel after recent attacks has spurred optimism, with markets hoping for stability in the region. European indices closed higher as we begin a very busy two weeks, with lots of data, US election and central banks meetings on the way.
Treasury yields could take toll on stocks
With the 10-year rising to a new 3-month month high of 4.29%, this could unravel risk assets. Having just closed lower for the fifth consecutive day, resulting in a weekly loss of more than 2.5%, the Dow could be the one to watch for potential underperformance. Small caps also slumped last week, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq finished flattish, helped by Tesla’s earnings and Nvidia surging to a new record high.
Looking under the hood, financials (XLF) led the drop on Friday with a fall of 1.1% and nearly 2.1% for the week. Industrials (XLI) lost 2.8% on the week, while energy (XLE) lost 0.6% on the week and ensured a hattrick of weekly losses. Technology (XLK) was flat on the week, while semiconductor (SMH) rose 0.6%. Once again gold outperformed with GLD rising 0.8% last week.
With financials and industrials taking the biggest hit, and energy also not doing great, the Dow and Russell are the obvious markets for the bears to potentially target, if sentiment turns sour again.
Economic Data Points to Slower Rate Cuts
Last week’s stronger economic indicators have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may take a measured approach to future rate cuts, but will that change in the week ahead with some top-tier data to come including JOLTS, non-farm payrolls and ISM surveys? Last week’s data releases—such as jobless claims, services PMI, and durable goods orders— all surpassed forecasts, suggesting economic resilience. If we see a similar outcome from most of this week’s data releases, then that could even raise question marks over further rate cuts beyond the two more priced in for this year, as the Fed may be more inclined to wait and see before easing policy further.
While a strong economy supports corporate earnings, it can also sustain higher yields, which may weigh on stock valuations. As a result, traders and investors are closely watching incoming data to gauge whether the Fed will indeed adopt a more gradual approach to rate reductions.
US Election Uncertainty Adds Pressure
The US presidential election is also in focus, with polls and odds markets showing a close race. Some betting markets are leaning toward a Trump victory, while other polls show a tie. A Trump win could have inflationary implications, potentially impacting the Federal Reserve’s approach to rate policy. Given Trump’s policies, investors may anticipate a more aggressive Fed response to manage potential inflation, which could affect stock prices and increase market volatility.
The uncertain outcome has led investors to adopt a cautious stance, with many waiting to see how the election results may influence the Fed's future policy decisions and overall market sentiment. This has been evident in markets falling last week, VIX rising and gold hitting new record highs.
Upcoming Earnings and Economic Reports
As we head into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment.
Given the recent increase in yields, strong economic data, and the close election race, it is unlikely we’ll see investors rush to buy the dips. For now, a cautious approach may be warranted as investors navigate these uncertainties and await clearer signals for the market’s direction.
Week ahead: Jolts, BoJ, NFP and lots of earnings
There are at least a couple of major macro factors that could impact the Dow this week, while on a micro level, several tech names are reporting their results.
1) JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday)
With the Fed’s focus turning to employment, we will give preference to any labour market indicators over other data releases in the next couple of months. Though this data release is not very up to date (with this one covering August), it can still impact the market because job openings are a leading indicator of overall employment, and they usually take a few months to be filled. Last time we saw a surprisingly strong print of 8.04 million, aiding the dollar’s rally.
2) US nonfarm payrolls (Friday)
Last month’s surprisingly good nonfarm payrolls data helped to fuel a big rally in the dollar as the market was forced to drop its calls for further outsized rate cuts from the Fed. Let’s see if those numbers will be revised and whether the strength in the labour market continued for another month. Any further strength in employment data could even call into question the now lower expectations of 50 basis points worth of more rate cuts in the next two FOMC meetings in 2024. This will undoubtedly move the Dow and other US indices too.
Dow key levels to watch
The technical Dow forecast has turned a tad bearish following last week’s drop. The last weekly drop of a similar magnitude took place in early September. That time, though, there was no immediate election risk, and so the index quickly bounced back and went on to hit new records in the pursuing weeks. This time, it could be different. Still, we will need to see a lower low to confirm the bearish reversal beneath the last short-term low at 41,800.
If seen, we could see a sizeable drop with the next obvious support not seen until around 40,900 to 41,000 area. The longer-term trend line and 200-day average converge around the psychologically important area of 40,000.
Standing in the way of these potential support levels is another one close to where the market finished on Friday and where it has staged a bounced from today, around 42,000.
In terms of resistance levels to watch, the most important one in my view lies at 42,400 to 42,500. This area is now pivotal insofar as the short-term technical outlook is concerned.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
US30 SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERNHere on US30 price form a rising wedge pattern and has broken line 42714.12 which means there is a chance of falling more so trader should go for SHORT and expect profit target of 41470.80 and 40397.01 . Use money management
US30 SELL NOW!!!!!!!!US30 since taken out the sell side liquidity price have been ranging downwards to the liquidity area and now again made a strong rejections from the liquidity trendline zone am in on sell holding till new lows is created
JOIN AND ENJOY
TELL US YOUR VIEWS ON THIS...............
US30 BearishBLACKBULL:US30 price overall is bearish soon as we brake the 41,600.00 level price is expected to retest at 41,600.00 before continuation. Then it should drop all the way to the 40,587.4.
US30 LONG: Targeting Key Support Zone for Upside PotentialI am observing a potential buy opportunity on the US30 around the 42,000 - 42,100 level, with a target toward the 42,350 level. I’ll be watching for strong confirmation signals within this zone to support a long entry, aiming to capitalize on anticipated upward movement.
Could US30 drop from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 42,413.14
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 42,768.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 41,939.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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US30 I Potential long from bottom of the channel & weekly levelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
US30 BUY AT SUPPORT Hello trader , What do you think about US30 ? Here on US30 price form a support around area of 42270.5 and there is a chance of moving more up and trader should be expected to go LONG with expected profit target of 42790.1 and 43217.3 . Remember to like and share your thought on comment.! Use money management
US30 Trade Idea 29 Oct 2024 (Time Frame H1)The chart you've shared shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) on a 1-hour time frame. Here's a breakdown of the analysis, based on what I can see:
Observations:
Elliott Wave Count: The chart has Elliott Wave annotations, specifically identifying a correction pattern (labeled a, b, c) followed by a possible impulsive move (labeled i, ii, iii, iv, v).
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Multiple Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn, suggesting potential areas for price reversals. Key levels are marked at 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786.
Projected Path: The white zig-zag line projects a possible upward trend following the completion of the current wave structure, with a target above the 0.5 or 0.618 retracement levels.
Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator below shows values near the oversold region, which could indicate that a reversal is near.
Potential Trade Idea:
Entry: Wait for a confirmation of the fifth wave completion (v) near the support zone or Fibonacci extension levels (like 1.23 or 1.618). If the price holds and begins to turn upwards, it could signal the start of an upward impulsive move.
Target: Initial targets could be set at the Fibonacci retracement levels, such as 0.382 (42,413), 0.5 (42,393), or 0.618 (42,373). A stronger move could aim toward the higher Fibonacci levels.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the recent low, possibly below the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level (42,203), to limit downside risk.
This analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal setup after wave completion. Make sure to monitor the price action for confirmation before entering a trade, and adjust risk management based on market conditions.
Happy trading and trade wisely guys..
US30 / Consolidation Zone with a Bearish BiasUS30 Technical Analysis
The price has a consolidate between 42130 and 41970
Bearish Scenario: Breaking 41970 by closing 1h or 4h candle under it, will be a bearish trend to get 41740 and then 41560
Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42130
Resistance Levels: 42290, 42450, 42590
Support Levels: 41970, 41750, 41560
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 42130
US30 / Dow Jones Buys!!!Analysis Confirmation
1. Fibonacci Levels: I’ve marked the 0.618, 0.786, and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which align well with potential reversal and target areas. The 0.618 level at approximately 42,327 acts as support, while the 0.786 level around 42,479 provides additional confirmation near the breakout point.
2. Descending Triangle Breakout: Your chart shows a descending triangle with the resistance trendline below the 42,500 area, indicating a potential breakout if the price can close above it. This pattern suggests bearish exhaustion, so a breakout above the trendline could initiate a bullish move.
3. Target Levels: You’ve set the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci extension levels as potential targets, at approximately 42,884 and 43,374 respectively. These strong resistance zones give realistic take-profit levels if the breakout occurs.
4. Moving Averages and Support: The price is supported by the 200-period moving average (black line) and is currently testing the 50-period moving average (blue line). A break and hold above the 50-period moving average could signify bullish strength.
Trade Description
Entry:
- Enter a buy position on a confirmed breakout above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level around 42,479. Look for a strong close above this level to confirm momentum.
Stop Loss:
- Set a stop loss below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, around 42,340, to manage risk in case of a pullback or false breakout.
Take Profit:
- First target: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level around 42,884, which could serve as the initial resistance.
- Second target: 2.618 Fibonacci extension level around 43,374, if bullish momentum continues.
Risk Management:
- Keep your risk per trade low, ideally around 1-2% of your account balance, especially if this is part of your account growth strategy.
US30 SELL ANALYSIS TRIANAGLE PATTERN Here on Us30 price has form triangle pattern and now try to fall as the line 42232.4 has broken so is likely to fall more and trader should go for SHORT with expected profit target of support level. Use money management
US30 Bearish Trend For Coming DaysI am Looking Bearish trend US500 in coming days, Monthly Candle Sweep Also Previous Candle High.
Dow Jones IndustrialHello community,
A short daily analysis of the famous Dow Jones Industrial.
As long as we stay above the red line at 41832 points, there is not much to worry about.
However, if we break this level, it is another story.
I drew a Fibonacci, to have the levels.
The market is nervous with the Trump and Kamala duel.
The trend is still bullish, because we are above the simple average of the 200 periods!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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US30 Holds Bearish Bias Below Key Resistance LevelsUS30 Technical Analysis
As long as trades under 42450 will support a bearish trend to touch 42125and below that will get 41950 as well
Stability above 42,125 may prompt a move toward 42,300 and 42,450; however, a bullish reversal requires a breakout above 42,590.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42280
Resistance Levels: 42770, 42910, 43050
Support Levels: 42125, 41950, 41750
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 42450
- Bullish by stability above 42590
previous idea:
US30 THIS IS POWERFUL!!In this video, I break down us30 into the trade I executed. Making use of a HTF and using a LTF for entries.
how im setup on xauusd whating my videoshi friends i hope you like my next prediction on xauusd , how im set up my movements if you like to know more asking me please like make sure you make $$$$$$
USA30 H1 time frame possible entry.Hi traders am expecting a rejection from 41800 n a bit of consolidation before a pick however we are on earnings report since last week,if you want to trade it well do your own analysis in smaller time frame n see if you gonna find same zones n see where you can place stop looses I recommend you to hold a trade for week if you are to talking it atleast for better bread your risks is the one that's gonna tells you how long you can last in the trade thanks.
Swing Trade Idea#3Price break below well respected point of interest zone (support). Now we expect price to pull back to retest the supply zone to sell.
US30 is in downtrendUS30 is in downtrend on hourly chart price is making higher highs and lower highs, current levels are good for shorting price has taken a correction and know showing bearish signs.
