USAIND trade ideas
US30: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 44,393.91 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 44,450 zone. Dow Jones is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 44,450 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
First obvious major clue may be stronger than the second.I think this shows a clear direction in price action. Strong moves addition to bullish trend line and internal structure. Now at the moment, I am looking at the trend line as a major attraction point in the current moment. Some opinions may say that it's more correct to sell down lower from the trend line, and that might be correct. Although, at this moment, price has yet to have a proper pullback after a clean breakout below. It might honestly just be too obvious that it'd go down lower after retesting trend line, so in my opinion, I think the most clear entry right now is to buy now at a low point, might as well be called a liquidity pool. So right now in this strong trend change, the next obvious major potential for move is going to be back at trend line. The next obvious move will be even more obvious, so then it might also be lacking stability, but until then, my focus here is to buy within a potential deep pullback.
US30 BUY IDEA🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Demand Zone Entry:
• Price tapped into a strong demand zone (gray box) around 44,280 – 44,330, signaling potential institutional buying interest.
• Liquidity Grab:
• Sell-side liquidity has been swept just below the previous lows, which aligns with a classic SMC liquidity manipulation before a bullish move.
• Projected Market Structure Shift:
• Price is forming a higher low, hinting at a potential reversal and bullish BOS (Break of Structure).
• Expecting a multi-leg bullish move, targeting 44,812 area, filling imbalance and reaching premium zones.
• Risk-Reward Outlook:
• Stop loss placed just below the demand zone.
• Take profit aligned with previous highs and inefficiency zone — a favorable R:R ratio for swing traders.
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🧠 Smart Money Narrative:
1. Sweep of liquidity below demand.
2. Institutional buy orders triggered.
3. Low-risk buy opportunity with clear internal structure shift.
4. Bullish continuation toward premium pricing and unfilled imbalances.
US30 Projected All Time Highs As Bullish Trend ResumesPrice is currently being supported by an H4 demand zone. If this demand zone continues to hold and apply pressure to the upside, we will soon be seeing new all time highs. Which really should not surprise us because as we all know, indices are generally bullish long term.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 4h Chart (FOREXCOM)4-hour candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (US30) showing the price movement from late June to early July 2025. The current price is 44,314.0, with a slight increase of +23.0 (+0.05%). The chart includes buy and sell signals at 44,316.5 and 44,310.5 respectively, with highlighted resistance and support zones. The index has shown a general upward trend with some volatility over the period.
US30 H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44576.41, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 44162.08, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 44922.32, a swing high resistance.
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Dow Jones Extends Rally Toward New HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained nearly 1%, approaching the all-time high zone near 45,000 points. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, supported by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that a rate cut may occur later this year, despite renewed concerns over a potential reignition of trade war tensions. If buying pressure holds in the short term, this could fuel further upward momentum, potentially pushing the index to new record levels.
Consistent Uptrend
The recent bullish swings have sustained a steady level of investor confidence, allowing the upward trend to remain unbroken. So far, there hasn’t been any significant selling correction strong enough to break the structure, meaning the dominant long-term uptrend remains intact. This continues to be the most important technical pattern to monitor, although the index is once again testing previous highs, where short-term selling corrections may emerge.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI line is hovering near the overbought level around 70, suggesting that buying momentum has created an imbalance in market forces. This may open the door to a potential technical pullback as the index approaches historical highs.
ADX: The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral 20 level, maintaining a steady upward slope in recent sessions. If this trend continues, it could indicate increasing strength behind the current uptrend, especially if key resistance levels are broken.
Key Levels:
44,970 – Major Resistance: This level marks the all-time high and serves as the most important short-term resistance. A breakout above it could strengthen the bullish bias, open the door to new record highs, and further confirm the ongoing uptrend.
43,863 – Intermediate Support: A technical indecision zone seen in late February. A drop below this level may trigger a period of short-term neutrality or sideways movement.
42,756 – Critical Support: This zone aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages, making it a key technical area. A break below this level may signal the end of the current bullish trend and initiate a deeper correction.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US30 Sell IdeaSelling in the 44815–44886 zone, targeting a drop to 44476.50 with a stop loss at 44927.50 to cap risk. This setup aims to catch a pullback from resistance after the recent upward move, expecting the price to retrace toward the lower support area. Trade with discipline and wait for bearish confirmation around the entry zone.
US30 Consolidates Below Resistance – Tariff Risks LoomUS30 – Market Overview
The price is currently consolidating within the range of 44490 to 44180, awaiting a breakout to determine the next directional move.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 44490, we expect bearish volatility to retest 44180.
A confirmed 1H close below 44180 would open the path toward 43960 and 43760.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price closes above 44490, it will likely trigger a bullish move toward 44750, with potential extension to 44970 ATH and beyond.
Note: Market sentiment remains sensitive to tariff-related developments, which may drive sharp moves in either direction.
Pivot Level: 44490
Support: 44180, 43960, 43770
Resistance: 44750, 44960, 45100
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 8 July 2025- Dow Jones reversed from long-term resistance level 45000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 44000.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the long-term resistance level 45000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of November) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous medium-term ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i).
Dow Jones (US30): Recovery in Motion — Target at 45,000Market Overview:
The Dow Jones index holds above the support zone at 44,183 after a local correction. The broader trend remains bullish, with the primary target set near the monthly resistance zone at 45,000.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed ABCD pattern
— Support confirmed at H8 level (44,183)
— EMA acting as dynamic support
— Upside potential toward channel resistance
Key Levels:
Support: 44,183, 43,455
Resistance/Target: 45,000
Scenario:
Primary: If Dow Jones remains above 44,183, continuation toward 45,000 is likely.
Alternative: A break below 44,183 could trigger a deeper correction toward 43,455.
Dow Jones takes a different path!US President Donald Trump announced a postponement of the suspension of tariffs from July 9 to August 1, stressing that this deadline is final and will not be delayed again.
This decision has left the markets cautious, particularly US indices, but the Dow Jones Index has taken a different route compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which are generally trending upwards. Meanwhile, the Dow has shifted its direction from bullish to bearish.
On Monday, July 7 2025, the Dow Jones fell and recorded a lower low at 44,348.45, below its previous higher low. This signals a trend reversal on the 4-hour chart from bullish to bearish, a trend it had maintained for the past few weeks.
What’s the next expected move?
The current rise is considered a corrective move aiming to retest the 44,723.87 level, before likely dropping again to target 44,320.29. The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price rises above 44,880.90 and closes a 4-hour candle above
Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones.
Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears.
Technical Outlook:
Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum.
A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960.
However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond.
Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770
Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100
Note:
Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices.
Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
US30 Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 44,371.8.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 43,586.3 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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