USAIND trade ideas
US30 Eyes New Highs – But Pullback Likely FirstThe Dow Jones (US30) remains in a short-term ascending channel, with momentum building toward new highs. However, signs point to a stronger pullback before those upper levels are tested. Watch for the channel base and broader trendline to act as key support before continuation.
US30 Markup May 18thWhat did the tomato say to the other tomato during a race? Ketchup!! Now lets ketchup on these charts.
Price is in an uptrend and is nearing my key level 42,474. If price breaks and retests that area, then I will get in for the buy and buy up to 42,672 area.
However, like a puppy, price does whatever it wants. So, if price breaks structure around 42,268, I shall wait for price to break and retest that area so I can get in for the sell down to 42,141.
I shall be waiting for the break and retest on the one-minute timeframe for both the buy or sell.
Lastly, enjoy yourself, and be responsible.
Crab vs Order BlocksThe Dow Jones Crab 🦀 finds itself caught in the web of order blocks, navigating a treacherous sea of buyers and sellers.
The golden level of the crab has crept dangerously close to the sellers' order block territory, and all eyes are on the impending tumble.
It seems the crab might just scuttle its way down to the buyers' order block nestled at the very bottom, right by its own clawed feet.
Hold tight, folks—this crustacean's market dance is about to get interesting!
US30 Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,620.8.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 45,530.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Drop followed followed by long.Dow Jones is currently attempting to continue its bullish resurgence, but has failed to do so by failing to stabilise above 40,883. As long as price action is under the 40k mark, the points may likely retest the previous support barriers, situated between 39,500 and 38,750, as likely bullish catalysts for a long opportunity. However, by failing to go down, breaking, and stabilising above 40,883, the price may continue going up, targeting 42,600 and 42,000.
US TARGETING 40200 THEN WAITING TO BUY Fibonacci retracements are simply tools to spot high‐probability pullback zones. You draw them from swing A→B, watch for price to respect the 38–62% band, then join the trend with stops just beyond the next deeper level. Extensions beyond 100% become logical profit targets.
US30: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 42,259.4 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow ready to go above 200 MA?The Dow has been coiling for the past few days underneath its 200-day moving average, as it watched the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 break higher. But yesterday support at 41,780 held and this led to a strong bounce. The resulting price action created a hammer candle on the daily time frame. With this latest bull signal, can the index now break above its 200 MA and move higher? The underlying trend is looking increasingly bullish.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
"US30 Heist Alert: Thief Style's Bullish Plan to Steal Profits!"🌟 Salut! Ciao! Hola! Konnichiwa! 🌟
Dear Wealth Raiders & Market Bandits, 🤑💰✈️
Here’s our slick *Thief Trading Style* heist plan for the **US30 / Dow Jones Industrial Average Cash** Index, crafted with sharp technicals and fundamentals. 💥 Stick to the chart’s long entry strategy and aim to slip out near the spicy Yellow ATR Zone—a risky, overbought level where bears and traps lurk. 🏆💸 *Grab profits and treat yourself, you’ve earned it!* 💪🎉
**Entry 📈**: The heist kicks off! Watch for a breakout above the MA line (42600.0) to jump in—bullish riches await! 🤑 Set *buy stop orders* above the MA or *buy limit orders* near the most recent 15/30-min swing low/high for pullback entries. 🚨 Set an *alert* to catch the breakout signal!
**Stop Loss 🛑**: Yo, thieves, listen up! 🗣️ For buy stop orders, hold off on placing that stop loss until the breakout confirms. 🔊 Place it at the 8H recent/swing low (40850.0) for day/swing trades. Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Play it smart, or it’s your loot on the line! ⚠️🔥
**Target 🎯**: Aim for 44500.0 or bail before the target hits. 🏴☠️
**Scalpers, eyes here 👀**: Stick to long-side scalps. Big bankrolls can dive in; smaller ones, join the swing trade heist. Use *trailing SL* to lock in your haul. 💰
💸 **US30 Market Heist Outlook**: The index is neutral but leaning bullish, fueled by key drivers. ☝ Check the fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitics, sentiment, intermarket analysis, and future trend targets for the full score. 🌎🔗
⚠️ **Trading Alert: News & Position Management** 📰🚫
News can shake the market hard. To protect your loot:
- Skip new trades during news releases.
- Use trailing stop-loss orders to secure running profits.
💖 Boost our heist plan! 🚀 Hit that *Boost Button* to power up our robbery squad. With *Thief Trading Style*, we’re snatching profits daily. 🏆🤝 Stay sharp for the next heist plan! 🤑🐱👤🤩
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### Latest Real-Time Data (UTC+1, May 16, 2025) 📊
*Data sourced from reliable platforms like Financial Juice and official market feeds.*
**Indices** 📈
- US30 (Dow Jones): 42580.0 | +0.18% 😊
- S&P 500: 5720.5 | +0.12% 😄
- NASDAQ 100: 20150.2 | +0.25% 😊
- FTSE 100: 8250.3 | -0.05% 😐
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### Latest COT Data (Updated Friday, May 9, 2025) 📑
*Commitment of Traders (COT) report for US30/Dow Jones futures, sourced from CFTC.*
- **Non-Commercial (Speculators)**:
- Long: 45,200 contracts | +2,500 😄
- Short: 38,900 contracts | -1,200 😊
- Net Position: +6,300 (Bullish bias) 🟢
- **Commercial (Hedgers)**:
- Long: 82,500 contracts | -1,000 😐
- Short: 90,700 contracts | +800 😐
- Net Position: -8,200 (Bearish hedge) 🔴
- **Open Interest**: 165,400 contracts | +1,200 😊
- **Key Insight**: Speculators are increasing bullish bets, while hedgers lean bearish, signaling potential volatility near resistance levels like the Yellow ATR Zone. ⚠️
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💥 Join the *Thief Trading* crew, boost the plan, and let’s raid the markets together! 🤑🚀
US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update 🚨
Dow Jones just bounced cleanly off the 20 EMA and is now attempting to break through 42,400 resistance 📈
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
📍 Current Price: 42,338
🧭 Key Resistance: 42,400
✅ Strong bounce from 41,800 zone
📊 EMAs sloped up, confirming bullish momentum
This looks like a bullish retest and continuation setup 🔁. Price had a healthy pullback, tapped dynamic support, and now buyers are stepping back in.
🔥 Key Scenarios:
Bullish case 🟢:
Break + close above 42,400 = potential leg up toward 42,600–42,800
EMAs in bullish alignment = trend continuation likely
Bearish case 🔴:
Rejection + close back below 42,200 = retest of 41,800–41,600 support
Would still be a buy-the-dip zone for now
🧠 Pro Tip:
➡️ Don’t short a trending market just because it “looks high”
➡️ Let structure guide you, not emotion
➡️ Tight consolidations near highs = strength 💪
US30 D1 | Bullish Continuation Based on the D1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 41,289.74, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 43107.01, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 40,618.88, a swing low support level.
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US30 MAY 15What kind of birds stick together? Velcrows! And we shall stick together as we conquer this market. Today price is stuck between 2 key areas (41,973 and 41797).
I am going to wait for price to break and retest one of those areas before I get into a buy or sell respectfully. on the 1m timeframe.
And I'm trading level to level. If it goes for the sell, it is evident that price will try to fill in the price gap that it left behind and few days ago. 41,527 level
And if price decides that it wants to go for the buy, I'll buy up to the next level where price last stopped on the hourly, 42,139 level.
But, like a 21-year-old girl, 5 shots in off of Tequilla, price will do whatever it wants, so trade responsibly. And have fun!!!
US30 Reversal Brewing? Key Demand Zone Holding Strong!The Dow is reacting sharply from a key demand zone around 41,881 – 41,905, hinting at a potential short-term reversal.
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Technical Breakdown:
Demand Zone Held: Price bounced multiple times off the orange zone, signaling strong buyer interest.
Bullish Candles Forming: Current price action shows momentum shifting in favor of bulls.
Upcoming Target Zones:
42,145 – Minor resistance / possible take-profit for scalpers
42,398 – Major supply zone where sellers could re-enter
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Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Play:
Buy above 41,905 after a solid bullish candle close
First TP: 42,145
Second TP: 42,398
SL: Below 41,860
2. Bearish Rejection (Invalidation):
If the price fails to hold 41,880 support, expect a deeper push toward 41,700 and below
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Why It Matters:
We’re heading into a major U.S. data release (see calendar icon on chart). Volatility is expected, so watch this zone closely for a breakout or rejection!
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What’s Your Bias?
Scalping the bounce or waiting for confirmation? Drop your trade setups in the comments below!
#US30 #DowJones #Indices #Forex #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Is It Over?Today's red Doji candle at the underside of the downtrend line is a high potential short entry point if not already. Despite the rally the past week or so, it is far from convincing...no real conviction to buy this market and who can blame them.
The current wave 2 bounce will be followed by wave 3 down as the most likely scenario, or we are in a wave 4 to be followed by a wave 5 to complete, any firm close below the lows gives us our answer.
Gold is selling off, our $3400 target was met and reversed in a now wave 4 down, this may approach the $3160 area, or a sideways move before another strong wave 5 up.
This is a great opportunity to accumulate physical metals to protect yourself from the coming reset.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading and God Bless you all!
Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised to begin a significant decline, potentially as early as today, May 15, 2025, targeting a retest of the price low from April 7, 2025 (~36,611.78), and possibly lower. This movement is driven by renewed trade tensions, disappointing economic data, and bearish market sentiment.
1. Fundamental Factors Driving Potential Decline
Fundamental factors provide the macroeconomic and policy-driven rationale for the anticipated downturn in the Dow Jones.
1.1. Renewed Uncertainty in Trade Policy
The Dow’s rally on May 12–13, 2025, was fueled by optimism over a temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction agreement (90-day truce) announced after talks in Switzerland on May 11, 2025. However, as of May 15, 2025, investor confidence is faltering due to a lack of progress in ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations.
Trigger for May 15: A Reuters report from May 14, 2025, notes that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are meeting with Chinese officials, but no new agreements have been confirmed. If today’s talks fail to deliver positive outcomes or if President Trump escalates tariff rhetoric, the Dow could plummet, as seen in early April when tariffs triggered a 5.5% single-day drop. The Dow, with its heavy weighting of multinational corporations, is particularly vulnerable to trade war fears, which could drive it toward the April 7 low as investors price in higher costs and slower global growth.
1.2. Disappointments in Economic Data
CPI Reaction: The April 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on May 14, 2025, showed inflation at 2.3% annually, below the expected 2.4%. However, the Dow’s decline (-0.6%) on May 14 suggests investors expected a lower figure to support Federal Reserve rate cuts, reflecting skepticism about inflation cooling further.
Producer Price Index (PPI) Release on May 15: The PPI for April 2025, due at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM CEST) on May 15, 2025, is critical. A higher-than-expected PPI, potentially driven by tariff-related cost pressures, could signal rising consumer prices, reducing hopes for Fed easing and triggering a sell-off. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly increase; a reading above 0.3% could echo the April market reaction when GDP contraction fears pushed the Dow to 36,611.78.
Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May 2025, released on May 14, likely showed continued weakness (April: 52.2, a multi-year low). A further decline could heighten concerns about reduced consumer spending, impacting Dow components like Walmart and Home Depot.
1.3. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy
On May 7, 2025, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “elevated uncertainty” due to trade policies, with markets expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, starting in July. If today’s PPI or Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) indicate persistent inflation or economic weakness, rate cut expectations could fade, increasing borrowing costs and pressuring Dow valuations, mirroring the April 7 recession fears.
2. Technical Analysis
The Dow’s initial decline in April was approximately -19.00%, with a second impulse of similar magnitude. Technical indicators suggest a bearish setup for May 15, 2025:
Current Level: The Dow closed at 42,051.06 on May 14, 2025, down 0.6%, testing support at 42,000.
Bearish Signals: A 12-hour timeframe analysis indicates alignment for a decline, with potential bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) and overbought RSI (70). A break below 42,000 could target the 200-day moving average (40,500) and the April 7 low of 36,611.78.
Price Targets:
Retest of April 7, 2025, low: ~36,611.78
Secondary target: ~35,970.70 (based on Fibonacci extensions and prior support zones).
3. Market Sentiment and Behavioral Factors
Fragile Optimism: The Dow’s 15% recovery from April lows was driven by trade truce hopes and select stock strength. Bloomberg’s May 14, 2025, report notes Wall Street’s rebound is “showing signs of exhaustion” due to trade risks. The Dow’s May 14 weakness, led by an 18% UnitedHealth drop, could spread if negative news emerges today.
Global Correlation: Mixed Asian market performance on May 14 (e.g., Nikkei up 1.43%, India’s Nifty 50 down 1.27%) suggests vulnerability. A lower Asian open on May 15, driven by U.S. declines or trade news, could amplify selling pressure on the Dow.
4. Evidence-Based Framework for the Forecast
4.1. Catalysts for Today’s Decline (May 15, 2025)
PPI Data (8:30 AM ET): A PPI reading above 0.3% could signal sticky inflation, reducing Fed rate cut odds and sparking a sell-off.
Trade Talk Updates: Negative U.S.-China trade comments (e.g., no Geneva deal) could reignite fears, mirroring April 7.
Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Claims above 220,000 (vs. prior 211,000) could signal labor market weakness, fueling recession concerns.
4.2. Dow Scenario
Expect a wave-like decline with corrections. The Dow could fall below 36,611.78, potentially reaching ~35,970.70 if trade and economic pressures intensify. Extreme caution is advised in 2025.
4.3. Global Scenario for S&P 500
I anticipate a wave-like decline with intermittent corrections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 falls below 4,700, potentially reaching 4,200. Extreme caution is warranted this year. There’s even a theory that, starting in 2025, the U.S. dollar could lose 50% of its purchasing power.
Idea:
New Screenshot:
4.4. Oil and Geopolitical Outlook
I expect oil (Brent) to decline to the $50+/- range, from which an upward trend may begin, potentially tied to future military conflicts:
· Europe vs. Russia
· India vs. Pakistan
· Iran vs. Israel
Brent (UKOIL):
Natural Gas: