USATEC trade ideas
Precision Trading – How Our Trade Played Out PerfectlyIn trading, precision and patience are everything. We don’t chase trades—we wait for the perfect confluence of technical factors to align. This trade idea followed our systematic approach, utilizing ranges, Fibonacci levels, internal & inducement liquidity, break of structure (BOS), entry confirmation patterns, and harmonics. Here’s a breakdown of how it all unfolded.
1. Identifying the Range
Before executing, we mapped out the market structure to establish a clear range. The price action showed a well-defined consolidation zone, which helped us anticipate liquidity grabs and potential reversal points.
2. Fibonacci Confluence – 38.20% Level
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, we identified the 38.20% level as a strong reaction point. This aligned with other key technicals, increasing our confidence in the trade setup.
3. Internal & Inducement Liquidity
Liquidity is key in trading. We spotted internal liquidity zones where price was likely to manipulate weak hands before the actual move. Inducement liquidity was also present, providing additional confirmation that price would tap into deeper levels before reversing.
4. Break of Structure (BOS) and Entry Confirmation
Once BOS occurred in alignment with our anticipated liquidity grab, we looked for our entry pattern. The market printed a textbook confirmation, allowing us to enter with precision and minimal risk.
5. Harmonic Pattern for Additional Confluence
The final piece of confirmation was a harmonic pattern, further validating our entry. These patterns, when combined with our overall strategy, add an extra layer of probability to our trades.
Trade Outcome
The execution was flawless! 🎯 The price respected our levels, moved in our favor, and hit our target zones with precision. This is the power of structured analysis and disciplined execution.
📉 Key Takeaway: Never trade blindly! Always have a solid confluence of technicals before taking a trade.
🔎 What’s your go-to confirmation before entering a trade? Let’s discuss in the comments! 📩
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Monday NasDaqMorning Buddy, Today I hope to see 2 things that I have put on my Journal, 1 : Nas is within a daily FVG which seems weak to hold, but enough to create a manipulative retracement, either into the highlighted zone, which is a weekly bullish candle. 2 : The gap gets slowly taken, increasing FOMO trading and then retraces leaving $ lows, should this happen I expect to see the market retrace in a way that makes 15 minutes charts going down to 5, seem completely bullish.
I will drop a video later today to keep up with the charts. Stay tuned. Happy Trading
NASDAQ Pullback Loading? Small Retrace or Massive Opportunity AhThe NAS100 looks primed for more downside, but the real question is: how deep will the pullback go? Right now, we’re trading into key lows — a shallow retrace could offer a lower RR setup, but if we get a bigger move back, it could set the stage for a high-probability, high-reward trade.
$NAS100 in correction mode. Is a bounce coming?Market experts will say 10% is a correction 20% is a bear market. In the last 5 years NASDAQ100 has been in the bear market 2 times. Once during COVID19 and another time during the FED Rate hike cycle. And it has been in correction mode in Aug 2024 when the Yen carry trade unwound.
Since Aug 2024 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has shown great strength with higher highs and higher lows and perfectly within the upward slopping Fib Retracement channel as shown in the chart below respecting the major fib levels and bouncing off from the 0.618 Fib retracement level every time it had a drawdown. The current correction in PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is very close to the 0.618 Fib retracement level which is currently at 18700. This will indicate another potential downside of 2-3 % and if the Fib levels are supposed to holds then we will see a bottom @ 18700 and a bounce back from those levels. This will also bring down the RSI to low 30s which will indicate an oversold position.
Verdict: Start DCA into $ NAS100 and go long 18700.
$NQ CorrectionPrice clearly is going towards Sellside Liquidity.
The standard deviation shows -2 to -2.5 is where price would reverse from and its also aligned with Sellside liquidity.
Idea: Bearish.
NDX / M2 Double Top? Echoes of the Dot-Com BubbleThis chart compares the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) to the M2 Money Supply, revealing a potentially critical inflection point. The NDX/M2 ratio has reached levels not seen since the dot-com bubble — and now appears to be forming a textbook double top.
NASDAQ Bearish, What's Next? Is 18.5k feasible?Price respected Weekly's bearish imbalance to continue lower. Still price is within the weekly's context area to which is suitable to look for entries in lower timeframes targeting weekly's swing low (POI).
Once, the Weekly POI get's tagged we might look to continue to the next POI (Point of Interest). Likely, the daily swing lows.
What's Next?
Potential target price is 18,537.88.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY bearish reaction to US PCE data US PCE Inflation – Market Impact (NASDAQ Focus)
Headline PCE YoY: 2.5% (steady, in line with expectations).
Core PCE YoY: 2.8% (higher than 2.7% prior, above forecasts).
MoM Figures: Headline +0.3%, Core +0.4% (showing steady inflation pressure).
Market Implications for NASDAQ:
Slightly hawkish as Core PCE remains elevated—could delay Fed rate cuts.
Tech stocks (NASDAQ) may face short-term selling pressure as yields react.
If risk appetite holds, dips could present buying opportunities in growth stocks.
Watch Treasury yields & Fed commentary for further market direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20000
Resistance Level 2: 20350
Resistance Level 3: 20650
Support Level 1: 19,440
Support Level 2: 19,140
Support Level 3: 18880
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
#NDX - 28 MarSimilar to SPX, NDX flushed down to make a new lows. However, if this holds, look for a move back to yesterday's high.
Nasdaq analysis: 28-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
NQ: End of day analysis!We got another bearish day, but NO change in the structure! Price is making a HL. As long as there is no LL, we can expect anytime a move up to create a new HH.
Tariffs noises are weighing a lot and restraining the move up to 50%.
Tomorrow we have Core PCE.
1- An overshoot, cancel the 50% and price go south;
2- Inline and undershoot, the 50% is reachable and price goes north.
Monday is end of Month and Quarter. Rebalancing portfolios large hands and corporations is in play.
Good evening/night!
NAS100 BuysHello Fokes it's me again, if you can check the cautious sign ☢️ there is the liquidity sweep and the light bulb 💡 represents the BOS bt the disadvantage of this trade is that there are equal highs just swept recently bt let's Go I'm risking 1% of the whole account
US100US100 is in bearish trend,
printing LH and LL.
Alligator indicator also indicates price will go down.
We sell at CMP.
Potential SELLI will be looking for a sell reason being because we are at a supply zone and I will be looking for the market to fill Mondays gap. Risk will be around 1:2
Short on NAS100With tariffs on all foreign cars escalating likely going to see NAS100 tanking, waiting for NY session with the 15 min idea that I hope its invalidated then take on the 1hr idea
Nasdaq analysis: 27-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
[NDX] A textbook chart for being bearishSummary
- See the previous idea for context:
- Another realization: horizontal channels for S/R work better than diagonal ones. This doesn't mean that the latter need to be discarded altogether.
- Looking back, NDX did really have desperate jumps towards the end of the bull rally.
- High volume on days with large inverted hammers was a sure sign of an impending stampede.
- Today's rejection is why being long without confirmation is a bear trap. Being on the short side is much less stressful.
Retailers on the Attack: The “Buy the Dip” Phenomenon on NasdaqBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
In a surprising turn of events for the stock market, so far in 2025 we see how retail investors have taken center stage, betting heavily on “ buy the dip” as large investors reduce their positions. According to data from VandaTrack, these small investors have injected nearly $70 billion into U.S. stocks and ETFs. This phenomenon, which seems to be straight out of a Reddit forum, has sparked conversation on digital platforms and has captured the attention of analysts and specialized media.
The “buy the dip” phenomenon is based on the idea of buying stocks during their declines, with the expectation that the price will recover and a profit will be made. Despite the volatility generated by the current environment - marked by geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes and the impact of technological innovations such as China's DeepSeek artificial intelligence - retailers have shown unusual resilience. Phrases such as “be the dip” have become popular in forums and social networks, driving a wave of optimism that contrasts with the cautious approach of large investors, who are withdrawing their liquidity or diversifying into less volatile assets.
The notable betting by retail investors is reflected in large-scale deals. For example, last week alone saw investments of $3.2 billion in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and $1.9 billion in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), according to figures released by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). These moves not only evidence confidence in the recovery potential of these companies, but also the ability of small investors to influence liquidity and market direction.
In addition, the trend extends to leveraged ETFs, whose trading volume has increased considerably. The “buy the dip” behavior has been internalized to the point of becoming an automatic reflection of today's retail mentality. This phenomenon has also been observed in other international markets, where online investment platforms and mobile applications have facilitated access to the stock markets, allowing a greater number of investors to participate actively and, in many cases, on a massive scale. This dynamic can have both short- and long-term effects. On the one hand, the massive inflow of capital by retailers can generate a “rebound effect” in certain sectors, especially those perceived as innovative and disruptive. On the other hand, the high concentration of investments in a few assets and sectors - such as technology - could increase volatility and systemic risk in the market. While the “buy the dip” strategy has worked in previous periods, relying solely on this tactic in such a changing environment could lead to significant imbalances if there is a sharp turn in the market.
The implications of this trend also extend to the regulatory arena. Financial authorities are closely observing how the massification of “buy the dip ” is impacting market stability, and some regulators have already initiated studies to evaluate possible control measures. The evolution of this phenomenon could force a rethinking of current regulations on retail investor participation in high volatility markets.
Technical Analysis Nasdaq 100(Ticker AT: USATEC)
Currently, the main support zone is around 16,986 points. The second support zone pivots around 18,400 points. The current range is between 18,737 and 20,505 points with the control point (POC) at 19,755 points. The RSI is at 53.64% since this last rebound started at 23.03% so it seems to have stabilized in a middle zone. If we look at the movement of the index, it does not seem to have finished its movement to the upper band of the range. At the moment, it is about to test its strength in the direction of the highs if the Bulls continue to drill hard. The truth is that on March 4th on the daily chart there was a bearish crossover, so it does not seem that this strength will hold and the lower part of the range will be tested again. If the index shows weakness we will see a return to the 18,400 level.
In short, while the “ sharks ” or large investors flee the water, the “ minnows ” continue to splash about happily, demonstrating a new era in which the democratization of access to the stock markets is redefining the rules of the game. The commitment to “ buy the dip ” is a clear reflection of a renewed confidence in the market's potential for recovery and growth, although not without risks and challenges that must be managed by both investors and authorities.
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NSDQ100 INTRADAY no reaction to durable goods dataThe US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders increased 0.9% ($2.7 billion) in February, reaching $289.3 billion. This follows a revised 3.3% gain in January and beats market expectations of a 1% decline.
Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.7%.
Excluding defense, orders increased 0.8%.
Transportation equipment led the gains, up 1.5% ($1.4 billion) to $98.3 billion.
Despite the positive data, equity markets showed little reaction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20,386
Resistance Level 2: 20,658
Resistance Level 3: 21,000
Support Level 1: 19,692
Support Level 2: 19,443
Support Level 3: 19,131
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
