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Nasdaq Rally Faces Strong Resistance at 22,000Nasdaq remains within the borders of its 2-year up-trending channel, and a break above 22,000–22,200 is needed to confirm the next rally toward 22,800–22,900. On the downside, tariff pressures and AI competition have led to temporary dips to 20,800. A firm close below 21,200 and 20,800, particularly below the 2-year channel boundaries, could extend losses toward 20,300, 19,900, and 19,700, aligning with the December 2024–January 2025 down trending channel boundaries. 🔍 Key Events to Watch: - Fed Powell’s Testimony – Part 2 - U.S. CPI Report & Monetary Policy Outlook - AI Innovations & Rising Chinese Competition - Tariff Announcement - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
NAS100 BEARISH 800PIPSBearish Forecast Explanation: Bearish means you expect the NAS100 to decline in value. You're targeting a move down by 800 points. Your stop loss is set at 300 points if the trade moves against you. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The risk-to-reward ratio (R/R) is a critical aspect of this setup: Risk = Stop loss (300 points). Reward = Target profit (800 points). Thus, the risk-to-reward ratio is 800/300, which simplifies to 2.67:1. This means that for every point you're risking, you expect to make 2.67 points in profit if the trade goes as planned. Market Forecast: To forecast whether the NAS100 is likely to fall by 800 points, we would generally need to assess the following factors: Technical Indicators: Support and Resistance Levels: Look for significant resistance near your entry level. A break of key support could push the index lower. Trend Analysis: If the NAS100 is currently in a downtrend, your bearish outlook has more confirmation. Indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages can help confirm momentum. If these indicate oversold conditions or the market is moving downward, it may support your bearish outlook. Economic Data: Interest Rate Changes (from the Fed or other central banks), economic data releases, or corporate earnings reports can impact the NAS100 significantly. A strong bearish catalyst like disappointing tech earnings, poor economic data, or geopolitical uncertainty could potentially drive the market down, aligning with your forecast.
FX:NAS100Short
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
NAS100USD: False Breakout & Institutional Sell ModelGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe a recent bullish shift in price action; however, this appears to be a false break of structure rather than a genuine bullish continuation. The market behavior suggests a classic liquidity raid, clearing buy stops before setting the stage for a potential bearish continuation. Let’s break this down in detail. KEY OBSERVATIONS 1. Liquidity Raid & Displacement: Price aggressively pushed above the engineered trendline to clear liquidity resting above it. Following this raid, we observed a strong displacement toward the downside, signaling that smart money likely distributed sell orders against the buy stop liquidity. 2. Premium Price Zone: Price is currently positioned within a deep premium range, a high-probability zone for institutional traders to initiate sell positions. This premium alignment strengthens the case for further bearish movement. 3. Rejection Block as Resistance: The market is reacting to a rejection block, which serves as a critical institutional resistance zone—the last line of defense for bearish momentum. This reinforces our bearish bias and offers a potential entry area. TRADING PLAN 1. Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmation at the rejection block to ensure a high-probability entry. Focus on short opportunities in line with institutional order flow. 2. Target Zones: Aim for discount liquidity pools resting at lower levels. These areas are prime targets for institutional traders to offload positions and take profits. Conclusion: By recognizing the false break of structure and understanding the liquidity dynamics at play, we align our strategy with the institutions’ intentions. Patience and precision will be key in capturing this opportunity. Stay focused and trade smart. The Architect 🏛️📊
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NASDAQ in an important multi-month congestioncontext I prefer trading individual stocks to indices because indices behave in a counterintuitive way. they work well with reversion-to-the-mean strategies as they happen to represent an aggregate picture, and that is what aggregates do. opinion indices are amazing at pointing out consolidation and expansion phases. they do this naturally as stocks move in bursts, mostly in unison. observation and implication NASDAQ approaches a critical period of congestion. an upside breakout will mean a further rally for the magnificent 8 (or as I call them, titans); and for RUT2000. a downward break would mean the inception of a bearish trend. titans shall fall, and eventually they will drag down all the frontrunners. the stocks to go up would be in the utility, energy, aerospace and defence (of course) sectors. stocks hidden from the average sigma beta capsicum hedge funds will have some time to react, hopefully. the trade speculation aside, - bullish on NAS if price breaks above $22900 - bearish on NAS if price breaks below $20450
NASDAQ:NDX
by wildhorse3
NAS100USD: Rejection Block Signals Potential Liquidity DrawGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that price is currently reacting to a rejection block, an institutional resistance zone. This offers a potential opportunity to seek short positions, anticipating a minor draw on liquidity to the downside. The plan is to wait for a bearish confirmation within this zone and target the liquidity pools resting below key lows. Stay patient and disciplined while awaiting confirmation before executing trades. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
NASDAQ repeating the 2021 and 2019 rallies.Nasdaq (NDX) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern. The whole sequence since the August 22 2024 High appears to be very similar with the price action that preceded the 2021 and 2019 C&H patterns. As you can see, both of those pattern had an identical trend towards them and equally rally after them, which targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. If the current C&H is completed on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it is reasonable to expect to continue to repeat those past patterns. As long as the 20600 Low doesn't break, we expect a June rally to 24650 at least. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
3
NASDAQ updateIn 2025, the NASDAQ:NDX index has started with uncertainties that were confirmed at the end of 2024 by breaking the blue trendline on the chart. Since then, as we warned at that time, the price has moved sideways , now clearly showing levels of support and resistance. If the highs that are forming are broken, the price will be ready for another rally, making it a good time to buy. If we remain within the range with a bullish outlook, it is a good idea to buy near the red support , taking advantage of the volatility to buy at the lower range and wait for a breakout. In the worst-case scenario, a bearish breakdown of this support invalidates any short-term bullish scenario, and the best option would be to make a small stop loss and exit the market. On the other hand, selling below the red supports once they are strongly broken is another idea to capitalize on the declines, which promise to be abrupt if they occur.
NASDAQ:NDX
by TopChartPatterns
Learn why the Nasdaq 100 could be about to soarThe Nasdaq 100 is showing an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout toward 23,100. Trade war concerns with Mexico and Canada have eased, while China has worked around tariffs by shifting production to other countries. A break above 21,962 could push prices up 5.3%, but rising inflation near 2.9% might force the Fed to consider rate hikes. Jerome Powell’s testimony tomorrow will give us a better idea of what’s next for markets. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by ThinkMarkets
6