Stock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal ProgressStock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal Progress
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) formed a bullish gap at Monday’s market open and, as of this morning, is trading at its highest level since early March.
This is driven by the announcement from the Trump administration of progress in securing a trade deal with China, following weekend negotiations held in Switzerland. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the two-day talks with Chinese officials in Geneva as “productive”, adding that more detailed information would be shared on Monday.
As a reminder, the US imposed tariffs of 145% on Chinese goods, to which Beijing responded with a 125% levy on American imports.
Technical Analysis of the E-mini Nasdaq 100 Chart
The chart is showing bullish signals:
→ The downward trendline (shown in orange) was broken around the 19,666 level, which has since acted as support (indicated by the blue arrow).
→ Today, the Nasdaq 100 has moved above last week’s resistance near the 20,175 level.
→ Market fluctuations are forming an upward channel (shown in blue) from the April lows, with the price currently sitting in the upper half of the channel—typically a sign of strong buying pressure.
Further updates on the US–China trade deal may reveal key details, potentially reinforcing the current bullish sentiment in the equity markets.
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USATEC trade ideas
3 Consistent Winner Beliefs. Do you check off all 3?> Every trader comes to the charts with a story.
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US100 - Liquidity sweep likely before bullish continuationFollowing a significant upward move last week, the US100 (Nasdaq 100 index) has entered a period of consolidation, currently exhibiting a ranging structure characterized by lower highs and relatively equal lows. This pattern typically suggests a tightening market where bullish momentum is cooling but not yet decisively reversed.
The presence of equal lows is particularly notable from a liquidity perspective. In retail trading behavior, such levels often attract a high concentration of stop-loss orders placed just below the support zone. Market participants perceive these lows as a reliable level of support, but in doing so, they inadvertently create a pocket of liquidity just beneath them.
Institutional players and market makers are well aware of these dynamics. It's common in such scenarios to witness what is known as a liquidity sweep, a short-term move below support levels to trigger stop-losses, fill large buy orders, and shake out weaker hands before the market resumes its dominant trend.
Given the current context, there's a high probability that we may see a downside sweep targeting the liquidity resting beneath the equal lows. This move would likely be swift and sharp, clearing out stop orders before a potential bullish reversal unfolds. If confirmed, such a move could mark the end of the current range and initiate a new impulsive leg higher in the broader uptrend.
Traders should watch for signs of price rejection or bullish divergence following the sweep as potential confirmation of this scenario. Until then, it’s prudent to remain patient and avoid getting trapped in the chop, especially near well-watched support zones.
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NAS100USD: Rejection Block & Breaker Converge for Sell SetupMarket Context:
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we note that although the market has been trading within bullish institutional order flow, current price action is presenting multiple signs that a bearish reversal may be underway. Institutional behavior appears to have shifted, particularly after liquidity was swept and price began to respect resistance zones.
Key Observations:
Premium Buy Stop Sweep:
Price action swept the swing high rather than breaking it cleanly, indicating a stop raid. This is a common smart money tactic used to engage with buy stop liquidity in premium pricing before reversing.
Rejection Block Formation:
A sharp rejection followed the liquidity sweep, leaving behind a Rejection Block—a powerful institutional resistance zone. This suggests the institutions placed sell orders against willing buyers and are defending this level.
Market Structure Shift:
We observe a break in internal structure to the downside, further confirming that the prior bullish order flow may now be transitioning into a bearish phase.
Breaker Block Retest:
Price has retraced into a Breaker Block, where institutions typically revisit prior zones of buying to mitigate exposure and initiate new sell positions. This zone is reinforced by alignment with the previous buy stop sweep, providing a high-value confluence area for short opportunities.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Await confirmation within the breaker on the lower timeframes. Once confirmed, these zones offer a strong institutional case for short positioning.
Targets:
Focus on discount liquidity pools as the primary objective. Selling from premium levels with the intention of targeting undervalued zones mirrors institutional execution models.
Stay aligned with smart money behavior—observe, confirm, and act with precision.
Happy Trading!
The Architect
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 20720
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
NAS100 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 21,335.35, an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 20,926.01, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 21,516.96, above the swing-high resistance.
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US100 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 21,312.4
Target Level: 19,338.7
Stop Loss: 22,625.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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Nasdaq100 (US100) Bearish Reversal Opportunity from ResistanceThe Nasdaq 100 is trading within a rising parallel channel on the 4H timeframe. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, showing signs of exhaustion near 21,240. This area also aligns with a psychological resistance zone and may attract selling interest.
Trade Idea:
A potential short setup is forming, anticipating a rejection from the upper trendline and a move back toward the lower channel support.
Entry: Near 21,238
Stop Loss: 21,748 (above the channel)
Take Profit: 20,009 (lower channel + previous support)
Fundamentals:
With tech stocks appearing overbought and rising interest rate expectations still looming, a corrective move in US indices may follow. Caution is advised around key economic releases.
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NAS100 Reaches Major Supply Zone – Will Bulls Hold or Fade?The NAS100 has just broken into a major supply zone around 20,139 – 20,470, previously tested in late April and early May. This zone has historically triggered sell-offs, as seen from the previous price reactions.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 20,139 – 20,470 (Visible Supply Zone)
Mid Support: 18,830 (Strong bounce level in April)
Demand Zone: 16,948 – 17,300 (Price base with historical accumulation)
What I'm Watching:
If bulls break and hold above 20,470, we could see a new bullish leg higher.
Failure to hold this zone could bring a sharp retracement toward 18,830 or even 16,948.
Upcoming U.S. economic events marked on the chart may be the catalyst for the next move.
Trade Ideas:
Short-Term Bears: Look for rejection candles or fake breakouts at current highs.
Trend Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest above 20,470 for longs.
Swing Buyers: Watch for bullish setups around 18,830 or the demand zone at 16,948.
Volume Profile + LuxAlgo Zones confirm this supply and demand setup. Smart money tends to react at these extremes—watch closely!
NDX Be carefullWe’re currently braced for an 8–9% pullback in the Nasdaq 100 before we attempt what could prove to be a bull‑trap breakout above last cycle’s all‑time high. Historically, the ‘summer swoon’ is supported by data showing that, since 2000, the Nasdaq 100 has experienced an average decline of roughly 5–7% between June and August as institutional investors trim positions ahead of mid‑year portfolio rebalances. With selling pressure typically peaking in July—when mutual funds lock in gains for window dressing—we’re unlikely to see a committed uptrend until the back‑to‑school season around late September to early October. Even if we see a short‑lived bounce on positive headlines or better‑than‑expected earnings, the broader bias remains sideways to down until seasonal headwinds abate and real money players rotate back into large‑cap tech.
US100 TO MAKE A MASSIVE DROP !!Price recently made a new lower high after we had a previous lower high around 20,122 price remains bearish as our recent trend isn’t taken out yet. Meaning that there is no new all time high formation yet. I anticipate a drop in price (abound 1000pip ) back to the previous lower high of 20122. Therefore we are looking forward to selling US100.
USTECUSTEC price is near the important resistance zone 21345 and 22244. If the price cannot break through 22244, it is expected that the price will drop.
**Very Risky Trade
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US 100 - Could The Recovery Continue?A press conference yesterday morning led by US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer outlined a positive conclusion to the first round of trade talks between the US and China. The news grabbing headline was a 90 day reduction in combined US levies on Chinese imports being reduced from 145% to 30% and Chinese duties on US goods dropping from 125% to 10%.
This announcement put a further squeeze on weak short equity positions, and gave fresh impetus to the bulls, helping to fuel a 4% rally in the US 100, taking it above some interesting technical levels (more on this below).
Now, with a framework in place for further talks between the world’s two biggest economies, representatives from the two countries have 90 days to work towards a broader agreement. However, US Treasury secretary Bessant did say that there may be a chance to extend the tariff reduction for a longer period if there is good faith, engagement and constructive dialog to keep moving forward. A slight caveat which outlines the huge amount of negotiation and focus that needs to be maintained from both sides to finalise a more long term agreement.
While traders may still be focused on trade negotiations and potential trade deal updates with allies across the rest of this week, there is also some economic data to focus on. The latest US inflation reading in the form of CPI is due out later today at 1330 BST, where any deviation from market expectations may either add further buying momentum to the recent move higher, or give traders a reason to take profits against some potentially important technical levels.
Technical Update: Breakout From the Late March Highs
With a positive reaction to the US/China trade talks seen in US equities, the US 100 index has posted its highest closing level since February 26th 2025, as price strength has continued to emerge from the capitulation to 16290 on April 7th.
Traders are possibly now viewing the ability of the index to close above 20871, the March 25th session high, as something that may lead to a more sustained period of price strength.
Of course, a break of a previous price high isn’t always a guaranteed signal of price strength, but with the constructive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows in place since the April 7th low (16290), the question may now be asked, what are the next potential resistance levels to current strength?
Potential Resistance Levels:
Having seen a new recovery price high for the current phase of strength posted on Monday at 20914, traders may now be viewing this level as a possible first resistance, and how this level is defended on a closing basis could be important.
However, following the latest price strength, if closes above this 20914 high were to materialise, traders might then shift their focus to 22226, which is the February 18th all-time high, as the next possible resistance area.
Potential Support Levels:
Of course, much depends on future market sentiment and price trends, and we know price strength can quickly fail, even reverse back to the downside. So, we must be aware of possible support levels that if broken, may see risks to turn towards potential of declines.
A support focus might now be half of the latest price strength seen from last week’s low, which stands at 20252. If this level gives way, a deeper decline might then be on the cards back towards 19627, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to May 2025 strength.
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Lesson 12: NasDaq100 Price Consolidation and Breakout Zone NasDaq price action analysis on consolidation zone. Using a break-out strategy, we waited for price to consolidate ( $20,755-$20,812.30 zone) on the 15min timeframe to breakout at $20,812.30 for our indication, correction and bullish price continuation, targeting price at $20,888.50. Price closed above $20,888.50 (resistance) thus we hold profits until we see price reversal.
NASDAQ SHORT1. All timeframes are massively overbought with RSI
2. There is a triple top on H1 and H4 with a lot of divergence
3. Trend is still up, so look to exit with any indicator
4. There is a AB=CD pattern on H1 and H4 which shows that this trade will finally retrace
5. Target 1 is at 20200
6. Previous days high is not broken which shows there is a lot of resistance at this level.
Nasdaq long up to 21,454.57Nasdaq is working on a strong recovery from the US tariffs.
Last Friday we saw a strong liquidity grab, respecting the current bullish trend and breaking the weak highs.
I do expect a little pullback to generate some more liquidity before pushing to higher highs at 21,454.57