NASDAQ: Rebounding on the 4H MA50. New High for the Channel Up.Nasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.883, MACD = 127.320, ADX = 37.197) and is rebounding today on the 4H MA50, right before the HL of the Channel Up. This is a technical bottom that calls for a buy. We aim for a new +6% bullish wave (TP = 20,800).
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USATEC trade ideas
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationUS-China Trade Talks:
The Trump administration is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to below 60% during upcoming talks. China may reciprocate. Chinese exports to the US have already dropped sharply following earlier steep tariffs.
Global Market Reaction:
Germany's DAX index hit a new high, recovering losses from the trade war. European stocks are rising on hopes of lower tariffs and potential rate cuts from the European Central Bank.
US Tax Policy:
Trump is urging Congress to raise taxes on the wealthy, proposing a 39.6% rate for individuals earning $2.5 million or more (or $5 million for couples).
Panasonic Job Cuts:
Panasonic plans to cut 10,000 jobs to improve profitability by focusing on growth areas and reducing operations in weaker sectors like TVs and industrial devices.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20530
Resistance Level 2: 20730
Resistance Level 3: 20950
Support Level 1: 19640
Support Level 2: 19325
Support Level 3: 19030
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Nasdaq Short: completion of wave structureA few days back, on the weekend, I posted an idea about pending short but price went down first to create a 4th wave before going back up to complete the price target last night. So, this is the updated wave count. Wait for retracement to short. Stop above the high.
NASDAQ Bulls Pushing – Will 20,347 Hold or Break?Price is currently approaching the 20,347 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally from the 19,150 🔽 support level. The market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer momentum.
Support at: 19,670 🔽, 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 20,347 🔼, 20,600 🔼, 21,000 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price breaks and holds above 20,347 🔼, we could see a continuation toward 20,600 and 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection from 20,347 🔼 could send price back down toward 19,670 and 19,150 for a retest.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RRNAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RR. After the TP hit from yesterday Im still expecting more bullish momentum so Im waiting to see if I can get this 1-10RR or at least 1-5RR from this. Remember we need confirmations to enter the trade. It has to brake structure in 5min before we enter.
Lets see
NAS100USD: Bearish Confluence Builds as Market WeakensGreetings Traders,
Despite the broader bullish context on NAS100USD, current confluences suggest a potential short-term move to the downside. As we enter the New York session—with a key news release on the horizon—we anticipate heightened volatility. The critical question now becomes: where is price most likely to draw?
Key Observations:
1. Shift in Market Structure:
Price failed to break above the previous high and instead formed a lower high, signaling weakness and suggesting a possible reversal. This lower high, marked by multiple rejection wicks, forms what we identify as a rejection block—a zone often used by institutions to initiate sell orders.
2. Displacement and Bearish Arrays:
Following this rejection, the market displayed strong displacement to the downside, confirming a market structure shift. This supports the likelihood of bearish continuation and increases the validity of bearish institutional arrays holding as resistance.
3. Current Zone of Interest:
Price is now trading within a fair value gap (FVG) aligned with a reclaimed order block—a strong confluence area for potential bearish continuation. Just above this zone lies a bearish order block and another FVG, which may act as a secondary resistance should price wick higher before moving down.
Trading Plan:
Wait for confirmation at the current resistance zones before considering entries. If validated, look to target the liquidity pools resting at lower, discount price levels.
Stay patient, trade with precision, and let the market confirm your idea.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Understanding the Crab's Potential Ascent Before the DescentCurrent market analysis suggests a potential temporary surge in the Nasdaq index, colloquially referred to as a "crab walk," possibly reaching a level of 20.4 before a significant correction.
While this upward movement may present short-term opportunities, it is crucial to recognize its potential transience.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bearish Break – Next Move is Confirmed 🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19870
We are watching this zone closely.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level
➗ 20050 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19900 – Equal lows
• 19980 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890
We are watching this zone closely.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level
➗ 20050 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19900 – Equal lows
• 19980 – Equal highs
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDAQ (NDX) Market OutlookCurrently, the NASDAQ is trading around 19,723. We're anticipating a short-term pullback toward the 19,462 level, where a significant pool of liquidity awaits. This zone could act as a magnet for price in the near term. Once price reaches this area, we’ll closely monitor the lower timeframes for a potential bullish reaction or accumulation, which could signal the next leg higher.
Stay patient and let price confirm at key levels.
NAS100USD: Volatility Opens Door for Sell Setup in NY SessionGreetings Traders,
As we enter the New York session—a period known for heightened volatility—we note that NAS100USD remains in a broader bullish environment. However, current price action suggests the potential for a short-term reversal, prompting us to explore selling opportunities.
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Internal Structure Developing:
Despite the overall bullish trend, internal price action reveals a sequence of lower lows, indicating the formation of a bearish microstructure. This internal weakness is reflected in the way bearish arrays—such as mitigation blocks and fair value gaps (FVGs)—continue to act as resistance zones.
2. Mitigation Block & FVG Alignment:
Recently, price delivered a strong displacement to the downside, followed by a retracement into a mitigation block that aligns with a fair value gap. This confluence reinforces the bearish bias and suggests institutional selling may be active in this zone.
3. Downside Targets – Gap Fill & Liquidity Pools:
The first downside target is a nearby inefficiency (gap) in price action, which the market often seeks to fill. The second target lies below, where sell-side liquidity pools are likely resting.
Trading Plan:
Monitor price behavior within the current resistance zone. If confirmation of continued bearish momentum appears, short positions targeting the aforementioned levels may be viable.
Stay focused and wait for confirmation before committing to any positions.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook - Potential ShortsPrice pushed up on Friday 25 May into an area of imbalance at 20170 and closed.
Then we have Monday which pushed up through out the day and failed to break and close above Friday 25th Hi, ending the day inside of Fridays candle followed by Tuesday being bear and failing to break and close above Monday hi candle but managed to break and close below Mondays candle close.
By this creating the high of the week, on a weekly time frame, reason for the short is to fill the daily volume imbalance highlighted in yellow. As price always needs to fill gaps in the market left behind by inefficient price action.
Only then I assume one could start looking for longs, as all sell side liquidity has been cleared.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
The Nasdaq 100’s rally may be coming to an endThe Nasdaq 100 has staged an impressive rally over the past two weeks, climbing more than 12% since Monday 21 April to close at roughly 19,970 on Monday 5 May. However, if there were a point at which the advance might pause, it could be near current levels. The index has risen to a key area of technical resistance in the 19,900 to 20,200 range, which could prove challenging to break through, especially given the uncertain outlook.
One driver behind the Nasdaq 100’s rise has been the fall in implied volatility, as indicated by the VXN. While the better-known Vix measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next month of trading, the VXN measures volatility on the Nasdaq 100. It has recently dropped to a reading of 25.7, down from more than 50 in April, as shown on the chart below. This decline in implied volatility probably triggered significant unwinding of put positions in the options market, allowing market-maker hedging flows to provide a tailwind for stocks. But with the VXN now back at levels last seen on 2 April, this tailwind may no longer be available to support the market.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 has returned to the 61.8% retracement level, a significant Fibonacci level that frequently acts as strong resistance and could help determine whether the recent rebound is genuine or merely a short-term blip. Just above this 61.8% retracement lies the 200-day moving average, another level that typically provides strong resistance. Furthermore, the 19,950 region has consistently acted as both support and resistance, dating back to June 2024. With these three resistance areas converging, it may be challenging for the tech-heavy index to sustain its upward momentum. Should stocks begin to reverse lower, initial support may be around 19,300, followed by a gap at 18,240.
That said, if the Nasdaq 100 somehow manages to overcome all these hurdles, it could rise to 21,100 – though such a move appears unlikely at this stage.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.