The same repeat as 4 April 2022The market seems to be recovering and more and more positive ideas are emerging. However, on a weekly timeframe, the NDX appears to be forming a pattern very similar to what we saw at the end of 2021. Even the RSI shows remarkably similar levels.
Personally, I’m staying cautious. I haven’t taken a position yet, but I’m ready to buy in on the next significant dip. I’ve set my alert around 14,500 – let’s hope we reach that level again. 😉
What are your thoughts on this? Feel free to share your opinion!
USATEC trade ideas
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NAS100USD: Bearish Setup Builds as Price Retests Key Supply ZoneGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we continue to observe bearish institutional order flow, and as such, our objective is to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias.
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Break of Structure and Retracement:
Following a clear bearish break of structure, price has retraced into a mitigation block. This zone represents an area where institutional buying previously occurred. As price trades back into it, institutions often mitigate those earlier positions and reintroduce sell-side interest—offering us an opportunity to follow their lead.
2. Confluence at the Mitigation Block:
The mitigation block is further reinforced by the presence of a bearish order block, adding strength to the resistance zone. This alignment suggests the area may serve as a high-probability reversal point for bearish continuation.
Liquidity Sweep Scenario:
There remains a possibility that price may take out nearby buy-side liquidity (buy stops) before continuing downward. If this occurs, we will wait for confirmation before entering short positions, maintaining alignment with the overall bearish narrative.
Trading Plan:
Upon confirmation of rejection at the mitigation zone, we will seek to engage in short setups targeting liquidity pools in discount pricing zones.
Remain patient, disciplined, and ensure each trade aligns with your strategy.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes:
📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium.
📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value.
📊 In this video, I walk you through:
- The overall trend direction
- Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry
- Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄
⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
Nasdaq can test the key support againNasdaq had held steadily above the 200-day moving average, eliminating all losses imposed by the tariff situation. Even though the situation doesn’t look resolved right now, parameters of tech stocks are improving: breadth and strength are improving for the last month.
The tech sector has been outperforming other sectors with the recovery of NVDA, TSLA, AAPL and other shares of tech giants. However, despite the local growth of optimism in the markets, the current upside rally looks as a comeback from a shocking event of “Liberation day”, but doesn’t look as an euphoria or a FOMO-event yet.
Tech stocks lead the rally, and it’s possible to observe some rotation between Nasdaq and S&P 500 in the near future, with Nasdaq testing the 200-day moving average back again, as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Price Outcomes"This Is For The Record"
Dealing Range(DR) -Previous day High and Low
Seeing that Wednesday sell side liquidity DR swept by Thursday London sweep.
To confirm Thursday sweep, Wednesday high broken by Thursday
Price retraced 61% of Thursday DR to AOI-"iFVG" as support to go higher
Today London open showed support to Asia Low displacing to Asia high and breaking through it
Clear 1hr OB left in London session for NY to retrace and balance price
Now that NY opened and went higher we can still be open to PDH challenged as no Session lows or major key levels PDH-PDL broken
If still bullish price will have to break PDH and sweep internal liquidity lows
If bearish previous day high- PDH to be sweep area of interest AOI in NY and show clear bearish rejection,
NY now at 30min order block -OB in premium area of dealing range-DR, if there is rejection to the OB, Price must displace NY low and respect any form of resistance made to the NY low eg. FVG or OB
I wont participate in sell unless previous day low displaced.
Sit back and wait for the market to show its hand at key levels and AOI.
Bravo Six. Badged member of the SAS. Task Force QT17
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationTrade Tensions – Trump’s Tariff Plans
Donald Trump said he will set new tariff rates on trading partners within the next 2–3 weeks. China tariffs may remain at 30% through late 2025, according to a Bloomberg survey.
Relevance:
Renewed tariff threats could pressure Nasdaq 100 names with global exposure, especially semiconductors and large-cap tech (e.g., Apple, Nvidia).
Heightened inflation and supply chain risks may weigh on broader risk sentiment.
Geopolitical Risks – Russia, Middle East
Trump is open to meeting Vladimir Putin, though peace talks in Istanbul remain unproductive. Meanwhile, he returns from the Middle East with $200 billion in UAE investment deals.
Relevance:
Limited direct impact on Nasdaq 100, but reinforces broader geopolitical uncertainty, which may influence market volatility and global risk appetite.
Meta Under Pressure – Competition and Regulation
ByteDance, owner of TikTok, is reportedly on track to match Meta’s revenue this year. Meta shares fell on reports of delayed AI development and increasing EU regulatory pressure around user age restrictions.
Relevance:
Meta (META) faces increasing headwinds from both competition and regulation.
Sentiment could spill into other ad-driven or AI-exposed Nasdaq 100 names.
xAI Controversy – Grok AI Glitch
Elon Musk’s xAI chatbot Grok posted controversial content due to unauthorized system tampering. The company has since corrected the issue.
Relevance:
Raises concerns about oversight and content control in the AI space.
May indirectly affect sentiment around AI-related names in the Nasdaq 100, including Tesla and other emerging AI platforms.
Conclusion – Nasdaq 100 Implications
Caution warranted around large-cap tech, especially Meta and AI-focused companies.
Trade war rhetoric and geopolitical risk could add volatility to the broader index.
Watch for market reactions to tariff announcements, regulatory headlines, and key AI developments.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21540
Resistance Level 2: 21710
Resistance Level 3: 21900
Support Level 1: 20890
Support Level 2: 20730
Support Level 3: 20600
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SHORT NAS100Updated Market Read on NAS100 Footprint
🟠 1. Trend & Price Action:
The overall short-term structure remains bearish.
The rally seen around 07:00–08:00 AM failed to hold above 21,220 and got rejected quickly.
Price has rotated back below the 21,200 key level and is currently printing at 21,194.5, below the VWAP-style center line.
🔴 2. Delta & Volume Shifts:
Look at 06:30–07:00 AM:
Strong positive delta: +290 with 11.51K total volume → Buyers were active.
However, the next few candles (07:00–08:00) show delta flipping negative again (-303) despite decent volume (13.49K).
This indicates buying effort was absorbed, and sellers regained control.
📉 3. Sell Imbalances Reappear:
From 07:30 onward, you see clear sell imbalances (left-side red/black clusters) starting to stack again.
Especially at the top of candles — typical of aggressive selling into buyer attempts.
🧊 4. Absorption Failed at Resistance:
The previous support zone at 21,220–21,240 is now acting as resistance.
Price was rejected right at this level, with sellers stepping in forcefully.
✅ Current Bias: Bearish Continuation
Key Supporting Evidence:
Failure to hold above 21,220 resistance.
Return of negative delta dominance.
Rejection after attempted bullish response (failed absorption).
Sell imbalances resuming into highs.
⚠️ Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,140 – held earlier and could still see responsive buyers.
Breakdown Level: If 21,140 breaks on heavy sell delta, next move could extend lower.
Resistance: 21,220–21,240 – current supply zone.
🔁 Trade Implication:
Short bias below 21,200, targeting 21,160 → 21,140.
Invalidate if price closes above 21,240 on strong positive delta and imbalance flip.
NAS100 | Footprint Chart UpdateKey Developments:
Price just closed above the 21,200 key level with a modest bullish footprint.
Positive delta (+18) with relatively light total volume (~110 contracts) suggests controlled buying rather than aggressive initiative buyers.
Buyers successfully absorbed the heavy selling pressure from the previous candle (delta -293) and pushed price higher — a short-term bullish signal.
📊 What This Means:
The market is showing signs of potential reversal after holding 21,160 and reclaiming 21,200.
If buyers can maintain strength above 21,200, we may see a move toward the 21,240–21,260 resistance zone.
Watch for increased buy imbalances and stronger delta on the next candles to confirm follow-through.
⚠️ Caution:
A failure to hold 21,200 and a drop back below it could signal a bull trap, leading to a re-test of 21,160 or even 21,120.
📍Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,200 → 21,160 → 21,120
Resistance: 21,240 → 21,260 → 21,300
🧩 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish – Awaiting confirmation from next candle’s order flow.
📌 Stay disciplined. React, don’t predict.
NY AM Silver BulletHigher TF manipulating highs, 7:30 NY high swept at 9
With MSS lower NY swing high and low after 930 and before 10am. OTE entry at 61& of Fib aligns with iFVG to sell. Moerse void below London Low.
Lower TF 5min iFVG that pushed into 7:30 high.
Entry criteria Casper Silver Buller>>$$$
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,250
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,850
Point of Control (POC): 20,847.54 (Previous), 20,084.76 (Earlier POC)
High-volume nodes:
Strong cluster near 20,850–21,000: confirmed price acceptance.
Minor node around 21,235–21,250: current area being tested.
Low-volume gaps:
Between 21,050 and 21,150 – fast move area if price breaks.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Upside:
21,250 (new high, recent wick rejection) – likely stop clusters above.
Downside:
21,000 – last breakout consolidation zone.
20,850 – absorption and prior POC zone.
Absorption Zones:
Significant delta volume activity near 20,850 – signs of large orders being filled.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike reversal high: 21,250 (upper wick + rejection)
Volume spike reversal low: 20,850 (strong bounce)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Confirmed uptrend, now showing signs of range-bound behavior post-breakout.
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- earlier = strong uptrend.
Currently flattening, indicating possible transition to range/consolidation.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD during breakout leg, now diverging (sideways/slight dip) = demand exhaustion possible.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 20,850
POC: 20,847.54
Psychological & structural: 21,000
Resistance:
VAH: 21,250
Previous intraday top: 21,243–21,250
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 21,250
Swing Low: 20,084
Key retracement levels (from 20,084 to 21,250):
1/2: 20,667
1/3: 20,472
2/3: 20,889
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish overall, transitioning into range-bound consolidation at the top.
b) Notable Patterns:
Channel/Wedge forming above 21,000 with downside risk to mid-level support.
Potential double top near 21,250 with divergence in CVD.
Volume gap retest likely if price slips below 21,100.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend continuation):
Entry Zone: 21,000–21,030 (retest support + consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 21,200
T2: 21,250
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm trend reversal):
Entry Zone: 21,240–21,250 (supply zone + divergence)
Target:
T1: 21,000
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,300
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade for optimal capital preservation.