USATEC trade ideas
US 100 Strong Signal Steps In? US100 Breaks Bearish Trendline & Pulls Back Above SMA — Strong Long Signal!
The US100 has just broken out of its bearish trendline, signaling a potential shift in market momentum from bearish to bullish.
What’s more bullish is the recent pullback above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), which now acts as a dynamic support level — a classic confirmation that buyers are stepping back in.
Adding to this bullish case, volume is increasing, showing strong participation and conviction behind the move.
This confluence of technical factors indicates a high-probability setup for a long position on the US100.
Key points:
Bearish trendline broken — trend reversal alert
Price retested and held above SMA — support confirmed
Volume rising — strong buyer interest
Traders might consider entering long positions with appropriate risk management and stop-loss placement below the SMA or recent swing low.
Stay sharp and trade smart!
Follow @GoldenZoneFX For more content and valuable insights.
US100 – Daily Chart Outlook (June 2, 2025)Price is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the 21,386 level, forming a potential shift in structure. Here's what I’m watching:
🔹 Context: After a bullish move in May, price is now stalling near previous highs.
🔸 Key Level: 21,386 marked as a potential rejection zone (also labeled as “Bullish”).
🔻 Scenario: If price stays below 21,386 and breaks the blue support (around 21,040), I expect continuation lower.
🟩 Discount Area: First demand zone between 20,000–20,500. Price could find support here if the bearish scenario plays out.
📌 ADR Levels included for volatility context.
🔄 Plan:
Wait for confirmation of rejection.
Target zone: 20,400–20,000.
Invalidation above 21,386 with bullish structure.
🧠 Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims 21,386 and holds.
📌 This is not financial advice – trade your plan.
US100 (NASDAQ100)🎯 Current Bias: Bearish Short-Term
-Price has already formed a lower high and lower low structure.
-Sitting at a key retracement zone after recent drop.
-Smart money concept (CHoCH → BoS) suggests institutional repositioning for shorts.
💡 Trading Opportunities
1. Short Opportunity (Main Bias)
-Entry Zone: Between 0.5 to 0.618 retracement (21,220–21,260)
-Stop Loss: Above 0.382 level / local high (~21,300)
-Target 1: 21,117.5 (marked Fibonacci level)
-Target 2: 21,000 psychological / next POI
Confluence:
-Bearish market structure
-Premium zone tap + Fib retracement zone
-CHoCH and BoS confirming order flow shift
2. Countertrend Long (Aggressive & Lower Probability)
-Entry: If price hits 21,117.5 and forms a bullish CHoCH or internal BoS
-SL: Below 21,050
-Target: Revisit 0.5–0.618 zone or unmitigated supply above
⚠️ Risk Notes
-NFP/major US data could trigger volatility (always check the calendar).
-US100 can whipsaw during macro catalyst moments – avoid overleveraging.
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading within the specified range. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. In case of corrective movements towards the demand zone, we can buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk.
A recent report from Bank of America reveals that investors are actively repositioning in global markets. For the second consecutive week, U.S.equities experienced capital outflows, while European stocks saw inflows for the seventh straight week.
Digital assets attracted $2.6 billion in inflows—the largest amount since January. In contrast, Japanese equities recorded the largest weekly outflow in history, while emerging markets equities attracted their highest inflows of 2025. Meanwhile, emerging markets debt also posted its strongest inflows since January 2023.
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, speaking at the 2025 Reagan National Economic Forum, warned that China will not yield to U.S. trade pressure. He urged that the U.S. must first address its internal challenges, including reforming laws, taxes, immigration, education, and healthcare systems. Dimon also underscored the importance of preserving military alliances.
He noted that China is a serious and potential rival, and if the United States fails to maintain its position as the world’s dominant economic and military power over the next 40 years, the dollar will no longer serve as the global reserve currency. Having just returned from China, Dimon added, “The Chinese are not afraid; don’t expect them to bow to America.”
Currently, markets are pricing in two interest rate cuts totaling 50 basis points by the end of 2025—a forecast aligned with the Federal Reserve’s official dot plot projections. Additionally, the latest FOMC minutes, which revealed policymakers’ concerns over persistent inflationary pressures, played a significant role in shaping these expectations.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that he would support rate cuts later this year if tariffs remain around an average of 10%. However, his support hinges on inflation moving toward the Fed’s 2% target and the labor market maintaining its current strength.
Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley projects that the U.S. dollar could weaken by approximately 9% by mid-2026, citing a slowdown in U.S. economic growth and an anticipated 175 basis point reduction in the Fed’s interest rates. The bank also forecasts that 10-year Treasury yields will reach 4% by the end of 2025 but fall sharply in 2026 as rates decline further. Both Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan hold a bearish outlook on the dollar, expecting safe-haven currencies such as the euro, yen, and Swiss franc to benefit the most from its weakness.
In this context, market participants are closely watching key economic data in the week ahead. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is scheduled for release on Monday, followed by the Non-Manufacturing PMI on Wednesday. However, the main highlight will be Friday’s May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which has exceeded expectations over the past two months. A similar result this time would signal continued strength in the labor market.
Given the Fed’s focus on inflation risks, special attention will likely be paid to the average hourly earnings growth. If wage growth remains above 3%, the market may begin to reprice some of its expectations for rate cuts—especially if the ISM reports also indicate improved economic activity in line with strong S&P Global readings. Such a scenario could pave the way for a renewed strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
Alongside the data releases, a series of speeches from key Federal Reserve officials—including Goolsbee (Chicago), Bostic (Atlanta), Logan (Dallas), and Harker (Philadelphia)—are expected. These remarks could further shape market expectations regarding the future path of monetary policy.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Approaching an overlap supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,833.76 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,763.98 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US100 - Buy CMP - 02/06/2025Bullish Trend on H4 - No divergence on H4
Fundamentally Bullish. Buy on CMP - SL on previous HL.
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Recent macro-economic data were good. But they do not reflect the Tariffs impacts.
2- All expected data (i.e., inflation, consumer sentiment) were inline with the projected tariff impacts.
3- Uncertainty is in the driver seat as long as Trump flip flop with his tariffs.
4- The 90-day tariff pause ends by July 4th!!! Surprise...surprise... the liberation day! Definitely, Trump will announce the 2nd Liberation day!
5- From this week and moving forward, data will reflect tariffs impacts.
6- This week, we have many relevant data and probably many Trump tweets.
=) All the above has structural negative impacts on US economy; hence negative impacts on US Stocks and equities.
TA Analysis:
Monthly TF:
NQ monthly close was bullish. From this TF, we should expect a continuation up seeking a new ATH. But I strongly doubt it. The Monthly close was below 21457. If price will be unable to close at least above this level, price should revisit 17236.
In this thread, we do not trade Monthly TF, but it gives us a macro perspective.
Weekly TF:
The weekly close was bearish, even with a green candle. From this TF, we should expect a south move.
In my view, Wave 3 has started last week.
Daily TF:
The chart shows all levels of Wave 3 into 5 mini-waves. The target of this mini-wave 3.1 is the low of May (19594).
Price already broke TL and closed below it. Price from now on it should continue south/down.
Price must close inside the tariff on & off candle (yellow box).
(Note: The chart shows only three waves of 3.1 representing the Initial move, retrace move and impulsive move. But every single move/wave should have 5 waves. I do not represent them to avoid making the chart complex which it's already!).
Hourly TF:
Price might complete the retrace up to 21468-21590. Then resume the down movement as per the chart.
Data will give the ebb and flow to be inline with TA analysis.
That's all for this week/month.
Wish you GL and plenty of green trades.
Nas100 w1.trading I deaHi traders as you can see this market is n uptrend market n since Trump come to the office he started tarrif n tarrif cause big rejection as you can see however he paused it n comes bek up,now they were trying to block him but he managed to put them back again because of his reasons,ok cool you have to understand that all this moves since Trump took the office he is the one in charge and he is moving market soo that's why today things can bebetter n tomorrow you can see spike again we we're nearly recession and he paused tarrif,market comes bek up,soo if you stick to the tre you are in the right side,soo note that we are still trading under tarrif territory meaning you can see spike today n tomorrow then drown down that's why you need to be updated 24/7 knowing what is moving and why I laugh when I see someone draw graph n see spike to their direction n immediately get exited within 1 hour market recovery that spike very fast lol,you need to know what is moving the market soo that you wo the surprised soo this year 99% is trump reports that is moving the market if he can imposes tarrif to Europe on 12 June you gonna see entire market going down for short period,tarrif affect the market globally not only were it raised,that's why if trump n China won't make successful deal we might see a recession and as am seeing China they are ready to fight any kind of war and they are loosing interest in trading deals and this will lead to recession globally,all they want is to end tarrif and trump want better deals in businesses aswell soo this is the main n strong trade war between all countries and it can cost people's money,soo according to my analysis am still bullish am not talking this as a retest noo that's why i explained what makes it to fall and positivity to the deals means rally thats why I stick to the trends till now,until further notice,.make sure you are updated.
Make some moneyHere are some more examples….
Like and follow for more - we have 2 indicators you guys can use now!
The Traps Once again - some great examples of traps candles….
Add the idicator and see them even on the smaller timeframes.
TRAPS. - Use themHere is an example of a trap candle identified by the indicator as just share with you guys.
Trust you can make it work for you!
NAS100, "TACO trade"After being provoked by Media Trump needs to prove "He Ain't Chicken" (TACO trade).
Expect Choppy correction lower, not "NICE". There's a lesson here, he is the PREZ be nice.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY at pivotal level ?Tariffs & Trade:
The Trump administration is exploring ways to push through import tariffs, possibly including a temporary 15% tariff for 150 days.
A federal appeals court has paused a suspension of the tariffs for now.
Markets:
US stocks are holding up well. The S&P 500 is on track for its best May since 1990.
However, June may be weaker, and futures suggest a quieter trading day ahead.
Federal Reserve & Tax Concerns:
President Trump urged Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest rates in a recent meeting.
Wall Street is uneasy about a tax measure in Trump’s bill that may increase taxes on foreign investors in US assets.
Europe:
The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates next week and again in September, possibly settling at 1.75% until the end of 2026.
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey pushed for a stronger EU trade deal and emphasized a slow and cautious approach to rate cuts.
Geopolitics:
Russia hasn’t provided a peace talk agenda to Ukraine or its allies.
Hamas is reviewing a US-backed ceasefire plan but says it doesn’t yet meet its demands.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21850
Resistance Level 2: 22050
Resistance Level 3: 22200
Support Level 1: 21000
Support Level 2: 20770
Support Level 3: 20560
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Buy Scalp ideaWe can see that PD NY low swept by Asia and BOS confirmed with London & Asian high break
The Fib on a 15min OB, with confirmation of a bullish engulfing, in the 3-5min time frame we can see a clear demand area that gave a point of liquidity 25% mitigation of 15min OB on red dash line-entry on 61%
Target London High
NASDAQGiven the geometry that has been created, there is a possibility of a correction towards the price of 21687.9, either from the current price or from a little lower, if the bottom of 21219 is broken, another decision must be made.
NASDAQ:NDX
Nas100 Analysis Doesn't get any easier than this!
Seen price reversing from a strong AOI (38%) took buys targeting the -27 also the -61 on the fibonacci
All I want is bullish price run until proven otherwiseIt would be nice if we used a breaker to continue buying. However, in the end, it all depends on how strong the Nas100 bullish bias is.
US100 CFD // The bowl is completed at the 22.133 level, we can see this level as a sales opportunity and make some profit. When we sell, our take profit point is 10 exponentials.
Nasdaq: Positive Momentum Builds Following Nvidia's Q1 EarningsThe Nasdaq is experiencing increased bullish momentum following Nvidia’s impressive Q1 earnings.
On the medium to long term, the index is targeting levels around 23,800.
In the short term, a corrective move toward 21,500 is expected, which will likely set the stage for a strong rebound toward 22,300 and 23,000.
📈 Stay tuned for upcoming opportunities and key levels!
📈 Suggested Hashtags for maximum reach:
#Nasdaq
#Nvidia
#EarningsSeason
#BullishOutlook
#TechnicalAnalysis
#PriceAction
#StockMarket
#TradingView
#MarketTrends
#Investing
NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest ahead of US OpenThe USD continues to rally, driven by:
A strong rebound in US Consumer Confidence, reversing a six-month downtrend.
A decline in the number of Americans expecting a recession, improving risk sentiment.
This positive momentum helped offset weaker April Durable Goods Orders, which reflected business concerns tied to Trump’s tariff policies.
Trump Signals Progress with EU Trade Talks
Trump stated on Truth Social that the EU is moving quickly to begin trade negotiations after he expressed satisfaction with a proposed 50% tariff.
Markets could interpret this as a step toward de-escalation, potentially supporting US equities and the USD, while posing risk to EU markets if tensions resume.
SpaceX Test Failure
SpaceX’s Starship test failed mid-flight. While a technical setback, broader market impact is likely minimal unless similar failures persist.
Could marginally affect aerospace and space-related stocks.
Elon Musk on Crypto & Tax Policy
Musk criticized Trump’s tax bill, claiming it undermines DOGE and broader crypto innovation.
Slightly negative for crypto sentiment, particularly speculative tokens like Dogecoin.
Earnings in Focus
Nvidia (NVDA):
Market will watch for signs of weaker China-related growth, tied to Trump’s policy on semiconductors and AI.
Key impact expected on tech stocks, semis, and the NASDAQ.
Salesforce (CRM):
Focus on adoption of new AI tools and updates on the $8 billion Informatica acquisition.
Could affect broader enterprise software and cloud sector sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21520
Resistance Level 2: 21850
Resistance Level 3: 22200
Support Level 1: 21000
Support Level 2: 20770
Support Level 3: 20560
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
