Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100 Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100
1. Monthly Timeframe (The Long-Term "Big Picture")
Observation: The chart displays an incredibly powerful and long-standing uptrend. The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
Candlestick Analysis: The most recent candles are strong, long-bodied bullish (green) candles. There are no significant bearish reversal patterns present whatsoever. This is a picture of strength.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is trading far above the Kumo (Cloud), which is wide and bullish (green). The Tenkan-sen is far above the Kijun-sen, and the Chikou Span is in open space high above the price action from 26 periods ago. This is a textbook example of a very strong, healthy bull market.
Conclusion (Monthly): The long-term outlook is unequivocally Bullish.
2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend)
Observation: The strength seen on the monthly chart is confirmed here. The trend is clearly defined and moving from the lower-left to the upper-right.
Heikin Ashi Interpretation: If we were to view this with Heikin Ashi, this chart would show a long sequence of green candles, with most of them having no lower wicks, which, according to your lesson, signifies a very strong and healthy uptrend.
Ichimoku Analysis: All five Ichimoku components are in perfect bullish alignment. The price is above the Tenkan-sen, which is above the Kijun-sen, and all are far above the Kumo. This confirms the trend is not only bullish but also has strong momentum.
Conclusion (Weekly): The dominant trend is Strongly Bullish.
3. Daily Timeframe (The Trading Trend)
Observation: The chart shows a clear uptrend. The most recent price action shows a slight pullback or pause after making a new high.
Candlestick Analysis: The last few candles are smaller and show some indecision (like Spinning Tops), which is very common after a strong upward move. This is more likely a "breather" or consolidation rather than a reversal. There are no major bearish reversal patterns like a Bearish Engulfing or Evening Star.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is pulling back towards the Tenkan-sen, which is the first line of dynamic support. As long as the price holds above the Kijun-sen, the bullish trend is considered fully intact.
Conclusion (Daily): The trend is Bullish, currently in a minor pullback. The overall structure remains strong.
4. 4-Hour and 1-Hour Timeframes (The Intraday Trend)
Observation: These charts give a clearer view of the minor pullback seen on the daily chart. Here, the price action is moving sideways to slightly down.
Candlestick Analysis: We can see a few Long Upper Shadow candles near the recent top, which confirms the lesson that sellers stepped in to cause this short-term pause. However, there is no strong follow-through yet from the bears.
Ichimoku Analysis: On the 4H chart, the price is testing the Kijun-sen as support. This is a critical level. If it holds, the uptrend is likely to resume. If it breaks below, the correction could deepen, with the Kumo cloud being the next major support zone.
Conclusion (4H & 1H): The short-term momentum is corrective/sideways within a larger bullish trend.
5. Lower Timeframes (30M, 15M, 5M)
Observation: These charts show the corrective price action most clearly, appearing as a short-term downtrend.
Context is Key: Based on the overwhelming strength of the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, this downtrend on the lower timeframes must be interpreted as counter-trend noise. It is a pullback, not a reversal of the major trend.
Harmonic Potential: This pullback could be forming the BC leg of a bullish ABCD pattern, or the AB leg of a bullish Gartley or Bat pattern, where traders would look for a buying opportunity at a key Fibonacci retracement level below.
Overall Synthesis and Final Conclusion
By performing a correct, top-down analysis of the NAS100 charts, the conclusion is the complete opposite of my previous mistaken analysis.
Long-Term (Monthly/Weekly): The market is in a powerful, secular bull market.
Medium-Term (Daily): The primary trend is up, but the market is taking a healthy and expected pause or pullback.
Short-Term (Intraday): The market is currently in a corrective phase.
Final Outlook: The multi-timeframe analysis is in strong alignment. The overwhelming evidence suggests that the primary trend for NAS100 is strongly Bullish. The current downward price action on the lower timeframes is very likely a temporary correction. Traders who align with the dominant trend would view this dip as a potential buying opportunity as the price approaches key support levels (like the Kijun-sen on the 4H/Daily chart), anticipating a resumption of the main uptrend.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
USATEC trade ideas
Nasdaq Analysis before market .If you do a top down analysis you will see /nq potentially working in the bulls favor. Especially if you own tech stocks. Its been steadily rising. with a couple hick-ups but look at the arrows on the 1 hour timeframe. The VWAP was showing a peak and than dropping. The chart soon to follow. Reversing. Yesterdays top and bottom were in line with an continuation and big $$$ taking profit,s than continued up the mountain.
Have a good day.
US100 BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅US100 is going up
Now and the index made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 22,222 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
nasdaq100OANDA:NAS100USD
has reached the previous highest level.
We see that the trendline has made a high possibility of the nasdaq 100 to reach a new high level because the price has gone above the previous high level, and came back to test it.
Now the price is going back up. It is fascinating as to what nasdaq100 will do next and how
other indices will be affected, including Gold and forex...
My opinion on nasdaq100:
1. It has made a different move compared to the previous high levels when they reached this level. Previously when the price reached the horizontal line (the resistance level) price began to push down and create very long spikes.
2. Nasdaq100 will go way too high and spike on that highest trendline. Spike from that level thereby create a new resistance level.
3. And then price will begin to push down strong. This will happen only if there will be a very strong spike meaning an incredible amount of sells pushing the price down.
US100 Update This is a 45-minute chart of the US 100 (NASDAQ Index) from CAPITAL.COM, and it presents a bullish continuation scenario.
---
Key Highlights:
Current Price: 22,254.6
Change: +72.7 points (+0.33%)
---
Chart Structure:
Support Zone (Lower Blue Box): ~21,950–22,050
Resistance Zone (Upper Blue Box): ~22,400–22,500
Dotted Path Projection: Suggests the following potential move:
1. Climb toward the upper resistance zone
2. Brief pullback
3. Continuation breakout above 22,500 to around 22,600
---
Interpretation:
Current Trend: Bullish, with a strong series of higher lows and gradual build-up
Market Bias: Expecting continuation of the uptrend as long as price holds above 22,050
Potential Trade Idea:
Buy on Dip: Near 22,100–22,150 zone (if a pullback happens)
Target: 22,500–22,600
Stop-Loss: Below 22,000
---
Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Setup Type: Breakout Continuation
Watch for: Consolidation near 22,400 before a push higher
Would you like me to compile trade parameters (entry, stop, target) for all three setups (Gold, BTC, NASDAQ) in one place?
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise?!The index is trading in its short-term descending channel on the four-hour timeframe between EMA200 and EMA50. If there is no re-up and the channel is broken, I expect a correction to form, the target of which can be the bottom of the descending channel.
If the channel top is broken, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded in the Nasdaq index. It is better to wait for confirmation in case of a breakdown in order to control the risk further.
Over the past week, the Nasdaq has managed to stay within a stable range, especially despite geopolitical pressures, mixed signals from the Federal Reserve, and some concerns in the semiconductor sector. This stability is largely due to the strong fundamentals of large technology companies, the reduction in distribution days (selling pressure) in the market, and renewed expectations of interest rate cuts later in the year.
At a structural level, the number of distribution days, which indicate selling pressure from large institutions, has reached a relatively low number of 3 days in the Nasdaq over the past month. This is a sign of the weakness of heavy selling at price peaks and the market's willingness to maintain long positions. Unlike trends seen in previous years, this time the market has shown no signs of widespread divergence or fundamental weakness, even despite strong inflation data or concerns about new trade restrictions with China.
This trend is largely supported by the stellar performance of companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple and other major players in the artificial intelligence and technology sectors. Revenue growth, increased investment in AI infrastructure, as well as the return of institutional investors’ confidence in technology stocks, have led the Nasdaq to record significant returns since the beginning of 2025. Analysts from major financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, while warning of potential selling pressure on the index, remain positive about continued growth, of course, assuming that economic data does not deviate from the expected path.
However, some risks are clearly visible in the trading week ahead. The most important of them is the possibility of geopolitical tensions again affecting the market. In recent days, oil prices have risen and financial markets have experienced moments of fear after tensions in the Middle East escalated and the US political response to Iran and Israel's moves. Although the Nasdaq was able to withstand these fluctuations, the market remains very sensitive to energy price spikes and their impact on inflation.
Important data in the coming week could also determine the market's direction. The release of the Core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, as well as data on unemployment insurance claims, both play a key role in the interest rate outlook. If inflation data is lower than expected, the likelihood that the Fed will start cutting rates in September or November increases, which would be a bullish stimulus for the stock market and especially the Nasdaq.
On the other hand, potential pressure on the semiconductor group - especially if new restrictions on technology exports to China are imposed - could disrupt the market trend. Last Friday, just one news report on the possibility of restricting exports of advanced chipsets caused the Nasdaq to fall by more than 0.6%. If this trend becomes official US government policy, it could cause a correction in stocks of companies such as Nvidia, AMD and ASML, which are heavy weights in the Nasdaq index.
In addition to these factors, next week will also see the release of quarterly reports from major companies such as Micron, FedEx and Nike. The results of these reports, especially in the area of sales and cost forecasts, could affect economic growth expectations. If the figures are better than expected, the Nasdaq could move towards new highs. However, if the data is released, the market could enter a short-term correction phase.
In terms of correlation with monetary policy, the Nasdaq index has become more sensitive than ever to interest rates and cash flows. The dollar price, real interest rates, and the direction of Treasury bonds all now have a direct impact on the valuation of technology companies. As a result, any change in the path of monetary tightening or easing is immediately reflected in the Nasdaq’s performance. However, analysts believe that the market will remain in a “wait and see” phase until the official data is released in July. In summary, the Nasdaq index is currently in a situation where its fundamentals are supported by the profitability of large technology companies, the easing of institutional selling pressure, and the possibility of a rate cut. At the same time, the market remains highly sensitive to major geopolitical news, trade policy, and economic data. As a result, the week ahead can be considered a “two-sided” period, where opportunities and threats are in a delicate balance, and only economic data and quarterly results can tip the balance in the direction of an increase or a correction.
Market Structure 1hr According to what's happening between Iran and Isreal and Trump has attacked Iran in my anticipation and what I do see in the marketplace honestly right now and how the markets has been moving its so terrible so being more careful is important but am anticipating lower prices in this market NAS100 Index, that's not calling it for anybody to short but that's what am thinking is going to happen, it's going to be a nice week ahead at Sunday opening and there we shall see where we want to roll to
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21,651.9.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 22,171.9.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NAS100 Bullish Breakout SetupNAS100 Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🧠 Chart Analysis (H4 timeframe)
🔹 Ascending Channel:
Price has been trending inside a clear ascending channel (blue zone), supported by higher highs and higher lows.
🔹 Support & Resistance:
Support: Around 21,635.32 – tested multiple times (highlighted by 🔵 arrows).
Resistance: Around 22,265.19 – recent highs and psychological barrier.
🔹 Double Bottom Formation 👣:
Near support zone, a potential double bottom (bullish reversal pattern) is visible. The neckline has been challenged.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation 🟢:
Price has broken above the descending neckline of the double bottom and is hovering near 21,644, indicating potential bullish continuation if sustained.
🔹 Target 🎯:
Projected breakout target lies at 22,265.19, aligning with the previous resistance zone.
🔹 Volume & Momentum 📊:
While not shown, a breakout above the neckline generally needs strong volume confirmation to validate the move.
📌 Conclusion:
If price sustains above the 21,635 – 21,644 area and gains momentum, the path to 22,265 looks likely ✅. However, a false breakout could drag the price back into the channel.
NASDAQ Bullish Play into Liquidity Before Potential ReversalForecast:
NOTE: At this moment, this is a forecast and trades will be taken dependent on live PA.
Price has reacted strongly off the 21,410–21,430 Daily Order Block, suggesting bullish intent. If bullish structure holds, I expect a move into the 22,060–22,130 liquidity zone, where sell-side setups could form.
This is a classic Buy to Sell model:
Buy from OB at ~21,420
Target liquidity above recent highs (~22,100+)
Look for shorts after sweep into 22,130–22,220 range
Invalidation: Break and close below 21,410 suggests the OB failed — potential deeper drop toward 20,700.
*NAS100| Weekly Breakdown - Structure Is PriceWhew—Nasdaq was a wild one this week, but once you master structure, liquidity, and OBs, the chaos turns into clarity.
Price held my 30M demand zone, even after a sketchy wick-based reaction early on. First long position? Quick scalp to the highs—in and out, no burger 🍔.
Didn’t wait for a full mitigation at first—anticipated the bullish momentum by staying aligned with structure. Later, price came back and mitigated the zone with body closes, confirming the intent for another long setup into next week.
Yes, I hold trades over weekends—because here’s what I’ve figured out:
“Price is structure. Structure is price. Master that, and it flows exactly how it should.”
This week was just another example of that.
Bless Trading!
Who got in?🟢 NAS100 15min – Bottom Sniped to Perfection!
Another textbook bounce called in real-time by the ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION indicator.
✅ The UP signal printed at the exact low
📈 Price launched shortly after with a near vertical reaction
💥 No hesitation. No lag. No repainting.
⸻
🔍 Still watching from the sidelines?
This is what precision looks like when momentum, volatility and structure all align — and we’ve automated that edge into one system.
📌 Just follow the rules:
• Enter on the signal close
• SL below the signal bar
• Let the market do the rest
⸻
🔥 If you’re still hesitating… you might just be watching these trades instead of catching them.
Time to load up the ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION tool and trade with confidence.
NASDAQ - Long now!⚡️ NAS100 15-Min Reversal Signal – Caught the Bottom?
The ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION indicator just printed a clean BUY signal on NAS100 after a strong sell-off into new session lows.
📉 Price had already extended far from structure
📈 RSI momentum began shifting and reversed sharply
✅ Volume spike and RSI reversal confluence added weight to the signal
📍 These types of signals are designed to catch mean reversion moves — especially powerful when price accelerates into extremes and the candle closes with absorption.
🎯 Remember: the signal is plotted on the close of the bar, meaning it doesn’t repaint and allows for real-time decision-making with a clear stop-loss just below the low.
💡 Watch for a potential retrace toward structure or session VWAP.