NAsdaq bull flag?setting up for FOMC rate decision today. unless we broke & close below the previous low, invalidate the bull flag.
USATEC trade ideas
US 100 US 100 trade. I think Christmas week will be bull trend so I'm targeting a 1/2 rr all time high
My McClellan Oscillator Graph - Up or Down in the Markets?This is a huge factor to watch, something to consider, Santa Claus Rally expected, or not?
I have had many financial analysts for decades always point out this chart when the markets seem toppy or indecisive.
The Dow has closed 9 days in a row, first time since the 70s, that's quite interesting, let's watch to see if the theory behind this indicator proves we are in for a rally as I expect.
The markets always tend to go higher more than one might think.
CHART BREAKDOWN NASDAQ: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing 1 essential demand zone: low-risk buy spanning from 21,700.00 to 20,660.00, respectively, is highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Demand Zone🟢: Identified between 21,700.00 and 20,660.00, serving as a low-risk buy.
Bearish Targets📈:
21,800.00: Possible retracement area.
21,950.00: Possible retracement area.
22,200.00: Liquidity Area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
A nice double top forming for a quick short on the NAS100I have seen an impulsive bullish move that has created a nice double top pattern. I will look to enter this trade on the break of the neckline for a 1:1 RR. The previous price action is nice and clean with no support or resistance in the way of pattern completion.
NAS long range snapshotThe NAS continues to follow the long range forecast projection since earlier in 2024.
Toward $20576Here we can see the daily ichimoku levels in the 15-minute timeframe and I think that the price could go down to the daily kijun sen level.
Toward $21828 ?Here is a chart with 2 orange Ichimoku forecast lines, one daily and one weekly.
The price is actually above both of them.
I drawed the fibonacci extensions and I think the price can go up to $21828 that is the 1.618 fibonacci extension.
A first target might be at the 50% between the 1 and 1.618 (1.309 ?) fibonacci level at around $21547.
nasdaq 100 for buyThe NASDAQ is showing a bullish outlook with continued upward potential, driven by tech sector performance. Analysts favour long positions in key components like Microsoft, Apple, Amazon
NAS100 - Possible Outcome20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
Dear Friends: (Away from charts)
It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year!
How I see it:
NASDAQ VERY bullish, so I believe LONG 1st.
Resistance between 21965 - 22000
If it gets that far, and if resistance holds,
Possible correction back to 21750
Keynote!
Alot of data this week. Trade safe as the year is coming to an end.
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
NASNAS is making higher highs and higher lows. A long position can be considered on the break of last high.
NAS100 BUY 15 MINUTE TIME FRAMESTRONG DEMAND ZONE
Price has to feel gap up above Expecting a 3:1 Risk Reward Let's see:)
NAS100 SELL 15 MINUTE TIME FRAMESTRONG SUPPLY ZONE
Countertrend
Expecting a 2:1 Risk to Reward Let’s see!
Still searching for a topThe Bubble of Overvaluation: When Rich Daydreams Burst
In the glittering world of tech, valuation often feels less like a science and more like an act of fantasy. Companies are valued not by their earnings or tangible impact, but by the whimsical projections of the ultra-rich who see tomorrow’s unicorns in today’s fledgling startups. This isn’t new. But the scale at which tech valuations have spiraled into the stratosphere is staggering—and unsustainable.
Take a step back and ask: why is a social media company, with no profits and dwindling relevance, valued higher than the GDP of a small nation? The answer is simple—it's speculation. The wealthy elite, drunk on dreams of infinite growth, pour money into anything that promises to reshape the future. The result? Tech companies inflated to absurd proportions, their stock prices propped up by hype rather than substance.
But daydreams don’t last forever. Reality has a way of intruding, and it’s coming with a vengeance. As economic inequality reaches breaking points, and as crises like hunger, housing, and climate change become impossible to ignore, the priorities of even the richest will have to shift. What happens then? Those dizzying valuations will come crashing down, because they were never built on anything solid to begin with.
The irony is that the resources squandered on inflating tech bubbles could solve many of the world’s most pressing problems. Feeding the hungry, housing the homeless, funding education, and building sustainable infrastructure—these are investments with real, tangible returns. Instead, we’re caught in a cycle of hoarding and speculation, where the richest cling to dreams of domination instead of learning what it means to share.
Eventually, they’ll wake up. And when they do, the crash will be spectacular. But maybe, just maybe, that reckoning will usher in a world where resources are allocated not to feed fantasies, but to feed people. Until then, the tech world remains an overvalued dreamscape, poised for a rude awakening.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index.
The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends.
This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains.
The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips.
The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact.
Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy.
Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published.
Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025.
The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
Nasdaq market analysis: 16-Dec-2024Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
Lies on NASDAQ to FOOD Big # ADM TSN CAGWell this is just a follow up so I dont need to explain...see prior post of mine and you will get whole story..
Get you food in order cause it will get really fun...I guess this is why at a dinner I had with John Bogle of Vanguard he said:
"Boys....if any of you are smart and think about the future, how many of you will follow the phones versus follow the farming life, raise your hands? Well, it seems all the hands are up...so good news, none of you get to enjoy this exquisite meal tonight because no one will replace the people who made it all happen from soil, air , and water. If any of you boys are smart, get into that game by the early 20's and you will be able to take control of the world..and make the real money, the controlling money. Own the land, control the water, and your portfolios better contain the crops and their respective companies of tomorrow." Spoken June 2010
Say....isnt there real nice land in the Midwest owned by a few big guys or hedgefunds....and wait a sec...isnt there some "breadbasket" in that for border of the Big Meany we like to pick on that had a few hands dipped into it.
Things arent random...just be in the right rooms at the right time :}
NASDAQ // Primary Expansion?The trend is. long on all the major timeframes, and this H4/H1 breakdown (green) is my trigger zone.
If it's triggeren on M15, and the waves keep going up, my target is the daily target fibo 200 and the H1 target fibo 138.2-161.8 zone.
Exit the position if the structure breaks on the entry timeframe.
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments, questions, and support are greatly appreciated! 👊🏼
NDX_UP OR DOWM ?Will it reach 22 and then 26 ?
If it crashes form these levels, it can reach as low as 3000 in the coming 2 years.
Let's see.
NFA
Nasdaq 100 1WCorrection and short consolidation until the end of January 2025
Shouldn't fall below 19530
us100 SHORT conditionalus100 SHORT
Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
INSTRUCTIONS:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached.
+ big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
