Actionable Nasdaq insights: 28-May-2025Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
USATEC trade ideas
Since there is no bullish commitmentThen this a short, has been since days ago. yet we gotta get some discounts, why not, cheap prices. I guess.
NASDAQ: More Bullish MovementsHuge drop on the left side which happens to reset the trend. Maybe NAS could continue to rally from this point forward
us100us100 is is ready for breakout if we see us100 is now at resistance and made range and the overall trend is up in us 100 if us100 0n 15 min give closing above 21320 then we can see a target of 21500 .
Nasdaq market analysis: 27-May-2025Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
TQQQ/SQQQ Buy/Sell/Hold zones for tomorrow
Buy/Sell/Hold zones in Grn/Red/Ylw for Nasdaq100 tomorrow. I've been exclusively trading TQQQ/SQQQ lately so this is my full trade plan for tomorrow.
US100 PIVOT AREA The Nasdaq is currently at the pivot area between 21237 and 21385 , if the price remains below this area then 20886 and 20533 could be the next possible targets.
However a break above could trigger bullish momentum targeting 21709 and 22058
NAS100 - Will the stock market go down?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the ascending channel breaks, expect corrective moves, and if this channel line is maintained, its upward path will be available to the next supply range.
In that range, we can also sell Nasdaq with appropriate risk-reward.
With Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, trade tensions have once again taken center stage in global economic news, temporarily drawing attention away from more structural issues. However, these new developments have not diminished deeper concerns about the U.S. debt crisis and the federal government’s fiscal policies. Last week, the release of details regarding a new budget bill in Congress—coupled with Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating—sparked renewed anxiety in the markets about America’s fiscal stability. These concerns have now taken on more complexity amid the intensifying trade conflict.
The bill, which narrowly passed through the House of Representatives, could potentially add up to $4 trillion to the federal debt. This projection triggered a sharp reaction in the U.S. Treasury market, causing long-term bond yields to rise significantly.
Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on European goods—specifically naming iPhones—negatively impacted market sentiment in U.S. equities. Past trade confrontations with China suggest that Trump typically avoids actions that significantly harm the stock market and tends to retreat from hardline positions. Thus, buying the dip might be a sound strategy, though accurately timing entry is crucial.
Pinpointing the right entry time remains difficult, and perhaps the most reliable signal would come directly from Trump himself. With the July 9 deadline for the tariffs approaching and no formal trade agreement in place, the best course for market participants is to remain cautious and watch for any signs of a policy reversal.
Despite persistent worries over budget deficits and rising Treasury yields, Morgan Stanley remains bullish on the outlook for U.S. equities and bonds.
Morgan Stanley projects the following:
• The S&P 500 is expected to reach 6,500 by mid-2026, representing a roughly 10% gain from current levels. Key drivers of this growth include lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, and productivity gains fueled by artificial intelligence.
• The recent spike in the 10-year Treasury yield is considered temporary, with expectations that it will decline to around 3.45% by mid-2026. There is still no strong evidence of a significant outflow of foreign capital from U.S. markets.
Although the upcoming week will be shortened due to the Memorial Day holiday on Monday, a packed economic calendar starting Tuesday is expected to quickly reenergize market activity.
Tuesday will bring the release of durable goods orders for April and the consumer confidence index for May—two data points that could provide clearer insight into domestic demand and household spending trends. On Wednesday afternoon, attention will turn to the minutes from the May FOMC meeting, where investors will search for clues about potential shifts in the Federal Reserve’s tone regarding future rate cuts.
Thursday will be loaded with key economic indicators: weekly jobless claims, the first estimate of Q1 GDP, and existing home sales data. The week will conclude on Friday with the release of the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which plays a pivotal role in shaping its monetary policy decisions.
Meanwhile, Nvidia is preparing to launch its new AI chip, Blackwell, in the Chinese market at a more affordable price. Based on the Blackwell architecture, the chip will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000—lower than the H20 model, which costs between $10,000 and $12,000.
This price reduction results from simpler technical specifications and a lower-cost manufacturing process. The new chip uses GDDR7 memory instead of high-bandwidth memory and lacks the advanced CoWoS packaging technology.
THIS WEEK'S NASDAQ HIGH PROBABILITY SWING TRADENASDAQ Trade Idea: Long Bias
Timeframe:
4HR | Daily (Confluence-based entry and targets)
Market Context:
Price is currently trading in discount, presenting a high-probability long setup based on the unfolding buy model.
We’ve identified a 4HR Buy-Side Imbalance / Sell-Side Inefficiency (BISI) zone acting as a magnet for price, suggesting potential accumulation and displacement to the upside.
Entry Zone:
Buy Zone:
🟢 21,070 – 21,050
This is inside the 4HR BISI, aligned with the buy model's accumulation phase and in optimal trade entry conditions (OTE) relative to the discount of the current dealing range.
Targets (Liquidity + Imbalance Fills):
TP1: 21,490
→ Equal highs + short-term liquidity sweep in premium.
TP2: 21,875
→ Partial fill of the Daily Sell-Side Imbalance / Buy-Side Inefficiency (SIBI).
TP3: 22,240
→ Full mitigation of the Daily BISI zone + extended liquidity run.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss (SL): Below 21,000 (structure invalidation & imbalance invalidation).
RRR: Minimum 1:3 to TP1, higher to subsequent levels.
Use partials on each target to secure profits and manage drawdown.
Confluences:
Price is in discount territory of current dealing range.
Entry aligns with 4HR BISI + internal liquidity engineering.
Upside targets align with equal highs, Daily inefficiencies, and liquidity pools in premium.
Trade Management Tips:
Watch for a bullish market structure shift on 15min–1HR to confirm.
Enter on a fair value gap (FVG) or mitigation of last down candle inside the 21,070–21,050 zone.
Be aware of macroeconomic news that may affect volatility near your entry/TP zones.
Monday Bounce from 4H Demand ZoneAfter taking a controlled loss on Friday, I came into Monday focused and clear-minded. Price tapped into a clean 4H demand zone and printed a strong bullish engulfing candle — a textbook rejection from imbalance. I waited for the 4H candle close before entering long.
Risk was tight below the demand zone, with a clear target above — offering a high RR setup. This trade wasn’t about the day of the week; it was about respecting structure, imbalance, and confirmation.
Timeframe: 4H
Setup: Bullish engulfing off 4H demand zone + imbalance fill
Entry: After 4H candle close
Stop Loss: Below demand wick
Take Profit: Major clean high above imbalance
Risk-to-Reward: Over 3R
This is why I trade the 4H. One clean move. No stress. No noise. Just structure + patience.
– THE 4H TRADER
NASDAQ 100 Decade Anchored VWAPDecade Anchored VWAP has been the most recent top. Will we break above and push for a new all time high?
Genius or Just Guessing? NAS100 Setup Has It AllNAS100 has broken its uptrend but still feels bullish overall. The plan? A tactical short on the pullback and a long if it reclaims strength. If both play out, it’s a multi-legged win. If not, it’s a lesson in humility. Here’s how we’re threading the needle with a high-risk/high-reward setup.
ustechKeeping this one as simple and following price action
lean to Bearish momentum bias for my trading plain
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 37Last week the market created great opportunities for buyers and sellers as there was a high level of volatility and consolidation, so much so that many traders ignored a key element in the movement for NAS100 and that is that with all the selling that took place, the NAS100 index still closed above the previous weeks low and above the lowest point so far of the year...a clear indication that the HL's are still intact.
As I have always said and will continue to say...any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to form the HL on a larger timeframe. With that being said, any retracement sell that I take is simply to capitalized on the current retracement and to build my account to be able to scale up to a larger lot size.
While many continue to anticipate a sustained drop in the NAS100...A master class in trend movements is currently being prepared and will be executed when the time is right.
For now, I continue to capitalize on this perfect opportunity to take buys and sells in a consolidatory market that clearly is making space for the next move once it completes it's required retracement.
Until such times:
1. I enter on my largest HL
2. Exit on my largest LH (if the market continues to consolidate and wait for the next HL to be
formed for another entry
3. The HH's are guaranteed to come again once the upper level consolidation is broken.
Until then, the retracements provide some very profitable bonus moves once you have an understanding that they will not continue forever.
So for this week...no rush to enter any buys without proper confirmation.
My original level is 20,667.9, however my if I get a confirmation before that level is touched then the buys will resume for me.
Have a great week and happy trading.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
#oneauberstrategy
US100 4HAs expected from last week’s analysis , the market reacted and dropped.
Right now, multiple scenarios can play out, but based geometric analysis, the most likely one is a continuation of the bearish structure unless 21200 is broken.
Confirmation for further downside is a clean break below 20770.
Failure to break this level would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Downside targets:
20500
20330
20000
If there’s strong selling pressure, even a deeper correction toward 19000 is possible — but only valid if price returns with strong bullish rejection.
Otherwise, holding below 19000 would confirm a deeper bearish move (which I personally don’t expect for now).
US1OO SHORT TRADE IDEA Chart Breakdown:
1. Trendline Break:
A clear uptrend was in place, supported by the ascending blue trendline.
The price broke below this trendline, suggesting a potential reversal or correction.
After the break, price attempted to retest the trendline (a common behavior before continuation in the new direction).
2. Bearish Rejection:
Price got rejected around the trendline retest zone, which aligns with a resistance area marked in red.
This confluence zone suggests supply dominance, pushing the price lower.
3. Imbalance Zone (Fair Value Gap):
A pink rectangular zone marks an imbalance, often called a fair value gap (FVG)—where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficient trading volume.
These zones are typically revisited to "fill the imbalance."
4. Heikin Ashi Candles:
Recent candles show strong bearish momentum with little to no upper wicks, confirming a downward trend.
Multiple consecutive red candles support trend continuation.
📉 Bearish Setup Analysis:
Entry Zone: Around the trendline retest, near 21,000–21,100.
Target Zone: Imbalance/fair value gap around 20,100–20,200.
Stop-Loss Zone: Above the resistance area, around 21,150–21,200.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (visualized with the green zone risk and extended red arrow for reward).
✅ Bearish Case Justification:
Trendline break and retest failure.
Rejection at key resistance/supply.
Imbalance acting as a price magnet.
Momentum strongly favors bears (based on Heikin Ashi structure).
⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidations:
If price reclaims and holds above the trendline or breaks above 21,200, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
Major macro news or earnings could reverse the move rapidly.
Watch for divergences or weakening bearish momentum on smaller timeframes as price approaches the target zone.
🧭 Strategy Tip:
This could suit a swing short setup, especially for traders looking to capitalize on trendline break retests and imbalance fills. A tighter entry around the top of the rejection zone provides a better risk/reward.
Nasdaq bullish momentum continues in upward channalNasdaq bullish momentum continues in upward channal
USTEC100 Chart 4H, Trends To Watch for Short The provided USTEC 100 (US Tech 100) 4-hour chart highlights a strategic short (sell) trade setup based on technical price action and defined risk levels. The analysis suggests a bearish market bias, provided that specific price conditions are met and maintained. Let's explore the details and rationale behind this trade idea to understand how traders might approach this setup with calculated entries, targets, and stops.
As per the current market data presented, USTEC 100 is trading around 21,115.00 on Monday, 19 May 2025. The chart emphasizes a critical resistance zone highlighted in red, located at approximately 21,445.10. This level acts as a potential invalidation point for the short trade. If the price crosses above this red zone and a full candle closes above it, the entire bearish setup becomes invalid. This is a key condition – any move above this threshold signifies a shift in market sentiment and cancels the downward outlook.
Is that all the Nasdaq could muster against gold?Is that all the Nasdaq could muster against gold?
A close below that red line and it could signal a 10 year hibernation for the stock markets.
USTECUSTEC price is near the important resistance zone 21345 and 22244. If the price cannot break through 22244, it is expected that the price will drop.
**Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Nasdaq 2024 patternI believe Nasdaq will go down to 18400 range to fill the large gap and then go back to ATH.
NASDAQ TP Smashed! Patience PaysBeautiful execution on NASDAQ — structure respected, EMAs aligned, and momentum confirmed. Waited for the clean setup, entered with confidence, and held until target. Discipline and timing were everything.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
