USATEC trade ideas
Nasdaq Short: 5 Wave Structure completedI had previously published a short on S&P on 5th Dec and turns out to be quite a good call. I had delayed Nasdaq short call due to incomplete wave structure. As of yesterday's set up, it looks like we might have seen the peak. The only downside to this analysis is that the last sub-wave 5 is a 1-bar wave. But nevertheless, at the peak, price is more important than time.
Bullish trade idea on NAS100The bulls of the us stocks are stating to takeover, we are looking to enter buys as soon as price breaks our trendline .
Will Nasdaq plummet be a success?US100/ Nasdaq seems to be shorting, Sellers seem to be at a higher volume than the Buyers on this asset right now
US 100 Nas is in a bullish trend , a long position can be considered when it retraces back to 21570 with SL around last low
USNAS100/ New ATH Historical Price, and CorrectionTechnical Analysis
The price has successfully reached a historic all-time high (ATH) at 21,800 and continues to build positive momentum, with the next target set at the resistance level of 21,770. However, this upward movement is expected to resume after completing a correction toward 21,670.
So now any stability above 21,770 will get the price toward 21,880 which is a new high level.
Otherwise, stability below 21,675 by closing the 4h candle under it, means will drop to 21,535.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21420
Resistance Levels: 21770, 21880, 22000
Support Levels: 21,675, 21,535, 21420
iamtradingdon | NAS100 Market Daily Technical AnalysisWhile NAS100 continues to display a bullish trend, I closely monitor indicators suggesting a likely bearish shift. The price has consistently encountered resistance at a Rejection Block, marking this area as a significant institutional resistance zone. If the price drops and a bearish candle closes below 21735, I will establish my target at 21580.
Bullish momentum to extend?USTEC is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 21,631.48
1st Support: 21,398.63
1st Resistance: 21,909.69
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Nasdaq Market Analysis: 12-Dec-2024Nasdaq trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
NASDAQ 100 10 Rules for Market Dynamics (Translated to English)
If the price "accepts" a value area, it is highly likely to reach the other extreme.
If the price is within a value area, the expectation is for it to remain INSIDE until there are clear signs otherwise.
Price tends to be "choppier" within a consolidated value area due to high liquidity. Define tolerance zones.
Do not trade in the middle zone (POC).
If the price is accepted OUTSIDE the value area, the expectation is for the condition of the market to change and likely expand.
US100The NASDAQ trend is expected to remain bullish,
but corrections in the market movement are natural and necessary.
Therefore, if weakness in continuation is observed, I will sell with smaller volume and trade more aggressively in the bullish direction.
The identified targets are 21,930 and the range of 22,230 to 22,445.
Additionally, I am interested in buying at discounted prices, specifically around the 21,640 level.
The current chart lacks a clean structure, so the market might form small ranges before continuing its upward movement.
Top of the rising wedgeThe price has hit the top of the rising wedge and a trendline that starts from March 2022 top (top of a big orange channel).
There is also a solid bear divegence on 4H and even a tiny bear divergence on 1D tf.
I expect a pullback from here, but I'm not sure if it will be a reversal or we will see a new ATH soon. Need help of elliotitians, I can't count these damn waves.
Short potential in NAS 100 looks promising!
Description of trade
As we very clearly identify a HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern in 1hr TF and 4TF , there is a high probability of pair to reverse , as we see constantly with this chart pattern .
Price if retests on the neckline after 1330 UK TIME ( MAJOR RED NEWS TIME ) , we could potentially look for a short trade with good SL and lot size in line with your account size.
There are two ways I will be looking to trade this pair today during session (NEW YORK )
A MEDIUM RISK TRADE:
I will look to place a sell - limit on the current neckline of the pattern , with my Stop loss being on top of the right shoulder , as my stop loss will have lot of room, my lot size will be smaller to manage my risk accordingly.
A HIGH RISK TO REWARD TRADE
Second way foe me to enter this trade would be after 1330 high news today , to trade along with market structure i normally trade , i.e. seeing fractal structure , liquidity grab and so on , this will however have small stop loss but bigger lot size . This will be entered on 15TF or 30 min TF .
Notes : This are the probabilities for today , if we do not see the expected footprint from the market , remember there's a always a next day to trade.
My expectations for Nasdaq 100Hi guys, I hope you are doing well
** The index jumped up and passed two important resistance lines and even settled on them
** The index also passed my Fib so important level 23.6% and needs only to settle on then surge up towards my TP level
** The Used time frame on the chart is 4H and I used also the daily and the weekly frames for that analysis
** I see that there is a room to surge up too my second Fib retracement level but I prefer currently to set my long to the TP on the chart to avoid a possible retracement!
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
NAS100USD: Anticipating Temporary Bearish Order Flow?Greetings Traders,
Today's analysis highlights significant bullish momentum in NAS100USD, driven by the heavy volatility following the CPI news release. Despite the bullish institutional order flow, there is potential for temporary bearish order flow. This could either serve as a brief retracement to meet specific objectives before continuing the bullish trend or, possibly, a full reversal of price action. While we must wait for further market confirmation, current conditions provide an opportunity to target the sell stop objectives highlighted on the chart.
Key Observations and Confluences:
1. Institutional Price Delivery Insight:
At present, price is positioned in a premium zone and has recently taken out Engineered Resistance Liquidity, where premium buy stops reside. Institutions often use this liquidity to pair orders by selling against these buy stops.
Institutions, having sold at a premium, will aim to buy back positions at a discount (a process associated with profit-taking). Therefore, we anticipate price to move towards liquidity pools at lower discount levels.
2. Trendline Liquidity:
The chart also reveals engineered trendline liquidity, a classic setup where retail traders buy along the trendline, leaving their stop losses below. Institutions view these stop losses as sell stops, representing willing sellers against whom they can close their buy positions. This makes these lows prime targets for institutional activity.
The current evidence provides a strong foundation to anticipate bearish price action towards these liquidity pools, offering a strategic opportunity to align with the institutional narrative.
If you have any insights, questions, or additional analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let's collaborate and grow together as traders.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
US100 - Potential Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
USTEC, Bullish Channel, New Highs FormationWeekly support retest
Trading in bullish channel
Previous high broken
New high Formation
Buy @ CMP
Sl below weekly resistance
TP towards channel Top
Nasdaq 100 approaches our target; what's next?The Nasdaq 100 is up 1.25% at the time of publishing this outlook, and the price is just 84 basis points away from reaching the target we highlighted at the beginning of the month. At that time, we noted that a break above $21,220 could lift the index to $21,884. The new trend-defining level is yesterday's low of $21,354, and if the price dips toward $21,565, traders are likely to continue buying, aiming for $21,884 as they try to capitalize on the famed Christmas rally.
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SPX on a long timeframeThis chart is mostly for me, so I can come back to it, later... but as you can see, we'll go up and down, but likely to go more up than down :)
USTECH looking for short!!I opened a short yesterday at the upper end of this channel. Look for a restest of the upper boundary post CPI for another short!!
NASDAQ Technical Analysis: CPI Impact on Bearish MomentumTechnical Analysis
The price will trade under bearish momentum and high volatility due to the CPI data we have Today, as expectation the indices should trade at the bearish area, on the other hand technically side, as long as Nasdaq trades below 21535 and 21410 will be bearish toward 21220 especially if the result published more than expected which is 2.7%.
Otherwise, CPI Less than 2.7% will support bullish to get a new ATH especially if close 4h candle above 21535.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21480
Resistance Levels: 21570, 21670, 21870
Support Levels: 21320, 21220, 21150
Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum with some correction
Nasdaq reflects caution on inflation and ratesWall Street turned red at the close. The Nasdaq Composite, the main reference for the technology sector in the United States, fell -0.25% on Tuesday, closing at 19,687.24 points. This decline reflects the impact of a combination of macroeconomic and sectoral factors that are keeping the entire market on its toes.
Nasdaq Performance in Context
Although the index has had an outstanding performance this year, with a cumulative gain of close to 40%, led by technology giants such as Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, it has generated . However, the stock's pullback this week that underscores the sector's sensitivity to monetary policy expectations and global regulatory risks.
Among the factors that contributed to the Nasdaq's decline this week were:
• Regulatory pressures - China's investigation into Nvidia, one of the world's largest chipmakers, dragged down the Philadelphia semiconductor index (-2.5%) and weighed on tech stocks.
• Mixed corporate results: Oracle declined 6.7% after missing revenue estimates despite being consistent, and MongoDB lost 16.9% despite improving its annual forecast.
Short-term outlook
The tech market faces additional uncertainties with upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data key to the Fed's rate decision. If the November CPI meets estimates of 2.7% y/y, it could facilitate a 25 basis point rate cut in December, strengthening market sentiment. Currently the FedWatch data indicates that there is an increasing likelihood of a cut rather than a hold at current rates. In addition, the Fed's tone is expected to provide signals on the future direction of rates, which will directly impact appetite for high-growth assets such as technology.
Technical Aspect
Currently, yesterday the index made a crossover of averages generating that the average of 50 crossed over the average of 100 marking the fall of yesterday's prices. At the moment there is still a long distance to go before the averages approach the 200, but this crossover has positioned the price in the check point (POC) zone. So, if the CPI and rates news do not strongly modify this trend, we could be witnessing a possible temporary sideways movement of the index in this last part of the year.
Overall, although the Nasdaq continues to show strength for the year, macroeconomic and regulatory challenges are key factors to watch, especially in an environment where monetary policies could moderate the pace of economic recovery.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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