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NDX I was so worried about gap that i closed trades on friday, and there is none😹😹

NAS100USD

Remember not to ignore your seasonal charts on Tradingview.

1. Every single time the price goes below the 0% yearly line and breaks back above it...the NAS100 keeps buying for the rest of the year.

2. Last week we started above the 0% line by up to 3%

3. We finished the week at 3.6%

4. No rush...easy does it...

ATH and beyond is coming....

I cannot post seasonal data in the minds, so please check on the bottom right of your screen for information.

#oneauberstrategy.

US100 NQ1! VIX The VIX doesn't lie.

The last three big rallies on the NASDAQ were initiated by large volatility spikes on the VIX.

Followed by an average decline of 32%.

Following the NAS tanking 26% from Feb to April 25, Price has already entered into a support zone on the VIX, which has triggered all of the last 3 crashes.

The NAS rally since the April 7th 25 has been on DECLINING VOLUME on the Daily Chart.

This post is not attempting to be a BULL vs BEAR debate. Or is it an attempt to prove or disprove any particular trading strategy. You do you and trade what you see and keep winning....

BUT

From a Macro perspective, speculating on pivot points requires much deeper MTF analysis and confluence than simple trendlines, H or L indications or RSI readings.

This is an elementary attempt at macro liquidity mapping using NAS volume and VIX volatility as an compass.

With all that said, the likelihood of a sustained rally from here looks very low IMHO...

As a minimum, ALL OF THE GAPS FROM APRIL 7TH will need to be filled IMHO
Snapshot

NAS100 VIP LEVELS

US 100 Cash CFD: Strategic Buy and Sell Signals Using Price Action, SMC, and Elliott Wave Analysis

📌 Buy Level:
Entry 21,527.9 USD
TP1 21,734.2 USD (206.3 pips)
TP2 21,824.9 USD (297 pips)
SL 21,389.3 USD (138.6 pips)

📌 Sell Level:Entry 21,773.7 USD
TP1 21,512.2 USD (261.5 pips)
TP2 21,419.4 USD (354.3 pips)
SL 21,824.9 USD (51.2 pips)

NAS100USD

Just some more info to give you clarity on the trend movements of NAS100...

1. Solid green line is the daily support and trend line

2. Purple dotted line is the ATH line

3. Solid blue line is the lower timeframe trend support line

Here is how to analyze the data.

1. The first major touch of the daily trend line was back in October 2023 when that retracement ended.

2. After that the next touch occurred 2025 in April...it also touched it at a higher point...(trend is in tact)

3. In order for a trend to be valid...you need at least two touches wihout breaking through.

4. On the ATH violet trend line you see that price consolidates a lot at the top, however each time it tries to break below it always goes above...until the last retracement that ended in April with a strong HL support on the monthly.

5. For the past 9 weeks the trend has been clearly defined on the structure of the lower hour timeframes (The solid blue/black line)

6. Once the ATH is broken, price will work itself to establish another consolidation pattern on the upper trendline levels

7. This is just another tool in the arsenal to help with analysis that many people neglect to use...Trendlines also help with analysis, however like everything else, they must be used in the correct context.

Happy Trading... #oneauberstrategy
Snapshot

US100

The VIX appears to be bottoming out from the April 7th High.

I’m anticipating a pivot around the 16.30 level, after the deep retracement.

As the VIX and the NAS have a quasi-inverse relationship, this simple link would suggest, that in the very near term (and medium and long IMO) at least, longs have run out of space.

There can only two logical scenarios around the 16.30 VIX level.

Consolidation or a volatility spike.

As an objective swing trader, I appreciate that the spike could be either direction BUT the simple odds suggest a VIX Long, meaning US indices short for this week.

As always, let’s see what the week brings.

Chart to follow…. VIX


NAS100USD

Someone said nothing is guaranteed in trading...

Remember this chart...

Remember the TP levels

Let us discuss in June and July

HL's to HH's Guaranteed

#oneauberstrategy
Snapshot

NAS100 best quote a read since a while ‘There is nothing like losing all you have in the world for teaching you what not to do. And when you know what not to do in order not to lose money, you begin to learn what to do in order to win. Did you get that? You begin to learn!"

NAS100USD

"Do not confuse my confidence with arrogance because of your ignorance..."Kris Auber

HL's to HH's Guaranteed...

Here are my 2025 targets that I posted Dec 31,2024...(Check my posts for reference)

TP1 = 22273.4

TP2 = 22736.0

TP3 = 22988.5

TP4 = 23510.1

TP 5 = 24368.9

Remember these targets.

Lowest point of 2025 4/6/2025 7:10 pm...Every single week the price has closed higher.

Blue lines are the weekly Boundaries

Just so you know...We TP on the HH's and wait for another trend to be established...

It's a marathon...not a sprint.

Let that sink in this week...Nothing much to say...
I will let the market answer all your questions

Have a great week

#oneauberstrategy
Snapshot