ADABEARUSD trade ideas
Last Cycle -> This CycleNo two cycles have ever been exactly the same and it remains to be seen if that will ever happen. Bitcoin has thus far demonstrated a certain amount of cyclicity and predictable behavior on a 4-year time scale that has been widely studied and written about. Given BTC's overall influence on the asset class, we'll make the assumption in this idea that ADA can also exhibit a certain amount of cyclicity and predictable behavior within a similar time period.
I'll start by defining 4, temporal 'parts'. From cycle to cycle they do NOT translate exactly and it's possible I'll look back in two years and realize I drew them wrong. Regardless of this, let's explore.
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Part 1 - The premature "Rally"
The rhetoric of "This time is different" and "We're going to see new ATH's next month" are particularly strong. This "Rally" usually starts towards the end of the pre-halving year or sometime early in the halving year. Positive USD price movements set the stage for a short staged, preliminary mania before the inevitable lull.
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Part 2 - The Pre-Parabolic lull
After seeing a 2x - 6x return from the cycle bottom, which is usually quite nice given years of mostly weekly red candles, a summer or late fall lull sets in.
The rhetoric of "Crypto is dead" and "It's never going to go up again" emerge.
The prior cycle, at least for ADA, appeared to be much shorter than this cycle's early new ATH ~6 months ago for BTC. Given bitcoin had a long cooling off period time year, it's not particularly shocking that ADA did as well.
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Part 3 - The first kickoff and the 35% downwick
Cue the US elections and like clockwork the asset class kicks off. BTC breaks 100k for the first time, ADAUSD skyrockets from ~$0.30 to ~$1.30.
IF YOU TAKE NOTHING ELSE FROM THIS POST AT LEAST CONSIDER THIS: ADAUSD, like ETHUSD, does not exactly have a great December track record during the halving year. Last Cycle, ADAUSD saw a -35% downwick from the local high to the local bottom. Ask yourself: Do you think this flushed some people out? Do you think some panic sold?
Nobody, not me, not anyone, knows where the USD valuation is going. I believe it's going to go higher but all I know for sure is that where we are now...December of the halving year...is behaving, overall, quite similar to December 2020. ADAUSD skyrockets to $1.30 and then wicks down to the $0.77 range.
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Part 4 - The Real Parabolic Rally
Cue the post-halving year which we are less than 2 weeks away from. In 2020, from the last week of December to the last week of February, ADAUSD rallies 834%.
834% in 8 weeks. And during this time, it printed 2 weekly red candles in the later half of Jan that sent the price down -34%. And then, at the start of March, it printed two more red candles that sent the price down -25%.
But the rally wasn't over because the USD valuation in the Spring of 2021 was still in the low $1's. It wasn't until the second week of May that ADA hit $2 for the first time and it wasn't until late August it hit $3.
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I believe the real parabolic rally hasn't start yet. I believe that if ADAUSD behaves similarly to how it did last cycle, we're going to have an exciting next 10 weeks, a cooloff in March+April, and an exciting start to summer.
There will be turbulence. There will be doubt. This is crypto, this is the nature of trading.
I suspect there will be weeks after a new local high is printed that we're all down 20%-40% and that's okay, it doesn't imply the end of the cycle.
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This isn't financial advice and this isn't investment advice, but now that we're still in the <$1.00/ADA it's probably worth determining what you want your exit strategy to be.
Good luck out there.
Possible head and shoulders. My previous chart predicted a bearish divergence and this played out. Now there is a possible head and shoulders forming. However, Cardano does appear to be showing strength and this may be invalidated soon. I think it wholly depends on BTC movements. Right now BTC just hit a new ATH and the market followed this. I think ADA is showing strength in the RSI. Key support is 1.15, I think ADA does have the strength to reach this and hold it. Only time will tell, market is neutral in my eyes right now.
CARDANO - Sell Idea (Short-term)The pullback below 1.2150 is a strong indication that price action is gearing up for a downside reversal on the short-term scale at the very minimum. A quick move south towards the local key-level support at 0.9400 is very likely at this stage. We're firing off a new short position. Stay tuned...
Cardano - Starting The 10x Parabolic Rally!Cardano ( CRYPTO:ADAUSD ) is perfectly following the break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With an incredible +200% pump in November, Cardano is finally coming back to life after creating the bullish double bottom break and retest just a couple of months ago. Looking at previous cycles, this seems to be just the beginning of another +3.000 rally.
Levels to watch: $3.0, $10.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ADA could increase its price in (+90%)ADA is looking very strong to keep climbing up, if it can manage to close a weekly candle above $1.212 would suggest good momentum to reach the $2 region. It tested the anchored vwap at $0,95 and held it. The target is between fibonacci retracement levels, point of control and value area low from the last bull run highs.
TARGET: $1.976 to $2.152 up to (+90%)
Where does ADA stand currently?From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, Cardano's correction began, and from the point where we placed the green arrow, Cardano's bullish pattern started.
The correction appears to be a symmetrical one, while the new bullish pattern seems to form an expanding triangle.
From the green zone, Cardano may potentially move upward again to complete wave E.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
CRYPTO: ADAUSD trading plan. This is a trade I am currently looking at. I would be taking a LONG position if the price breakthrough the upper rectangular box and a SHORT position if the price breakthrough the lower rectangular box . Currently, I am more interested on the Long position. However, this is only a plan. Please take note that trading is about dealing and respecting the market trend. I do not make predictions.
Cardano Long -Potential long on Cardano, price has been moving up on a solid up trend seen on the 1H and 4H, price likes to dip back in the 20/50ema on the 4h (Price is currently testing the 4h 50ema) and create some pattern we can capitalize on to get an entry point. I recently took one that was a H&S on Saturday for profit.
-price is in a decent descending channel so I may look to enter if we possibly get a H&S pattern that looks to be developing inside the channel, OR wait for a break of the channel and entry once we start breaking OR you can also wait for price to fully break out and possibly have a pull back to the 1h 20/50ema's as seen in my previous trade I took.
- If you take a look at DODGE on the 1h I just got out of a trade for profit today, some of these crypto's have very similar similar patterns like this one so keep an eye on these as they can be quick 6-12% profit
Exploring the Factors Driving Cardano's Bullish TrajectoryCardano (ADA), a blockchain platform known for its robust security and energy efficiency, has been steadily gaining traction in the cryptocurrency market. Analysts are increasingly bullish on ADA's future price movements, with some predicting that the token could reach as high as $9+ in the coming months. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a combination of strong fundamentals, positive market sentiment, and historical price patterns.
Strong Fundamentals Powering ADA's Rise
Cardano's underlying technology, Ouroboros, is a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism that offers several advantages over traditional proof-of-work (PoW) systems, including lower energy consumption and improved scalability. Additionally, Cardano's layered architecture enables the platform to handle complex smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps).
The Cardano community is actively developing a diverse range of projects, including decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, non-fungible token (NFT) marketplaces, and supply chain solutions. As the ecosystem continues to grow and mature, the demand for ADA is likely to increase.
Positive Market Sentiment Boosts ADA's Prospects
The broader cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a bullish phase, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the charge. This positive market sentiment has spilled over into altcoins like Cardano, driving increased investor interest and capital inflows.
Moreover, the recent surge in interest in blockchain technology and decentralized applications has further fueled the bullish sentiment surrounding ADA. As more and more people become aware of the potential benefits of blockchain, the demand for ADA is likely to rise.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
A technical analysis of ADA's price chart suggests that the token may be on the cusp of a significant breakout. Historical price patterns indicate that ADA tends to form support and resistance levels. By breaking through these levels, ADA can enter a new uptrend and potentially reach higher price targets.
Key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are also signaling bullish momentum. The RSI, which measures the speed and change of price movements, is currently in the overbought territory, suggesting strong buying pressure. The MACD, which compares two moving averages, is also trending upwards, indicating a bullish crossover.
Potential Challenges and Risks
While the outlook for ADA is positive, it's important to acknowledge potential challenges and risks. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. Regulatory uncertainty, economic downturns, and negative market sentiment can all impact ADA's price.
Additionally, Cardano's network performance and scalability will be crucial factors in determining its future success. As the number of users and transactions on the network increases, it will be essential for Cardano to maintain its performance and avoid congestion.
Conclusion
Cardano's strong fundamentals, positive market sentiment, and bullish technical indicators suggest that the token has the potential to reach new heights. However, investors should approach ADA with a long-term perspective and be prepared for short-term volatility. By carefully considering the risks and rewards, investors can make informed decisions about their ADA investments.