ADAUSD trade ideas
CARDANO 1week MA50 holding. Sky is the limit.Cardano / ADAUSD is holding its 1week MA50 for the 6th straight week.
The pattern is almost identical to the previous Cycle's:
A Channel Up (that breaks once to the downside for a short time) is used as a guide through the whole Bull Cycle. The final consolidation on the 1week MA50 intiates the final and most aggressive rally of the Cycle.
The previous one in 2021 hit the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
Based on that, we can expect to see $9 on ADA by the end of the year.
Previous chart:
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KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - ADAGood Morning,
Yesterday presented a good opportunity for a day trade, however since most accounts charge 2% on Crypto you were basically cutting your profits to 2-3% depending on when you closed out.
Currently we got rejected, mid-way to the next resistance line. Trend is showing bullish and is looking for another support to land on.
NEW: day one ADA/Cardano price prediction Date:3/30/2025this is a new prediction that i am doing along with the others and is looking a little bearish to me but who knows this could all flip upside down in a few hours but if my prediction follows through it could lead to a bullish reversal at the end or just continuing downward momentum.
oh and the orange A and B are different possible outcomes for the a and b wave.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Major Correction Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Major Correction to $0.15ish
I've identified a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern forming on the ADA/USD daily chart. This classic bearish reversal pattern suggests a significant correction could be imminent.
The pattern's neckline is clearly visible, and if it breaks, the implied move, calculated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting it downwards, targets approximately $0.15. This represents a potential drop of around 76% from the current price.
While many influencers and analysts predict ADA to reach $5, it's crucial to acknowledge the bearish signals presented by this H&S pattern. The reality of technical analysis dictates that we must consider all possibilities, even those contrary to popular sentiment.
Good Luck
Cardano: New Low or Off We Go?In line with our primary scenario, Cardano’s ADA should develop a new low as part of the blue wave (ii). However, this corrective move should conclude with sufficient distance from the $0.31 support so that the blue wave (iii) can take over afterward and drive the price decisively above the $1.32 resistance. That said, our 40% likely alternative scenario suggests that the low of wave alt.(ii) in blue may have already been settled back in February. Confirmation of this alternative trajectory would arise with a clear breakout above $1.32.
Cardano - Focus On This One Altcoin!Cardano ( CRYPTO:ADAUSD ) will lead the bullish rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It really seems to be unbelievable but Cardano is 100% repeating the previous cycle which we saw back in 2018. A double bottom neckline breakout, followed by a significant rally and another break and retest and Cardano is now clearly heading towards the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $0.6, $2.5
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
* ADA: Just Chilling *Hello again degenerados,
Just like you read in the title, COINBASE:ADAUSD is on chilling mode and I don't have anymore hair to pull out.
If you have been following my analysis, you are now expecting price to be moving towards our T1 range. HOWEVER, while we are watching COINBASE:XRPUSD and COINBASE:BTCUSD making moves, ADA is just chilling as if our future is not at stake.
But instead of pulling our bags from the exchange and end up regretting it for the rest of our lives, lets see what has been happening with Cardano:
- As you saw in the main image of this post, I have not changed my bullish bias towards Cardano yet. What helps me through this are the Price action that we see happening in XRP and BTC and how they compare to what Cardano is doing:
- XRP
- BTC
- As you can see from the charts above, both XRP and BTC are looking somewhat more bullish than Cardano but why?
- In my opinion, I think ADA is going through a consolidation phase, possible the W2 of our 5 impulse waves that creates the first bullish leg of the next bull run.
- As you can see in the Image, W1 was kinda weird and choppy which brought us to an even weirder W2, but the outcome has still not changed as we target the retest of that upper trendline in the $0.84 - $0.95 range.
- As for Wave 2, these are the following scenarios(Orange and Yellow) that I think might be happening:
- For one scenario (orange), W2 was already completed and we are now beginning W3.
- For the other scenario(yellow), we might have just completed W2 or we are pretty close to complete it with the possibility of retesting that $0.67 level.
I DON'T KNOW
The fact is that the whole financial market is being played with by geopolitical and economic wars around the world and there is nothing we can do about it.
ADA has been acting heavy. Some accumulation has definitely happened and might still be happening right now. All we need is enough stimulus for the market to start moving.
I still need to remind you to be aware of the lower trendline as our last hope of support. If price breaks through $0.65, a new wave recount will need to happen.
All we can do is wait and observe as ADA continues to test the limits of our patience.
Keep strong!
#ada price and timing projectionTA analysis shows a convergence of multiple trend lines of support and resistance. The intersection of these trend lines have shown the power of the macro bull support line. The
bear support trend line shifted to that of the 2 year Macro bull. The SMA and EMA trends are converging as well as high volatility and volume.
* ADA: PUMP OR DUMP? *Hello again fellow gamblers,
I can imagine what is going through every ADA holder at this time: "Why are we not pumping?"
Only the lords of the charts can answer that question. I rather not dig in this deep rabbit hole, it's almost nap time.
I do, however, have some interesting to show you all.
I got for yall a comparison between COINBASE:ADAUSD and COINBASE:BTCUSD :
1) Trendlines:
- We need to be aware that bitcoin is getting pretty close to that trendline, which means that it will probably face some resistance around that level and a possible downside move can happen. A dump on bitcoin could mean a huge dump on Cardano, if the buyers cannot hold that $0.6 support.
2) Purple arrows:
- If you place your attention on the purple arrow in the chart, you will realize that while Bitcoin started to pump after election day, Cardano was moving but slowly. It took some time for the momentum to pick up. The same is happening today, which means that this is normal and that soon Cardano will have their moment to shine.
3) RSI:
- The 3rd thing I would like to highlight is down at the RSI. Bitcoin has finally broken the lower high resistance that was being formed in its RSI. What does it mean? IDK, but it does makes me believe that a retest and a potential pump will happen soon.
It is time to set your alerts, check your bags, and listen to "How to fix anxiety" videos on Youtube. Things will begin to pick up pretty soon.
*IMPORTANT WEEK IS ABOUT TO BEGIN*Hello fellow Degenerates,
This time I got both XRP and ADA charts together to show you both theories that created this slow and boring drama we are facing now. This week we might finally get to its conclusion, for better or worse so watch closely.
If you been observing and watching the crypto market, you know that these two tickers are the ones that will drive a lot of the market this year, and for better or for worse, their price action have always been kinda similar, with a few deviations or delays but the doodles kinda look alike.
- For better visualization, in the XRP chart is the bearish view. We need to have a break of that $2.6 level to confirm that the bulls are back. The price movement of last week created a lot of hope but we all know that this is also how the institutions enjoy playing with our emotions. If price continues down, $2.0 could be broken and $1.5 PT might be our next landing.
- On the ADA chart is the hopium for the bulls. Although it doesnt looks as bullish as XRP, it is also a characteristic of the market when starting new impulsive waves. Retail is usually not believing it, they are skeptical of the movement. The fact is that Cardano and XRP are filled with Institutional money and a faithfull community, so what the market needs is a catalyst to shake things up. What could it be? SPX recovery? XRP vs SEC settled? ETF approvals?(that wont be until at least another month)
- If you compare RSI's, the Daily RSI has still some room down towards the Higher low trendline being formed. The 1H RSI shows that this little dump we had this weekend was enough to bring it to the same levels as last week's lows and the lows from before the strategic reserve news.
The point is that we need to look at the different perspectives and be prepared for both.
Understand where price could go, manage your risk, but also understand what is coming.
I do not believe the bull cycle is over. The geopolitical and socioeconomic cycles are keeping the market in this stagnant state, but they are also what will drive it to boom like never before.
Keep your eyes open.
Bullish or Bearish? Let me know what you think!
*I am not a Pro, I'm just a beginner learning Elliot Waves and technical Analysis. This is simply my humble attempt at losing money while looking smart*
Cardano ADAUSD The Week Ahead 17th March ‘25The ADA/USD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish sentiment, sustained by the prevailing downtrend. The critical trading level to monitor is at 8,530, representing the current intraday swing low and the 50-day moving average (DMA) level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from present levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 8,530 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 6,576, with further potential declines to 6,000 and 4,846 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a confirmed breakout above the 8,530 resistance level and a daily close above it would invalidate the bearish outlook. This bullish scenario could pave the way for a continued rally, aiming to retest the 9,775 resistance, with an extension to 11,244.
Conclusion:
The sentiment for ADA/USD remains bearish, with the 8,530 level acting as a critical resistance. Traders should remain cautious, waiting for either a bearish rejection or a breakout and daily close above this level to assess the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
*A PINCH OF ANXIETY TO BRIGHTEN YOUR WEEKEND*Yuuur,
As you can see in the title, I am taking a breaking from all the positivity and hopium of my last posts just to give us all a warning:
PRICE CAN STILL GO LOWER
I have been saying this in all of my previous posts, but this time I decided to show you what I mean.
The green box is the PT for the Second Wave of this bull cycle. As you can see we got in it, we touched its bottom and then used it as support.
The problem is that the news about the Crypto Reserve created confusion to this all and we need to be careful with it.
The blue path is my bullish thesis that W2 is completed.
The yellow path is in case W2 is not completed yet.
- I am just being cautions since the beginning of a new trend is always filled with uncertainty and in this case we got this retracement from the news that could be an ABC or it could be a 5 wave retracement.
So be careful out there.
As always, we have to remind ourselves that we are mere observers of the market.
ADA/USD "Cardano vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook:
ADA/USD "Cardano vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
⚡⭐Fundamental Analysis
Market Capitalization : Cardano's market capitalization stands at $23.12 billion USD, with a circulating supply of 35.21 billion ADA.
Tokenomics : The total supply of ADA is capped at 45 billion, with a significant portion already in circulation.
Blockchain Technology : Cardano's blockchain technology is based on the Ouroboros consensus algorithm, which provides a secure and energy-efficient way to validate transactions.
Development Activity : The Cardano development team is actively working on improving the blockchain's scalability, interoperability, and usability.
Partnerships and Collaborations : Cardano has partnered with various organizations, including universities, research institutions, and businesses, to promote the adoption of its blockchain technology.
⚡⭐Macro Economics
Inflation : The current inflation rate is not explicitly stated, but it's essential to consider its impact on the cryptocurrency market. Rising inflation can lead to increased adoption of cryptocurrencies as a store of value.
Interest Rates : Interest rates can influence the attractiveness of cryptocurrencies like ADA. Higher interest rates can make traditional investments more attractive, potentially reducing demand for cryptocurrencies.
Global Economic Growth : The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, which can impact the demand for cryptocurrencies. However, some investors may view cryptocurrencies as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty.
Regulatory Environment : The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is constantly evolving. Changes in regulations can impact the adoption and price of cryptocurrencies like ADA.
⚡⭐Global Market Analysis
Trend: The ADA/USD pair is experiencing a mixed trend, with a 4.27% increase in the last 24 hours, but a 12.92% decrease in the last week.
Support and Resistance: Key support levels are at $0.63 and $0.61, while resistance levels are at $0.68 and $0.70.
⚡⭐COT Data
Speculators (Non-Commercials): The current COT report shows that speculators are holding 26,729 long positions and 9,961 short positions.
Hedgers (Commercials): Hedgers are holding 7,275 long positions and 24,341 short positions.
⚡⭐On-Chain Analysis
Transaction Volume: The 24-hour transaction volume for ADA is approximately $868.36 million USD.
Active Addresses: The number of active addresses on the Cardano network is not provided.
⚡⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment: The overall sentiment for ADA/USD is neutral, with a mix of bullish and bearish predictions.
Fear and Greed Index: The current fear and greed index reading is not available.
⚡⭐Positioning
Long/Short Ratio: The long/short ratio for ADA/USD is not provided.
Open Interest: The open interest for ADA/USD is approximately $776.6 million USD.
⚡⭐Next Trend Move
Bullish Prediction: Some analysts suggest a potential bullish move, targeting $0.70 and $0.80.
Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting $0.52 and $0.50, due to the recent downward trend and potential selling pressure.
⚡⭐Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish or Bearish: The overall outlook for ADA/USD is neutral, with a mix of bullish and bearish predictions.
Real-Time Market Feed: As of the current time, the ADA/USD price is $0.66, with a 0.42% increase in the last 24 hours.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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*SLOW AND SMOOTH*Hello again, Degenerates
PT1(For those that don't want to read) = $0.96-$0.83
If you have been following my analysis, you know that we are now in a sensitive zone:
- We hit a Macro Wave 2 target, but Wave 2 can always go lower (as long as it doesn't cover 100% of Wave 1)
- Market uncertainty has brought sentiment to extreme fear
- SEC is taking its sweet 4$$ time with ETF approvals.
Regardless of all of that, we are just here to observe the market and pray for Satoshi to bless our bags.
If my analysis is correct, we might be entering Wave 1 of Wave 3 of Wave 3... Just look at the chart and try not to get too confused.
- The red circled numbers are the 5 Sub-waves of impulse wave 3( green). As you can see, I suspect that we got done with sub-wave 2 and are now entering the territory of Sub-wave 3.
- The color blue represent the waves of the sub-wave 3(red).
We need the first price target cover 61-38% of the last correction to confirm that we are indeed entering another bull run.
- You can see in yellow what price action could look like.
This first wave will probably have a low volume and momentum will be choppy. Price can still do another retest of $0.65 if buyers don't step in.
As always, I have to remind you that I am not a pro, I am just attempting to learn the sage wisdom of the waves.
*Not Financial Advice*
*Hurry up and Stand by*Hello Degens,
Just stopping by to drop a new dose of hopium and remind everyone that while SPY keeps on digging new lows, Crypto is holding its price.
To my surprise, ADA has been holding the price target I had suggested. I do believe that we are now in a zone where institutions have been accumulating and manipulating in an attempt to create as much liquidation as possible.
I am not planning on going anywhere, and I hope you aren't either because this is the beginning of the beginning of the wildest bull cycle we have ever experienced.
At this time ADA is loading up for Impulse wave 3. I can still see price going below $.60 , but that will be due to manipulation more than anything. We are now in the time where smart money is accumulating and dumb money is calling it a scam.
Stay focus, and remember to zoom out.
*Not financial advice. I'm just trying to learn how to doodle on these charts.*
Cardano to hit 4.86 this bull cycle.The price prediction is based on the trend line and Fibonacci retracement levels, which help identify key support and resistance zones. The trend line indicates the overall market direction, while Fibonacci levels highlight potential reversal points. If the price respects these levels, it may continue its trend; otherwise, a breakout could signal a shift in momentum.
ADA - $4.87
Just do it already!!Alright degens. We are here.
- RSI did another lower high on the daily.
- RSI double bottom at 1H chart.
- Price is at the 38.2%.
- Small break of trendline in the 1h chart.
Are we pumping? absolutely not . We're just watching.
Although price broke the trendline, it needs to at least break the last lower high with strength to confirm a reversal.
Although we hit what we think it might be the bottom of wave C of Wave 2, price could still go lower since the rule that invalidates Wave 2 is that it cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. That would take us back below $.40. Do I really believe price will go there? No. But I am just as clueless when it comes to the will of the market.
For now, I am watching for how price behaves in the market purple box in the chart. I expect a rejection, but I hope that price will be able to hold this level. I wouldn't be surprised if price uses the $.51 - $.70 range to consolidate/accumulate sideways. I'm also looking for a strong RSI to signal change in dominance from sellers to buyers.
As I mentioned in my previous posts, this is a crucial time for us to start observing the market in general and also observe what is happening in the macro view of the market.
One of the things that dragged all of us to this chaotic crypto market is the fact that when it comes to recovery, no one performs better than us. When time comes there will be signs, so keep your eyes opened.
For now I am just glad that the targets I had doodled in my charts were hit and surprisingly enough they are somehow holding hahaha I'm a god. JK. I'm just a noobie trying to learn how to lose money while looking smart at the same time.
May Satoshi bless us all
*Not Financial Advice*