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DXY – A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario)📉 DXY – A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario) Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is at a critical point. According to the aggressive bearish scenario, we might witness a significant correction or even a strong continuation of the downtrend in the coming weeks. 🔹 Elliott Wave Structure: ✅ Wave A has formed as an impulse, and there is a possibility that Wave C will develop into an ending diagonal, signaling a sharp decline. ✅ If a complex zigzag pattern emerges, the decline could extend further into the 100.83 – 95.03 range. 🔹 Key Levels: 📌 A break below 105 – 106 would be an early confirmation of this bearish scenario. 📌 A drop below 100.19 could indicate significant weakness in the dollar, leading to the next major downtrend. 🔹 Fundamental Factors to Watch: 📉 Federal Reserve policies and key U.S. economic data, such as inflation and employment reports, will play a crucial role in confirming this move. If the DXY declines, risk assets like gold and equities could benefit from the shift. 💡 Conclusion: This scenario remains valid, but if different corrective patterns form, I also have a conservative bullish scenario, which I will share at the right time. 📊 What do you think? Are there more signs of dollar weakness ahead? 🤔 Hashtags: #DXY #DXYAnalysis #Forex #ElliottWave #USD #TechnicalAnalysis #DollarIndex #BearishScenario #MarketTrends #TradingView ✅ TradingView Short Description: 📉 Is the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the verge of a major drop? Elliott Wave analysis with key support and resistance levels. 📊💡
TVC:DXYShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold – Key Trade Setups (#5)The market still seems indecisive , but I’m here to find the best trade triggers for BTC and Forex. Let’s break it down. 📊 DXY – Breaking Key Support DXY has entered a corrective phase after breaking below the 107.335 support. 🔹 Key Support Levels: 105.656 (Aligned with the 30% Fibonacci retracement) 103.367 (Aligned with the 60% Fibonacci retracement) 💡 106.602 could act as a short-term support, and if it breaks, it might be time to focus on USD pairs for potential setups. 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Retesting ATH? Gold rejected its all-time high at 2937.91 and now seems to be retesting this major resistance. 📊 What’s happening? Gold is still in an uptrend, but momentum is fading. Smaller bullish candles vs. larger bearish candles indicate possible exhaustion. A correction could be healthy, but shorting remains risky in an uptrend. 📌 Trade Triggers: ✅ Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2940 ❌ Short Entry: Below 2879.74 (High risk due to trend direction) 📉 BTC – 95K Support Breaking? BTC is attempting to break below the 95K support. If this level is lost, we could see a move toward 92K, 85K, and even 82K. 📌 Strategy: ✅ Short Trigger (Activated): 95245 (Yesterday’s signal) ✅ If You Missed It: Wait for a pullback or a new structure before entering. Final Thoughts ⚠ This is a highly volatile market – avoid chasing trades and wait for confirmations. ⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you. I’m Skeptic , see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! <3
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
USD: Fading bearish momentumOur baseline view for this week has been that the dollar correction has run its course, and we still favour chasing a USD rebound against other G10 currencies. There is admittedly some residual room for a risk-on/dollar-off move once a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal is agreed, but markets are largely pricing it in at this stage and there are no guarantees for now that it will allow to price out longer-run geopolitical risk. Today, markets will remain focused on any developments on the US-Russia bilateral talks on Ukraine, but barring a major breakthrough, the optimistic push and relative upbeat risk sentiment may stall or fade in the next couple of days and the dollar can continue to recover some ground. Also on the positioning side, there is some evidence that the dollar longs are slightly less stretched. CFTC USD positioning versus G10 currencies excluding SEK and NOK (which are not reported) has inched back lower to a seven-week low, albeit remaining above +20% of open interest. Macro developments will likely play a secondary role this week, with the exception of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes. Today’s Empire Manufacturing index and TIC flows out of the US should have limited market impact.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by AccuTrade2000
#USDX 4HUSDX (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation signal. This indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase after a strong move, and a breakout could lead to further bullish momentum. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the upper trendline of the flag pattern, confirming bullish strength. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a breakout above the flag pattern with strong volume. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target the next key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward move. Waiting for a confirmed breakout will help align with the prevailing trend and avoid false signals.
VANTAGE:USDXLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
DXY Is Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 106.448. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 105.539 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
DXY Long On the weekly Time Frame the DXY has broken above a previous weekly resistance level (wPb). Price has since Re-Tested this level and seems to be finding Support. Last weeks candle (week 6) printed what I believe, has proven to be a strong reversal candle (with Bullish Divergence), indicating the bearish correction (Re-Test of wPb) is about to reverse Long. In light of this I'll be looking for a reason to enter Long on the 4h Time Frame, inside the wPb Zone & aiming for the w6 High.
TVC:DXYLong
by EverGlowTrading
Stumbling DXY ahead of Trump speech and FOMC minutesIt is make or break time for my ideas on the DXY after the DXY failed to hold levels above the 50-day MA at 108. The critical support between 107.2 and 107.5 is currently being tested after the DXY closed the week 1.2% weaker at 106.8 despite US CPI rising for the 4th consecutive month coupled with a rather hawkish yet upbeat testimony before congress from Fed chair Powell, which in my opinion was all dollar positive. US CPI for the month of January came in hotter than expected at 3.0% yoy, up from 2.9% in December. Additionally, on top of Powell’s comments regarding the strength of the US economy, the ISM Manufacturing PMI completely shattered expectations after coming in stronger than expected at 50.9 for the month of January. The DXY however pulled back sharply on Thursday off the back of a weaker than expected initial jobless claims report and a stronger than expected PPI print of 3.5% yoy. The downward momentum gained further traction after core retail sales completely missed expectations, contracting 0.4% mom in January. If the DXY does not close this week above the support at 107.2 I’ll have to invalidate my series of ideas calling for a move to 112.2. A break below my support range mentioned above will allow the DXY to slide all the way onto the support of the 38.2% FIbo retracement at 105.4 and the 200-day MA currently at 104.9. I’m not ready to invalidate the idea just yet since we may be looking at a bear trap on the DXY but I may have to get back to the drawing board after this week’s trading.
TVC:DXY
by Goose96
1