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DXY SELL US Dollar rises after Fed's cut and hawkish outlook DXY trades rose above 107.80, reacting to the Fed’s anticipated rate cut. Markets parse new rate projections for 2025 and 2026. Traders assess Powell’s cautious yet hawkish remarksThe US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000). US Dollar Index on Wikipedia Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time. More about the basics of the Dollar index! ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people: Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis. The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index. The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.” US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative. WANT TO LEARN MORE ON US DOLLAR INDEX? The US Dollar Index Steve Misic Steve Misic Online Trading Academy When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events. The Dollar Index – It Makes Sense Until it Closes Don Dawson Don Dawson Online Trading Academy Have you watched the US Dollar Index (USDX) Futures contract trade during the day? Do you notice that with each price change the intervals are always a minimum tick of .005? And then at the end of the day when you look at your daily candle of the USDX you see a closing price like 97.197. A Look at the US Dollar Index Sam Evans Sam Evans Online Trading Academy Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board. Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over
TVC:DXYShort
by KingForex078
DXY Bullish trend continue**Monthly Chart** The Sept 24 candle formed an inside candle after it swept the liquidity from the previous candle low and tested the low of the July 2023 monthly candle at the midpoint of April 22 Fair Bullish Value Gap (IPA). The Oct 24 candle closed as a bullish engulfing candle, suggesting a strong bullish move for DXY in the next few months. This month's candle (which is still active) continued the strong bullish move for the DXY and took the liquidity above 106.49 and 107.34. I am still expecting DXY to at least move to test 110.00 before looking for any bearish structure. **Weekly Chart** Last week's candle closed bullish after swept liquidity above 107.348 level. Since DXY already took the liquidity. For Now, for DXY to continue the upward trend, it needs to form a bullish structure on smaller time frames for one more bush higher at least to test the low of 24 Oct 2022 weekly candle at 109.535 level. **Daily Chart** I would like to see DXY retrace lower at least to test 0.50 or 0.618 Fibs levels and FVG on the daily chart and form bullish confirmation for another push higher this week. This means a bearish continuation for opposite pairs to USD. Such as GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD..etc. Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
TVC:DXYLong
by PropSignals
DXY Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 106.958. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 109.013 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
dxy drops to $88Gm. It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands. Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via: We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is to come by rejecting a target we've been eyeing for the last quarter of the year. While there’s always a chance it could go slightly higher, I’ve included one target above the recent rejection. If my primary theory plays out, the DXY will see a sharp decline below $90 by the end of 2025. This will also coincide with the creation of a "top" in the global liquidity index.
TVC:DXY
by notoriousbids
5
Rising Global Liquidity: Deflationary Dollar & Rallying EquitiesWhile it's uncommon for the dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and equities (S&P 500) to rise simultaneously, historical instances illustrate that it can occur under specific economic conditions. I think those conditions may be upon us! Historical Examples: 1995: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Strong economic growth and corporate earnings propelled equities higher. 2001-2002: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Economic recovery following the tech bubble burst. 2011: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Safe-haven buying of the dollar amid European debt concerns, while stocks benefited from robust corporate earnings. March 2020: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising (post-COVID) Context: Initial flight to safety due to uncertainty, followed by stimulus-driven stock market recovery. Mid-Late 2025 - Crescendo: DXY Movement: Potential strength driven by deflationary AI Pressure cheapening productivity & labor cycles S&P 500 Movement: Rising markets as all assets rally as a result of increased liquidity from stimulus Context: it takes a few months for stimulus to reach assets- the next few *years* might have stimulus coming. Inflate the debt away while the dollar rises? These historical instances suggest that a strengthening dollar *can* coexist with rising equities, particularly in environments characterized by global liquidity increases. Given the chart, we have a convergence of two long term trend lines, first in the ascending channel on the ‘short term’ (1yr candles, in top photo ascending channel). Then for the longer term ‘cup’ trend going back decades (ref bottom RSI momentum dating back to 1980s), *that* might show that we truly are on the cusp of incredible amounts of stimulus. What do you think? Is it possible that the dollar goes higher while we receive trillions in stimulus? Is this the fuel for the ‘everything rally’?
TVC:DXY
by httpz
The DXY is extremely important. **“In my opinion, the Dollar Index (DXY) has always been the key determinant of market sentiment and direction, and it still is. Today, with the distance created from China, everything is more tied to the DXY than ever before. I truly can’t tell you whether the drop will start from the 106-107 range, because my mind is intensely occupied with the 111-112 range. However, I can say with certainty that in 2025, the 103-104 range will be touched first, and then we’ll move toward two other specified levels. This aligns perfectly with an explosion in cryptocurrency and altcoins. You just need to stay on the field, as wrestlers say — eventually, you’ll strike a winning blow somewhere.”**
TVC:DXY
by DPRTRADE
Dollar Dominates: FED Rate Decision AheadThe US dollar is getting strong again, driven by a resilient US economy and expectations of a "hawkish cut" from the Federal Reserve. Despite talk of a rate cut, the US economy remains strong, with solid consumer spending and a tight labor market. This raises concerns about persistent inflation, suggesting the Fed may be cautious about further easing. Technically, the dollar index (DXY) is staging a convincing rebound, breaking above key resistance and eyeing new highs for 2024. This bullish momentum is likely to continue if the Fed delivers a "hawkish cut" – lowering rates while signaling a cautious stance on future easing. EUR: Grappling with Economic Headwinds The eurozone faces a challenging economic outlook. Slowing growth and persistent inflation create a stagflationary environment that weighs on the euro. The European Central Bank is caught between a rock and a hard place, needing to support the economy while also taming inflation. The EUR/USD pair remains trapped within the 1.0460 – 1.0600 range. A decisive break below this zone, particularly with a close below 1.0400, could signal a significant shift in momentum and the continuation of a downtrend in the medium term. GBP: Battling Stagflation The pound is under pressure due to a confluence of factors. Recent data shows the UK economy contracting, raising fears of a recession. Inflation remains high, adding to the stagflationary pressures. The Bank of England faces a difficult balancing act, needing to support the economy while also keeping inflation in check. GBP/USD is looking vulnerable, with a break below key support at 1.2600 potentially opening the door for further declines. JPY: Waiting for Policy Clarity The Japanese yen remains volatile as markets try to anticipate the Bank of Japan's next move. Will they maintain their ultra-loose monetary policy or finally raise interest rates? The uncertainty is fueling volatility in JPY crosses. USD/JPY has been on a tear, breaking above key resistance levels. A "hawkish hold" from the BoJ, where rates are kept unchanged but the door is left open for future hikes, could fuel further yen weakness. CAD: Exposed After Rate Cut The Canadian dollar is vulnerable after the Bank of Canada's recent rate cut. The move surprised markets and raised concerns about the health of the Canadian economy. USD/CAD has been trending higher, fueled by the divergence in monetary policy between the US and Canada. A break above the 1.4350 resistance level could pave the way for further gains in USD/CAD. *This is a market analysis, not trading advice. Trade responsibly and do your own research.
TVC:DXY
by E8Markets
DXY next possible move🔮🦁🦁🦁 **Patience: The Most Difficult Skill to Master in Trading** 💡 **Want to succeed? Then, learn to wait.** ⏳ Patience is not just a virtue in trading; it’s a powerful weapon. But let’s be honest: it’s also one of the hardest skills to develop. 👉 Yet, once you master it, you’ll already be halfway to success. 🎯 📈 Trading rewards those who know how to wait for the right moment. ❌ Not those who rush. ✔️ But those who remain calm and methodical. So, make patience your ally and see the difference. 🌟
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by eLs-Trading