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US Dollar Index

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DXY trade ideas

Welp I guess just buy anything (priced in $)The dollar is about to go down heavily. Stuff priced in dollars - for example, equities and crypto - will go up correspondingly. Let's look at this weekly chart of the DXY, which is the dollar versus a basket of other currencies, overlaid with the Fed Funds Rate, which is, simplistically, the main interest rate. We see that when rates go up, the dollar goes up. The inverse is also true. This relation is because when interest rates are low, it has an effect similar to printing money, where the *value* of the dollar is diluted by all the new dollars coming into circulation. The markets are forward-looking. The DXY started its parabolic run upwards in H2 2021 in advance of the actual raise in the interest rate. It broke the parabola also in advance of the rate being tapered - that is, rates still increased for a little, but by less and less. Then rates went sideways and so did the dollar, in a multi-year range with clearly defined support and resistance. Now, rates are coming down again - and the dollar will fall. It tapped the top of the range, made a little exuberant Swing Failure Pattern to the next weekly resistance, and formed a technical high (the Low of the highest candle was just taken on close by this week's candle. Most likely path is now to the bottom of the range at ~100, then bounce and continue down to previous support at ~89. Coming on top of the existing market euphoria around US elections, and the all-time highs in SPY and Bitcoin, this is likely to trigger a parabolic run up in *all* risk assets. Oddly, safe-haven assets like Gold and Silver will I think *also* rise, because they are inflation hedges - the original meaning of inflation, of course, being inflation of the currency.
TVC:DXYLong
by SimpleCryptoLife
2
Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - A Deeper Correction Approaching?Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - Is a Deeper Correction Approaching? Since September 2024, the Dollar Index (DXY) has risen significantly, gaining 8.2%, marking its highest appreciation in months. This upward momentum has been fueled by positive economic indicators, increasing demand for dollars. Recently, the DXY reached the 107.00 mark, its highest resistance level since 2022. However, after hitting this point, the DXY exhibited a false breakout, suggesting potential buyer fatigue. Currently, the price has dipped slightly to 105.93, with the possibility of further retracement towards the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 104.92 before continuing its upward trend. Buying Potential If the price returns to the range between 104.92 (38.2% Fibonacci) and 103.96 (50% Fibonacci) and shows a bullish reversal, it could indicate a continuation of the upward movement, presenting a buying opportunity. Key confluence points for the DXY include: Horizontal support around 104.92, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement. The overall upward trend since September. The 50-period moving average on the daily chart, which may coincide with this support. These factors suggest that if the price reaches the support zone, buyers could re-enter, pushing the price back towards recent highs around 106.97, potentially targeting 108.00. Potential Targets First Target: Retest the high at 107.00. Secondary Target: Extend to 109.30, contingent on a confirmed breakout. Alternative Bearish Scenario If the price fails to hold at 104.92 and drops below the 50% retracement at 103.96, the index may decline further. In this scenario, the next significant support is at 102.99, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This decline would indicate a deeper correction while still within a generally bullish framework. However, breaching this level could negate the short-term bullish outlook and push the index down to 100.00, a key psychological support level. Warning Signs for a Possible Sell Opportunity A daily close below 103.96, suggesting weakening buyer support. A sustained drop below 102.99, indicating a shift in the prevailing trend. Summary The DXY currently exhibits a predominantly bullish structure but is undergoing a natural correction after hitting a crucial resistance level. The area between 104.92 and 103.96 presents a potential buying opportunity, provided there are clear signs of a price reversal. Monitoring the specified support levels is crucial, as significant breaches could undermine the bullish scenario and lead to deeper declines. Disclaimer 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
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by Marketscom
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 106.18 1st Support: 105.27 1st Resistance: 107.04 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
Unmasking DXY's Bullish Potential with Volume ProfileH ello, The unusually high market activity around the 100.5 level indicated strong bullish accumulation. The yellow ellipses highlight the volume and price levels. You can see that volume decreases both above and below this key level. This accumulation is evident because the price broke out of a bullish consolidation pattern, as shown in the left yellow circle, reaching a high of 103.9, indicated by the yellow line. This is the current level, where you may notice exceptionally high market activity. As the price remains above the green demand zone, the red supply zone may be tested, as suggested by the volume profile. Regards, Ely
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Elysian_Mind
DXY Is Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 106.269. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 104.187 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
DeGRAM | DXY exiting from the accumulation zoneDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines. The chart has already reached the lower boundary of the channel, the lower trend line and the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point. Price has quickly picked out of the range between the levels and is now above the accumulation zone. AB=CD pattern has been formed. We expect a rebound after consolidation above the accumulation zone. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
6