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DIA trade ideas

DIA at a Critical Resistance! Key Trade Setups for This WeekTechnical Analysis Overview: DIA (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF) is approaching a significant resistance zone at $450.56, which aligns with the highest positive Gamma Exposure (GEX). The upward channel suggests a bullish continuation, but the proximity to resistance warrants caution. * Current Price: $449.20 (as of the last chart). * Resistance Levels: * Immediate resistance at $450.56 (Gamma Wall). * Secondary resistance at $460.00 (Call Wall). * Support Levels: * Minor support at $446.00. * Stronger support at $445.00 (Highest negative GEX). * Key support at $438.63 (recent swing low). Indicators: * MACD: Bullish momentum, but a potential crossover could indicate weakening. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought at 95.96, signaling a pullback is possible. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis: * Positive GEX at $450.56: Suggests resistance as market makers may hedge short gamma. * Negative GEX at $445.00: Acts as a support zone, as put-heavy levels often attract reversals. * IVR: 10.3 (low), indicating relatively low implied volatility and less expensive options. * Call/Put Ratio: 27.9% Puts dominate, suggesting bearish sentiment among options traders. Trade Setups: * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Break above $450.56 with strong volume. * Target: $460.00. * Stop-Loss: Below $446.00. * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Rejection at $450.56. * Target: $445.00 and $438.63. * Stop-Loss: Above $451.00. Suggestions: * Scalpers: Monitor price action near $450.56. A breakout with increased volume offers a quick upward trade. * Swing Traders: Wait for confirmation—either a breakout above $450.56 or a pullback to $445.00 for entry. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk effectively before trading.
AMEX:DIA
by BullBearInsights
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for This week Feb 3-7This is still the trading range for the week. I re-calculated everything after yesterday’s one standard deviation trading range because of the overnight gap down, but this is the implied move from the beginning of the week. Momentum on that 50 day moving average is starting to slow down but overall DIA looks pretty healthy here. That 50DMA is running along the bottom of the epected move so I feel very comfortable with my bottom spreads - I wouldn’t be surprised to see a bit of sideways maybe this week. We did see a lower low from recent all-time highs so that is note worthy. Personally, I would like to see more down, but momentum is still up so if we do go down, it will be as slow move. Or more likely just sideways consolidation 437 to 452 is this weeks trading range - so far we are right in the middle of it. I have iron butterfly from Friday and condors also from Friday with wings at 437 and 455 that i will add to if tested
AMEX:DIA
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & Targets For Feb 3 2025And DIA so I did things a little bit differently here today and I actually kind of like it. This is the expected move on the week which we did open at the bottom of at 4:39 and then we also have the one standard deviation move on this contract, which takes it down to 435. We did get caught on that 30 minute tun removing average you could see that nice strong momentum there underneath that we have the 50 day moving average and the one hour all still pointing up so we are at the bottom of the trading range for the week with a little bit of support here to get into so the expected move for the week is between 439 and 452 and the standard deviation move is 435 to 454. We are close to that 50 day moving average and we are underneath the 50 day moving average in SPY SPX,QQQ and IWM so DIA is the only one currently above, the 50 day moving average, which could be a good indicator of what stocks to look at that could be a little bit stronger at this time but definitely keep a eye on that 50 day moving average
AMEX:DIA
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
1
The Market Tariffs, AI reversal, MACRO market potentials?The Market Tariffs, AI reversal, MACRO market potentials? 1. The Market Tariffs – If tariffs increase, global trade tensions could slow growth, impacting exports and raising costs for consumers. 2. AI Reversal – A regulatory crackdown or AI stagnation could cause tech stocks to pull back, shifting investment toward traditional industries. 3. MACRO Market Potentials (Bullish) – If inflation cools and interest rates drop, equities could rally, driving capital into growth sectors. 4. MACRO Market Potentials (Bearish) – A recession or debt crisis could trigger a broad market downturn, pushing investors toward bonds and commodities.
AMEX:DIA
by Traderg
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders All right, so Tuesday and Wednesday we tapped the top of the expected move on the week and then pulled back yesterday to the 35 EA so we did close right at the 35 EMA just underneath it yesterday. And today so far futures are down and we have a Read signal line. Expected move on the day 442 to 452, and on the week 438 to 450 so keep a close eye on that 450. All-time highs are just underneath that 452 and we do have a support to the downside at 440.
AMEX:DIA
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$DIA Analysis Key Levels and targets for Today and tomorrowWe are at the top of the expected move on the week here which was 450. The expected move on the day, however 443 to 454 and all-time highs are in that extended trading area. 35 EMA is the only level in our trading range we do have one red candle there that you can see around 441 a little bit underneath that that could be a support level. Outside of that we do have a bar divergent so we are losing strength but earnings could change that.
AMEX:DIA
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsToday’s expected move for DIA is between 442 and 448 and that is a .58% move and underneath us we do have 35 EMA clearly a support all week. It is at the bottom of the training range and that could pull us down just because of the positioning of it but so far it is support so keep an eye on that we are extremely over bought look at stupid Willie down below, looking like a pullback is likely and again we have that one hour moving the 30 minute underneath that that in itself is Berish but the fact that the one hour is facing down it’s very likely we come up onto that sooner than later and I mean next week for DIA this week the top of the week was supposed to be at 4:41 while that is still possible that is not in today’s implied move so if you did sell 441 calls, it could be a good time to roll those out to next week, and really yesterday would’ve been a better day to do that but today still a good day to roll out and reposition for next week for a pullback
AMEX:DIAShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
DIA Technical Analysis and GEX Option Trading InsightsTechnical Analysis for Trading Current Price Action: * DIA is in a strong uptrend, maintaining higher highs and higher lows. * It is approaching significant resistance at $445, with support established near $430 and $426. Trend Lines: * Upward momentum persists, supported by a rising trend line. This provides a bullish bias until broken. Indicators: * MACD: Positive momentum is weakening, signaling a potential cooldown but remains in bullish territory. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions indicate a possible short-term retracement or consolidation. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance: $445 (Immediate), $447. * Support: $430 (Trend-line support), $426. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish: If DIA breaks above $445 with strong volume, a move toward $447–$450 could materialize. * Entry: Above $445. * Target: $447–$450. * Stop-loss: Below $442. * Bearish: If rejection occurs at $445, expect a pullback to $430 or lower. * Entry: Below $440. * Target: $430–$426. * Stop-loss: Above $443. Gamma Exposure (GEX) for Option Trading * Highest Call Wall: $445 (Significant resistance zone, call sellers may cap gains beyond this level). * Highest Put Wall: $419 (Support area where put sellers provide support). * Key Gamma Levels: * Positive GEX: Above $445 supports bullish continuation. * Negative GEX: Below $430 increases volatility and bearish pressure. IV and Option Flow: * IV Rank (IVR): 21.8 (Low IV, suitable for long option strategies like debit spreads or straight calls). * Call/Put Flow: Calls dominate at 19.3%, indicating bullish sentiment. Options Trade Ideas: 1. Bullish: Buy 445 Calls, expiring within the next two weeks, targeting a move above $445 toward $450. * Entry: $445 Calls at $2.50–$3.00. * Target Exit: $447–$450. * Stop Loss: If DIA drops below $442. 2. Bearish: If rejection at $445, consider 440 Puts, targeting a drop to $430. * Entry: $440 Puts at $2.00–$2.50. * Target Exit: $430. * Stop Loss: Above $443. Outlook Summary: * Bullish bias remains intact, but short-term overbought conditions suggest a potential pullback. * Watch for clear price action signals near key levels at $445 and $430 to confirm entry and exit strategies. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:DIA
by BullBearInsights
DJI a FAILED 5th Wave and right shoulder Head n shoulder TOP The chart now can be seen as A 5th wave Failure . as we have entered the 6 spiral window. the last 5 /6 spirals called the TOP to the day major turn 11/29 to 12/5 in the dji it was 11/29 and the MATH was near perfect . Now what ?? the drop in my view was wave 4 of the Supercycle peak . since then cycles turned up and the 5th wave started . based on the 80 day cycle due mid dec . so why am I calling this a Failed 5th wave reason is the last low was one of the longest days down in US history and breaking the long term trendline support The High Hit the trendline at the peak going back to the sept 2nd 1929 high . The fact that the sp 500 is now the only index to print a new record high is a warning . I started to move into puts on friday jan 17th and moved to a 110 % long puts today at 6100 in the spx cash and 533 in the QQQ , The market can still trace out a small 4 nad 5 and 4.5 and the DJI could still print a minor new High but today and this week are a grouping of 6 spirals Golden ratio . the DJI has only rallied to almost .786 the drop 44370 target I started buying puts at 43800. 2025 is a very bearish cycle see my forecast DEC 8th 2024 . Best of trades WAVETIMER
AMEX:DIA
by wavetimer
2
$DIA This weeks Trading RangeI will go much deeper into each of these levels on tonight's video but for now we have the weekly levels here. Things to watch this week: Earnings Reports: Major companies like Netflix (NFLX), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG), United Airlines (UAL), General Electric (GE), Alaska Air (ALK), American Airlines (AAL), CSX Corporation (CSX), Verizon (VZ), HCA Healthcare (HCA), and American Express (AXP) are set to release their earnings. These reports can significantly influence market sentiment and stock prices. Manufacturing PMI: The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing will provide insight into the health of the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 suggests contraction. This data can influence expectations about economic growth and interest rates. Services PMI: Similarly, the Services PMI will give an overview of the service sector's performance. Given the service sector's substantial contribution to the economy, this data is critical for understanding overall economic trends. Home Sales: Data on existing home sales can shed light on consumer confidence and spending in the housing market, which is a major component of economic activity. Changes in home sales can signal shifts in economic health. Jobless Claims: Weekly initial jobless claims numbers are a pulse check on the labor market. Rising claims might indicate economic slowdown, while falling claims suggest job growth and economic strength. Market Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has been noted to be fluctuating, which might continue this week. Monitoring the VIX can help assess market fear or complacency. Interest Rate Sensitivity: With the Federal Reserve’s actions on interest rates being a focal point, any indication of future policy direction from Fed officials' speeches or economic data releases could sway markets. Look for comments from Fed members or economic reports that might hint at rate adjustments. Sector Performance: Particularly, keep an eye on sectors like Technology (with companies like Nvidia potentially leading AI trends), Health Care, and Consumer Discretionary, which have shown movements or are expected to with upcoming earnings. Global Economic Indicators: International developments, especially from major economies like China or the Eurozone, can impact U.S. markets due to globalization. Look for news on global manufacturing, services, or policy changes that could affect investor sentiment. Geopolitical Events: Although not directly mentioned in recent market summaries, geopolitical tensions or developments, like trade negotiations or conflicts, can influence markets. Keep an ear out for any significant international news that might ripple through financial markets.
AMEX:DIA
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Dow Jones ETF ($DIA) Nears Resistance! Can Bulls Push Higher?Technical Analysis Overview: 1-Hour Chart: * Trend: DIA has broken out of a descending wedge pattern and is approaching resistance near $433. * Indicators: * MACD: Bullish momentum is weakening, with the histogram contracting. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought, indicating a possible short-term pullback or consolidation. 30-Minute Chart: * Price Action: * DIA is trading near $433, a key resistance level, with support around $427. * The breakout from consolidation has been supported by increasing volume. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: * $427: Immediate support zone, also the HVL (highest volume level). * $424: Strong PUT support level (-4.92% GEX). * $419: Major support aligned with the 3rd PUT Wall. Resistance Levels: * $433: Immediate resistance, coinciding with the highest positive NETGEX level. * $437: Next resistance zone (GEX7). * $440: Major resistance aligning with the 3rd CALL Wall. GEX Insights: Key Gamma Levels: * Positive Gamma Walls (Resistance): * $433: Key resistance and the highest positive NETGEX. * $437: 55.86% GEX (2nd CALL Wall). * $440: 39.89% GEX (3rd CALL Wall). * Negative Gamma Levels (Support): * $427: Immediate support zone (-23.78% GEX). * $424: Strong PUT Wall (-4.92% GEX). * $419: Significant support level (-3.33% GEX). Options Metrics: * IVR: 22.6, reflecting low implied volatility. * IVx: 14.5, well below average, indicating muted price fluctuations. * Call/Put Bias: Puts dominate at 29.2%, indicating mixed sentiment. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $433 with volume confirmation. * Target: $437-$440. * Stop-Loss: Below $427 to limit risk. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Rejection at $433 or breakdown below $427. * Target: $424-$419. * Stop-Loss: Above $437 to control losses. Directional Bias: * DIA’s breakout above the descending wedge indicates bullish potential. However, the overbought Stochastic RSI suggests caution near $433 resistance. A confirmed breakout could lead to $437-$440, while a rejection may pull prices back to $427 or lower. Conclusion: DIA is at a critical resistance level near $433. Traders should monitor volume and momentum for a breakout or rejection. The gamma landscape supports further upside if $433 is cleared, but a failure to hold could lead to a retest of $427-$424.
AMEX:DIA
by BullBearInsights