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DIA trade ideas

$DIA liquidity grab into 2023Broke above daily pivot point $328.65 after $DIA grabbing liquidity and pushing it back up to yesterday's local resistance near $331.5 into pre-market. The next order block has lots of sellers going into 2023. NEWS: The economy is hurting from the collapsing retail, freight delays and now the national rail strikes happening this December. Markets seem to be bearish for the medium term, in addition to the market's worse year since 2008 as S&P fell 19.4% in 2022.
AMEX:DIALong
by Benchfry
DIA: First week of Jan! 🎉🎉DIA is on my play list this week. The market had a fairly bullish end on Friday. However, probability is favouring a move to the downside on the swing levels (the indicator you see displayed in the chart). That is not to say we won't see upside first, but the probabilities are pretty bearish I have to say. And like its across the board here. Dare I say its pretty convincing. Here is what to know going into this week: Immediate target is 332.07, its a pretty easy give-away target. If we open below it, its going to likely be a long to this level. If we open above it, its likely going to be a short to this level. The other level that needs to be resolved by Wednesday is that purple line. That price is at 331.38. I am hoping both of these targets are taken out on Tuesday to make them a none-issue. But what you need to know is opening above both of these levels is persuasive for a very swift short. Opening below these levels is the inverse, I would prepare for a long pretty soon. Opening on them would be pretty anti-climactic. We will get our swing targets on open on Tuesday which I will post as an addendum. However, the immediate targets to watch are shaded in those boxes. If this is going to be bullish, we should end up within that green box. IF its going to be bearish, we should see that green-box bypassed and make a move down to the red box. Hitting both boxes is possible, it just doesn't happen as frequently. I think we should see pretty decisive movement pretty quickly. Those are my thoughts for right now. I will update as the the chart becomes more decisive and clear. As I write this, futures has opened and we have some bearish weekly targets (99% targets) coming in. Very exciting! Safe trades everyone!
AMEX:DIA
by Steversteves
Educational Options Video Strangle v Capped Strangle Jade LizardConceptual view of how to trade non directional or semi directionally using strangles and capped strangles, also known as Jade Lizard option spreads. Non directional option trades attempt to benefit from sideways markets or markets where options are are pricing more implied movement than is realized in the underlying asset. Combing a vertical on top with a cash secured put on bottom, creates a range trade. Selling on both sides for credits helps either reduce the cost of buying shares or creates income while the stock trades sideways without direction. DIA SPX QQQ VIX NYSE:PLTR SNAP
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AMEX:DIAEducation
by optionfarmers
9
DIA closes above SMA200DIA closed at $328.58 today. That's above it's SMA200, $326.49, on the 1 day chart. Bull trap or breakout from the bear market? DIA 1 day chart levels: SMA50 = 309.53 SMA100 = 313.85 SMA150 = 320.69 SMA200 = 326.49 SMA20 trend channel top = 328.42 R3 = 322.34 R2 = 316.26 R1 = 310.18 pivot = 304.10 S1 = 298.01 S2 = 291.93 S3 = 285.85 bottom = 279.77 Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends... *3x lucky 7s of trading* 7pt Trading compass: Price action, entry/exit Volume average/direction Trend, patterns, momentum Newsworthy current events Revenue Earnings Balance sheet 7 Common mistakes: +5% portfolio trades, capital risk management Beware of analyst's motives Emotions & Opinions FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd Lack of planning & discipline Forgetting restraint Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation 7 Important tools: Trading View app!, Brokerage UI Accurate indicators & settings Wide screen monitor/s Trading log (pencil & graph paper) Big, organized desk Reading books, playing chess Sorted watch-list Checkout my indicators: Fibonacci VIP - volume Fibonacci MA7 - price pi RSI - trend momentum TTC - trend channel AlertiT - notification tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator www.tradingview.com
AMEX:DIA
by Options360
2
DIA trading within CPI Range from June!Dow Jones is still trading withing the range of the past few days which also places it within the range it was in back when we had a major decline following a disappointing CPI report back in the beginning of June. This puts the market in a position that could see a potential breakout in either direction. Can we possibly see economic data that propels the Dow higher out of the top of the range or will the trend of negative data to end the year continue forcing the market out of the lower end. Manufacturing data released today suggest that the economy is continuing to slow, and we have recently seen forward earnings projections for giants such as Tesla ($TSLA) and Apple ($AAPL) be reduced. This is consistent with a muted rally we are seeing here for the Dow to start off the week and a 1% down day for the Nasdaq. I stand by my previous statement here to start off the week. I would be looking for short positions, with potential long positions to hedge going into 2023. However, we still are trading within this range and have no indication yet as to which way the wind will blow for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. There are some other signs that point to the potential outcome such as a weakening semiconductor industry ($SMH) and transportation index ($DJT) still trading below its 8 day average.
AMEX:DIAShort
by D1Finance
1
40 Bar Cycle Chart - Dow Jones DIA DJIA - Updated 121722This last week, markets initially rallied on the release of the "cooler" than expected November CPI (Consumer Price Index) — only to be smacked back to reality on the comments via Federal Reserve Chairman J. Powell during the December Interest Rate Decision (FOMC) meeting this last Wednesday as "higher for longer" is the communicated pathway forward for the FED and financial markets. Whether this is all talk to put some intentional downward pressure on markets, as financial conditions have eased as of late — or this is the actual pathway forward and the bond markets are mis-pricing the projected Terminal FFR (Fed Funds Rate, now >5% into 23'), some indicators such as our (40-Bar Cycle Chart) 📉 are highlighting what is likely another leg down in financial assets as QT ramps up and higher interest rates take their toll on real economic activity. Keep in mind that behind the scenes, the FED in coordination with the U.S. Treasury are working their magic 🧙🏼‍♂️🔮 in terms of FED Net Liquidity to keep things "(dis)orderly". Here is the updated 40-Bar Cycle Chart for DIA DJIA, which seems to be sitting on some major support. Given the structure of the markets after losing the $330 DIA / $33,000 DJIA, along with J. Powell and other FED speaker comments post-FOMC on Friday, is the hopes for a year-end 🎅 🎄 rally wishful thinking? DIA Daily Chart Template www.tradingview.com Which camp are you in on the short-term (end of year into Q1/23') direction of markets? Camp A: We are likely we headed for new lows in Q1/23 (Fluctuating Inflation + Persistent Price/Wage Pressures + Hawkish FED). Camp B: We are likely to break the downtrend into the start of Q1/23' (Peak Inflation + Deflationary Forces + Dovish FED). Let me know your prediction in the comments below! 👇🏼
AMEX:DIAShort
by kylemusserco
1
DIA - Starting RS of Inverse H&S?If AAPL's topping formation (see my AAPL analysis) is any indication, and the Dow's 5300 point move off the October lows is any indication, the right shoulder of the inverse H&S formation should start to get filled as AAPL completes it own right shoulder with a move down. Again, similar to AAPL, the left shoulder, head and right shoulder if formed would line up in time and price. We have what could be a false breakout of the descending trend line on declining volume and RSI within an ascending triangle as a result of the prior two CPI reports. Market needs to correct if any meaningful advance is to occur. Any continued up move is delaying the inevitable. I think that we are close. Happy Trading!
AMEX:DIA
by BobbySpa
2
40 Bar Cycle Chart - Dow Jones DIA DJIA - Updated 121022Given that we are headed into the release of the November Consumer Price Index this upcoming (Tuesday, December 13th) and also the December Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday, December 14th) , are markets set up for another short opportunity into the end of January (Q1)? DIA DJIA Daily Chart Template www.tradingview.com Which camp are you in on the short-term (end of year into Q1/23') direction of markets? Camp A: We are likely we headed for new lows in Q1/23 (Fluctuating Inflation + Persistent Price/Wage Pressures + Hawkish FED). Camp B: We are likely to break the downtrend into the start of Q1/23' (Peak Inflation + Deflationary Forces + Dovish FED). Let me know your prediction in the comments below!
AMEX:DIAShort
by kylemusserco
DIA Dow Jones Outlook For 2023Throwing a textbook at the charts it becomes clear at what is happening. This is DIA Dow Jones ETF: - A Clear double bottom formed that pushed DIA to recent resistance - yellow line - Another rising wedge is forming which we will see correction, small correction. - After small correction we will retest Resistance line again. - AFTER the above we will form a DOUBLE TOP which we can retest resistance. ALSO note the fibonacci levels at 0.618 we will have to close the gap at the green arrow.
AMEX:DIAShort
by MARKETLYTICAL
Short DIA @ prior months resistance Once an area or “zone” of prior resistance has been identified, those price levels can serve as potential entry or exit points because, as the price reaches a point of previous support or resistance, it will do one of two things: bounce back away from the support or resistance level, or violate the price level and continue its trend until it hits the next support or resistance level. As most other major market indices are at 200-day SMA support we are taking a short position in DIA at the prior months' resistance zone.
AMEX:DIAShort
by HodlTradeCrypto
DIA: Week of Nov 14Hey everyone, As I said and requested, here is my analysis on the DOW. The DOW (DIA) and the Russel (IWM) are actually the most bullish looking stocks, at least as far as math and probs are concerned. Lots of bullishness is just being thrown in our faces here. Let me break down the probabilities by index so you can just see this visually. The chart below shows the probability of the 3 indices (SPY, DIA and IWM) hitting either their first bull target or their first bear target: So let's recap: First off, we have a very clear breakout and hold from the qualitative regression downtrend. This is a traditionally bullish happening. As with SPY, we have hit the second real time monthly bear target and on Friday we hit the first, real time (RTT) monthly high target at 337.79. The next RTT is 341 followed by the third at 345. While I was super focused on the numbers and the regression trend, I missed something that may have been obvious had I been paying closer attention: This seems to, at this for right now, be following through. Analysis: So what can we expect next week? DIA is yet to be put into Python for auto calculation of probs, so I had to do it manually and I forgot how much of a nerd I am. I love writing out math stuff haha. Anyway, our prospective targets are: Bull: 1. 339.08 (50% prob) 2. 341.66 (6.1% prob) 3. 344.24 (<0.50% prob) Bear 1.335.29 (38% prob) 2. 331.92 (0.3% prob) 3. 328.55 (<0.3% prob) Technicals: Unlike with SPY, Buyers have remain consistent. DIA is a little bit lower volume that SPY and can really signal a bit better what the buyer/seller sentiment is. So let's take a look at the buyer to seller ratio chart. And let's look at it YTD over the weekly. And just for fun lets compare buyers to sellers on SPY vs DIA YTD: Not sure if this is helpful, but I find it interesting haha. For Monday, the technicals are erring on the bullish side. The targets are as follows: Bull: 1. 337.51 2. 338.89 3. 340.27 Bear: 1. 336.29 2. 334.68 3. 333.07 So I think that concludes everything. As always, leave your questions and comments and criticisms below! Have a great weekend everyone!
AMEX:DIA
by Steversteves
11
DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL Major Level here! The Dow Jones Industrial Average Indice is seeing a major runup the past few weeks since the beginning of October. The Dow has seen record gains of 17% since its bottom in Early October. The Dow is now running into some big-time resistance... That is our focus today to dive in to. The 30 companies pushing the Dow up may be becoming overbought indicated from RSI and other oscillators. TrendLine 1 But what we're looking at is the Dow's trendline analysis. We are seeing a Long Time Resistance Line Dating back actually all the way to 2008 guiding as a mean resistance point being touched now again! This marked 'Blue' Line represents that resistance and the Dow is approaching and testing that level now. A Rejection could lead to a selloff, if History Repeats and Dow does not want to head higher at this time. OPINION : Dow will only break this trendline if looking to really meltup or erase losses and hit All Time Highs. If this is not the case yet, I do not see this breaking upwards at this level. TrendLine 2 This Trendline has lasted and been intact since the kickoff of the 2022 Bear Market. We have seen numerous Retests and Rejections of this Resistance Line, and we are now testing this again. We have YET to break through this barrier, as it guides the market lower & lower. Again The Dow will need major buying to break thru these levels, as massive resistance is present. OPINION : Same as above, I can only see a break upwards if buyers really believe Dow is going back to ATH or erase gains in a massive market melt-up Contrarian to my Writing : This article mainly features idea of a rejection, but one thing that particularly makes me more bullish on Technicals here is that the S&P / NASDAQ have yet hit their own bear market trendlines and this could rally the market up higher to those areas. If this happens, it is likely the Dow follows this movement somewhat, and could see a break above. Something to keep note of!!!
AMEX:DIA
by ZachSap
4