VXX UVXY TLT TAKE COVER I know we are in a big earnings week but tell that to the SPY and the falling QQQ. I'm in VXX, UVXY and TLT and they are all up over 17% after placing them after 2 pm today, Wednesday 10/27/2021.
DJP trade ideas
VXX - Fasten Your Seatbelts 😦Just a simple but potentially powerful chart.
In line with my SPX market crash call - see linked threads .
Bullish divergence on VXX since April.
Could it be nothing? Yes it could but I've done my work on SPX also and I think it will be something.
Looking back, other bullish divergences that amounted to nothing were quite choppy, but this is clean.
Not advice.
VXX - Reaching Gaps overhead, with New Lows in the Trend.
The VIX Curve remains well spread from M1 - M3.
CASH/SPOT @ 14.98
VIX 11/21 @ 18.75
VIX 12/21 @ 20.70
VIX 01/22 @ 22.35
We are seeing the 400 Tick Settlement Spread come in... it
gained 23 Ticks on Close yesterday.
The ES completed the run to our Price Objective @ 4546 to
the TICK this Morning.
VXX - Ready to bounce hereOne of the rare times I buy VXX. The SPX gains were too lopsided against it, so I would expect a spike in the morning.
VXX Bearish inclined Naked Calls 15 Oct Expiry (Oct Track 2)This is my Track 2 trade that takes up 33% of my fund (excluding margin allowance)
This trade currently is aligned to the greater market direction which is bullish/ranging. There also seems to be some positiveness in the reports with inflation cooling and businesses still retaining their workforce despite the Delta virus impact. Have to keep an eye on the market so that I can react accordingly as could shift out of this ranging stance
Sold 55 CA;;S @ 1.01 Strike 40
% to Strike is 33.5% from entry
ATR percentile is low, but it seems like all stocks this monthly have a low ATR A%
Max Gain: est $5555
Total BP Block: 70K
SPY vs. VXXPlaying with Volatility Cycles to see if these patterns hold true over the long term.
Also taking a look at VVX and SVXY cumulative return.
VIX, neutralVIX is the opposite of US500, so it should move in the other direction
Friday was a red day for VIX despite it was a red day for US500 too, so it is a divergence that will push one of them to correct its pathway
I can see higher lows on the daily VIX chart
Further confirmation is required for bias
Wait and See
*charts are SPX ES SPY (cfd/future/eft)
**the lower window is correlation coefficient indicator vs US500
VXX next stepVXX is reaching an strong support soon, I suppose this could be a good entry for the bulls.
VXX - Expecting a drop!-Volatility needs to go down.
-Expect a good amount of sideways movement from the market
-Good time to sell call/put options!
VXX - A Curve and Channel to WatchWe can see a possible path o the VXX in the yellow curve and given the current channels, we could very possibly see 87-90 VXX by May 2022. A bit concerning and something to watch out for!
Wedge up in VXX ETF This is a Wedge up in VXX ETF, in an Daily chart, after the price breaks the lower level of the wedge or the support level, a downtrend is expected.
VXX LONGWith the market conditions down the $SPY and $QQQ's are RED, this is when I trade the VIX. The volume is already picking up.
This is not Trading Advice.
VXX - the higher Targets exceed 35s Food for thought, for the Patient.
VX Complex was teed up yesterday with a rather
large Bid at 19 pretending it wasn't there...
Globex has accum of the drive sub 19.
VXX - Sideways into the "Move"We continue adding to our Buy to Opens in the M1/M2 VXX Short Dated 30 day rolling maturity.
Front Month M1 has held support repeatedly, 18.60 for the M1.
Daily Weekly Monthly Supports are holding and presenting a large opportunity for levered gains.
VXMT is supportive of a move higher.
Probability remains extreme @ +86%
VXX - Filler UPVXX is going to absolutely RIP Higher - the panic is building.
When it goes, it's gone.
Buckle Up, it's Sporty time is directly ahead.
Positive Divergences are enormous on DTF< WTF< MTF.
VXX - Volatility IMPLIES a reversal today 86% We are loading the woodshed on VXX and the VX Curve M1-M3.
The comical chase is having second thoughts.
NVDA is a prime example... utterly devoid of common sense.
Simply more chasing of Big Green Bars.
We are bag holders of 75 NVDA Puts:
225
223..75
222.5
221.25
220
Alex sez load em up HK
She was correct, on balance +13.88% at present/more to come.
VXX - ES Weakening with even greater Technical DivergencesVXX coming back to lower end of Range.
We are preparing for a large Selloff in the next 48 hours.
VXX Entries are Laddered down to 24.50 from 27.05.
M1/M2/M3 VX Curve as well M3-M4 provide pressure for now...
Only for Low Participation - We anticipate a High Tomorrow at the
latest for ES.
It can hold off as late as Globex... we'll be 40% into our SELL with
the follow on SELLs into September TF 8th - 21st.
December will be our Futures SELL, SEP the Hedge.
VIX - ConvergenceCASH/SPOT VIX will converge with AUGUST CT @ Close as it always does.
As we move from AUG M1 settle into SEP (M1) / M2 (OCT) the spread is now
24 Ticks.
Pay close attention to how it squares end of day.
It will provide solid indications for Thursday/Friday EOW trading.
Settlement has a decided SKEW to those paying close attention :)
VXX - Clear Sign: Lack of ProtectionThere is a 100-200% gain setup as we move towards settlement.
VXX will be front loaded next Wednesday with 100% of the 30 Day rolling
concentrated in M1/V1.
Our position has increased to 3.5K @ 26.18
VXX - Adds beginning @ 1K per Handle to 25M1/V1 & M2/V2 Roll is in trade.
Settlement occurs the same day (Wednesday)
as the FED Minutes.
We're cool with being early, it's better than
late when this blows up and it is setup to do so.
The Speculators want a massive blow off.
5K ES everyone.
Yeah, naw. Not yet, we need to see a panic sell
in order for the FED to double down... and they will.
Then, we will see these insane targets for ES YM NQ RTY.
The VIX is going to explode higher when it reverses, 30%
in a single day as the reversal takes hold.
