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EEM trade ideas

EEM: Emerging Market MSCI (EM) : SELLEmerging markets equities had to clear many hurdles in 2022 but began to recover in the fourth quarter. But technically, there are hurdles, The Red sloping line of 2021 is the prime example. After the steep drop in equity markets overall in 2022, It is believed that emerging markets equities may be one of the most mispriced asset classes, with attractive valuations compared with historical levels. A 15% drop cannot be ruled out...fundamentals are strong, but technicals will sadly rule.
AMEX:EEMShort
by SWFguy
Nowhere to HideEmerging markets have made some terrific gains in the past month, but I would caution with the path ahead. Take a look at the past year's performance of the Hang Seng, KOSPI, IBOVESPA. I've included a chart of the Tadawul, the Saudi stock index, which is significantly weighted in EEM, the emerging market ETF. These are not healthy charts, and rallies provide opportunities for shorting in my opinion. EEM's breakout from its downtrend will be tested as it compresses between the 50 & 150 EMA's. As of right now, it needs to close above $39.20 to invalidate a daily Head & Shoulders pattern.
AMEX:EEMShort
by sdeutsch95
Emerging Markets & Global Recession = OpportunityUS technical recession confirmed with Atlanta Fed GDPNow data indicating retraction in Q2, two consecutive negative GDP prints. While US stock markets have already experienced the worst first half of the year in more than half a century. Typically in a bull market, this would signal the bottom of a retracement is already in or nearby. Unfortunately, this isn't a bull market and there's still significant downside risk from here. The Fed Reserve and Central Banks continue to have rampant inflation that challenges price stability while the second half of the mandate (low unemployment) remains strong. Unemployment #'s will rise as tighter monetary policy takes shape in form of rate hikes and slowing securities to mature and roll off the balance sheets. Unemployment is unlikely to raise to a level of concern as there are 2 jobs available (nearly 12 million) per each unemployed person. The more likely scenario is underemployment as individuals find income in roles they are overwrites for. In addition to unemployment, overnight reverse repo facilities are setting $2 Trillion flow back consistently, indicating a significant oversupply of money without quality investment potential. Implications for emerging markets is clear, tighter monetary policy will drive these lower as global recession takes hold. Looking at long-term parallel channel and major support levels, further downside from 18% to 24% is well within range and likely given the additional pullback expected. How does this get played? Shorting EEM is an option, however there's more attractive potential in going long with inverse ETF's (leveraged or not) via entities like ProShares & Direxion. One example is the 3x $EDC bull / $EDZ bear ETF's benchmarking MSCI Emerging Markets. Indicators: OBV On-balance volume, MA6/EMA18 Currently, taking a position with the inverse $EDZ play in the short-term is attractive. This will reverse and requires attention, it also involves risk that the broader economy has already bottomed or is close to the bottom... but the data implications don't appear to support that position at this time in my opinion.
AMEX:EEMShort
by R0MM3LL
EEM emerging Mkt bottomed @39 or fall further to 37 or 36?EEM now near 41, has already fallen more than 30% from Feb2021 top at 57.19. Two weeks ago it fell to 39 the green VWAP from 2016 & bounced with a weekly hammer candle. It is now being rejected by a FIB CHANNEL level near the yellow 41-42 pivot zone. Holding this zone will see more upside maybe up to 44 or 46 before a c-wave down. If 41/42 does not hold, there are only 2 strong supports down: One is at 37, the black VWAP from 2011, which will be another 9% drop from current price. The worst one is at 36 ( the red VWAP from 2009), another 14% drop from here, making the total crash of 38% from ATH. The 37 to 36 zone will be a good place to slowly average down into EEM. Note that the dollar index DXY seems to be topping out near 105, which will be good for emerging markets, gold, silver, commodities & maybe BTC, which are all priced in terms of dollars. Not trading advice
AMEX:EEMLong
by xtremerider8
EEM may retest base of WEDGE since 2007@37; see Buy & Sell zonesEEM Emerging Mkt formed a big Violet wedge since the 2007-2008 crash. It currently gapped down & broke 40, a 0.618 level. If it does not reclaim 40 in the next few days, then It will go down to 37 to retest the lower edge of this wedge. 37 is also a 1.618 retracement of the latest rally. See the 3 zones in the chart. Red is the sell zone. Yellow is the neutral zone & green is the buy zone. The bottom may be near for EEM specially if inflation, the DXY dollar index & TNX the 10-yr yield will peak out soon, pushing equities & risk assets higher. Rise in commodities is also good for EEM countries. Not trading advice
AMEX:EEMLong
by xtremerider8