EWQ , Observations , Short holdings at 64% ( France ETF )
Still theme of increasing shorts as price accelerates . If we see EWQ breakout above its bear channel what will happen will shorts continue to increase even then ? This is bullish for me and the Dow net short positions are also up one percent at time of writing .
A breakout above channel will probably force a lot of these shorts to cover but better yet would be that we continue to see the trend of increasing net short status into early signs of strength .
We need the shorts imo , they could help to push up the market in a super charge event . German fund , EWG, has actually already broken out of its bear channel to upside and is net short today at 55% .
We are lacking S&P being though , its net long at 56% so some divergence there , would love to see everything net short .
Go shorts keep it up ;) 🐻
One last thing the net short / net long situation changes by the minute so keep that in mind when you are reading this . Good to keep an updated picture and do your own assessment .This is a new tool I'm working at developing for myself and incorporating into my trading habits so unfortunately I do not have the stats for the prior periods of net short vs net long status . In the future I am going to try to pay more attention to this and male more notes on a separate TV layout to track various funds positioning trends . I think it needs to be used with price action to get the most out of it too . Just because something's net short obviously doesn't make it bullish and vice versa .
EWQ trade ideas
EWQ: France ETF long term time at mode analysisWe have downtrends in all timeframes except the daily in the France ETF. Currently price is about to break below the yearly downtrend mode, which if it happens could start a big slide down. The daily suggests a short is optimal here, risking a rally to pre-Brexit highs at 24.70, targets can be initially the monthly one at 19.22, but eventually this could evolve into a drop into single digits if the yearly downtrend signal takes over. Target is precisely 8.77, and is well within the confines of possibility, but not yet confirmed.
The monthly setup is already valid, so, feel free to go short.
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Ivan Labrie
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Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.