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EWW trade ideas

EWW - Betting on the ElectionWhile election betting sites are coming into the spotlight these days, another way to bet on the upcoming election is through betting on the Mexican economy. Anecdotal evidence indicates that China and even US manufacturing giants are set to build more plants in Mexico should the Harris team win. Trump on the other hand, promises tariffs on items manufactured abroad. Also noted is the multitudes of immigrants waiting at the Guatemalan border to head to the US should Harris and Democrat border policies prevail. Mexico would be smart in capturing those qualified to add to Mexico's potential manufacturing powerhouse should the political chips fall their way. Another factor to consider long term is the demographic cliff that the US is on, and Latin America isn't. Mexico certainly is in a strong position to develop into an economic powerhouse of the future, with appropriate leadership.
AMEX:EWWLong
by AssetDesign
Opened (IRA): EWW Oct 18th 50 Monied Covered Call... for a 49.02 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. The IV isn't fantastic here at 29.8%, but the ROC is kind of what I'm minimally looking for out of this sort of play, so putting on a small position here, particularly since the underlying isn't all that far off its 52-week low. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 49.02 Max Profit: .98 ROC at Max: 2.0% 50% Max: .49 ROC at 50% max: 1.0% Generally, will look to take profit at 50% max, roll short call for duration and credit on side test.
AMEX:EWWLong
by NaughtyPines
Idea - EWW, Feb 13 (short)As detailed on the chart, the trend has continued for some time, however price action may go back to the downside and move in our favor. If you entered on Feb 6th with the original cross signal, you'd still be waiting for the trade to do its thing; waiting to enter now basically gave us a pullback in our favor. Not sure I'd enter a position short here, but the setup looks interesting. CPI data comes out in a few days, and EWW is strongly correlated to the broader US market .
AMEX:EWWShort
by KyleBaran
OPENING: EWW SEPTEMBER 18TH 32/33 SKINNY SHORT STRANGLE... for a 2.44/contract credit. Notes: With price trading in between the 32 and 33 strikes, went skinny short strangle in lieu of short straddle. Since it's almost a straddle, I'll look to take profit at 25% max. I've gone ahead and shown defined risk wings for an iron fly/skinny iron condor setup on the chart -- the September 18th 28/32/33/37, which was paying 1.97 as of the writing of this post, just short of the one-half the width of the wings I look for out of an iron fly (i.e., this would be a four-wide iron fly, so would ideally look for around 2.00 in credit out of it).
AMEX:EWW
by NaughtyPines
OPENING: EWW AUGUST 21ST 32/33/35 BIG JL... for a 2.17 credit. Notes: Relatively high rank/implied for an exchange-traded fund at 40/38. This isn't quite a Big Jade Lizard, which usually consists of an at-the-money short straddle with a long call, but it's trading between the strikes, so opened it up to a skinny at 32/33. No upside risk, since the total credit receives exceeds the width of the short call vertical at 33/35 by .17. Will look to take profit at 25% max (.54).
AMEX:EWWLong
by NaughtyPines
THE WEEK AHEAD: USO/XLE/XOP, EWW, XLUEXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS ORDERED BY IMPLIED VOLATILITY RANK: USO 67/167 EWW 57/73 XLE 57/87 XLU 57/53 GLD 51/32 EWZ 50/85 XOP 49/105 SMH 47/58 GDXJ 44/86 XLF 41/53 FXI 32/39 GDX 31/66 TLT 30/25 BROAD MARKET EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS ORDERED BY IMPLIED VOLATILITY RANK: IWM 59/60 EEM 46/49 SPY 47/58 QQQ 46/44 EFA 39/45 FUTURES ORDERED BY IMPLIED VOLATILITY RANK: /NG 72/67 /CL 67/157 /GC 51/31 /ZS 51/19 /ES 47/56 /SI 41/51 /ZW 40/32 /ZC 29/27 VIX/VIX DERIVATIVES VIX finished the week at 46.80 with the entire /VX term structure in backwardation. MUSINGS: Shown here is an EWW short put in the May cycle paying 1.00. Camped out at the 23 delta strike, it has a break even of 22.00 and has a 4.54% return on capital in a cash secured environment. Alternatively, the May 15th 22/29 short strangle is paying 1.54 at the mid. * * * Long /CL at $20/barrel via out-the-money short puts or short put verticals may turn out to be the "trade of the year" after (in my case) being taken to the wood shed playing it non-directionally/rangebound between 52 and 63. Only time will tell; it's come up substantially off its lows already with it remaining to be seen whether OPEC+ can get its shit together and quit with the self-harm. * * * In the IRA, it looks to be touch and go for acquiring stuff on my shopping list. (See Posts, below). I've stuck my lines in the water; the best I can hope for is to get some bites at April opex. If I don't get assigned, I'll re-up with a rung to replace any expiring worthless if the market stays down here. Simultaneously, I'm looking to exit my TLT position, which has a cost basis of below $110/share, thinking that the capital can be better deployed elsewhere, but don't want to do that if I don't pick any other dividend-generating underlyings to replace it. Looked at from that perspective, my "personal" yield on the TLT position in light of my particular cost basis is 2.98/$110 or about 2.71%, which isn't horrible.
AMEX:EWW
by NaughtyPines
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