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VanEck Gold Miners ETF

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Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Surges in Strong Nested ImpulseThe Elliott Wave analysis for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) shows a strong bullish trend since December 30, 2024. This rally forms a “nesting impulse” pattern with smaller waves building into an extended third wave. From the December low, wave (1) peaked at $42.66, followed by a wave (2) pullback to $38.58. GDX then entered a powerful wave (3) with nested sub-waves driving prices higher. In wave (3), wave 1 rallied to $46.94, with wave 2 correcting to $39.95. Wave 3 extended upward, with sub-wave ((i)) ending at $43.70. Sub-wave ((ii)) corrected to $40.91, then sub-wave ((iii)) surged to $52.91. Strong bullish momentum continues to dominate the gold mining sector. A pullback in sub-wave ((iv)) is now expected, attracting buyers for sub-wave ((v)). This should complete wave 3 before a larger wave 4 correction. As long as the $39.95 pivot holds, dips should find support. Support may form in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern. This signals more upside potential for GDX in the near term. Investors should watch these levels for strategic buying opportunities. The pattern suggests sustained interest in gold mining equities. Favorable commodity cycles likely contribute to this bullish sentiment.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Gold Miners Stocks Go 'The Rife Game' in Town. Here's WhyGold mining stocks have emerged as one of the top-performing asset classes in 2025, driven by a combination of surging gold prices, improved profitability, and shifting investor sentiment. Here’s fundamental and technical analysis of the key factors behind this outperformance, by our @PandorraResearch Super-Duper Beloved Team : Record-High Gold Prices Fuel Margins Gold prices surpassed $3,000 per ounce in March 2025 for the first time in history, marking a 14% year-to-date increase. This rally stems from: Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, economic and political uncertainty including U.S. trade policy volatility. Central bank buying , particularly by China, India, Turkey, and Poland, to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. Anticipated interest rate cuts , which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Higher gold prices directly boost miners’ revenues. For example, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index NYSE:GDM returned nearly 30% YTD by early March, outpacing both physical gold OANDA:XAUUSD (+14.5%) and the S&P 500 SP:SPX (-3.8%). Companies like Agnico Eagle Mines NYSE:AEM and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM reached all-time highs, while ASX-listed miners such as Evolution Mining ASX:EVN (+39.5% YTD) and West African Resources ASX:WAF (+56.6% YTD) outperformed Australia’s broader market. Margin Expansion and Shareholder Returns Gold miners are leveraging rising prices to improve profitability: Stabilized costs for labor, energy, and equipment have widened profit margins. Free cash flow growth enabled dividend hikes and share buybacks. U.S. Global Investors, for instance, offers a 3.91% annualized dividend yield. Undervalued stocks: Many miners traded at historically low valuations relative to gold prices, creating buying opportunities. Barrick Gold NYSE:GOLD (P/E 15.6) and Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM (P/E 15.5) remained attractively priced despite gains. Royal Gold NASDAQ:RGLD , a streaming company with a 60.3% operating margin, exemplifies how non-traditional miners capitalize on gold’s rally without direct operational risks. Sector-Specific Catalysts Mergers and acquisitions. Consolidation activity has increased, with larger firms acquiring high-potential projects. Copper exposure. Miners like Evolution Mining benefit from rising copper demand, diversifying revenue streams. Institutional upgrades. Analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley endorsed Newmont and Evolution Mining, citing currency tailwinds and free cash flow potential. Macroeconomic and Market Dynamics Dollar weakness. A declining U.S. dollar enhances gold’s appeal as a hedge. Equity market volatility. With the S&P 500 struggling, investors rotated into gold equities for diversification (0.3 correlation to broader markets). Fiscal deficits. U.S. budget imbalances and inflationary pressures reinforced gold’s role as a store of value. Outlook for 2025 Analysts project further gains, with gold potentially reaching $3,300 per ounce. Miners are expected to sustain momentum through: Operational efficiency improvements to align with higher gold prices. Continued capital discipline , avoiding overinvestment in new projects. Dividend growth , as seen with U.S. Global Investors’ monthly payouts. Technical Outlook The main technical graph for Gold Miners ETF AMEX:GDX indicates on further Long-Term Bullish opportunity, to double the price over next several years, in a case of the epic $45 mark breakthrough. Conclusion In summary, gold miners’ 2025 rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic uncertainty, disciplined capital management, and gold’s structural demand drivers. While risks like cost inflation persist, the sector’s fundamentals and valuation upside position it as a compelling component of diversified portfolios. -- Best 'Golden Rife' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
AMEX:GDX
by PandorraResearch
Elliott Wave View: Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Impulse Rally Should ExGold Miners ETF (GDX) shows incomplete bullish sequence from 30 December 2024 low favoring more upside. Up from 30 December, wave (1) ended at 43 and pullback in wave (2) ended at 38.58. Wave (3) higher is in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 42.31 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 40.2 as the 30 minutes chart below shows. Wave 3 higher is in progress as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 41.22 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 40.71. The ETF then nested higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 42.04 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 41.22. Wave (iii) higher ended at 43.87 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 43.21. Final leg wave (v) ended at 45.65 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((iv)) is in progress with a target towards 43.6 – 44.2 where buyers can appear for further upside. Near term, as far as pivot at 40.2 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Are Gold Miners Going Higher?Gold miners are one of the top-performing industries this year, and some traders may see further upside in a key ETF tracking the group. The first pattern on today’s chart of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF is the falling trendline along the highs of October and February. GDX cleared that resistance on Thursday, which may suggest a breakout is underway. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) rose above the 200-day SMA in February and above the 100-day SMA in March. That alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend. Third, the ETF peaked around $39 in December and bounced at the same level on February 28. Did old resistance become new support? Next, MACD just turned positive. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also above the 21-day EMA. Those are potentially bullish short-term signals. Fifth, GDX remains below its 2020 high of $45.78 –- despite physical gold setting new records. The ETF is also still under peaks from early last decade. Investors may wonder whether the producing companies are undervalued on a relative basis. Finally, TradeStation data shows GDX averaging roughly 128,000 options per day in the last month. That may help traders position for moves with calls and puts. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) 1-year: +52.63% 5-years: +34.98% 10-year: +83.14% (As of February 28, 2025) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:GDX
by TradeStation
5
GDX - Gold Miners ETF: Inverse Head & shouldersGold prices have surged to unprecedented levels in light of recent trade policy changes. The announcement by US President Donald Trump regarding a new 25% tariff on essential imports such as cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals has created a wave of uncertainty among investors. This risk-off sentiment has driven many to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold. Nevertheless, this upward momentum may encounter challenges if a trade agreement with China comes to fruition. A successful deal could alleviate global trade tensions, leading to a decrease in gold demand and possibly resulting in selling pressure. However sustained high bullion prices could prove to be a significant advantage for gold miners. The GDX ETF is showing a persistent inverse head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential for further gains.
AMEX:GDXLong
by BallaJi
15
Elliott Wave View: Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Impulse Rally ProgressShort Term Elliott Wave View in Gold Miners ETF (GDX) suggests rally from 12.30.2024 low is in progress as an impulse. Up from 12.30.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 38.2 and dips in wave 2 ended at 36.84. Internal subdivision of wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 37.31 and wave ((b)) ended at 37.95. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 36.83 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. The ETF has extended higher in wave 3 with subdivision as a 5 waves with extension (a nesting impulse). Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 38.16 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 36.84. The ETF extended higher in wave (i) towards 39.73 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 38.14. Up from there, wave i ended at 39.92 and wave ii ended at 39.24. Wave iii higher ended at 41.53 and pullback in wave iv ended at 40.80. Expect the ETF to end wave v of (iii), then it should pullback in wave (iv) before higher again. Near term, pullback should find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing against 36.83 low for further upside.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2
Opening (IRA): GDX Dec 20th 36 Covered Call... for a 35.29 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.29/share Max Profit: .71 ROC at Max: 2.01% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.00% That 1.00% ROC at 50% max is kind of "marginal," but just trying to keep theta on and burning with little stuff that I can add to should I have the opportunity to get in in higher IV/weakness.
AMEX:GDXLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): GDX January 17th 34 Covered Call... for a 33.28 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on. This puppy also happens to have a dividend on offer in December, but is quite variant: www.nasdaq.com Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 33.28 Max Profit: .72 ROC at Max: 2.16% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.08%
AMEX:GDXLong
by NaughtyPines
Elliott Wave View on GDX Favors Pullback Before RallShort Term Elliott Wave View in GDX suggests the zigzag correction should find support towards extreme areas before resume higher to finish the impulse sequence from 5-August, 2024 low. It is showing higher high sequence in daily from September-2022 low and expect short term rally to continue against August-2024 low. Since 5-August, 2024 low, it placed 1 at 39.97 high and 2 correction at 36.22 low as 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. Above 36.22 low, it placed ((i)) of 3 at 36.89 high, ((ii)) at 36.44 low, ((iii)) as extended wave at 40.98 high, ((iv)) at 39.02 low and finally ((v)) as 3 at 42.12 high. Below 3 high, it favors zigzag correction in 4 against 6-September, 2024 low before resume higher. Below 42.12 high, it favors pullback in ((c)) of 4 started from 40.79 high. It placed ((a)) of 4 at 39.35 low as 5 swing sequence, while placed ((b)) at 40.79 high. Within ((a)), it placed (i) at 41.22 low, (ii) at 41.95 high, (iii) at 39.96 low, (iv) at 40.75 high and (v) as ((a)) at 39.35 high. Below ((b)) high, it placed (i) at 39.12 low and (ii) at 40.19 high. Currently, it favors lower in (iii) and expect short term weakness towards 38.03 or lower levels to finish zigzag before resume higher in 5 as possible diagonal from August-2024 low.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View on Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Expects Continuation Short term Elliott Wave view on Gold Miners ETF (GDX) suggests that decline to 33.86 ended wave (4). The ETF has turned higher in wave (5). Internal subdivision of wave (5) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (4), wave ((i)) ended at 36.25 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 34.54. The Index extended higher in wave ((iii)) towards 38.08 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 36.56. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 39.97 which completed wave 1 in higher degree. The ETF then pullback in wave 2 with internal subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 38.54 and wave ((b)) rally ended at 39.77.Down from wave ((b)), wave (i) ended at 38.04 and wave (ii) ended at 39.15. Wave (iii) lower ended at 36.7 and wave (iv) ended at 37.83. Wave (v) lower ended at 36.22 which completed wave ((c)) of 2 in higher degree. The ETF has turned higher in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 37.48 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 36.49. Near term, as far as pivot at 33.86 low stays intact, expect pullback to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis Looking for GDX to Extend HigherRally from 9.26.2022 low in AMEX:GDX is currently in progress as a 5 waves diagonal. Up from 9.26.2022 low, wave (1) ended at 36.26 and pullback in wave (2) ended at 25.62. The ETF then extended higher in wave (3) towards 39.4 and pullback in wave (4) ended at 33.85 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Internal subdivision of wave (4) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (3), wave W ended at 35.9 and wave X ended at 38.22. Wave Y lower ended at 33.85 which completed wave (4) in higher degree. The ETF then turns higher again in wave (5). Up from wave (4), wave ((i)) ended at 36.25 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 34.54. Wave ((iii)) higher ended at 38.08 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 36.56. Expect wave ((v)) to complete soon which should also end wave 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, it should pullback in wave 2 to correct cycle from 8.5.2024 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the ETF resumes higher again. Near term, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing against 33.85 for further upside.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast