GDX Elliott Wave View: Showing Corrective BounceShort term Elliott wave view in GDX suggests that it is doing a recovery from March 03, 2021 low in a corrective structure. The internals of that bounce is unfolding as Elliott wave zigzag structure where the first leg of the bounce ended in wave A at $34.48 high. Down from there, the GDX made a 3 wave pullback in wave B with another lesser degree zigzag structure. While the lesser degree wave ((a)) ended in 5 waves at $31.91 low. Wave ((b)) bounce ended in 3 swings at $32.96 high and wave ((c)) ended at $31.65 low thus completed wave B pullback.
Afterward, the ETF is trading higher in the next leg higher within wave C. The internals of the current bounce is unfolding as an impulse sequence where wave ((i)) ended at $32.79 high. Wave ((ii)) ended at $32.42 low, wave ((iii)) ended at $34.59 high and wave ((iv)) ended at $33.83 low. Near-term, as far as the pivot from $31.65 low stays intact then GDX is expected to take the extension higher in wave ((v)) towards $35.47- $37.83 area higher. Before it ends the cycle from 03, 2021 low in a zigzag structure & consequently the correction against the cycle from January 05, 2021 peak.
GDX trade ideas
GDX PrimedTook this long this morning risking vs 31.65. Combined effects of infrastructure bill - copper + pm spend, as well as inflation, help this industry tremendously in terms of commodity prices. On top of that, we made a higher low recently which is technically bullish. TGT 40 for me on this for $1.35 of risk.
GDX/Gold Pinch PointDescending channel from GDX inception, and an ascending channel from the lows in 2016. GDX has had a strong close into the end of the week, we may see a breakout that will blow our socks off, or we may be left bagholding..
I will be monitoring this very closely as it seems it is all to play for...
Doji Reversal For Gold Investors"A doji candlestick forms when a security's open and close are virtually equal for the given time period and generally signals a reversal pattern for technical analysts. In Japanese, "doji" means blunder or mistake, referring to the rarity of having the open and close price be exactly the same"
Opening (IRA): GDX April 16th 27 Short Put... for a .42/contract credit.
Notes: With 30-day at 44.5%, adding some miners out in the April monthly on this weakness. 1.58% ROC at max as a function of notional risk; 12.82% annualized. As usual, will take profit on approaching worthless or roll out/take assignment and sell call against if in the money toward expiry (whichever pays more credit).
OPENING (IRA): GDX MARCH 19TH 31 SHORT PUT... for a .60/contract credit.
Notes: With 30-day at 36.7% and expiry-specific at 39.2%, opening a 19 delta short put with a 30.40 break even in the March monthly, since I've already got some on in February. 1.97% ROC as a function of notional risk.
Will run to approaching worthless and/or roll out if in-the-money or take assignment/sell call against (whichever pays most from a credit standpoint).
GDX Bearish pennant A bearish pennant or half way pattern (down) is building up for GDX. A break of the pennant will bring GDX down to region $27.5 smack on the 0.38 Fib retracement of the entire move from March 2020 to August 2020. Gold miners are looking great value but Silver miners may still have more downside.