GDX trade ideas
GDX's downtrend continues. Perspectives and thoughtsGDX's downtrend has cast a shadow over gold's price and last week we saw a determined continuation of the downtrend for the Vaneck ETF. The ETF's price broke through the support with an average volume of 26.52M for Friday's trading session and buyers made no attempt to by the dip. We've closed with full-body under the support and below the $36 level. In the days before the drop on Friday, we saw some increase in volumes as some selling started to accumulate. RSI remains below the 50 ballast line and MACD has made a bearish crossover. The histogram is below 0.
The perspectives for the ETF remain negative with the overall sentiment leaning towards sell and strong sell. My target for the ETF is $31.35 - $31.25 zone. The rise in bond prices keeps Gold and the corresponding ETF's unattractive at this point.
GDX correcting towards 29.5GDX Breaking down towards historic support at 29.5 USD (61.8 retracement)
GDX continues its original path - DOWN to 30GDX... one of my favouorites, but now is in a major retracement.
Again, three out of four factors are not favourable:
1. USD rising
2. Gold bearish
3. Equities Bearish (or soon to be)
Only Low Interest Rates are favourable.
The weekly chart has a GAP DOWN (ignore the BRB Buy signal for now), and it closed below the weekly 55EMA, which is a significant development.
MACD is crossing down soon in bear territory, and the RPM is pushing down again!
Shifted downside target to 30, mid Feb 2021.
GDX: f/u still looks positive to me. Since the last posting there was one more drop of the to close one of those "nasty" gaps that Mr.(or Ms) Chart seems to hate to leave open. Would not be surprised to see rise from here. Process your way. For target see previous post with link below . Take care.
Death Cross in Gold Miners as Bitcoin DoublesWe cited the bullish potential in gold prices late last year. This played out as expected, but there hasn’t been any follow-through. Now some bearish patterns are taking hold.
This chart shows the downward trend line in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF. Notice how the latest rally tried and failed to push above it.
Next is the rising channel in place since late November as GDX clung to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). That pattern is starting to look like a bearish flag, with the potential for a breakdown if the late-December lows give way.
Third, notice how the 50-day SMA just slid below the 200-day SMA. That’s a bearish “death cross” pattern.
Even more things are happening off the chart than on it. After all, the U.S. dollar feel steadily in November and December. Gold’s inability to rally with that favorable backdrop is potentially bearish.
Next, the greenback is showing signs of bottoming. If it were to keep bouncing, that could also hurt gold.
Finally, Bitcoin doubled in price between December 15 and January 8 as GDX did nothing. BTC’s relative strength, combined with the drumbeat of institutional adoption, suggests a real sea change is taking place before our eyes. The next few months could be important in the history of money!
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Looks like up for the rest of the weekPrice and rsi trends have hit the bottom channel. Should move up to the top now. Could also accumulate along the bottom trendline for a few days before moving to the top.
GDX resumes its original pathA month ago, the GDX gapped up above the 55EMA to break a downtrending cycle. But it was not sustainable, as previously observed.
This week saw the concomitant plummet, alongside Gold, which closed the previous Gap Up with a Gap Down, bringing the week closure below the 55EMA. This is a failed breakout.
Technicals support this bearish turn of events, with the MACD and the Price Momentum crossing down.
The drivers for this downside move have been described previously...
Target 32-33 in Feb 2021.
GDX ready to push up?RSI above 50, MACD still with a positive upward slope, as well as a rising histogram. Runaway gap from Yesterday made with a big volume spike and wasn't tested nor covered. An eventual test of the gap would be an additional bullish confirmation, but depending on gold's price that may be skipped.
GDX DiamondFib hasn't been touched again. Maybe a double tap!.
-Gap at 50 fib $30.56? I doubt it...
-maybe in insolvency crisis/big market poopy times
-OR the flightless turkeys in this ETF pull down the falcons.
-watch indicators, mainly rsi and macd, after a divergence they tend to move with the candles
Diamonds reflect and refract light within........ Down, bounce, sideways, bounce, UP and out!
A nice juicy left turn, unless those damn turkeys turn into the falconer.
if not a matter of ifStill a firm believer in this massive bull flag... 2021 will tell the tale. Happy New Year
GOLD MINERS GDX bearish tonesPlease see Chart... recent minor failures hint of bearish tones, and technicals are crossing down.
Overall, the equity markets are pushing higher on air and expecting a serious pullback soon, after a surprise trigger.
Gold prices are not moving despite USD weakening... this is bad for Gold, and Gold Miners particularly.
Once the USD jumps, and Gold drops, then the Gold Miners will be in double jeopardy.
I like GDX, but it is reeking of danger right now. I would be very wary IMHO...
