GLD where to?My dowsing work suggested a high around $288 on GLD, which obviously worked out (see prior idea). There's often a decent reversal opportunity once levels are hit. This one was golden... Wah-wah.
I'm trying not to over ask on things because with my work, I think it opens the door for misleading information or confusion on my part.
Simply put, the guidance was to get a date from the past, which was Jan. 10th. Look to revisit that price, which happens to correlate with the area of the 200 sma. When I asked what price from the H/L of that day, I get $249.
I drew a line to show the reference candle from January.
I ask what date this may occur by & get May 15th, but another date came of July 26th. There's some big stuff I think happening in indexes too in June/July. Dates are often reversals, but can be nothing. You just never know, but odds are more often they are something.
GLD trade ideas
$GLD - bullish momentum soon to stallHello, I was bullish on AMEX:GLD for a bit and now examining the charts, multiple frames, this may be setting up for a good short. If geopolitics and tariff talks deescalate then this should cool off. The Elliot wave placed indicates some time for a correction/pull back on this hot commodity and the candle on the Daily from Friday is a spinning stop doji which can indicate reversal in an uptrend. Also, we have so many gaps up that happened in 3 day span, crazy actually. I labeled areas of targets to fill these gaps. Expecting a retracement to $280.
WSL.
GLD UpdateI don't plan on trading gold because there's better plays right now, but I wanted to fix my chart.
I should've known that old resistance would be new support, and drawn the line at the Feb high. I did make money on my GLD puts though, I cashed out yesterday.
I "think" it's gonna make a pennant then head towards new highs as Iran is the next market whipsaw. When he starts getting pissy about Iran, that's when I'll go long, lol.
Gold is probably the safest play while Trump is in office.
Gold ETF(GLD) - Gold is the Safe Haven?Is Gold the safe haven from all the market turmoil? Looking at the chart, it would appear that Gold is unfazed by current market conditions. Price is still making All-Time Highs as price continues to swing above the 25(green), 100,(yellow) and 200(blue) day EMAs. Further fears in the Bond market may increase interest in Gold as a stable asset. What are you thoughts? What are some other assets that are defying 'gravity'?
Possible gold (GLD) tradeSo apparently the reason why gold fell this morning is because gold has 8% tariff premium built in, that is what the March pump was all about. Turns out gold is exempt from tariffs, and so is silver, so silver dumped the entire March pump.
So the fact that gold is exempt from tariffs basically means that it basically got pumped 8% today because it didn't drop like silver did. Yeah, tariffs were a shock but not 8% gold pump shock. Also, teh demand for physical gold will go down because apparently there was a lot of pre-buying in anticipation of the tariffs, plus people will have less disposable income.
The play here is that if GLD posts a red bar or falls below today's open, then I'm buying puts. Futures are green so I'm not sure if that will be tomorrow or Monday.... though there may be a drop Monday regardless as people actually read news over teh weekend. I should have yesterday before I posted, lol. My bad.
GLDMonster run the last 12 months...
To see where we are headed we have to see how we got here
Monthly chart
Is showing 2 patterns
1. Cup and handle
The measured move of this pattern is usually based on the depth of the cup. In this case the depth is 44% and the stock has rallied 50% since
2. The handle part of the cup can be viewed as a Ascending triangle
The measured moved there has been eclipsed.
With that being said the bullish setups are completed and I think GLD is on borrowed time for a steep correction
Evidence
Monthly oscillators (RSI,MFI) are on the extremes
Last 15 yrs anytime GLD gets 30% extended from it's monthly 20sma the price corrects!
Weekly chart is showing a channel the we are close to tagging
I think we make another high this week to push towards 287-290. Then have a pullback to target the weekly 20sma which as you can see aligns with the trendline from 2023. Targeting 263 gap close
If support holds at 260 then we will likely create Bearish divergence when one more high to 300.00 , from there the target is 210.225
So let's zoom in the 4hour chart so we can find out how to trade this THIS WEEK!..
As you can see March parabolic move has created a rising wedge at the top of it's weekly channel.
I like short entries around wedge top 285-286..
Our first target would be the wedge support and gap at 281.90..
From there we either bounce or go fill gap at 277
That's just for day trading or scalping.. the longer swing is to short anywhere 286-290 and target 260..
Same drop happen last Nov
GLD Will TOP SOON - Good For Crypto and AltsGLD has been on a tear lately, but I believe the rally will come to an end next week. This will be good for BTC and Alts. First looking at the RSI on GLD we can see it is now overbought on a monthly and this somehow coincides with the April 2 deadline on Tariffs. IMO I think this is a trap and GLD will begin to fall after it reaches just above the line I have in the chart.
GLD long to $288 & watch 4/11I had asked about GLD earlier this week & asked my dowsing (that's how I get my info) where would be a next swing low to buy? The answer was $276.
We hit this morning & it's bouncing nicely. I have a target in the $288-89 area pretty consistently - as in, I got the number in my prior reading and again this morning.
There's also a mention a couple times that the date around April 11th is going to be important. It may be that this is the exit date for this position. I will update as we get closer to that date as there could be a subsequent short.
That's it. We'll see.
$GLD to outperform tech going forward(note for some reason this chart is showing just as GLD, but it's GLD/QQQ)
While I've been waiting for this correction to play out, I've been analyzing stocks and other assets to see what I want to buy for the future.
One thing has caught my attention: As I compare gold to any other chart, gold looks like it's set to outperform pretty much everything (even BTC-- although we're not quite at the point where I'd say fully own gold over BTC as the trend is just starting).
I feel like we're about to get a big monetary reset where our currency is backed by more hard assets. That will lead to commodities outperforming.
For the foreseeable future, gold looks like the better play over tech and the traditional stocks you thought outperformed everything. I could care less about NVIDIA, TSLA and lots of the other names, and while I might have them as a very small portion of my portfolio, I'm really looking at gold and silver miners as the stocks I want to own going into this next part of the cycle.
When you look at the chart, you can see that on the monthly timeframe, we look like we're set to break out of a long term downtrend. Once price can make it over the red cloud, we'll officially be in a new bull trend of gold outperformance. Being it's a monthly trend, I don't see this changing anytime in the near future, so I'll be allocating a large portion of my portfolio to gold/silver and miners.
Historic gold/spy breakoutThis is going to be a multi year gold outperformance over s&p. S&P staring valuations are high and global geopolitics favoring gold reserves over usd reserves will likely help. Think of all the non western government that had billions/trillions parked in usd slowly change a portion of that into gold
GLD - Trades Tried a short on this today for a trade , was thinking general market was breaking down ( until we bottomed ;) This could maybe be a good trade since there's too many longs excluding commercial .
Maybe I will revisit but I prefer to be focused on longs . Would be nice to see a double top lower high reversal form or something to hint stronger at a trend change ....
Will track trades in comments .
Could One Event Propel Gold to $6,000?Gold has long been a refuge in times of crisis, but could it be on the brink of an unprecedented surge? Analysts now predict the precious metal could reach $6,000 per ounce, driven by a potent mix of geopolitical instability, macroeconomic shifts, and strategic accumulation by central banks. The prospect of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, a major global flashpoint, could be the catalyst that reshapes the financial landscape, sending investors scrambling for safe-haven assets.
The looming threat of conflict in Taiwan presents an unparalleled risk to global supply chains, particularly in semiconductor production. A disruption in this critical sector could spark widespread economic turmoil, fueling inflationary pressures and eroding confidence in fiat currencies. As nations brace for potential upheaval, central banks and investors are increasingly turning to gold, reinforcing its role as a geopolitical hedge. Meanwhile, de-dollarization efforts by BRICS nations further elevate gold’s strategic importance, intensifying its upward trajectory.
Beyond geopolitical risks, macroeconomic forces add momentum to gold’s ascent. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cuts, persistent inflation, and record national debt levels all contribute to a weakening dollar. This, in turn, makes gold more attractive to global buyers, accelerating demand. At the same time, the psychological factor—fear-driven safe-haven buying and speculative enthusiasm—creates a self-reinforcing cycle, pushing prices ever higher.
Despite counterforces such as potential Fed policy shifts or a temporary easing of geopolitical tensions, the weight of uncertainty appears overwhelming. The convergence of economic instability, shifting power dynamics, and investor sentiment suggest that gold’s march toward $6,000 is less a speculative fantasy and more an inevitable financial reality. As the world teeters on the edge of historic change, gold may well be the ultimate safeguard in an era of global upheaval.
GLD Gaining Momentum – Key Technicals & Options Insights Technical Analysis (GLD):
* Trend Overview: GLD has been following an ascending channel, with price action respecting the upper and lower bounds.
* Support Levels: Immediate support lies at $262.50, followed by stronger support at $257.87.
* Resistance Levels: The price is currently testing $265.99, the upper resistance of the channel. A breakout above this level could push GLD toward the next target at $270.00.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Shows a slight bullish momentum, though slowing down.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought at 98.14, suggesting potential consolidation or retracement.
Options GEX Analysis:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX): The highest positive gamma sits at $270, marking a strong resistance zone.
* Key Put Walls: Located at $243 and $240, providing robust support in case of downside.
* Call Wall Resistance: Options traders are showing interest at $270, likely acting as a significant cap unless the price breaks out with strong volume.
* IV Data:
* IVR: 69.3 – Elevated, signaling relatively higher premiums.
* IVx avg: 17.8 – Indicating the overall sentiment aligns with slightly cautious optimism.
Suggestions:
* Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $265.99 with volume confirmation could see the price rally to $270.00. Consider call options with stops near $264.50 to manage risk.
* Bearish Scenario: If resistance at $265.99 holds, a retracement to $262.50 or $257.87 is possible. Protective puts or short positions could be considered, with tight stops above $266.00.
* Neutral Play: Selling options (iron condors or spreads) between $243–$270 can benefit from the current IV levels and defined range.
Conclusion: GLD is at a critical juncture. While the overall momentum leans bullish within the channel, caution is warranted due to overbought conditions and resistance at $265.99. Monitor for volume and price action near these levels for clearer trade entries.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and consult a financial professional before trading. 📊✨
Gold price is going to correct soon. long term TP: 269, 302 andAs trade tensions, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical conflicts escalate, gold’s price movements will be the most reliable indicator of investor sentiment.
With tariff battles intensifying and China realigning its trade alliances, the traditional financial system may be entering a new, volatile phase. If history is any guide, gold may be the only true measure of global anxiety—and the only real insurance policy against economic upheaval.
📈 Gold remains the ultimate hedge in a fractured world. Watch its price—because it just might predict the future.
Gold price is going to correct soon. long term TP: $269, $302 and $345
GOLD MAJOR TOP this is the ALT due by 2/3 The chart of GLD has an alt bearish count . The chart labeled shows a 5 wave wave up and at todays high it is a perfect x 1.272 to = at 259.7 I have now moved to a 100 % long in the money PUTS> if how ever we close above 261.8 I would then look for the Original target of 265 plus I will Hold in the money puts best of trades WAVETIMER