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HYG trade ideas

HYG: make or break on the monthly, could seriously impact stocksOver the last 13 years, some of the most spectacular crashes in high-yielding bonds have begun with a monthly rejection at falling channel resistance. Equally spectacular rallies have followed, yet the bear trend remains stubbornly in place. I can't help but notice that the candle formation over the last two months looks eerly similar to the one of last year, at the beginning of the covid crash. In both cases we have a dark cloud cover candle, followed by a confirming bearish candle. In this year's case, the shade of the second candle (a shooting star) surpassed the height of all previous candles, where prices were forcefully pushed lower. Some traders consider this to be one of the best entry signals to go short the underlying asset. If HYG falls back into the bear channel, things could get rough for high yielding bonds, and stocks too! Remember to check on this one in 30 days, to see if the month of March confirms this ominous picture. If so, we're definitively gonna need more BRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR !!!
AMEX:HYGShort
by dogchasingcogChasingCars
HYG Global view WWe are very close to hit the resistance level 89 by wave (Z) of (WXYXZ) to complete the edge of B. It can take from couple of weeks to couple of months to hit the level. We expect the downtrend to start by summertime (May-June 2021) Afterwards the big-big sale of “junk bonds” will undoubtedly start along with deep correction on all the markets which will last till the end of the year 2021 In this case the HYG market might repeat the level of March 2009 - 62
AMEX:HYGShort
by profilart
1
OPENING (IRA): HYG DECEMBER 18TH 83 SHORT PUT... for a .36 credit. Notes: Although implied volatility really blows chunks here (30-day at 11.9%), looking to deploy some capital in an underlying I wouldn't mind acquiring for its dividend (current yield 4.94%). Here, selling in the expiry nearest 30 days 'til expiry for a credit that's approximately equal to the monthly dividend (currently .359). This should generate an annualized return approaching the dividend yield without being in the stock itself.
AMEX:HYG
by NaughtyPines
EDUCATION: SYNTHETIC DIVIDEND GENERATION VIA SHORT PUTI think everyone can generally agree that idle cash sitting in your account doesn't earn you much. Here are a couple of methodologies to deploy that capital to emulate dividend generation without being in the stock itself. For purposes of this exercise, I've chosen HYG, which is not only options liquid, but also has a decent dividend relative to the broader market. Currently, it's 4.92% annually, and its last monthly dividend was .359/share compared to SPY's annual yield of 1.59% and TLT's 1.57%. In the past, I've used several different methodologies to generate a yield approaching what the underlying is paying annually, depending on how much capital I wanted to or needed to tie up while waiting for opportunities. (a) The Once a Month/30 Days 'Til Expiry Option: When the next monthly is 30 days until expiry, sell the option paying greater than or equal to the current monthly dividend. Run it until expiry and allow the option to expire worthless and/or take on shares if in-the-money, and sell call against at the same strike as you sold the put. Manage thereafter as you would any ordinary covered call. This is potentially the least buying power intensive setup if you're just selling one contract per month and will necessarily be of short duration. (b) The Each and Every Weekly 30 Days 'Til Expiry Option: Each week, in the expiry nearest 30 days until expiry, sell the option paying greater than or equal to the current monthly dividend, again allowing each successive weekly option to expire worthless and/or take on shares if in-the-money, selling call against at the same strike as you sold the put, managing it thereafter as a covered call. Naturally, if you want to do something like this each and every week, doing, for example, one contract per week, you'd be tying up greater buying power and/or notional risk to do so. The upside: your longest duration is going to be 30 days. (c). The Laddering Out in Successive Monthlies Option: Instead of doing just the next monthly at 30 days until expiry, ladder out 30, 60, and 90 days until expiry, selling the put in each successive monthly expiry for an amount greater than or equal to the current monthly dividend. For example, sell the December 18th 83 for .38; the January 15th 80 for .42; and the February 19th 76 for .38. When the front month expires worthless, consider selling a new back month, again for a credit that is equal to or exceeds the monthly dividend. The downside to this methodology is that it is not only buying power intensive, it ties up buying power for greater duration.
AMEX:HYGEducation
by NaughtyPines
10
OPENING (IRA): HYG NOVEMBER 20TH 77 SHORT PUT... for a .66/contract credit. Notes: A starter position in "junk" at the 17 delta in the November cycle. The implied volatility here is quite low -- 15.7% for the 30-day, but I'm looking to eventually swap out my TLT position for something that pays more on a percentage basis. HYG's yield is currently 5.02% with a monthly dividend payment of .341, with the short put premium nearly twice that amount, so I'm fine with just keeping the premium versus actually being in the stock. TLT's yield is currently a paltry 1.62% with a monthly dividend of .18292 as of the last distribution.
AMEX:HYG
by NaughtyPines